Look, I'm looking on my phone.

It is technically not November yet, although by Saturday it will be November.

So as for now, we're jam back.

We're high a top of a breezy downtown Nashville, Tennessee.

It's Thursday.

It's October thirtieth, the year of our low, twenty twenty five.

November is upon us.

Though we try and teach the same lessons every year that Mema taught me growing up on this show, and that is November is the longest month of the year.

Now, your calendar is going to tell you thirty days.

That's not true.

In college football, it's about seventeen weeks long, especially if you're a contending team, especially if you're a Vanderbilt fan.

You know, especially if.

You're a Georgia Tech fan, especially if you're breathing this air that you haven't breathed in a long time.

It's one thing to have enough gas to get to November, but it's a whole nother thing to have enough gas in the tank to get through November.

Life changes for you in November when you're a contender.

So with that in min, I got some upset alerts in front of me because That's what the Thursday show is all about.

On the campus of Pate State University, Go Frights.

I've got some things about the LSU coaching search that we need to talk about.

I've got a commissioner's poll that is ready to drop.

I've also got col Kublick joining the show.

Yes, all of those things are gonna happen on the show.

We're jam packed.

Doesn't matter that it's a Thursday.

We're jam packed and they're watching us in Canton, Ohio.

Conway, South Carolina is tuned in Beautiful with Tumka.

Alabama is tuned in, as is San Antonio and San Angelo, Texas both got in under the gun.

We're gonna do Friday night lines late at night tomorrow night.

So make sure you're following on Instagram at Josh Pate CFB.

I'm not gonna beg you if you want to win money watch It's as plain and simple as that.

Guys, you've seen just like I've seen.

As we dive into the show tonight, you've seen like I've seen the past few weeks.

What's happened.

We've seen a bunch of games on Saturday.

We've seen some noteworthy outcomes, and then someone gets fired.

And I don't know that that's not going to continue to happen this weekend.

I mean, we're going to talk to Cublic a little bit later.

Kentucky Auburn.

What if Auburn loses?

Are we sitting here talking about hu Freeze losing his job?

I don't know.

I have no idea.

I just know you need to be subscribed to the channel.

It's free, it's college football.

The show has blown up.

The channel has blown up.

Thank you so much.

If you've already subscribed.

If you haven't, that's all we ask.

I don't need a dime from anyone.

Our partners take care of us.

We don't need to charge for the channel.

We don't need to put it behind a paywall because that would be stupid.

Please just subscribe.

That's all I need you to do.

Okay, Upsets, Here we go.

The upset alert, the upset Alert concern meter.

I just tripped over myself so that I could have Bradley take the side shot.

The upset Alert Concern meter is generated by flex Power.

They can generate any of your tailgates this weekend, best generators on the market, But can they generate upsets well?

I've got six of them in my hand right now.

That indicates perhaps this is what we do on Thursday.

We throw out some games scale of one to ten.

What is my concern?

What is my upset alert concern?

First game?

Penn State Ohio State.

Everyone laughs, We should just bring the laugh track back from the Tuesday Show.

This is a game of the year, right, No, No, it just was in the preseason.

And now yet another lamb is served up for the slaughter in front of Ohio State.

Or are they unlike the previous lambs?

This is at least a top twenty five talent roster.

Still, what else can we say about Penn State this year?

Not all that much.

They are coming off a buy so is Ohio State.

It is a super Bowl spot for Penn State.

But then again, Ohio State's used to people treating them as their super Bowl.

Penn State's got to run the ball like forty five fifty times here and just see what happens.

Look, it could be that Ohio State's run defenses rock solid.

We're trying to nitpick here, you know, we're trying to find potential deficiencies.

They're not gonna be glaring.

It's Ohio State, it's the number one team in the country.

No one's even arguing that here.

The only thing that you may be able to say about Ohio State.

Is well, who have they played?

And I make fun of people all the time, cause like the Indianapolis Colts could descend into the sun Belt and be the Indianapolis Colts in the sun Belt, but people would say, yeh yeah, but who have they played?

It's the Colts.

They're beating everyone by one thirty.

Who they played them?

So Ohio State, who have they played well compared to like Alabama schedule, not many, not many worthy opponents.

It doesn't matter if they're that good, they're that good.

The one thing you're waiting to see is is there somebody like Penn State, Purdue, Ucla, Rutgers, Michigan.

Is there somebody that exposes something even if they don't beat them that makes you go huh.

Let's keep an eye on that for the playoffs.

But as far as the upset alert concern, it's like a two and a half from me, Like, no way Ohio State's about to let this happen.

Ohio State is one fifteenth and explosive play rate offensively, which can fool you until you realize they're eighteenth in cap busters.

Cap Busters are the huge forty fifty plus yard plays, which means, hey, if you pop the top, you don't have to keep hitting plays on that drive.

The drive's over.

You just scored.

So I'm putting a two and a half on this.

I candidly don't I expect it to be a very quick game.

I don't expect it to be in doubt in the fourth quarter.

That's where I am on that.

Next up, Texas Tech at Kansas State.

This one's different.

Texas Tech's favored by seven and a half in Manhattan, Kansas, and I need people to pay attention because nobody is.

I haven't heard much of a whisper about this game around the country this week.

You know what people are talking about.

Some of them are talking about Texas Tech.

They're saying, uh, oh, they got Brigham Young next week.

Yeah, they do, but they've got a game before that.

It's against Kansas State.

Kansas State though they suck, No, they did, but they've won three or four.

Because that's the funny thing that happens when you keep playing football games.

You kind of flow in ebb and flow in ebb and I said it in that order for a reason because that's kind of what Kansas State season's been so far.

But they've scored forty plus in back to back games.

It's a massive look ahead spot for Briging or for Texas Tech.

But it shouldn't be because they've already lost a game, so they're vulnerable.

They're still bleeding a little bit from that Arizona State loss.

They got back on track against Oklahoma State last week.

But everyone body bags Oklahoma State.

Oklahoma State shows up and all you do is unzip the back so you can zip it back up and then you toe tag him.

You send them on their way.

Well, this is a different animal.

This is Kansas State.

It's a really well coached team.

What kind of Avery Johnson performance am I getting here?

Hey, Baron Morton starting for Texas Tech.

But the backups out for the year.

Okay, so we don't have anything to fall back on like we have so far this year with Texas Tech.

I'm putting a seven on it.

There are Sirius fall don't lie to our implications on this game.

I hope I haven't been unclear there, wink nod.

They got to get the job done.

Can't afford to lose this one.

I'm putting a seven on the Upsett Alert concern meter.

Next up, let's go to the SEC.

I think people are falsely believing that Ole Miss has just made it through the fog.

They went to Georgia, they lost, but they went to Norman they won.

And now it's kind of all right.

We can take a deep breath, and we can talk about what seed we're gonna be in the playoff, and we can talk about whether or not Lane's gonna leave.

And I'm sitting here the whole time, like, wait a second, they're not off this week, and then other people are like, well, yeah, but they kind of are because it's South Carolina.

And I'm like, same one that led Bama in the fourth quarter, and they're like, yeah, but I mean that ripped their soul out, didn't it.

Well?

Last year they played a game like that against Alabama and they lost in heartbreaking style.

You know what they did the very next week, they went on the road and smoked Oklahoma and it turned their season around.

And South Carolina is sitting here three and five.

They gotta win three to the next four to even be Bowl eligible.

It's gonna be a very tall task.

I will grant you that, But.

That team hasn't quit.

That team's fighting, and ole Miss is sitting here off back to back high emotion spots on the road.

You still have Leonora Sellers playing for South Carolina.

You still got the ability to somewhat maybe run the ball here, defense, special teams, maybe a complimentary effort on the road.

Ole Miss is They're not just some team that rolls the helmet out.

You can't afford to think that way.

So I'm putting a five and a half on the upset alert concern scale here.

This is one that I just wouldn't be totally shocked if things fell.

The right way to see is a very tight ball game in the fourth quarter.

Next up one of the emerging darlings of the college football playoff picture, Georgia Tech, favored by five and a half at NC State.

N c State's claim to fame this year is they're the only ones to beat Virginia somehow, and it wasn't even a conference game against somehow.

I don't know.

