Historically, September is the cruelest month for stocks.October is little better.Are odds good that history will repeat, especially with valuations as extreme as they currently are?Or, will the party continue on through the end of the year?Portfolio manager Lance Roberts and I discuss the probabilities, as well as the latest market technical analysis, recession risk, the likeliest next steps for the Federal Reserve, and where bond yields are headed.For everything that mattered to markets this week, watch this Market Update.

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