Episode Transcript
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I think the best way of characterizing this administration it is essentially the kind of monetization of US hegemony.
The left polite way is something about a mafioso shakedown.
Speaker 2I'm Stephanie Flanders, head of Government and Economics at Bloomberg, and this is Trumpanomics, the podcast that looks at the economic world of Donald Trump, how he's already shaped the global economy and what on earth is going to happen next.
This week, well, we're widening the lens a bit because I just had a fascinating conversation i'd like to share with you.
The occasion was Bloomberg's second Women, Money and Power event in London, and the conversation was with Alessandra Galoni, the editor in chief of Reuter's News Agency, and Zanni Mintembadows, editor in chief of The Economist.
The title of our session was reporting on money and Power in the current moment, and there was plenty of Trump andomics in the mix.
But what you'll also hear is how all three of us have been grappling with not just the sheer volume of news coming out of Washington, but also the Trump administration's aggressive approach to handling the media.
We see that obviously in the Jimmy Kimmel saga and the many lawsuits the President has filed against the New York Times, the Wall Street Journal, most of the traditional US news networks.
But it's also something we've been living with behind the scenes since the White House took control of the White House Press Pool and dramatically cut the mainstream media's regular access to the president.
So yes, it's a little bit more introspective than our usual discussions on Trump andomics.
But like it or not, Donald Trump is leaving his mark on journalism as well as the global economy, and sitting at the helm of these two major news organizations, Zanni and Alessandra have a bird's eye view of both.
I started by asking Alessandra eight months in how this Trump administration had changed the way Reuters did its job.
Speaker 3I think there's sort of two buckets, right, there's what you have to do journalistically, and then instead of how you go about it and navigate some of the new rules that have come in journalistically, I think, you know, the bottom line is sort of a back to the future.
You do what we always do, which is you report this administration.
And what we try to do is we try to report what matters, you know, what the real effects of the executive orders are, or what the real effects of changes in policy new laws are.
So for example, just yesterday, we had a story that looked at how prosecutions for drug abuse, or for money laundering, or for crime financial crimes that used to be prosecuted a lot in the US have now sort of given way to deportations because so much attention of the Trump administration is focused on deportations that a lot of the same sort of prosecutors and officers who are focusing on one type of crime are now focusing on what Trump classifies as another type of crime.
So again, what flows from changes in policy.
That's just one example.
I mean this there's worth perhaps mentioning a few of the restrictions that we've had.
The new one is on the Pentagon reporting, which all of us have, which is that there's a new rule now or a new request for all journalists who cover the Pentagon to sign a piece of paper saying that that essentially we wouldn't publish something that could be in a security interest of the of the US, you know, without checking with the Pentagon first.
Essentially, now, of course that is something that we can't do right, and that is something that I think, you know, to my knowledge, virtually nobody has signed this right and you faced the same thing.
And so we're you know, talking to the administration about how we can change this.
And interestingly, what we understand is that it's actually aimed more at people work in the Pentagon to avoid them from leaking.
And of course leaks also have been sort of more kind of criminalized with a criminalization of what the administration would call leaks.
So I think on the reporting side, we keep reporting on the news, trying to you know, understand what is going on, and then sort of try to convince the administration that, you know, First Amendment press freedom is something important for everyone no matter where you operate in the US or in our case, in all the two hundred other countries where we work.
Speaker 2And I mean as why and news services obviously Router's and Bloomberg have been affected by just taking what taking the wires out of the Oval office.
As a matter of course, off the plane, there was always a wire journalist previously on the plane, or more than one.
There's just a consistent sort of lack of people to ask questions or questions that aren't along the lines of mister president, how do you look so healthy and so much younger than in your previous administration.
But I mean, Zami, you're in a slightly different position with the economists, but I know obviously you have much the same journalistic mission.
How are you dealing with the different aproach that this administration has?
Speaker 1You know, what we do is to join the dots between geopolitics, business technology to help our readers understand where the world is going.
And that mission is exactly the same as it always has been, and the Trump administration changed our framework because the Trump's administration is so dominant in pretty much every global story.
And so for me, one of the things that has changed is that I spend a lot of time making sure that we differentiate between the signal and the noise.
If you're not careful, every story about every part of the world could start with the reference to Donald Trump.
And so I spend quite a lot of time, either literally or at least figuratively, crossing out first paragraphs that mentioned Trump too much.
It would be incredibly boring if you had every single story framed in a Trump way.
Differentiating the signal from the noise also means, you know, not suffering from Trump derangement syndrome and being fair minded about the way you cover this administration.
We have a lot of Republican readers, we have a lot of Trump administration people read US, and indeed trumpions read us.
