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Bitcoin at 94K, Banks on Board: Is This the New Financial Order?
Episode Transcript
Welcome to the Crypto News rundown.
We are diving into a week that I think really changed the game for how traditional finance looks at digital assets.
Speaker 2Oh absolutely.
Speaker 1If you thought we were just kind of coasting in a quiet period, last seven days just completely blew that idea up.
Institutions are clearly on a very different schedule.
Speaker 2It was a watershed week.
There's really no other way to put it.
We saw regulated pathways just open up across the board, from products on the NYSE, to major US banks getting into spot trading, and even a huge shift in how derivatives markets are thinking about digital collateral.
All of this happening while the market itself is just whipping around Bitcoin back over ninety four thousand dollars, some serious moves in the alt coins.
Speaker 1It's a massive amount to cover.
We've got the SEC's latest ETT approval, that huge bitcoin surge which we need.
Speaker 2To unpack, and the corporate buying behind it exactly.
Speaker 1Then there's the Ethereum treasury market and this almost geopolitical drama playing out between Solana and XRP.
Our job, as always is to connect the dots for you from all the sources.
Speaker 2But first, and this is more important than any price chart or prediction.
We absolutely have to start with the investment disclaimer.
Speaker 1Yes, absolutely, So let's be crystal clear.
Everything we discuss here today, the news are analysis, the commentary we're pulling from experts.
It is all strictly for informational and educational purposes only.
Speaker 2We are not licensed financial advisors.
This is not in any way, shape or form investment advice.
Speaker 1And you have to understand the crypto market is and will continue to be extremely volatile.
It carries a huge amount of.
Speaker 2Risk, and just because you see big institutional names entering the space, that does not mean the risk has disappeared overnight.
If anything, it can sometimes add new layers of complexity.
Speaker 1I mean, we've seen market leaders, the biggest assets suffer drawdowns of eighty percent or more.
It's not a question of if that kind of volatility comes back, it's just.
Speaker 2When your capital is at risk.
So please do your own deep, comprehensive research and more in certainly talk to a licensed independent financial advisor before you make any decisions.
Our goal is to give you the analysis, but the decisions are and must be entirely your own.
Speaker 1Okay, With that critical warning front and center, Let's get into what you called the institutional tsunami, because it really feels like traditional finance isn't just testing the waters anymore, not at all.
Speaker 2They're building bridges, huge regulated, multi lane bridges.
And it starts with the SEC and a new ETP.
Speaker 1Right, the Bitwise ten crypto index fund bitw It got SEC approval to trade as an exchange traded product on nyse ARCA.
Speaker 2And that's the key.
This isn't just another fund.
It's the second US listed multi asset crypto index ETP.
Grayscale got one back in July.
So this shows it wasn't a fluke, it's a pattern.
Speaker 1Okay, So let's unpack that.
The CEO of Bitwise, Hunter Horseley, called it a water shed moment.
Why is moving from say, an over the counter product to a fully regulated nyse ARCA listing.
Why is that such a game changer.
Speaker 2It's all about who can buy it and how they account for it.
When bitw lands on the nyse ARCA, it suddenly looks and feels exactly like some of the most established financial instruments in the.
Speaker 1World, like a gold etf for an oil fund exactly.
Speaker 2It uses the identical regulatory structure for a big institutional allocator, that familiarity is everything.
It removes the scariness, the operational headache.
Speaker 1So you're talking about pension funds and Dowmans, big family offices.
They might have rules that stop them from holding, you know, a token directly on a hardware.
Speaker 2Wallet, right the legal and compliance departments would never sign off on.
Speaker 1That, but they can absolutely buy a NYSE listed ETP.
It just slots right into their existing custody and reporting systems.
Speaker 2It strips away the two biggest hurdles custody risk and regulatory ambiguity and bitw itself.
It's a one point twenty five billion dollar fund that gives you diversified exposure to the top ten crypto's, BTC, eth, sol, XRP, all the big ones.
It's rebalanced monthly, so.
