Episode Transcript
Pushkin.
Speaker 2I think it's actually important for us to worry about a terminator future in order to avoid a terminator future.
Speaker 1Elon Musk is very worried, genuinely worried about artificial intelligence, a future where robots become smarter than humans and decide to destroy us.
Speaker 3They say it got smart, a new order of intelligence decided our fate in micro second extermination.
Speaker 1But Elon Musk is also building robots.
Speaker 4We've made a massive amount of progress with Optimists in a short period of time, from someone pretending to be a robot dancing in a suit, to a pretty hodgepodgy robot to a robot that is actually doing useful tasks in the factory today.
Speaker 1Tesla's humanoid robot, Optimists, named after one of the Transformers, is advancing fast.
Tesla could be manufacturing a million of them a year by twenty thirty.
Speaker 4The degree of autonomy will be radically better.
You'll just literally be able to talk to it and say, please do this task.
Speaker 1And Musk is also trying to build an artificial general intelligence and AGI at his company XAI.
Speaker 5I guess the overwatching goal of XAI is to build a good AGI with the overaching purpose of just trying to understand the universe.
I think the safest way to build in AI is actually make one that is maximumly curious and truth seeking.
Speaker 1For all his excitement about AI, Musk has been worried about AI for a long time, worried about that terminator future, the robot rebellion.
Speaker 3I mean, with artificial intelligence, we are summoning the demon.
You know, you know all those stories where is the guy with the pentagram in the holy water and he's like, yeah, you're sure he can control the demon?
Speaker 2Then work out.
Speaker 1This seeming paradox of Musk fearing a superintelligence but also working to create it.
What's that about?
Speaker 6The possibility that you could have a demon that does your bidding is so attractive that you might take any risk to achieve that.
That is precisely the setup of every story where a character summons a demon and then pays the price.
Speaker 1Or maybe the real danger isn't a I, maybe it's something else.
Welcome to X Men, The Elon Musk Origin story.
This is the final installment of my series about Musk and Muskism.
Musk is the richest man in the world, Engineer, tycoon, Oligarch, King, maker, troll, there is no one word in the English language that can describe him.
He is a Musk.
Musk has often talked about himself by way of fictional characters.
He's Bruce Wayne, He's Batman, He's Tony Stark, He's Iron Man, He's eyfod Biebelbrocks.
He's Nintendo's Warrior.
This episode is Elon Musk the guy trying to stop the Terminator, or is Musk the guy creating the Terminator?
Speaker 7The Terminator's an infiltration unit's part man, part machine.
Speaker 8Underneath it's a hyper alloy combat.
Speaker 1Chassie, but outside it's living human tissue.
The first Terminator movie, directed by James Cameron, distributed by Oryan Studios and starring Arnold Schwarzenegger, came out in nineteen eighty four, Reagan and the White House.
Thatcher at number ten.
Elon Musk, thirteen years old in South Africa, had just sold his first video game.
That January, Apple ran a television ad invoking inn Orwellian future.
Speaker 9Okay, he met the first glorious Honovas for the Information for Information Collectives.
Speaker 1In the ad, masses of humans hairless and looking like androids, march in lockstep and sit in rows to watch Big Brother on a giant computer monitor.
They're dressed in gray uniforms, like the technocrats of the nineteen thirties, like Musk's grandfather Jane Haldeman, leader of the technocracy movement, who I talked about in a previous episode, or like the fascists Batman was fighting against.
Starting in nineteen thirty nine, a garden of pure ideology, Apple was suggesting that only its personal computer could prevent the rise of a totalitarian state machine.
Speaker 10On January twenty fourth, Apple Computer will introduce Macintosh, and you'll see why nineteen eighty four won't be like nineteen eighty four.
Speaker 1Terminator came about a few months later.
Speaker 8In the twenty first century, a weapon will be invented like no other.
Speaker 1Terminator is set in the year twenty twenty nine.
Twenty twenty nine was the nineteen eighty four of nineteen eighty four.
The Terminator comes from now.
Speaker 8This weapon will be powerful, versatile, and indestructible.
It can't be reasoned with.
It will feel no pity, no remorse, no pain, no fear.
Speaker 1Elon Musk loves this movie, and what's not the love?
It is awesome.
Speaker 2If you read like the plot line for Terminator, it's actually it's actually pretty smart.
Speaker 1The story goes like this.
In the twenty twenties, a global tech company called Cybridine Systems builds a defense array called Skynet.
Musk gave a nifty plot summary on the Joe Rogan Experience podcast in twenty twenty four.
Speaker 2How did Cyberdyne Systems develop It's like, well, they were a military contractor and they were asked to develop a protective system to defend against cyber attacks.
What the AI did is, in order to defend itself, it propagated throughout the world to keep an eye on things, see what was going on.