And I think it's very important that even people who don't share the economist's world view.
We believe in liberal values.
We were founded to champion them.
They drive what we do.
But I feel very strongly that even people who do not share that view should find our journalism useful, and so we need to be rigorous, fact based.
We need to really go the extra mile to make sure we are fair minded in our analysis.
And that's that's doubly important at this moment in terms of the kind of way we deal with it.
I mean, of course, things have changed for us too.
All my non American journalists when they go to the US now, including the carrier, I think it's a G twenty nine form.
It's a form that if you are stopped by the customer border control, you sign it.
I'm sure you have it too, and they have to call our lawyer in the US.
I look at my phone before I go.
I scrub my phone to make sure that just in case.
Speaker 3I have to say.
Speaker 1I've gone to the US every week this month, and I've sailed in and I have global entry.
Speaker 2And it's also you're not well known.
Feel scerless posts exactly.
Speaker 1But I just think it's prudent, and that is a weird feeling.
I've been to China many, many times, and I have never scrubbed my phone.
I've taken a burner computer, so for there are different behaviors that I do there.
But so the environment has changed, undoubtedly.
It's a long answer to your question, but it makes me value our independence more.
This sound incredibly pretentious, and I don't mean it to be, but I think we should all be thinking, not just about the hearing now, but how are our successors going to look at what we did.
Did we go overboard with Trump derangement syndrome or did we normalize totally non normal behavior and fail to raise enough red flags about what is potentially happening to American democracy?
And I think the balance between those two is what I'm figuring out.
Speaker 2I think we do find that the White House team, particularly I think is having to use it thesaurus very often on different words for unprecedented.
That's the way you put it in perspective and don't normalize it while still reporting it.
Just to come back on you, Sanny, because I was dropped by this a couple of weeks ago.
There's a version of Trump derangement syndrome when one's thinking about global affairs and global events, and I was struck the Shanghai Summit and then the parade in China.
A lot of the coverage saw everything that was happening in Beijing as a response to Trump, and indeed India Prime Minister Modis going to China, all of that as being entirely a response to what Donald Trump had done and the trade wars and other things, which in many ways was true, or at least was one way of looking at it.
But there was another way, which I got from talking to my Indian colleagues and our geoeconomics analyst in India, that it was entirely in line with Prime Minister Modi's own objectives.
He needed to have a relationship with China because it's a key part of his manufacturing domestic manufacturing agenda that he needed access to these inputs from China, and we could show how many inputs he relied on, etcetera, etcetera.
It struck me that was true for almost every country there that you could also just redescribe what they were doing as not putting two fingers up to Donald Trump, but pursuing their national interests in a world in which the US has to some extense step back.
So how do you guard against that?
That's an aspect of the same issue.
Speaker 1Yeah, I think you're absolutely right.
That's a sort of another way of framing the too much focus on Trump.
I think two ways.
Firstly, you know, what is happening right now is a period of extraordinary uncertainty because we've got at least three massive great shifts going on in the world economy.
One is the geopolitical shift, which is driven in part by the administration, but was also starting long before the rise of China, you know, the kind of authoritarian axis.
There were big shifts going on before the Trump administration.
Secondly, the huge economic shift, which again predated the sort of I'm afraid the sort of end of the unfashionability of the worldview of the economists started long before Donald Trump became president.
But he's taken it a step further with massive protectionist turn.
And then the third one is the technological revolution who wins the AI race.
And all three of those are driving the world, and all three of those are driving what Prime Minister Moodia is doing, or Brazil is doing, or any country doing.
And so you're right, if you only think of this through the prism of the US and through Trump, you're missing something.
And once that for this, I think the US is what you'll know down exactly.
I think there's a sixteen percent of global trade.
It's a relatively small proportion.
It's of course it's dominant in global finance, but that suggests that a lot of what is going on is actually external to the United States, and so we have to absolutely make sure that we don't overemphasize the impact of this hyperactive and of course extremely important administration.
Speaker 3I completely agree.
I think nobody doubts that US administration is important.
And what has been happening where this is like global trade, you know, geopolitics is no question something that we need to cover.
But the risk is if we only cover it from the vantage point of the US, we miss what's actually happening in other countries, and we may find ourselves, to your point, about ten years from now, twenty years from now or more, we may miss the applical shifts in places like China and India because we've only been focusing on them as a result of the US administration.
And then equally, this accounts on one of the key thing for journalists is to be open minded.
You have to be open to the possibility that your ideas, your original idea, your original hypothesis, is wrong.