Their results at Georgia Tech are so tied to Haines King, which is a great thing because Haines King is having a great year.

But if he doesn't have a great individual Saturday, they can lose against anyone, cause there aren't you know, four or five other folks that are really individually shining for them.

They're playing good enough to win, but Haines King's got to show up.

November, like I said, longest month of the year.

This is a classic case of a team that's about to find out how long the month of November can be.

Georgia Tech run defense, what would you say?

What would you guess?

Georgia Tech's ranked run defense eighty seventh, Friends eighty seventh.

Who has the ACC's leading rusher n C State?

Does Hollywood smothers?

Do you smell what I smell?

I don't know.

I'm just I'm putting an eight on this game on the upset Alert concern meter.

I have moderate to severe concerns for Georgia Tech this weekend.

Next up, Cincinnati's at Utah and game days out there, and everyone's got this game circled.

And yet FanDuel looks and says, eh Utah minus ten and a half, And everyone, as far as I can tell, has put their hard earned money behind Cincinnati.

What do we make of lines that make no sense.

What do we do when the lines make no sense?

We run as fast as we can.

It's very scary.

It's a good thing this game is being played the weekend of Halloween.

It's very scary stuff.

So we got Devon Dampierre against Brendan Soarsby really really good quarterback match up here a couple of guys above sixty five percent completion.

Man, I told you guys the other night.

I was somewhat surprised to pull up our model, which is not powered by FanDuel.

It's brought to you by fan duel.

Well, but it's not connected the FanDuel.

But I told you in our model, Utah is the highest rated Big twelve team, even above and beyond Texas Tech.

Well, this tracks like this point spread, as far as the model's concerned, kind of makes sense.

Now at that point, you know, you could be driving around saying, oh, big deal.

You know models don't win games.

Point spreads don't win games.

That's true, it's just predictive.

Now we got to find out how accurate the model is, how accurate the power rating is Utah.

You know, last time a bunch of you watched them, they lost to bring him young.

They were minus two turnovers there, so the thinking is you get home field at your back, maybe you flip the turnover margin, or at the very least it's even I look, I put an eight on this game.

I'm very worried for Utah.

But our model thinks they win and cover, and Vanduels got him at ten and a half.

So you're paying a premium if you think Utah is going to cover.

I don't know.

I just don't.

I've seen Utah have a couple of opportunities to run away from folks this year, and they really haven't.

So until I see it, I hadn't seen it.

I'm gonna put an eight on the upset Alert concern meter and the game we're gonna be at, which we broke down the other night, but I didn't want to circle around and quickly talk about is Miami at SMU.

Miami's favored by twelve and a half.

Now I have hit up our sources in the weather community.

I am the source low sixties at kickoff, which for most of you is a lovely November day, but it is basically the Arctic tundra for anyone from Miami.

So I am concerned here about the amount of long sleeves that I'm going to see come out of that locker room.

I'm pausing for effect.

I hope the people, the proper parties that that is directed at heed that warning.

SMU is in a big bounce back spot.

See everyone else in the country saw SMU lose to Wake Forest and they cast aspersions towards SMU.

I look at it, and I say, what better spot to bounce back?

That is what college football all about.

That's what happens this time of year, all the time.

I think they're gonna get an inspired effort from SMU.

I already picked SMU to cover this number earlier this week.

You look, they rushed the passer, they get after the quarterback.

Defense is not great at SMU, but they do get after the quarterback.

They're number one in takeaways as a result of that.

So if you can ambush Carson Beck and Miami can't get the ground game going, there is upset potential here.

And remember Miami's another one of those teams still highly ranked, but they've already lost.

They lost to Louisville at home.

This is a seven for me.

I'm putting a seven on the upset alert, concerned, met there, still picking Miami to win, still rolling with them to go to the playoff, doing all of those things.

But that doesn't mean I can't be a little nervous.

We're gonna be there, fueled by Quick Trip.

Quick Trip is fueling the Faultnut Lie Tour, just like they fueled the whole New Saturday Tour and the Every Given Saturday Tour and the Once upon a Saturday Tour.

Did they fuel all those?

I don't know.

If they fueled all of them, I'm gonna I'm gonna remember them as fueling all of them.

Look, Quick Trip is open most of the time twenty four to seven, unless they're remodeling Colbrew on tap, gasoline on tap, snacks legit food.

I would call snacks legit food.

You just want to go to the back and get a protein shake, go ahead and do it.

And you want to get friendly service at the checkout counter, go ahead and do it.

Quick Trip.

We appreciate them.

They are the presenting partner of this show and the Fall Don't Live Tour, and they will be right there side by side with us in Dallas, Texas.

Will be on the sideline for that game Saturday morning, eleven am local time kickoff.

We got a game to break down here right quick before I move on.

I got some LSU coaching serch stuff.

I've got the commissioner's poll, so we still got a lot to get to.

You know, Florida Georgia happens this Saturday.

World's largest outdoor cocktail party known by no other name on this show.

Doesn't matter how much some corporate entity pays to rename it.

Nope, it was called that growing up for me.

It will always be that for me.

Georgia's won seven of eight.

Actually, Georgie is undefeated in the last eight years in non COVID world's largest outdoor cocktail parties.

Whatever the acronym would be there.

Billi Goanzalez is now the interim head coach at Florida.

Kirby Smart, I'm told, is still at Georgia, but it's going to be Billi Gonzalez, And we don't know what Russ Calloway is going to do this first time we've seen Billy Napier not calling plays here, so we don't really know what Florida team's going to come out of the tunnel.

We know the players, but we don't really know what to expect.

So what is Florida.

That's the first question here, because there is obviously the possibility that they've mailed the season in.

Now, if they've mailed the season in, if you could tell me that that would be a padlock stat that would be a paper popper.

The end, Georgia wins and covers, they win by twenty ballgame.

If you tell me that, I'm going to work off the theory for the sake of this preview that that's not the case, that maybe we get an inspired effort from Florida.

Historically, that's the way it works in college football.

For whatever reason, you got some coaching turnover or your starting quarterbacks hurt, and both of those scenarios tend to have the opposite effect that you would expect them to have.

Now, the players liked Billy, and the players are also in a situation where in the NIL era you're kind of wondering, oh, where am I going to portal?

Where am I going to be this time next year?

So it's a little different dynamic.

We're kind of in uncharted territory here.

But if you got a new offensive play caller Georgia in the seventies, pass defense not a good pressure team.

They're in the one twenties.

Sacking the quarterback.

Lagway could have a game here, could happen.

It's in the cards, a bunch of catbuster plays.

Joey Agilar was twenty four to thirty six against Georgia three seventy one, four touchdowns, two interceptions.

So I mean, I got a quarterback here for Florida that's thrown nine of them already to Gunner Stockton's one.

So if it if it comes down to turnovers, don't love it.

Go ahead and turn out the lights for Florida.

But there is a world, I'm granting you this.

There is a world where Florida comes out and it's like the version that played Texas and they're just they're clicking and they're not turning the ball over.

That's a four quarter game.

Florida's got plenty good enough depth of talent to do that to Georgia.

Do I get another ceiling game from Gunner Stockton.

Florida defense should be healthier.

That's the nature of coming out of a bye.

Gunner Stockton was needed to win the Tennessee game early in the year, and he did it on the road.

He was needed in the Old Miss game and that was at home, but he did it.

Will he be needed to win here?

Now?

I believe in him if they call his number.

Okay, My follow up there when it comes to Georgia is should you need it?

Because I think about what I saw Jake Roe talking about earlier today, and that is the injury reports out for this game.

There is no Georgia offensive lineman listed for the first time all year.

Georgia's run the ball a lot better this year, thirty third in the country right now, whereas they were in the one hundreds this time last year.

So if you really want to find out what Florida has got left in the tank, if you really want to find out how much heart and soul's left in that team, run the ball on them, cause if it's not there, it's not gonna show up in the second half.

And that's how you remove all the variants of potential outcomes here.

You just run the ball successfully.

You remove their will to compete and their will to continue to sustain.

And that's one hundred percent in Georgiall win is that the way this game plays out, watch that early on, there's no way to know where Florida's head's at if I was a Florida fan, There's no way I can know where this team's heads at.

