Hey guys and welcome back to the channel.

We have Arena Sabalenka versus Amanda Nismova for the 2025 U.S.

Open final.

Cannot wait to get into this one.

This to me is one of the best matchups on tour.

The headset is 6 three in favour of Amanda Nismova and they played recently at Wimbledon in the semi finals of Southwest 19 and Nismova got the win in three very competitive sets.

For Sabalenka she is on paper the hardcore queen, 3 grand slams, one of course on hard courts and one U.S.

Open title.

In 2024 she is going to be looking to win her first Grand Slam of the year despite making a three Grand Slam finals.

So will it be third time lucky for her?

We'll talk about her Grand Slam journey so far this year very briefly in a second.

And of course, we're going to go through the head to head the roots of the final tactically, how it might play out.

And then ultimately, I will give you guys my prediction.

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So just to close the loop on the Sabalinka Grand Slam Adventures hint 2025, sorry even She played the Australian Open final against Madison Keys and Madison Keys essentially took the racket out of her hand.

Three really high quality sets from both players.

Madison Keys winning her first every round slam in scintillating fashion.

Then she played the French Open or Ron and Garros final against Coco Gough.

Coco managed very difficult conditions really well and made it very awkward for Sabalenka.

Won in three sets again or lost in three sets for Sabalenka.

Then at Wimbledon she lost in the semi finals to Amanda and it's some over and now she's in yet another Grand Slam final.

Her record at Grand Slams is phenomenal to say the least and in the last 2-3 years she will be extremely disappointed if she doesn't get the win here because it would have been 3 Grand Slam finals lost and she will be hoping for third time lucky.

Fernisa Mova though, of course she is searching for her first Grand Slam win and this will be her second consecutive Grand Slam final where at Wimbledon she went into that.

And I think she's said recently and also at Wimbledon that she was a little bit surprised that she made the final and I think maybe she was overawed by the occasion a bit.

She really played incredibly well and she got double bagel of course and managed to avenge that loss in this tournament.

She'll be hoping to repeat though what she did at Wimbledon by beating Savalenka in the final.

And if she does, it will be an incredible tournament from Ennisa Mover and we will have an incredible list of champions this year.

And three out of the four will be American, which is yeah, saying something.

OK, let's go into the head to head.

SO63IN favour of arena, sorry, in favour of Amanda Inisimova on hardcore specifically Inisimova leads the head to head.

I'm just having a quick look just to confirm 21 and they've played at in Canada, sorry, even.

And then This Moment won in straight sets in 2024.

They played at the Australian Open in 2024.

Sabalinka won in straight sets pretty comfortably in that one.

And then the other match that played on the hard court was in 2019, so a while ago.

And This Moment beat Sabalinka 6362.

So that leaves us now of course, with this match up, the US Open final.

Let's talk about that route to the final.

So Nissimova has beaten some really good players.

My joint Christian Haddad Meyer was also a very good win.

Shriyantek.

And then Osaka recently, I mean, what a gutsy win from Amanda against Osaka, 2 tiebreakers and then 6/3.

She won in the third set, really good on the second serve return.

Osaka only won 32% of her second serve points for Sabalenka.

She has been very clutch.

Kudematova, Fernandez, Bookser and then a walk over against von Druseffer meant no drop sets until the semi final stage where Jessica Pagoda took the first set off Sabalenka.

What's crazy about this match and what's crazy is that once at all you're thinking, OK, Sabalenka probably in the driving seat, but Jessica Puda only lost four points on her serve the whole of the fourth set.

And yes, you guessed it, those four points led to a single break of serve.

And that was enough for Savolinka to win 6/4 in the final set.

Absolutely bonkers.

So she didn't get broken and she didn't win another point in another game in that third set.

I mean, that is a definition of clutch from Sabalenka for Vigula.

She played an incredibly high level and she'll be extremely disappointed, but I'm sure she'll take a lot of confidence from that performance for the rest of the year and also going into 2026 knowing that she is not.

She's only a percent maybe off making another grandson final, potentially even winning one.

The level is there.

She just needs to just that extra little one, 2% go over the line.

And it's about those big moments.

As we know Sapolinka has, yeah, she's been clinical, very clinical.

So how does this one play out?

So they're both big servers.

They're both power baseline hitters.

They both move very well for players of their height.

Are they elite movers?

No.

Are they good movers?

Yes.

They both look to be aggressive, especially on the second serve.

Return and get a foothold in those points and try and limit the amount of points that they give away on that second serve.

Then of course puts pressure on the opponent's first serve.

You might get safer first serves or even potential double faults with the opponent going bigger on the second serve to try and avoid getting put on the back foot straight away.

Now Sabalenka in that Wimbledon match up, I think there are a few things that she wasn't particularly happy with.

And I think one of those was her level from the back of the court.

I think she's she thought she could have played a bit better.

And you know, I, I think her serve as well at times let her down a little bit.

She was trying to go out wide a lot on the grass and maybe not quite as potent as it could have been.

I thought she lacked a bit of variety and also imagination at times on serve and was quite, quite obvious with the spot she was going to hit.

And this movie's got an incredible backhand, especially backhand line.

And as the Savolinka, the issue is going to, I think, come finish some over in that.

There's a reason why there's only two on hardcore and the rest of the matches, a lot of them they've played on clay and then Ismova's got the win.

I almost feel like the elements surface in this specific match up plays more into Nissimova's hands because she has, I mean, she does she have more variety in Savolinka?

She has maybe a little bit more.

She's got a decent slice.

Savolinka can also slice, but it's it's a little bit floaty.

Drop shot from Savolinka is definitely a good development and Nissimova doesn't utilise it too much, but she has been coming to knell a little bit as well which is a good ploy and good tactic and she should be doing so with the fact that she hits so big.

Same with Savolinka, she comes forward as well and has developed a game in that aspect quite substantially.

In terms of what will happen, well I think the server turn dynamic is going to be key.

Whoever wins the most second set points one could in my eyes come out on top in this match up, if I'm being honest.

And I'm interested to see whether and this one goes into the sublink of forehand on serve.

And similarly with Sublink, I think that forehand, those cross core exchanges, forehands, forehand, backhand and backhand are going to be big and it's going to be who can change direction first effectively to then either to get stranglehold in the point.

And and what's incredible about both players that both players have very short backs on the back end, but they're able to generate so much racket head speed.

It's just phenomenal.

So I'm very invested in this final and I think it's going to be extremely tough for both players.

I picked Sabalinka before the tournament started when I was doing my draw preview.

I'm going to stick with her here as well to get revenge.

We're going to slowly start closing the head to head gap.

I'm going to go Sabalinka, but in three sets.

She has the experiences at the US Open.

I just feel that on a hardcore, everything just seems a lot simpler for Sabalinka.

Thanks very much guys, stay safe.

Well, we'll see you in the next video.