Speaker 1Let's them bet on the growth of the entire asset class, not just try to pick the one winner.
Speaker 2That's what Matt Hugan, the CIO at bitwise, emphasized, it's a structural shift, and it's a gateway for potentially billions of dollars of capital that has been sitting on.
Speaker 1The sidelines and building on that.
We saw a major US bank just decide to skip the ETPs altogether and go straight to offering spot bitcoin.
Speaker 2This one, to me was maybe the most shocking development of the week.
PNC Bank the first major US bank to offer direct spot bitcoin trading to its private bank clients right inside its own digital platforms.
Speaker 1So we're talking buy hold, cell all integrated.
That is a huge leap from just offering custody.
Speaker 2A massive leap.
But they're being smart about it.
They're not trying to build all the complicated crypto plumbing from scratch.
Speaker 1They're using a partner for that.
Right now.
Speaker 2They are the actual trading, the custody, the settlement, all of that is handled by coinbases crypto as the service infrastructure.
But and this is the crucial part, PNC keeps the direct client relationship, They keep the regulatory oversight.
The buck stops with them.
Speaker 1Okay, but does using coinbase for the back end create a new kind of risk, a third party risk?
I'm sure regulators are looking at that very closely.
Speaker 2Oh, they're hyper focused on it.
But the structure is designed for that.
PNC layers its own bank rade risk management framework on top of what coinbase provides.
It lets them get to market fast while still owning the client trust, which in private banking is everything.
Speaker 1And this is aimed at their top tier clients.
Speaker 2Exactly, high net worth individuals, family offices.
This move comes right after Bank of America started telling its advisors to think about a one to four percent allocation to digital assets.
The client demand is clearly there, and PNC is the first to really meet it head on with an integrated solution.
Speaker 1So let's connect this institutional push to the derivatives market.
Because the CFTC, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, just made a really big move on token is collateral.
Speaker 2This is where it gets really interesting.
Down in the plumbing of the financial system.
The CFTC launched a pilot program.
It allows what are called Futures Commission Merchants or fcms, the.
Speaker 1Guys who process all the futures.
Speaker 2Trades exactly, It lets them accept tokenized digital assets as margin collateral.
This is a massive step.
It's integrating crypto directly into the backbone of regulated trading.
Speaker 1So you could use bitcoin or ethereum to back a traditional futures position.
Speaker 2Bitcoin ethereum and for the first three months USDC and yes, that's exactly what it means what was holding them back was this old memo from twenty twenty, an advisory that basically put up a bunch of roadblocks for fcms because of worries about volatility and custody.
Speaker 1And to launch this pilot, they had to get rid of that memo.
Speaker 2They formally withdrew it, and they said the reason they could was because of not just better technology, but a change in federal law, the Genius Act.
Speaker 1The Genius Act, what did that do?
Speaker 2It basically created a legal framework that clarified how to classify and regulate non security digital assets.
It gave the CFTC the legal confidence they needed to say, Okay, we understand the standing of these assets.
Now we can build a supervised framework around them.
Speaker 1So it's about bringing all this activity that's happening offshore back into regulated US markets.
Speaker 2That's the goal.
Make it safer, make it more transparent.
And this brings up the next big question everyone is asking about.
Speaker 1Real world assets RWAs.
Speaker 2Yes, tokenized treasuries.
For example, the CFTC put out brand new guidance on this.
They clarified how things like tokenized t bills can be used under the existing rules.
Speaker 1And what are the key requirements.
Speaker 2It's all about segregation, custody, and valuation.
The tokenized asset has to be held in a way that the FCM can liquidate it instantly.
If there's a margin call and the underlying asset has to meet super strict quality standards, it shows the regulator is focused on the risk of the asset, not the digital wrapper it comes in.
That's a fundamental mindset shift.
Speaker 1Okay, so that's the infrastructure being built now for the market reaction saw a really decisive move in bitcoin, a huge surge back over ninety four thousand dollars.
Speaker 2Yeah, it swored back over ninety four k and US morning trading that was a more than four percent gain in twenty four hours, and it was on heavy volume forty six billion dollars.