Neither team really gets to the quarterback much.

Neither of them put up a good havoc raid or sack numbers.

Like I said, though, one quarterback's thrown nine picks, one of them's thrown one, and Georgia's run defense pretty good.

So I think DJ's gonna have to win the game with his arm if he does win it, Let's take a look at what the model thinks.

The fanduelign right now is Georgia minus seven and a half because I have so much uncertainty about where Florida is mentally, and I already think Georgia is a team that is better and capable of scaling in November.

Just watch them.

This would be theoretically where that starts.

I'm taking Georgia to win and cover.

I think they're gonna make a little bit of a statement, but people won't make a big deal about it because all they will see is, Wow, you beat a team whose season is already mailed in.

Well, I think college football is a little more complex than that, So let's take a look at it.

That's one thing.

If they beat him forty to nine.

It's another thing if they beat him and you can tell what Florida fought here, it's got beat.

Let's take a look at it.

Let's keep an eye on it.

You're going down there to Jacksonville.

Take flex Power with you myflexpower dot com slash Josh Pate get the I'm gonna call it the best portable generator on the market.

We have tested it at Peyton State.

Literally we tested it.

We took it to a game a couple of weeks ago.

Phenomenal, great results, great feedback from the locals here too.

We were in Nashville at the Vanderbilt game.

So you need to power the tailgate, you need to power anything.

You just need to have a little safety valve.

If storms come through one night, and they will, one percent of your households have been through a thunderstorm.

We have that on good intel, good stats and info on that.

So flex Power big partner of the show.

They watched the show.

They are actual friends of the program, and they have something most of you need.

Anyway, if you don't have a backup generator, it's just Russian roulette.

Listen our air conditioners making a weird sound.

Right now.

If I had a flex power generator in here, it's quieter than that AC unit, And that AC unit's not supposed to make noise, which lets you know how quiet the flex power generator is.

Let's continue.

It's not that bad.

LSU's coaching search is taking more of a winding route than from here to Chattanooga, and that is a winding, winding route.

Lookout mountain, you've been through there.

It's tough, it's little treacherous.

Well, I try to tell you about the political hands in the stovepot, and now the world knows because the world saw the governor down there, Jeff Landry.

And if there was any doubt as to whether that guy was governor of Louisiana, there was no more doubt when he opened his mouth, was there.

Now.

I have no interest in talking about Jeff Landry's political leanings or yours or mine.

What I do have an interest in talking about is how this affects the LSU coaching search.

I have a working theory about the LSU coaching search, and it may also apply to other coaching searches, but it applies to this one.

For all I know they're gonna land Lane Kiffin or for all I know, they could go get Marcus Freeman for all I know, because I don't know who they're gonna go get.

I don't know who they can get yet.

It's very early.

They don't know who they can get because they don't even know who's making the hire yet.

They're waiting to get a president put in place.

And then then you've got board of supervisors that answers to the governor who says he's not going to be hiring the new coach.

But yet the people who are going to hire the new coach have to answer to the person who says he's not going to hire the new coach.

So it's it looks like a mess, feels like a mess.

Will it be a mess?

If it is as it appears, I think it has fundamentally impacted their ability to attract quality candidates.

Now it's early, it's not even November, as you and I are talking.

In other words, if I am the head coach at Peyton State and I'm number one on LSU's hotboard, Pete Nakos is called around and he's got me listed number one, and it ends up Pete right because he often is they call me today.

I'm saying, no, hit me back in two weeks.

Get your affairs in order, hit me back in two weeks, because.

There's no way.

I just watched what I watched on my TV screen yesterday, and I'm about to say, yeah, I'm happy to come down there.

Nope.

I had someone explain this to me the other day, perception versus reality, and they used the LSU job and they said, what you think about the LSU job?

I said, I think it's a great job and they said why so I just rattled off some of the usual bullet points and they said, that just means it looks like a great job.

And I was like, okay, seems like you got somewhere you want to go make your point.

And they were like, you ever seen a beautiful girl before.

I'm like, I'm married to one.

And they said that's adorable and I said, yes, she is.

But he said, think back, though, before you're married.

Think back, and there's a there's just a ten standing right here.

You're a little bit aways from her.

You don't know anything about her, but you see her and you say to yourself what you say the same thing most guys would say, Wow, I wish, I wish, I'd love to, and then you get the opportunity, and then you find out what she's really about, and you find out that looks were one thing, but her mother is a nightmare and her friends are all disasters, and she's got thirty seven different emotional baggage issues that you never could have planned for.

And you're constantly miserable.

But your buddies are looking at you and saying, you got your dream girl.

What's the deal?

What's the problem?

That is the LSU job if it's not handled correctly, because you get the most attractive girl on the block, and because you get the most attractive girl on the block, everyone's envious of you because from the outside it looks like you got everything you could ever want.

Unbeknownst to them, all kinds of issues behind the scenes, but no one is ready to listen to you complain because you're dating or you're married to the supermodel.

And that's the LSU job.

It actually works against you.

The more attractive your job is on the surface, it actually works more against your ability to hire a quality candidate.

The bigger a mess it is behind the scenes, because if the ul Monroe job is a mess behind the scenes, no one talks about it.

But they also don't expect you to win big at Uel Monroe.

They expect you to win big at LSU, and once you take the job, they figure you got your dream job, and they're not interested in why you're not winning.

They don't care about alignment, they don't care that you don't even know who your boss is.

They don't care about any of that.

They don't care that your NIL coffers aren't what they should be because there's infighting with the boosters because some of them vote Republicans, some of them vote Democrat, and a Republican governor puts someone in that they don't align with politically, so they're just gonna sit on their wallet.

They don't care that that's happening behind the scenes.

They're just hating on you because you're going eight and ford LSU.

So if you don't have a job, like theoretically, if James Franklin were offered this job, he'd just take it regardless.

But if Lane Kiffin's being offered this job and he's got great alignment and great NIL structure and great resources at all, miss, you don't take the job unless you have absolute fundamental guarantee and certainty that there's equal to or better alignment and better ability to win where you're gonna go.

I don't know how anyone in good conscience can say that about the LSU job right now, But they don't have to say it right now.

They've got some time.

It's a whole new world now where it's not December, it's just now about to be November.

You don't have to You're not.

You weren't.

You weren't ever going to hire.

Anyone before Thanksgiving anyway, so it doesn't matter.

But you got work to do, and you got to do it quick.

Okay.

So I'm looking at Pete Nkos's hot board right now.

Lane Kiffin's in there one hundred percent, one hundred percent.

Lane's interested in that job.

Marcus Freeman's on there.

I think there's a big difference in Marcus Freeman is interested versus Marcus Freeman is serious.

And I do not I think anyone is interested in how they could do at LSU.

Everybody thinks about that, just like guys think about whether or not they could win in the NFL.

But that doesn't mean everyone's looking for an NFL job.

Or most of them could even get an NFL job.

Marcus Freeman interested in LSU.

I'm sure he's thought about how he'd do in the SEC.

Is he longing for it?

Don't know?

Don't know.

And certainly, even in the best of cases, if Marcus Freeman was looking for it, not coming down there with with that circus right now that just got put all over everyone's TV screen yesterday.

Kenny Dillingham's on this list, Jeff Brahms on this list, Eli Drinkwitz, Clark Lee, John Sumral's on that list.

I just want to give you what my working theory is.

And this is not speaking about anybody in particular, but I could be talking about the LSU job here because I actually think there are guys not even listed there they could kill it at LSU.

And that's more principled stance than me talking about a specific candidate.

I am a firm believer that someone's Plan G is going to end up trumping what their Plan A would have done for whatever reason, blessing in disguise they miss out on Plan A, Plan B, Plan C, whatever they got to settle for their sixth option.

Place like LSU, place like Penn State place, like Florida.

If you've got your affairs in order behind the scenes, and you've got proper alignment, there are a lot of guys that could win there if they staff right at LSU.

I'll go back to the same name I always use on this show because I'm super high on him.

Take a Matt Campbell at Iowa State.

Been there for a long time.

He's a great coach, he has good results compared to comparable competition.

He's got max roster and staff buy in.

Guys love to play for him, Guys love to work for him.