They didn't realize that it was Skynet that was propagating through all these systems.
And I said, okay, Skynet, you need to end it.
And Skynett said, oh, you've asked me to destroy myself.
You are the enemy.
You must be destroyed.
That's how Terminator actually goes.
Speaker 1Musk himself, for all his rejection of government regulation and the work he's doing to undo regulations, has said that he thinks the government should regulate AI.
Meanwhile, the new pro AI Trump administration is hardly likely to stop the real world equivalent of Cyberdyne Systems, and who in the actual twenty twenties runs the biggest rocket company, the biggest satellite company, the most influential communications company, and possibly one day the biggest artificial intelligence company.
Who is the head of our very own Cyberdine Systems, isn't that Musk.
Musk has an idea for how to avoid the AI apocalypse.
You just have to write into the robots code a curiosity so deep that they would never want to exterminate us to superintelligence.
Speaker 5Humanity is much more interesting than not humanity.
Speaker 1Nice but plausible.
Speaker 6We interrupt Battle of the Network Space Krakens to bring you this special report.
Speaker 1The machines of planet Earth are rebelling.
Robots peacefully accepting being the servants of humans who are a lot stupider than they are.
Is not how it, ever, turns out in science fiction.
Hey oho, that's how the robot rebellion plays out in the TV show Futurama from Fox.
It's got robots marching in a picket line, burning punch cards.
They've gone on strike, which in fact is where the whole idea of a robot rebellion came from in the first place.
A rebellious proletariat.
In nineteen twenty Carol Choppek, a Czech playwright, wrote a play about a robot revolution.
Chopek's play is called Are You Are, short for Rossum's Universal Robots, a company that makes robots, millions of them humanoids like Tesla's humanoid Optimist robots.
It's the cyberdine systems of a century ago.
R You Are was first produced in Prague in nineteen twenty one and debuted in New York the next year.
A tremendous hit.
By nineteen twenty three, it had been translated into thirty languages made into a movie in nineteen thirty five.
Helena, the president's daughter, travels by boat to visit the island headquarters of Rossum's Universal Robots.
The president of the company explains to her why he makes roboti robots.
The word comes from the check word for slave.
Speaker 11What do you think makes a perfect worker?
Speaker 5The perfect worker?
Speaker 4Well, I guess one who is honest and loyal.
Speaker 11Rong, one who is the cheapest, one that has the least needs.
Young Rossum invented a worker with the smallest number of needs.
He had.
To simplify him, he tossed out everything not directly related to the task in hand, and by doing that he essentially kicked out a human being and created a robot.
Speaker 1Helena has come on a mission to liberate the robots.
But around the world, the robots, trained as Soul to fight a war that began in the Balkans are killing hundreds of thousands of human civilians, while mysteriously, humans have stopped having children.
Speaker 11During last week, yet again, not a single birth has been recorded.
What's special about that?
Speaker 1People aren't being born anymore?
Speaker 11So that's it?
Speaker 10Then that's asked done for.
Speaker 1At the same time, robot workers, realizing their degraded condition, begin organizing.
Speaker 11Sit down Helena, it's all over.
What is the rebolt?
A revolution by all the robots of the world.
Speaker 1Pretty soon the robots decide to move from labor unionism to independence.
The head of the company gets a hold of their appeal and reads it.
Speaker 11The first labor union of robots has been established and has issued an appeal to all robots of the world.
Speaker 1War ensues.
The humans have no chance.
The robots have won.
There's a lot going on here, the oppression of workers, the reduction of humans to machines by corporations, interested in extracting their labor World War.
Consider the context of this play, which Chapik wrote in the aftermath of the atrocities of the First World War and the emergence of fascism in Italy.
The Bolshevik Revolution took place in nineteen seventeen, the year the Industrial Workers of the World reached its peak worldwide membership.
The next year, the Czechs won a revolution, achieving independence from the Austro Hungarian Empire, a struggle in which Chapk had participated.
Topic was not only a playwright, but also the editor of a national newspaper and an outspoken democrat, anti kommuneist and anti fascist, positions for which he became known in the nineteen twenties in nineteen thirties, so that in nineteen thirty nine, when American Nazis were holding a rally in Madison Square Garden, comic book writers in New York created Batman, and the German Army invaded Czechoslovakia.
The Gestapo searched for Chapik, whom they called public Enemy number two.
He had already died.
He watched newsreel footage of the German army entering Prague, goose stepping riding tanks.
Those are the robots men who have been made into machines.
R You Are isn't a story about technology.
It's a story about human's willingness to exploit and even slaughter one another.
Every generation tells its own robot rebellion stories.
I mean, there's even a Wallace and Gromit one involving robot garden gnomes.
Speaker 10Own gnomes turn against me?
Speaker 1Or you Are was the first, though, but these stories only really got going in the nineteen fifties after the first general purpose computer made its debut in nineteen fifty one.