Speaker 1And what was so significant about this move was the pattern it broke.
Speaker 2It completely reversed the trend for weeks, every time the US markets opened, Bitcoin would sell off.
It's adjusted there was this big wall of institutional selling pressure.
This rally felt different.
It felt like maybe those sellers were finally exhausted.
Speaker 1So what was driving it?
Was this just a bunch of leverage bets or were people actually buying coins.
Speaker 2The data really points to spot demand.
Analysts looked at the price gain versus the growth and open interest on derivatives, and the price moved way faster.
That's a classic sign of spot buying.
Actual coin accumulation fueling the rally.
Speaker 1And this wasn't happening in a vacuum.
The macro timing was pretty much perfect right.
Speaker 2It couldn't have been better.
This rally happened one day before the Federal Reserve was expected to announce a twenty five basis point.
Speaker 1Rate cut, right looser financial conditions, which is generally good for risk assets exactly.
Speaker 2Even if the cut was priced in, it just reinforces that narrative shift away from rate hike fear and towards a more accommodative policy.
That's the kind of environment where an asset like bitcoin can really run.
Speaker 1And as the market was running, we saw the biggest bull of them all, Michael Sailor's company Strategy, make another absolutely massive purchase.
Speaker 2They are just relentlessly accumulating.
They bought another ten thoy six hundred and twenty four bitcoin for about nine hundred and sixty two million dollars.
The average price was ninety six hundred and fifteen dollars.
Speaker 1Almost a billion dollars.
And the wild part is how they paid for it.
It wasn't just cash on hand, No.
Speaker 2They funded most of it by selling nine hundred and twenty eight million dollars of their own common and preferred stock.
Speaker 1That's that's just an incredible level of conviction to dilute your own shareholders to buy more bitcoin.
Speaker 2It shows they're not just a software company with some bitcoin anymore.
They have completely re engineered their corporate tree treasury.
Their total stash is now six hundred and sixty six hundred and twenty four btc.
Speaker 1But isn't that a huge risk.
Yeah, they've essentially become a leveraged bitcreen ETF.
What happens to their stock if bitcoin crashes back to fifty thousand?
Speaker 2That is the multi billion dollar question, and it's the central debate around the company.
Critics say they've abandoned their core business.
But Sailor's argument, which he was actually pitching to sovereign wealth funds in Abu Dhabi this week, is that he's just acquiring digital capital.
Speaker 1He calls it digital gold right, and.
Speaker 2His pitch is that twenty twenty five is the year that idea was validated because now you have big banks willing to hold it and lend against it.
For him, the risk is an owning bitcoin, the risk is owning fiat currency that's being devalued.
Speaker 1So you have these huge corporate buyers on one hand, but on the other analysts at Biffinex put out a pretty serious warning about structural softness in the market.
Speaker 2Yeah, that Biffine's report was a really important reality check.
They pointed out this big divergence, Y S and P five hundred is hitting record highs, but Bitcoin was until this latest pop, just stuck in a range.
Speaker 1That relative weakness points to a problem.
Speaker 2It points to what they called a fragile setup.
The underlying spot demand just isn't that strong.
Speaker 1So what specific signals did they point to?
What's the evidence for this fragility?
Speaker 2Three main things.
First, persistent outflows from the US spot bitcoin ETFs.
This means the people using these new easy access products are actually selling into strength, They're not accumulating.
Speaker 1On the balance, That seems counterintuitive.
If the institutions are building bridges, why are the flows going out.
Speaker 2It could mean that the early money in those ETFs was more tactical, you know, hedge funds taking short term profits rather than long term strategic money from pensions.
Speaker 1Okay, what was the second signal.
Speaker 2A sharply negative cumulative volume delta or CVD.
Speaker 1Right, break that down for us.
What is cumula volume delta and why is a negative number a bad sign?
Speaker 2So?
CVD basically tracks what the aggressive buyers or aggressive sellers are in control.