They have players constantly take less to play for them because they believe in the culture of the program that much.

And that is huge, huge when you get into the kind of nil bidding wars that you get into in the SEC and you can't see through him.

He's fully genuine and authentic.

I'm thinking about guys like that.

I could just as soon describe John summerl the same way.

I could just as soon describe Brent Key the exact same way.

But look how far down that list they are.

My point is, any of those names, if you plugged him into LSU and there was proper alignment and they did put together a B plus or better staff, They're gonna win.

There's no mist there.

There's actually a little more mystery to me about Lane than there is about some of these other guys.

If there's not good alignment there, none of them are gonna win like you want them to.

But if there is good alignment, man, I think there's still high risk, high reward with Lane.

I don't think there's insanely high risk with some of those other guys.

So my list may look a little different, if that is indeed the way LSU's list looks, mine may look a little bit different.

But my point is I could win with a bunch of guys down there if the alignment is in place properly.

November long month, everyone, very very long month.

The LSU job search, I think, is still one that other job searches are working downstream of a little bit.

But I'm mentioned, are there candidates that they're interested in that are on no hot boards?

Sometimes yes, sometimes no, That's what I'm interested in.

All right, let's continue.

What do I have in my hand?

The messioner's poll is in fresh off the presses.

I would say the paper's still hot, but it's freezing in this room.

Right now, these are rankings.

This is not Tuesday Night, This is not the japee pole.

These are rankings.

If I was an AP voter, if I was filling out my playoff committee ballot, This right here is what it would look like.

And we do have some movement.

It is generated by flex power.

Look, flex power got no doubt what they can do for you.

They got no doubt they got the best generators in the market.

Do we have doubts about who the best twenty five teams in the country are though?

Yeah, maybe no, no doubt at all.

Look, I've got Washington ranked.

Washington's number twenty five.

I was number twenty four.

That's a couple of Big ten teams that I think should be ranked and are not.

I do not have Texas in this thing.

Texas continues to underwhelm.

I know that they are a two loss team.

They had to fight from behind on the road in Startville last week.

The week before, they struggled against a bad Kentucky team.

I'm not giving you credit just for winning games, because this is comparable.

I mean, this is a comparative analysis, and I think Washington and Iowa flat out have done more than Texas.

Right now.

I got Utah at twenty three.

Tennessee, I've got ranked, but I've got them way lower than the AP does.

The AP's got Tenant.

Sorry my kickstand on the eye.

Josh finally failed me.

Didn't fail me the other night though, that's when we got the breaking news.

Notice my insane focus here.

Tennessee is fourteenth in the AP.

Pole I got them at twenty two.

I'll tell you why.

I think they're being rewarded for losses to Alabama and Georgia.

Close losses.

Fair.

I gotta have a best win and their best win, Jesse, what is it.

It's like Arkansas or something like that.

So Tennessee's got Oklahoma this weekend, and if they beat them, I think that will have been Tennessee's best win so far.

So Tennessee's okay, They're okay.

I just am a little bit lower than the AP because I'm not automatically rewarding you for close laws.

Is that fair?

Maybe not.

I got Houston up seven spots.

I've got Houston ranked twenty one.

Houston's impressing me, man, I thought it was going to take at least one more year.

Houston's impressing me.

Willie Fritz's name keep an eye a little bit older.

But then again, so it was Kurtz Signetti.

That doesn't matter.

Michigan's at twenty.

I got Missouri down six spots to nineteen.

And honestly, this is a resume thing, right, so we're not projecting.

I project Missouri to lose more games cause their quarterbacks out for the year.

But I'm not going to punish them for doing it until they do it.

Because if you've been wrong with even one prediction in your life, then what you think is going to happen should not matter in a resume based model.

Like if God were filling out an AP ballot, he can project he knows what's coming, even in sports.

I know it's debatable, I've always believed that or he has the ability to know, so he can go ahead and project Missouri to lose to A and M.

I cannot do that, at least on my commissioner's poll ballot.

Navy is at eighteen.

The AP does not have Navy ranked.

The Unamerican AP does not have Navy ranked.

I do at eighteen, since he at seventeen, Virginia at sixteen, Oklahoma is checking in down six spots at fifteen.

Big big game for Oklahoma this week, big time Brent Vinnables six and eight, coming off a loss at Oklahoma, and they're going to Kneeland fifteen versus twenty two.

Got Notre Dame at fourteen.

Notre Dame I think has better wins right now than Tennessee.

See, they both got close losses against good teams.

Notre Dame's beaten Boise, they just beat USC So Notre Dame's got better wins, so they belong in the top fifteen.

I don't think Tennessee does.

I don't think Tennessee belongs in the top twenty right now.

Louisville's number thirteen, Texas text twelve, Brigham Young eleven.

Now, notice I said to Utah, we've got them all the way down at twenty three.

But the JAP PEP pole, which is a power rating, has Utah above every team in the Big twelve.

Just something to keep an eye on there.

Top ten got Orgon at ten, the AP's got him at six.

I keep looking and I keep asking to have Orgon at six, just like I said with Notre Dame, just like I said with Tennessee.

You got to tell me what the best win is their best win continues to be Penn State, which I give them credit for.

I am not one of these people.

Is that is retroactively removing credit.

But you got to remove a little credit because Penn State ended up being dogwater, so organ at six in the AP I got him at ten.

They got kind of low key dominated by Indiana at home.

Now they got opportunities coming up.

We're gonna talk about it in a few minutes with Cubilia.

They got four losable games coming up to close out the year.

I got Vandy at nine.

Big game this week against against Texas.

Georgia Tech's at eight, Miami's at seven.

Ole mess has jumped five spots.

They are number six right now.

I've got Georgia at five.

The next three teams from four to two are Alabama, Indiana and Texas.

A and M.

We felt like they were interchangeable.

I feel like if I wanted to put Bama as high as two, I could.

I could make a case for Indiana at two.

I can make a case for any of those teams in any order.

I put A and M at two, Indiana at three, Bama at four, and then Ohio State is still pretty solidly, I think the number one team in the country.

Just the thing to remember this week is there a bunch of games like Vandy I got them rank ninth, Texas not ranked.

Texas a small favorite though.

We've got Cincinnati the number nineteen team going to play at Utah number twenty three, but number twenty three is favored by ten and a half.

So again, this is not a power rating.

These are rankings.

This is where you deserve to be because of what you've done on the field, not because of what a model thinks you will do in the future.

Important differentiator there.

We've waited for it and it's finally happened.

What playoff contraction?

No, the FED dropped interest rates.

What do you think I'm talking about?

It's great news.

I know wages are flat, guys, you think I'm not paying attention to wages?

Of course I am.

Prices keep climbing though, and for many of you, only way to make ends meet has been to lean on the good old fashioned credit card.

And if you're a homeowner, congrats.

I want to tell you to call American Financing right now.

Interest rates, I don't know if we should go breaking news on this.

Interest rates have dropped.

Many homeowners seeing options in the low fives right now.

You compare that to credit card interest rates in the twenties or higher.

So American Financing offers this salary based mortgage consultants saving customers paper popper of a stat here an average of eight hundred bucks a month, and you may even be able to delay your next mortgage.

So take control.

Here's how to get in touch with him, American Financing eight six six three three six fifty thirty.

That's eight six six three three six fifty thirty or Americanfinancing dot net slash pate ramen noodle express time.

This is not how I advise you to get out of debt.

You don't need to be messing with a Ramen Noodle Express if you're in an ounce of debt, okay, full stop responsible gaming around here.

However, if you've got some money to mess around with, let's rattle off.

The games were on so far so Illinois minus twelve and a half perdue plus twenty one and a half.

Coastal I think is playing right now.

We got Coastal plus five and a half.

Don't tell me what's happening.

Mississippi State plus four and a half and tonight I'm doing it.

I'm adding Texas minus two and a half last stand for the Longhorns and North Carolina plus two and a half.

We are projecting Bill Belichick to get a win this weekend.

We bet them my last week they won, well, they won against the spread.

They lost in real life.

They were plus two and a half against Syracuse.

So a lot of you woke up this morning and we got Cubic knocking on the door.

So just hold on a second, tell him hold on, Jesse.