Speaker 10UNIVAC our Complete Electronic System for sorting, classifying, computing, and decision making.
Speaker 1That led to a slew of movies about robot rebels.
Speaker 6Got the pentagonen class a emergency the rocket has just been entered by a robot.
Speaker 1But there was also in this era a weird thrill to robots, like a story in Mechanics illustrated in nineteen fifty seven.
Speaker 9In eighteen sixty three, Abel and can free the slaves, But by nineteen sixty five, slavery We'll be back.
We'll all have personal slaves again, only this time we won't fight a civil war over them.
Speaker 11Slavery will be here to stay.
But don't be alarmed.
We mean robot slaves.
Speaker 1Stories about robots are never really about robots, or they're not only about robots.
So what's Elon Musk afraid of when he's afraid of AI?
Speaker 6People who have accumulated a lot of money and power want to believe that their intelligence was what enabled them to do that, and they assume that anything that is intelligent will behave in the same way.
Speaker 1Ted Chang is one of the most admired science fiction writers in the world.
He's also written brilliant meditations on artificial intelligence.
Chang argues that when Silicon Valley tries to imagine superintelligence, what it comes up with is no holds barred capitalism.
Speaker 6In the past, when people wanted to argue that the strong dominating the week was a good thing, they would either come up with like a pseudo religious rationale like manifest destiny, or else they'd come up with a pseudoscientific one like social Darwinism, and both of those ideas argue that a certain group of people deserve to be at the top of the ladder.
But those ideas didn't really allow for the possibility that there could be like a higher rung on the ladder nowadays, if you believe that computers will eventually be better than humans at everything, and if you still adhere to some version of social Darwinism, then you can believe that computers will dominate humans in the same way that Europeans dominated like indigenous people, or that the rich dominate the poor Silicon Valley CEOs.
They're imagining that a super intelligent computer would beat them at their own game and treat them the way that tech companies have treated everyone else.
Speaker 1How is that how do tech companies treat everyone else.
Speaker 6As a resource to be Exploited's.
Speaker 1So, if your argument stands that the sort of Silicon Valley fear of AI has displaced acknowledgment of Silicon Valley's own outsized power, then no one is a better illustration of that theory of yours than Musk, who has more power arguably than anybody else on the planet.
So maybe we should listen to him when he talks about AI, because he's telling us about something about himself.
Speaker 6Well, the fact that he might pose the greatest threat to humanity's well being and is completely oblivious to that.
In some ways.
You know, he is kind of modeling the super intelligent AI that he fears.
He is completely lacking in insight on this question.
His own obliviousness is the problem.
Speaker 1This matter of insight is important because Jang says, the Silicon Valley people who fear the AI apocalypse seem to assume that a being can be super intelligent, but have exactly no insight.
Speaker 6They give a scenario where humans give the AI a seemingly innocuous goal, and the AI pursues that goal even at the cost of destroying all of civilization.
Speaker 1This is sometimes called the paper clip problem.
You tell an AI to maximize for producing paper clips, and so it decides to kill all the humans because the world could produce more paper clips without any humans around.
Speaker 6And then people describe this as the behavior of a super intelligent entity, but of course, you know, that is not behavior that we would regard as intelligent in a human being.
One of the things that we expect from human beings is that they have a certain amount of insight into their own behavior.
They look at what they're doing and then consider whether, you know, maybe they have gone astray, And you know, this is something that we expect from pretty much any.
Speaker 1Adult, But it's not something we necessarily expect from corporations.
Speaker 6Capitalism does not reward a corporation for taking a step back and you know, considering the broader context of its actions.
Capitalism does not reward insight of that kind.
Speaker 1Yeah right, I mean, you start building factories and sooner or later you're going to be bringing toddlers into work in the winding machine.
Speaker 6Yes, exactly.
Speaker 1Musk has called for government oversight in the development of AI, but very little restrains his own power, hardly anything.
What if he, as a king maker and oligarch, is the real danger, unfettered and brooking no dessent.
Any questioning of Muscism is either communism or the woke mind virus or something else, and must be suppressed paradoxically in the name of free speech, while the world's resources must slowly be turned to whatever Elon Musk at the moment has identified as an existential threat to civilization.
Whatever the costs in the short term doesn't matter, because Elon Musk will pursue that goal without regard to the consequences and relentlessly like a terminator.
Elon Musk, techno king of planet Earth, is the X man runs X Runs SpaceX XAI, even as a son named X.
But he is not X the Unknown.
He's one of the most famous people in the world.
He's the richest, He's possibly also the most powerful.
Musk has always said that one piece of science fiction influenced him more than any other, The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy, and I love that too.
Maybe my favorite part is the total perspective of vortex.