A positive number means buyers are hitting the asked price to get in.
A negative number means sellers are hitting the bid price to get out.
Even during this price bounce, the CVD stayed negative, which means that underneath the surface, sellers were still more aggressive.
They were draining liquidity from the order books.
Speaker 1And the third signal sounds like it's about investor psychology.
It is.
Speaker 2They noted that over seven million bitcoin are currently sitting at an unrealized.
Speaker 1Loss, meaning a huge number of coins where bought at price is higher than where.
Speaker 2We are now exactly, and that creates a kind of psychological resistance.
Every time the price goes up, there's a whole group of people who are just desperate to sell and get back to even It creates a heavy ceiling on any rally.
You put all three of those things together and you get that fragile setup.
Speaker 1This all leads directly to that big portfolio debate.
Is Bitcoin still digital gold or is it just a very, very risky tech stoc.
Speaker 2The data since twenty eighteen is really challenging that whole digital gold story.
Financial advisors are getting much more skeptical about its role as a portfolio hedge.
Speaker 1And the two big problems are volatility and correlation exactly.
Speaker 2First volatility, people compare it to a high beta tech stock like Nvidia or Tesla, but it's not even in the same league.
Why not, because while those stocks can swing wildly, Bitcoin has had multiple drawdowns of over eighty percent from its hies.
That kind of risk can completely wreck a traditional portfolio.
It's just a different beast entirely.
Speaker 1And then there's correlation.
As a hedge, it's supposed to zig when the stock market SAgs.
Speaker 2And it just doesn't.
In fact, it does the opposite.
The data shows its correlation to the S and P five hundred actually increases during times of market stress.
Speaker 1So right when you need the diversification to work, it breaks down.
Speaker 2It breaks down and often makes the losses worse.
It acts more like a risk accelerant than a shock absorber.
Speaker 1So given that reality, what's the practical advice?
How should someone even think about allocating to it?
Speaker 2The consensus advice now is that sizing matters more than prediction.
Treat it as an asymmetric risk asset.
The potential upside is obviously huge, but the chance of losing everything is also very real.
Speaker 1So the old advice holds true.
Only invest what you are fully prepared.
Speaker 2To lose one hundred percent.
The institutional infrastructure might create a high long term floor, but the journey there is going to be incredibly violent.
Speaker 1All right, Let's move from Bitcoin to the second largest asset, ethereum, which had a really impressive week of its own, both technically and in terms of corporate buying.
Speaker 2Ethereum showed some incredible strength.
It jumped eight percent in twenty four hours back above thirty three fifty, and this came right after a pretty brutal twenty one percent drop in November.
Speaker 1And the speed of that move basically triggered a classic short squeeze.
Speaker 2Oh it vaporized the shorts.
The move started right as the New York session opened, and the liquidation data from coin glass showed two hundred and sixty million dollars in short positions were liquidated in just four hours.
Speaker 1So the bears were just completely cut off guard.
Speaker 2They were betting on more weakness and they were forced to buy back Eth to cover their positions, which just threw gasoline on the fire and pushed the price up even faster.
Speaker 1And technically this move was really significant.
It broke through a couple of key resistance levels, a.
Speaker 2Very clean breakout, It pushed out of its descending price channel, and more importantly, it reclaimed the two hundred day exponential moving average the EMA and.
Speaker 1Getting back above the two hundred day is a big deal for technical traders right.
Speaker 2It's a huge signal.
It suggests the long term trend might be flipping from bearish back to bullish.
The next major level everyone is watching now is thirty five hundred dollars.
If it can hold above that, it would really confirm a full trend reversal.
Speaker 1And just like we saw with strategy and Bitcoin, there's a corporate giant on the ethereum side that's just as.
Speaker 2Convicted Bitmine Immersion Technologies or BM and R.
They're the largest ETH treasury firm and they just went on a buying speed.
They picked up another one hundred and thirty eight thousand eth last.
Speaker 1Week, wow, which is that in dollar terms.
Speaker 2About four hundred and thirty five million dollars one of their biggest weekly buys.