A lot of you woke up this morning and you noticed a really really pleasant surprise.

FanDuel had put one hundred bucks in your account, and Adam hit us up.

He said, thank you.

The commission provides for the constituency.

Yeah, what he's talking about is he logged into his fan duel account.

There's one hundred extra dollars in bonus bets there.

I went lying to you guys Tuesday night.

I told you like nine hundred of you signed up for this.

By the way, it's crazy numbers.

We're gonna have to up our giveaway.

I told you we were going to give away one hundred dollars in bonus bets to twenty five of you just chose at random, so if you signed up, so, yeah, Adam's won.

Apparently they're twenty four more.

Enjoy it, don't bet at all in one place.

But yeah, Fandel, the exclusive odds provider of the show, we've got our tab right there.

You go into the college football section and look, we have our own tab.

It literally says my name there.

That's where you can find the Ramnudle Express bets.

Now, the juice is going to fluctuate throughout the week community, so you got to get it at the proper value as soon as I give it out on the show.

But they will freeze the numbers, so like we're on Texas minus two and a half.

Even if that thing were to go to Texas minus six, they'll still give you Texas minus two and a half.

Now it's going to be like minus three hundred juice, but they will give it to you there.

That option will be there.

There's the QR code.

If you want to sign up new customer, bet five bucks to get three hundred dollars in bonus bets if you win, got profit boost all over the place.

Let's just make sure we keep our eyes on the prize this weekend, because one of these weekends we're going to go like ten and one, and at that point we'll just be set up to roll.

It'll be steady, steady downhill at that point.

We appreciate Fan Duel as always for being the exclusive betting partner of the show.

And now and now guess what time it is.

Must be twenty one plus and present in select states for Kansas in affiliation with Kansas Star Casino, or eighteen plus and present in DC.

First online real money wager only five dollars first deposit required.

Bonus issued as non withdrawble bonus bets, which expires seven days after receipt.

Restrictions apply see terms at sportsbook dot FanDuel dot com.

Gambling problem call one eight hundred gambler or visitfanduel dot com slash RG call one eight eight eight seven eight nine seventy seven seventy seven, or visit CCPG dot org slash chat in Connecticut, or visit nd Gamblinghelp dot org in Maryland, Hope is here, visit Gambling Helplinema dot org or call eight hundred three two seven fifty fifty for twenty four seven support in Massachusetts or call one eight seven seven eight Hope n Y or text Hope n Y in New York.

Well, you know him, you love him.

You may not be aware of his new job title of official Kentucky football sideline reporter, But Cole Cublick, it's not formally of SEC Network.

You're still with SEC Network.

You're just you're kind of doing Kentucky now you are the man for Kentucky football.

Three great facts you've learned about Kentucky football over the past few weeks.

Well, number one would be not going to be on the sideline this week.

I'll be in the booth with Tom Hart.

So that's a swing and a miss on your part.

Thank you for the disrespect.

Yes, correct and looking more and more likely maybe Kentucky again next week.

Cutter Bowley, I think has the skills to make this team better than what people think they can be.

The offensive line can still grow a little bit more.

Bottom line is they gotta have seth mcgallan in a running back.

And those aren't really like three factual things that I've learned.

But Andre's Pete left tackle one of the most interesting characters in college football.

This guy was recruited off of an Indian Reservation, which is pretty amazing to think about.

And you hear stories from Mark Stoops or Eric Wofford is offensive line coach, or his teammates.

We talked to Cutter Bowlie about a little bit this week and like one of the most well thought out, like calm human beings, like most interesting humans they've ever met.

But get him on the football field and he's ready to rip somebody's head off.

So pretty cool kid.

One of the best you've ever seen recruited off in any of reservation, like top ten at.

Least well so, Eric Wolford told us his story about when he was recruiting him that he comes and sits down and it's like basically some kind of a tribal council comes in and sits down with him.

And he was like, you had like multiple chiefs that came in.

And he's like, it is the only time that I have been legitimately intimidated during the recruiting process, he said, because I had to sell all of them on him coming to play football for us.

And talk to Mark Stoops about a little bit this week and I said, the blueprint for that not He's like, he just laughed and He's like, no, no blueprint for recruiting that yo man at all, but they're happy to have him.

Really cool.

I talked to him the last time we had him, and just an awesome, awesome kid like reads books, always asking like bush Hndon, the offensive coordinator, said that he was walking out of the hall the other day and he said, what's the last book you read?

So us just laughed.

He's like, dude, I'm coaching football.

I'm trying to read books right now, Like what are you talking about?

But that's just kind of KIDDI is.

So it's a pretty cool story that is shockingly similar in description to how the LSU coaching search is going down right now.

Tribal councils, circular meetings, dark room, really no blueprint for it.

So you and I normally just sit here and about the dark rooms.

They're just having press conferences, calling each other out, Yeah, telling everybody what they're going to do and not going to be able.

To do, which is frankly how it used to be done and how it should still be done.

In my opinion, money ruins things.

Money like calibrates things.

Money should have the opposite effect.

Money should make you go full wild West.

It did once upon a time, we got great movies out of it in America.

It should be that way again.

Normally, when you come on the show, we may or may not have texted earlier in the day about one or two things we may or may not hit, but largely we just ramble, sometimes coherently.

Today though, I thought, maybe a little structure.

So we're at the dawn of November right now, it's going to be November by the time the game are played this weekend.

What I wanted us to do is picture of the things that would be the most shocking but somewhat believable that could take place over the next month of the season.

So I'm gonna float you one and my first one, and I just want you to react like scale of one to ten.

How shocking would this be to you?

Is everyone is just misreading Lane Kiffin.

It's either he's gonna take the Florida job.

If he doesn't take the Florida job, it'll be because he took the LSU job.

Those are definitively better jobs.

I've seen reporting out there that everyone would be well, many people would be shocked if he stayed at Old Miss and number one I'm not quite sure people know how good he has it at all Miss, or how good the infrastructure is it all Miss right now.

But forget about what everyone else knows, forget about what you and I know.

It matters what that guy thinks.

How much scale of one to ten?

Are you shocked if he's just still there when all this dust.

Settles five point five on the pay meters?

Yeah, because I went five and three quarters, So that's interesting.

You can go quarter point there you go.

I don't think I would be totally shocked.

Now we're gonna look at these jobs and say, guys, that's Florida.

Guys, that's LSU, and that's fair, It's totally fair.

But we saw Lane knocking on the door of the playoff last year.

It looks as though he's in this year.

That would be one thing that I would be shocked about, as if Ole Miss actually doesn't make the twelve team playoff this year, based on what they've already done, the resume they have, and then what lies in front of them.

He's also proven that his style of recruiting is very conducive for today's college football.

He's also proven that that can work at Old Miss.

He revamped the entire receiver room, he had a first round quarterback leave, he had multiple guys drafted early, not just on defense, but along his defensive front seven and one of the best corners off the board of the draft, and the defense hasn't taken a big step back.

I think he has the staff put together that he wants, that he likes, that he thinks he can go win with, and he's got the people behind him to be able to play today's college football game when it comes to putting your ross together.

I imagine not a lot of people mess with him over there.

I imagine Keith Carter probably goes out of his way to make sure Lane has what he wants, gets what he wants.

And it would be tough for me to imagine you leaving a situation like that, believe it or not, actually said that last time around, actually laid out in the middle of a game, how good he has it at old Miss right now and what he's done, and then other people's words wanted to be misconstrued and forced on me still are today.

But nonetheless, Josh, I would not be completely shocked if that this is actually a bad game, because I say all the time nothing in college football shocks me anymore, but I'll play along.

Yeah, have we ever done an old miss segment on the show that you didn't twist around into being about you?

By the way, does that ever happened?

Will it ever happen?

Nocause I think we just did our first old miss segment on your show?

So all right, try and shot me.

Hit me with something.

This one's out there now, I mean, this is stick with me.

Maybe I should scale it down to two, but I'm gonna stick with three.

Florida the Gators knock off three ranked opponents the rest of the way through.

Oh no, so.

Jesse, if you don't mind, if you can get the Florida schedule up there for us from the corner, he wasn't.

Gonna got Georgia this weekend.

That's gotta happen.

What else?

Uh?