And I think that the mainstream press as we sometimes we're called, has a certain view of this administration, and we you need to be open to the possibility that the US economy is not going to collapse because of what is happening, because that inflation is not going to be what people feared because of the tariff policy.
That you know, the institutions of the state of law, the institutions in the US will not collapse necessarily, that they're strong and that they will last some of the attacks, right, I mean, I mentioned before in passing some of the new Attorney General's rules on against sort of leaks, you know, leaks by journalists.
Well you know what actually what it reversed was a policy of the Biden administration.
It went back to a policy of the administration visa you journalists, and so I think everybody was ready.
So even though we are there in the rooms and we are fighting for press breedo, and we also have to put it into context right and not criminalize everything that is done by this administration while standing firm to fact check everything that is said.
Speaker 2I want to do a bit more on the economics, not least because this is going to be getting out of my Trumpnomics podcast, which you can get anyway.
I can't speak about de arrangement syndrome on the name of the name of the podcast.
I think the closest thing to a consistent principle of trump Noomics as it's applied globally has been that the rest of the world should just pay for stuff that previously it got quote unquotes for free from the US, whether that's reserve, currency, security umbrella, a certain kind of global order.
And I think the assumps at the beginning of the year might have been that countries were going to push back a bit more than they have.
Have you been surprised any by how effective the administration has been short term at dividing and ruling.
Speaker 1So, first of all, I think your characterization is spot on.
I think the best way of characterizing this administration, and people have over the last few months have talked about is it is it isolationist?
Is it great power series?
It's not.
It is Essentially the polite way is a kind of monetization of US hegemony.
The less polite way is something about a mafioso shakedown.
And you can you can take your pick which one you want to use, but that really is the common thread that goes through all of the administration's international economic actions.
I'm struck.
If you'd said to me in March, you know, just before Liberation Day, and you'd said me, the Trump administration is going to increase America's effective tariff from around two percent to about nineteen percent, and it's going to have fifty percent taffs some countries like India and thirty five percent on Canada, I would have said, the odds are we are going to go into some kind of nineteen thirties style tit for tat trade war.
There's going to be retaliation, And actually you're right.
The surprising thing is that two things happened.
Ju Jinping retaliated and America caved very clearly.
Trump realized that he couldn't win that, and then the other countries have essentially all tried to strike deals, and what we haven't had is a kind of collective we're standing up to this.
And so in the short term, you're right, it's been quite successful.
I actually don't.
I'm not at all sure it's going to be successful in the medium term, because I think, firstly, America loses out.
I mean, I'm a card carrying free trader, and I believe that the country that imposes tariffs does lose out, the consumer does pay.
It's not good for American competitiveness, and although it may not cause an inflation problem in the short term, in the long term this is bad for the United States.
And therefore, I think the rest of the world has shown very clearly that it does have no intention of going down this route, and so you will see greater coordination between different regional trees GA agreements that I actually think.
I mean, it won't be the WTO, it won't be the old system, but you will have something that resembles a rules based trading system, increasingly excluding the US, and that is not good for the US and the medium.
Speaker 3The system has worked.
Ultimately, what you're saying is that global trade to a certain extent has worked because we've seen the deals that have been struck.
You know, it has been a huge overhaul of the system.
But we thought that there would be more of a dismantling.
Speaker 1I mean, we have to say we have I think it is a new system, but I think that it is there.
We will see a limit to the ability even of the US.
That's shakedown.
That's where countries over the medium term.
I think this is the height of the shakedown ability.
Speaker 3And China was and China, as you say, was the one.
There was no way that you could push further with China, and that's why you're backtracked.
Speaker 2Well, and there's any points out there's more than eighty percent of global trade.
Speaker 1Shameless self promotion.
Since this is going to be on your conference RESI is that, as you may know, next week we're launching the Economist inside US series of video shows on there'll be specialist ones and I will co host a weekly one, but the first episode will be along this track, and as part of it, I am I have an interesting conversation with Prime Minister Mark Carney on precisely this topic, so you should listen.
Speaker 2To it right, watch the space.
Speaker 3The other thing I think we should not forget is that a lot of Trump's policies that are ostensibly about economics, or sensibly about global trade, or or are actually about getting something else in the geopolitical sphere in that his linkage policy is very strong.
Speaker 2So I will what the king.
Speaker 1Feels like exactly the court exact king, and the king likes you, so that then you're going to stop, you know, sign a piece deal, right.
Speaker 2Alessandra, do actually think in this environment?
I think we've all agreed that there's a kind of short term getting along with the US, but long term a real erosion of US position and potentially a vacuum into which other countries will move in.
Do you think there's any scope for Europe to step up in this environment?
And there's a lot of pressure.
Speaker 3I mean, there's certainly scope.