Speaker 1Ever, that's a staggering amount of capital.
What's their total holding now?
Speaker 2It's at three point eighty six million eth To give you some context, that is over three point two percent of the entire circulating supply of ethereum held by one company.
Speaker 1Incredible and their chairman, Thomas Lee, what's his reasoning for such aggressive buying right now?
Speaker 2He pointed to two things.
First, on chain fundamentals, specifically the recent Fusaka upgrade that improves scalability, and second, the same macro factors we talked about with bitcoin, the expected FED rate cut and the end of quantitative tightening.
Speaker 1So he's calling this the cryptos supercycle is intact, and he sees this going strong into twenty twenty six.
Speaker 2That's his view.
He's incredibly bullish on tokenization and adoption.
But and this is a really important but the source material also points out a harsh reality, which is, despite all this buying, bitmin is sitting on nearly three billion dollars an unrealized loss on its ETH stash at current prices three billion.
Speaker 1What does that kind of paper loss due to a publicly traded company's balance sheet.
Speaker 2It's a huge risk.
It doesn't affect their day to day cash, but it hammers the perceived value of the company and can make it really hard to raise more capital.
It makes their stock incredibly volatile.
It just shows that this high conviction strategy is also a high wire act.
Speaker 1And beyond the corporate buyers, we also saw black Rock and Robinhood making moves that really cement Ethereum's case in the institutional world.
Speaker 2Yeah, Blackrock is really expanding its offerings.
They already filed for a standard non staked spot ETH ETF.
Now they filed an S one for a second product, the I shares stake Ethereum Trust.
Speaker 1Okay, so what's the difference between a STEAK and a non state BTF and why would they offer both.
Speaker 2A non staked ETF just holds the eth its value tracks the price.
A stake DTF, on the other hand, takes the ETH it holds and actively participates in securing the network through staking.
In return, it earns a yield paid in more ETH.
Speaker 1So it's a way to get total return price appreciation plus.
Speaker 2Yield exactly, and Blackrock is offering both because different institutions have different rules.
Some can't take on the extra smart contract risk that comes with staking, so they'll want the plain vanilla version.
Others will want that extra yield.
It's about giving institutions maximum choice.
Speaker 1And Robinhood is bringing that same choice steaking to the retail market in the US.
Speaker 2Correct, They just launched Ethereum and Solana staking for US customers, starting with users in New York, which is a big deal because of the state's tough bit license rules.
It's a major step in making crypto yield accessible to everyone through a platform they already know and trust.
Speaker 1All Right, let's pivot now to two ecosystems that were all over the news this week, XRP and Solana.
And XRP had an absolutely fantastic week, especially in Asia.
Speaker 2Yeah, Asia is really becoming the key jurisdiction for xrp's institutional adoption.
The news out of Hong Kong was particularly significant.
Speaker 1This was the HKD pair.
Right tell us about that it is.
Speaker 2Well, which is a fully licensed exchange in Hong Kong, integrated XRP for its institutional clients.
But the key detail is that they added an XRPHKD trading pair, so you.
Speaker 1Can trade directly from Hong Kong dollars into XRP exactly.
Speaker 2It means professional investors there don't have to rely on a foreign stable coin like UST anymore.
They can get direct Fiat exposure, which is a huge deal for compliance and operational ease.
Speaker 1And this came right as Singapore gave Ripple a big regulatory thumbs up as well.
Speaker 2Ripple's subsidiary in Singapore got an expanded Payments license from the Monetary Authority of Singapore, the MAS.
This basically solidifies their APAC headquarters in one of the toughest financial jurisdictions in the world.
Speaker 1So what does that expanded license let them do?
How does it help their main product, on demand liquidity.
Speaker 2It's the green light to scale up.
ODL uses XRP as a bridge for cross border payments.
With the full MAS blessing, regional banks can now plug into that system with confidence.
They can, for example, convert Singapore dollars to Philippine pace in seconds completely bypassing the old slow swift system.