So Florida's gonna do it.

They're gonna knock They're gonna be at Kentucky.

That wouldn't count as a ranked win at ole Miss Tennessee then Florida State, so they'd be getting Georgia ole Miss in Tennessee, which, if you listen to our broadcast last week, Tennessee was up by forty at this point, so I'm not sure why you would have still been tuned in.

But we went through the schedule moving ahead for Tennessee and I kind of stepped out away from everybody else and said, I think Florida is the most difficult team remaining on their schedule.

Now, if you're just talking stylistically personnel, still probably Vanderbilt, especially the way they're playing as a team.

But Florida being the week before that game for Tennessee in Gainesville, with possibly a little bit of look ahead that one bothers me for the Tennessee volunteers, and I just say, styles make fights here.

The stretch play in the run game would have to go for Florida.

Jaden Bodge, Kobe Jackson would have to be getting the ball going on the ground.

We don't know exactly what Russ Calloway's going to do with the offense, how it's going to be different, it won't be exactly the same.

So what are your tendencies that you're looking for here?

From a Georgia perspective?

Do you know inside the red zone on third down from the left hasse what they like to call you don't so DJ Lagway would need to protect the football as well.

If that took place, a couple of those disruptors up front defensively, which I think Florida has a handful of, are going to need to be problematic.

So I just look at stylistically specifically for Old Miss and Tennessee, how they can slow that game down.

They can limit the possessions of those two football teams and be problematic that way.

And then those are the Old Miss offensive line not as good as the Tennessee's, but how the Tennessee offensive line functions with side protection, gap protection, which we talked about on Cube Show this week.

They have the ability to penetrate, disrupting, cause problems there.

So a lot would have to go their way.

But with a week off before Georgia, you have some inherent advantages there.

Should be healthier and should be able to hide some things that you hadn't run yet this year.

That's one that I ask you, how much would it shock you if Florida actually pulled it.

Off doing all three of them, It would be like a nine point five on the shock scale.

However, any individual game there, we talked about this, we wrote the game down earlier on the show tonight they're playing Georgia.

I think the huge differentiator when you look at conference versus conference right now is look at Ohio State and the gap between them and Penn State, and look at the gap between Georgia and Florida.

One of those lines is three touchdowns.

One of those lines is one touchdown.

And so I mean that's the big disruptor piece.

That's the thing I think that stands out about the SEC right now when you get past the top layer of either of those conferences is if I'm going and you know how deep I have to go in the SEC and the standings to get to Florida, I'm probably getting towards like Michigan State, Rutgers, whatnot.

In the Big Ten.

There just is no DJ lagway there.

There is no athletic profile there.

It's the same way with watching Bama play South Carolina last week.

South Carolina not a good team.

South Carolina may have had the three best athletes on the field because you got Harbor out there, you got Dylan Stewart out there, you got Lenora Sellers.

Ole Miss has got to deal with that team this weekend.

This would this would greatly surprise me.

It would mildly shock me.

It would not totally.

That's a good one, It would not totally shock me.

What about two?

What about two?

Where would two be on the shocks?

Who would be.

Like in like a seven point seventy five or and eight, I would be more surprised.

It's so this weekend.

I don't even need the whole game, Like, just show me how they play in the first half this weekend.

If you were to guarantee me they're still checked in, just guarantee.

I don't need anything else.

I don't need to guarantee of health or anything.

Just tell me they're checked in, and I'm going to get them in November.

Whatever their fastball is, Yeah, I could see that I got one for you.

So right now, compared to those two conferences we just mentioned, the ACC has been pretty inferior as a league this year.

I think most people would agree.

What would you say if I told you they get three teams in the playoff.

I don't think that I would be completely shocked, because I already feel like, right now, Georgia Tech has a great chance of getting in.

Miami has a great chance to get in.

I'm gonna have to cheat a little bit here, and just kind of look, I mean, the third team that's gonna sneak in If you are projecting right now, are you going Louisville will be the team that sneaks in.

It is next in line.

Wow, just forget about it for you.

Virginia just doesn't exist to you.

Actually, I think Virginia has a very difficult game this weekend, to be honest with you, after playing maybe four close games in a row at North Carolina, then now they got to go to Cal for an earlier kick.

I don't like them in that game at all.

Actually think Cal wins that game with good quarterback play and then taking advantage of a team that had to travel.

You're looking at at Duke a little bit later in the year, massive rivalry game, which the trinket that they play for.

I do not know Virginia and Virginia Tech at the end of the season, but we know you don't just walk into that game and feel like you're gonna get a win, ever, even when the coach has been fired.

So I think Virginia is a little bit one dimensional.

I don't I don't like their makeup as much as I do.

Even Louisville's honestly, cause I think I think Louisville has more guys that can take over game up front on defense.

So I would tell you that I was surprised, but not totally surprised.

Here's the problem with conversations like this, whether we're talking, does the Big ten exten past where everybody thinks they are?

Is the SEC going to be less than what everybody thinks they are?

Does the acc go forward one?

It's so dependent on those other leagues and who steps up and who falls off, We're gonna get upset, Josh, Like, this is the perfect weekend.

You and I talked about this earlier today.

No one's making a big deal out of a lot of games this weekend.

Nobody's saying, oh, I can't wait to watch that one.

Better pay attention to this one, watch out for that game.

This is when it all goes to hell in a hand basket.

Normally, like the last three or four years, we've had this weekend where everybody was about to sleepwalk through it and all of a sudden, mayhem just complete playing nose dives into the field and we don't know what's going on.

So this is gonna be one of those weekends I think we're gonna get a couple we're not expecting, and it's only gonna get worse through the regular portion of the season because we're gonna have more injuries and more guys are gonna be dinged up, and we don't have near the depth to help these teams get through the last month of the season that we expect them to.

All due respect to the Commonwealth Cup, a game in which you're right, you can't just walk in and expect to win.

You mentioned it depends.

This isn't an actual cup that they play for.

I haven't seen it.

The Chalice and actual chalice.

Actually, yes it is, but it doesn't matter here.

It matters here Now I say that there is a statue of a pig behind me.

So some of these trophies obviously do exist.

Others exist in your heart and your memories.

The necklace and Titanic, or Jack himself, it exists now only in our memory.

What was about to say, say seven on the surprise scale, Yes.

That's a seven three in is only a seven.

Seven and a half.

It's at least an eight.

It's at least an eight.

But back to your.

Point, depended on so many other teams, though it could easily happen.

Yes it is, Yes it is.

But if I were sitting in the Big ten's chair right now, or I was sitting in the SEC's chair, you at least have to admit, as crazy as it is right now, first week of November, our fate depends on them too.

Like, here's what I'm trying to imagine.

We all know that a Virginia at eleven and one is not a comparable team.

At least I think we know quality of team would not measure up.

They would be.

We would have to go with the whole hypothetical point spread to prove our point that be double digit dogs against anyone.

Don't even want to wade into those waters yet.

What I'm asking is if the committee really does, just have it, stare them in the face.

So here would be the scenario for anyone listening at home.

Virginia's a one lost team right now.

Somehow they're undefeated in conference play even though they're losses to a team in their conference.

Don't ask me to make sense of it.

It just just what it is.

Virginia wins out, they go to Charlotte, they win the ACC title game.

They're in Georgia Tech wins out, they go to Charlotte and lose, Georgia Tech at that point would be undefeated, way inside the top ten going into their conference championship game.

They will have beaten Georgia in route to Charlotte in a non conference game, so Georgia Tech would be in.

Like, I don't know how the committee looks at eager of them and says they're out.

Now here's where it gets interesting, Bradley, if you got Louisville's schedule for me, and I don't know he does, Boom, look at this Louisville, if they just went out, they would have wins over Miami already.

They'd have a win against Clemson coming up at SMU.

Now they wouldn't go to Charlotte.

Are they gonna tell eleven and one Louisville they're not in.

I don't think they would.

So Louisville would be in.

And we've gotten three deep there and we have not mentioned Miami, and believe it or not, no one in the ACC actually plays each other.

So Miami could also win out and they could be eleven and one.

This is a nightmare for the SEC.

It's a nightmare for Notre Dame because Notre Dame would fall off in the head to head comparison against Miami because Miami would get the heads upslot against them, plus that have one fewer losses.