There's a big question as to whether as to whether Europe will.
But I think another point, and I know we reached the end that I that I think we also shouldn't forget recently, actually we were in the room together when we were talking to the former head of I six, I think at Davos in January, and one of the things that this was that was all right, well, what I'm about to say is pretty thank you.
Speaker 1From and among friends.
Speaker 3No.
But one of the things that I thought was very interesting is how much of an emphasis he put on the fact that leave aside the heads of these or the organizations, you know, the top organizations of the US and of the UK, but that a lot of the work is done at the second and third level, and a lot of the relations and he was talking about about security, but you could extend this to many other areas is actually done not at the top levels, and that the coordination and collaboration still goes on.
And I was really struck by that because it's suggested to me that you know, administrations come and go, and they are important, and this administration may lead to another same administration.
We just don't know what's going to happen, right, But that actually between countries and among countries, a lot of the work that and that holds policies together is still still good.
Speaker 2And that is that is actually a lot of the concerns were pretty much run out of time.
But I do want to just because you are also leaders of people and managers of people, and this is a pretty fractious, often emotive journalistic environment for particularly reporters in the US to navigate, and we've seen that in spades over the last few weeks.
So I just wondered both of you, how much are you how much have you had to think about that?
Have you had issues with people either with burnout or just people struggling to sort of hold that line because you both stand for objective, rigorous reporting.
Speaker 1The answer is it is people feel very very strongly about what's going on.
I think we benefit from being we don't have to you know, we do different kinds of journalism to you too, so we have the time to discuss and debate.
And what's most important to me is that people feel their voices are heard.
And so we have lots of discussions about a lot of these subjects, and we may end up often with leader lines that perhaps I'm fairly sure some of my team don't agree with, but as long as they've had their voices heard, and I think it's people.
I mean, I can speak for my colleagues.
They have been extraordinary in their sort of professionalism and the way that they have risen to the challenge.
They understand that our role is to make sense of what is happening, explain it to our readers around the world, never never compromise on our underlying values.
We are a liberal newspaper, classic English liberalism.
We proudly champion that.
But you can do that and at the same time have fair minded journalism that distinguishes between the signal and the noise, and I think everyone is completely on board with that.
Speaker 3We have a slightly different situation.
You know, we're obviously on the sharp edge of a lot of what happens in the world, and including in conflict.
We've been talking about economics, but you know, we have the other half of our newsroom, you know, is in war zones.
We have many people in Ukraine, I mean, on battlefields around the world.
So for us, there's a real imperative to keep our people safe physically all the time, and that is becoming increasingly difficult.
I mean, I mean it's no secret I've been in this job as EIC for four years and we've lost four journalists.
So, you know, in conflict, so the physical remains very, very important because there are a lot of actual kinetic situations on the ground.
But to your point, which is more sort of the emotional aspect of it.
No, it's very real.
I mean, our journalists in the US are feeling the same sort of pressures that many of our journalists and other countries feel.
And so, you know, we do a lot of hostile environment courses.
Those are mainly for physical protection, but increasingly we use a lot of mental health protection and how to protect your mental health, how to keep yourself safe scrubbing your phone, you know, digitally.
And we have introduced many, many more sessions on hostile environment writ large in the US than we ever could have imagined.
Speaker 1We are.
Speaker 2We're rolling out trainings that we've never before done in the US.
And to your point, people who are in the Washington Bureau who have come from Latin American countries and others that are finding this much more familiar territory.
Okay, final, very quick question.
We've none of us managed to get sued our organization so far by the administration.
Will you be a little bit embarrassed if you're not by the end of the administration.
Speaker 1No, genuinely, don't think about it.
I will be embarrassed if we haven't done the best possible coverage, and that is if that leads to us being sued, so being yeah, are.
Speaker 2You exciting our general council firing.
Speaker 3Up our general councils?
You know have plenty of work to do with all the investigations that we do and all of the countries we operate in, so I think they've got plenty to handle.
Speaker 2Alessandro Zani, thank you so much for Davis.
Thanks for listening to Trumpnomics from Bloomberg.
It was hosted by me Stephanie Flanders, and I was in a conversation with the Reuters editor in chief Alessandra Galonni and the Economists editor in chief Zanni Minton Beadows.
Trumponomics was produced by Summer, Sadi and Moses and and special thanks this week to the organizers of the Women, Money and Power event at Bloomberg's headquarters in London.
Sound design was by Blake Maples and Kelly Gary and Amy Keene is our executive producer.
Sage Bowman is Bloomberg's head of Podcasts.
To help others find the show, please rate it and review it highly wherever you listen to podcasts.