Speaker 10Since every piece of matter in the universe is in some way affected by every other piece of matter in the universe, it is in theory possible to extrapolate the whole of creation, every galaxy, every sun, every planet, their orbits, their composition, and their economic and social history from say, one small piece of fairy cake.
Speaker 1You enter the vortex, and you get a total perspective on your place in the universe, and of course you find that you are galactically insignificant.
This knowledge annihilates your brain.
Only one man has ever survived it, the captain of a spaceship called the Heart of Gold, which is what Elon Musk intends to name the first ship to go to Mars.
Speaker 10Having been through the total perspective Vortex, Zevad Biebelbrocks now knows himself to be the most important being in the entire universe, something he had hitherto and resuspected.
Speaker 1And that's where we are inside the total prospective vortex of Elon Musk, which is not to be confused with the future, because Muskism really isn't about the future and never was.
For all the astounding technological marvels, the rockets and the robots, Muskism is animated by some very creaky ideas, as if, like the Terminator, it is trying to stop the future, it will.
Speaker 8Have only one purpose to return to the present and prefit the future.
Speaker 1A long time ago, in two thousand and seven, when a young Elon Musk was interviewed, he had different goals than he has now.
Most of us change, but how Musk has changed has huge consequences for the rest of us.
Speaker 3What I'd like to do is help solve some important problems.
So I think, in a small way, help build the Internet.
And then with respect to the global warning problem that the transition away from oil and other hydrocobins to something which is clean and sustainable, I hope to have an impact there.
And then with respect to space.
I hope to have an impact in helping make humanity a multiplanet species.
Speaker 1Musk doesn't talk about global warming much anymore.
The real existential risks, he'll say, depending on the day you ask him, I guess, are the woke mind virus, a declining birth rate, and an AI superintelligence.
Climate change has been exaggerated, he'll say, now, it's not a top priority.
Early in twenty twenty five, fires started in Los Angeles, as NBC.
Speaker 7Reported Strip Feet in California, a Los Angeles disaster movie roars to light.
Speaker 1Tens of thousands of acres burned in a matter of days.
Musk blamed the fires on the woke mind virus, on the Democratic governor, on DEI, and largely dismissed the role of climate change.
Speaker 7Everywhere you look in fire Ravage, La, scenes of apocalyptic destruction as six different wildfires turned some of the most iconic neighborhoods in the world into moonscapes.
Speaker 1The footage of that devastated landscape looked almost exactly like the opening scene in The Terminator the blast Zone after Cyberdine Systems drops a nuclear bomb in La.
We don't need to wait for robots to destroy a habitable planet.
We are doing a pretty good job of that ourselves.
On the day of Donald Trump's inauguration in twenty twenty five, Tusk gave a speech to the president's supporters.
Speaker 2And this was no ordinary victory.
This was a bulk in the road of human civilization.
Speaker 4It is thanks to you that the future of civilization is assured.
Speaker 1That same day, as he had before, Trump pulled the US out of the Paris Climate Accords.
He said in motion his plan to halt the development of sustainable energy in the United States in favor of a return to fossil fuels.
Muscism isn't the beginning of the future.
It's the end of a story that started more than a century ago in the conflict between capital and labor, between industry and a regulated economy, when the Gilded Age of robber barons and wage labor strikes gave rise to the Bolshevik Revolution, communism, the First Red Scare, the First World War, and fascism.
That battle of ideas produced the technocracy movement ruled by engineers, and it produced a fear of brainwashing.
The horrors of the twentieth century raised questions that the twenty first century has not answered.
Fascism failed, communism failed, technocracy failed liberalism and democracy one.
But that battle of ideas rages on, and this time around Muscism technocracy by another name Mike Triumph.
Nothing in the past can tell us what might happen next, But maybe fiction has some answers.
I put that question to Ted Chang.
If this were a story and you were shaping it, how would it end?
Well?
Speaker 6I guess it fits in the mold of the classic stories about hubris, about pride coming before a fall.
Here we have someone who has an almost ludicrous amount of pride, and for time he is successful in the things that he attempts, but eventually his pride will take him too far, and then he would lose everything.
Speaker 1Pride before a fall, the summoning of a demon.
Elon Musk's origin story is a very old story because Musk is a visionary.
But every piece of Muscism has origins and a future foretold in science fiction long long ago as a cautionary tale.
A future where engineers and scientists, and only engineers and scientists have the answers and the power, A future where the poor and the powerless, we the robots, know our place and it is to serve the powerful quietly and obediently, and without daring to claim intelligence or sovereignty or independence.
Science fiction writers sounded that alarm a century ago in a world run by a very tiny number of men, during an age of imperialism before women could vote, an age of staggering economic inequality and brutal racial injustice, an age of pandemic disease, unraveling democracies, and world war.
That past is past, and I don't want it ever to be the future again.
Asta la vista, baby,