So as much as yeah, the ACC's fate rests on what happens in these other conferences.

Here's what I'm asking you, and this is the scenario.

Let's say, no matter what happens in these other conferences, I've got a one loss conference champ Virginia.

I've got a one loss conference champ runner up in Georgia Tech.

I got an eleven and one Louisville with quality wins.

I got an eleven in one Miami with quality wins.

Regardless of what happened elsewhere.

Do they have the stones on that committee to look at one or more of those teams with those resumes and say, sorry, you're not good enough, we don't have room for you.

Here are you now asking me about four getting in, which, by the way, I just want to let me rewind here by showing the smoothly paved four lane interstates that those teams have the rest of the way, I feel like you just made my argument that this is not an eight or a nine on the surprise scale that this could more easily happen than a lot of people believe.

You don't even see the black eyes.

You don't even see that on the road because you've been used to hot weather.

You've been complaining about eighty degrees at kickoff.

You can't see the black eyes.

You live in Birmingham, You are privileged.

You don't understand how this stuff works.

In November, I'm not going to say, regardless of what happened in those leagues, that four would get in.

At that point, the difficulty comes.

And this is where, similar to Florida State a couple of years ago, we are going to have full rage from one fan base, be it Louisville or Miami, who would not get in if both of those teams were there, specifically if the team with the head to head win did not get in.

But you tell me, at that point, some of this still depending on what happens.

Who has the better resume, Miami or Louisville.

Right then, you gotta win over Notre Dame, you gotta win over South Florida.

You beat Florida, who's not a great football team, but it's an SEC win.

You're gonna get credit for that.

This may come down to if that were to happen and one of those two needed to be picked, because I'm with you Virginia obviously, in Georgia Tech runs the regular season, I don't care what happens after that.

They're in.

You are in one hundred percent with that win against Georgia in the last game of the season done over.

So then we pick between these two if that scenario plays out, I wonder who they would look at as having the stronger finish because it's a little bit of a coin toss here when you look at these two schedules down the way, I actually might lean Miami just a little bit more.

With the game at SMU at Virginia Tech.

By the way, that game that pit terrifies me.

If I'm a Hurricane fan right now, that late in the season, I do not like that with the defensive one that's active and a quality quarterback.

But I don't know who's going to gain more points with the committee on the way out here.

Now you get an SEC opponent if you're Louisville.

It's not a good Kentucky team, but you at least get that to sort of hang your hat on at v Tech not great, Calwyn would be nice.

Clemson's still gonna make people happy.

People in that committee are still going to say, oh, but they beat Debo and then you're at SMU.

So I don't know if you could really go one way or the other as to who has the stronger finish, But maybe it's who wins more points with this committee for the next month, or then does it just come down to the head to head and they say, you know what, we'll make this real easy.

That team beat that team therein.

I don't think there's any path where if both of them have one loss, Miami's resume can be definitively better than Louisville's at this point to where the head to head doesn't get drawn in, like that's the whole rule, right When McIlroy and those guys sit around the desk and they all go over the bylaws that are guarded with lock and key, they say, the only time head to head doesn't matter is if someone's unequivocally better and someone else and if they're not, then the head to head comes in.

And by the way, the head to head was on Miami's home field, so coming off a buy not that that matters, but there's no excuse, like if it comes down to comparable Miami Louisville, Louisville's got to get the nod.

I don't know how they don't.

Yet they don't we riot and I think rightfully so, I mean it's we beat you.

Yeah, like you can you can make the argument of if this team's unequivocally better, Well, hold on a second check score r H.

We're done here.

Really, there's no more debate.

Like I saw the scoreboard, we have photographic and actually video evidence of it that we beat you.

Nothing else should be discussed at this point.

We're good.

You have an opportunity right now to just enrage the entire not the entire state of Texas Longhorn Nation because you got a little scenario.

It's not that you're predicting it.

And let's let's make sure we caveat this.

This certainly is not your prediction.

However, this is a crazy world and whence we live it is November, longest month of the college football year.

What do you think I think could happen to Texas?

Spoiler alert, I do think we need to triple asterisk these with We're not predicting these similar to the Florida discussion earlier.

We don't saying we think that's going to happen, but if it did, how much would it shock you?

Josh?

If Texas won one more game the rest of the season, you didn't have.

To throw it.

But Vandy loss, all right, and Bandy at home, and at the end of the year loss at Georgia after Vandy, oh, buddy, and then Arkansas would be your other game, which I would be giving you the win for.

There.

I think the wrong team's favored this weekend.

I'm not afraid to say that I think Vanderbilt is a better football team in my mind at Georgia.

I think we not only know that mentally and emotionally how Georgia has handled that football team, but physically what's happened.

And this is not a more physical Texas football team that it was a year ago, which Georgia not more physical than they were a year ago either, But I would give Georgia the advantage in that game.

Arkansas is going to have meaning for a lot of different reasons for a lot of different people.

But I don't see a lot of stops in Arkansas's future in that game, and then Texas A and M looks like one of the best three best two football teams in America right now.

I think that the matchup stylistically between those two, You've find very little ways to convince yourself that Texas was going to win that football game.

So on the meter, oh shock, where would you have it fall if I told you Texas was going to win one more game this season.

When you floated this to me earlier today, I thought it was going to be a nine or higher.

In my head, I think it's like a eight.

I mean, if they lose this weekend, snowballs kicked down the hill.

So if they lose, in you erroneously, but you claim the wrong teams favored this weekend.

But if you're right, on the off chance that you're right, then it becomes a two out of three thing.

And Georgia, I cannot count on Texas cycle logically, I don't even need to know about the matchup just from the neck up.

I can't count on them to go in there and do that.

Plus you are of the opinion, and I agree with you.

Georgia could be one of those get hot at the right time type candidate teams.

Here in November.

Yep Son, I'm gonna ride with you there A and m.

You saw what they just did.

You saw what they did to LSU and their home building.

I don't care that they go into Daryl Royal Field.

I don't care about that.

So yeah, that Arkansas game there, I think you may be on to something here.

And I don't like it because I picked Texas to win this weekend.

I don't love this, but I do think this actually doesn't shock me.

And then there's all kind of uncomfortable conversation.

Basically, we just copy and paste the Ryan Day conversation last year to Sark, only Sark doesn't get to go and get a redo in the playoff because they wouldn't be anywhere near the playoff.

No, in those I think those conversations would be erroneous, honestly, because you're just not going to be an elite team at the top of college football every year.

With how this sport is situated right now, it's it's not possible to go do that each and every year.

Sarks recruited at a high level, He's had people come in play at a high level.

He's had teams in the postseason.

But if certain things didn't work out this year.

I don't think you begin those conversations not me at least, I'm not going to I'm.

Gonna give you one more here as we head out of here, the Big Ten only getting two teams in the playoff one to ten shot meter.

I'm gonna give you an eight only because it's the Big Ten.

And I think we just assume, and you and I have had this discussion multiple times about our old school college football brains and how it's really taken a long time for some of that to change and morph and be different.

We all look at the Big Ten in the SEC is just running college football, and there are multiple meanings to that.

Even Indiana's in.

I feel like Ohio State's in.

I don't know what would have to happen exactly to Oregon to not it in.

I don't think that there's really another team that we would look at there and say, okay, I realistically see a path for you to probably find your way in with what lies ahead and with what kind of a football team they've looked like this season.

But to see those three in, I would say absolutely two would just be I don't think that I could.

I would be it'd be a ten out of ten on the shock meter if only two got in.

And if you're telling me three are going to get in, I would say likely.

But I don't know if I could sit here and look at this and say that there's a lot of other teams that I have a lot of confidence in, but we just expect the SEC Big ten are going to What was the majority of our offseason conversation that these conferences wanted what four automatic bids every year?

Yep, five automatic bids every year.

So that's where I think a lot of our brains are is just that the other leagues aren't even close.

Their teams can't keep up.

They're not going to be able to keep up with these two leagues.

Therefore, by default, the Big ten SEC are gonna have three in and then just take your picks of the Maybe he's with the five or six other teams that we think should get in but probably won't because somebody goes undefeated in a lesser conference.