Speaker 1So while Asia is seeing these big operational wins.
Back in the US, the store was all about the success of the spot xrpetfs.
Speaker 2It really was.
The spot xrpetfs, which only launched in mid November, have already crossed one billion dollars in assets under management.
Speaker 1In under four weeks.
That's incredibly fast.
Speaker 2It's the fastest a cryptospot ETF has hit that milestone since Ethereums.
It shows there was huge pent up institutional demand with big names like Grayscale, Bitwise and Franklin Templeton all launching products and pulling in assets.
Speaker 1And this demand has technical analysts talking about a massive potential price move.
What's this legendary breakout thesis all about.
Speaker 2It's all about chart patterns and history.
The analysts are pointing out that XRP has been consolidating in a tight range for three hundred and seventy one days, and they're drawing a parallel to the four hundred and fifty day accumulation phase that happened right before the massive twenty seventeen bowl run.
Speaker 1So they see this long on quiet period as a spring coiling up exactly.
Speaker 2The tightening price and declining volume look like a classic compression pattern.
The argument is that if this institutional demand keeps up, the energy being stored in this pattern could be released in a really explosive way.
Speaker 1Okay, so that's xrp's big week.
Now let's talk about Solana, which was holding its ground technically and then its social media team decided to get weird, very weird.
Speaker 2But first, the price sol has been very strong, bouncing perfectly off the seventy five percent FIBONACI level, which is a key support area analysts.
Now watching one hundred and forty dollars is the next big test.
Speaker 1But the real story was the viral moment when Solana's official x account just posted a number, the number five eighty nine.
Speaker 2Yeah, and for anyone not deep in crypto twitter, lord, that number means absolutely nothing.
Speaker 1But for the XRP community, it means everything.
Speaker 2Right, It's a core piece of their cultural identity.
It comes from this old, totally fake meme of a Simpsons episode that predicted XRP would hit five hundred and eighty nine dollars.
It's become this in side joke, this shorthand for extreme bollishness in the XRP army.
Speaker 1So for Solona to just tweet that number out of nowhere.
It's a direct troll.
Speaker 2It's either a troll or a very strange teaser for some kind of collaboration.
And they didn't stop there, they doubled down what they do next.
They posted this illustration of a castle with sol at the very top and bitcoin an XRP on these lower, smaller towers, and then they explicitly tagged David Schwartz Ripples CTO.
It was a masterclass in social media engagement and it got them their highest interaction numbers of the entire.
Speaker 1Year, which just shows how much tribalism and identity still drive this space.
Speaker 2Absolutely.
Speaker 1Okay, moving from memes back to technology, the XRP ledger itself has a pretty critical upgrade coming up.
Speaker 2It does on December eighteenth, an amendment called fixed directory limit is set to activate.
It's already passed the eighty five percent consensus threshold it needs from validators.
Speaker 1Fixed directory limit, what does that actually do so?
Speaker 2Historically, the ledger had a limit on how many objects like offers or trust lines could be in a single director page.
It was a way to prevent spam and stop the ledger from getting too bloated.
This amendment removes that limit.
Speaker 1But if you remove the limit, what stops people from spamming the network?
Speaker 2Now that's where the existing economics of the ledger come in.
To create any object on the XRPL, you have to lock up a small amount of XRP as a reserve.
That financial cost is a much better and more flexible deterrent against spam than some arbitrary hard limit.
So this is just an optimization to allow for better scaling.
Speaker 1And there's a critical warning for anyone running a node on the network.
Speaker 2Yes, a mandatory one.
If you are running an older version of the rippled software, you have to upgrade immediately.
If you don't, your node will become amendment blocked on December.
Speaker 1Eighteenth, meaning it gets kicked off the network.
Speaker 2It gets kicked off the network, it won't be able to process transactions or participate in consensus.
So it's a crucial update for all node operators.
Speaker 1All right, let's shift to global infrastructure, because there was massive news out of Hong Kong with the IPO of a licensed crypto exchange, hash key.
Speaker 2This is a landmark moment for reg related crypto in Asia.