Yeah, I'll float you that.

So firstly, I mean, I know a lot of you need tickets this weekend.

A lot of you are going to games this weekend.

Just make sure if you're paying the money already.

Just make sure you save a little bit.

I mean, we're fans of money here, don't don't love it, but like to have more of it.

Seat Geek can help you out.

If you're going to buy the tickets off the secondary market.

If you're not already a season ticket holder, go there, purchase your tickets, do what you would normally do.

Just make sure that little promo code box there at the end paid ten pat e one zero.

That's going to get you ten percent off any order two hundred bucks or less, and just twenty dollars off any order two hundred bucks or more.

Now, if you're going to check out Kent State, you may not have to spend two hundred can't spend rolling there are adopted team.

If you're going to the Texas Vandy game.

Look, man, Texas fans, I'm told every one of you are wealthy beyond measure.

But on the off chance that you're not, you're looking to save some money.

Seat Geek paid ten at checkout, So he's dumped out on us.

Anyway, what I was talking about with that, as we wrap up here, cublic bailed on us.

As I was talking about.

Here's the big ten thing.

I was thinking to myself, Ohio State, Indiana, Oregon.

That's just how I always hear that big ten echo in my head.

That's what rattles around.

Ohio State's gonna make this playoff.

I got virtually no doubt about that.

I cannot see Indiana dropping off.

I suppose it could happen, but you'd be really hard pressed to convince me that the Signetti's throwing one oh four on the black right now.

I really have trouble envisioning them lose their fastball just late in the year could happen.

It's what Novembers four.

The Oregon example is the one I still believe in Oregon.

But if there is.

One out there that's a pretend contender, it would be Oregon.

And they got to go to Minnesota still, or they got to go to Iowa still, and I was sitting there.

They're coming off a by like I always got a couple of losses that are pretty close.

We got them ranked JP Pole has them top twenty five.

They've also got usc second last week, and it's in autsin.

But so was the Indiana game, and they got to go to Washington.

I just kind of skipped over Minnesota there like legitimately, they are four losable games left.

Every game Oregon plays is losable.

They could also buzz saw all four of them, at which point this is a moot point.

But I'm just saying, if Oregon doesn't make it in, then he just missed all of my point.

But trust me, I just made great points there, Ohio State.

I'm gonna count them in Indiana.

I got a hard time seeing them miss out.

But sir, we just looked at the Oregon schedule and we know they got they gotta go to Iowa next weekend.

They got Minnesota at home, they got u USC at home.

Then they go to Washington and you know it's right now, it's a slam dunk three teams for me in the Big Ten, but Oregon's the one where after that Indiana result in autsin.

I think it's kind of got a lot of people with a yellow caution light around Oregon's team right now.

Now.

I look at it the opposite.

I say, man, they went wire to wire last year and they didn't get They didn't really taste that blood until it was too late in the playoff.

Maybe tasting early in the season yields dividends for them, but that still involves them executing and winning the games.

But my point is they if they stumble a couple more times and they got four losable games left, you're looking at Ohio State, You're looking at Indiana, and you're looking at a great, big question mark past that in the Big Ten right now, because I think there's such separational like there's such fall off after those top three teams.

I think you probably changed my believability rate with this when you went through that endo that schedule, And even though you may think the chances of that happening, be it one or two more losses for Oregon are a little bit less than mine.

I've gotten a little bit more on board with you, and more so situationally, having those teams back to back to back.

Having to go to Iowa is one at this time of the year that I don't like for Oregon really at all.

I do think USC offensively can keep up with Oregon, and I think at Washington we all know one of the most difficult places to play in all of college football.

It's two programs that are familiar with one another, and I have confidence Jed Fish putting a game plan together for a big game like that, I'll give him some advantage.

It's not saying he has all of them against Dan Lanning and his staff.

But that's a treacherous run the rest of the way through, specifically, Josh, because not a lot of people nationally, I think are gonna make a ton of noise about those games individually.

So how many guys are gonna be put on warning themselves by reading what people are saying.

People picking them to lose those games, People saying that those are gonna be more difficult games than maybe other folks imagine.

They might not have to hear a lot of that, deal with a lot of that.

So you take a little extra confidence and then you should.

But that's a tough road the rest of the way through.

I think they manage it.

I think they get through it just because, like you said, they understand now mistakes that were made.

Also think just the talent level can take over in a couple of those games, as we've stated with other games like South Carolina and Alabama, maybe this Texas game against Vanderbilt, Oregon's gonna have takeover players that can go dominate.

Certain facets of those games are gonna play.

But Stylistically, they're gonna be very careful with I think not getting to a shootout with USC not letting I always slow that game down too much to where it limits their possessions.

Where two punts in a turnover all of a sudden put you on red alert late third quarter that you're gonna have to go get two scores to win that game.

So I think styles make fights, and stylistically, those are games that organ has to be really careful with.

The rest of the way through, Yep, all right, I'm three fourths of the way convinced.

You only hop back on the feed the plug Cube show, but it's worthy of being plugged.

So I would encourage people.

I see complaints all the time not enough quality college football shows out there.

We'll stop looking in the same place as you always look and listen to the next forty five seconds, because that's what I'm giving you right now, forty five seconds, and then we both need to go to Plug Cube show.

Go well, we talk all the SEC games, we watch the film, and we take you through what we saw.

It's just that simple.

I don't feel like you get that a lot of other places, and the details in which things take place like take, for example, Pull Protection from Tennessee, which we were made aware by Joey Halseley was their entire offseason project and told us about all the effort and everything that went into it.

And then what do you know, the first four touchdowns of the game against Kentucky came on pull protection.

I'll explain to you why that's important, what our conversations were like, and even show you a play of how it happened.

So if you're not into that, go somewhere else.

But if you know ball or you long to know ball cube, show the way to go, appreciate it as all.

I came back because I like you, So I didn't just come back for that.

I don't.

We're not gonna grow.

It's okay.

We're just gonna be attle, easy show in the corner.

We're the Dabbo of college football podcast.

You got a home game this weekend, though, you get to ride in a car to your game, so that's a blessing that.

Is thankfully not with you.

There.

You go, all right, cool Cubley, he's out, and after I tell you one more thing, we'll be out.

Friday Night Lines the plan is a classic Friday Night Lines and that is well after dark.

I don't have softball.

I don't want to talk about how the season ended.

I don't have softball tomorrow night.

But you know, we got a little dinner we got to go to.

We're not going to Dallas until Saturday for the SMU Miami game, so we'll be we'll be on the home front.

We'll be in Nashville, probably my living room if I had to guess.

So make sure you're following on the socials at Josh pet CFB.

I'll let you know what time tomorrow night, and make sure you are subscribed.

We have had major coaches fired over the last couple of weeks.

Hoops amongst us knows what could happen, like Kublick's doing the Auburn Kentucky game, what if Kentucky wins in Jordan Hare Stadium.

What's happening Sunday?

What kind of headlines do we have dropping?

You got to make sure you subscribed.

Look at the channel right now.

Just check.

Even if you think you are, even if you always watch the show and you're thinking, oh, already support him, check and see if you're subscribed, because it doesn't change a thing for you.

It just helps US podcast and YouTube don't matter where.

It doesn't matter where.

Appreciate you guys.

For director Bradley, For producer Jesse, I'm Josh Pate.

Take care.

We'll see you right back here Sunday night.

To react to whatever is thrown our way.

Until then, enjoy the games and godless.

Must be twenty one plus and present in select states for Kansas in affiliation with Kansas Star Casino, or eighteen plus and present in DC.

First online real money wager only five dollars first deposit required.

Bonus issued as non withdrawable bonus bets which expire seven days after receipt.

Restrictions apply.

See terms at sportsbook dot FanDuel dot com.

Gambling problem call one eight hundred gambler, or visit FanDuel dot com slash RG call one eight eight eight seven eight nine seventy seven seventy seven, or visit CCPG dot org slash chat in Connecticut, or visit nd Gamblinghelp dot org in Maryland.

Hope is here, visit gambling heelplinem dot org or call eight hundred three two seven fifty fifty for twenty four seven support in Massachusetts or call one eight seven seven eight hope n Y or text hope n Y.

In New York