Hashke going public in Hong Kong, aiming to raise about two hundred and fifteen million US dollars.
It just validates Hong Kong's entire strategy of creating a clear, welcoming regulatory framework.
Speaker 1And it sets them up in the start contrast to the more restrictive environment we.
Speaker 2See in the US exactly, and the money they're raising is going right back into building out that regulated ecosystem, product innovation, infrastructure, market expansion across Asia and.
Speaker 1Hashki had already hit a major milestone for one of the hottest narratives in crypto, RWA tokenization.
Speaker 2This is the proof point right here.
They partnered with GF Securities to launch Hong Kong's first fully on chain tokenized security.
This is it.
This is taking a traditional financial product and putting it on a blockchain under the supervision of a regulator.
The promise of our WA is starting to become a reality.
Speaker 1Now, let's talk about the stable coin world.
We saw a huge partnership between bybit and Circle, a.
Speaker 2Very strategic move.
Bibit is the world's second largest exchange by volume.
They're partnering with Circle, the issuer of USDC, to make USDC the primary stable coin on their platform, especially for their massive derivatives market and.
Speaker 1This integration goes pretty deep, right.
It's not just about trading pairs.
Speaker 2It's pervasive.
They're weaving USDC into all their consumer products bybit earned for savings, the bibitcard for spending, bit pay for transactions, and they're building out new fiat on ramps to make it super easy to move between your local currency and USDC.
Speaker 1And Circle is also innovating on the core technology with the ARC network and this new USDCX.
Speaker 2They're looking ahead.
Bibit joined the test net for Circle's ARC network, which is a new blockchain built from the ground up just for stable coin finance.
And they also partnered with a layo on USDCX.
What's CXFO privacy.
It's a privacy focused version of USDC that uses zero knowledge proofs to shield user data like your transaction history, while still being able to meet regulatory requirements.
Like kysc is trying to find that sweet spot between privacy and compliance.
Speaker 1And we also saw big regulatory wins for Tether and finance in the Middle East.
Speaker 2Yeah, in the Abudabi Global Markets or eighty GM.
Tether's USDT got full regulatory approval as a FIAT reference token there, and Binance got a comprehensive license to run its exchange clearing and brokerage businesses.
The Middle East is aggressively positioning itself as a top tier, predictable place to do crypto business.
Speaker 1And that global expansion theme continues with Robinhood making a big play in Southeast Asia.
Speaker 2A huge play.
They're moving into Indonesia, a market with seventeen million crypto investors.
They did it by acquiring two licensed local firms, a brokerage and a crypto asset trader.
The plan is to have a localized app for stocks and crypto ready to go by early twenty twenty seven.
Speaker 1But this global expansion also highlights a huge global problem tax compliance.
Speaker 2Yes, and Canada's situation is the perfect case study.
The Canadian Revenue Agency, the CIA, put out report saying that forty percent of crypto users in the country are either evading taxes or are at high risk of non compliance.
Speaker 1Forty percent.
That's a staggering number.
Speaker 2It is, and while their crypto audit program has clawed back about one hundred million dollars in taxes, they admit the real problem is that their laws haven't kept up with the technology.
Speaker 1They can't reliably track who owns what as it moves between exchanges and self custody wallllets exactly.
Speaker 2They said they have these crucial legal gaps that limit their ability to identify taxpayers and that's what's driving this big push for new legislation to combat financial crime, which they hope to have by twenty twenty six.
It's the same metal every country is fighting.
Speaker 1Okay, let's shift into our old coin lightning round.
We've got a lot of ground to cover here.
It started with Cardono, which saw a huge whale move some Ada.
Speaker 2Yeah, a massive transfer fifty million EIGHTYA worth over twenty one million dollars move to finance.
And normally, when you see a move that big to an exchange, you assume it's getting ready to be.
Speaker 1Sold, and the price usually dumps in anticipation.
But that's not what happened, not at all.
Speaker 2The price just stayed flat around forty two cents.
It suggests the market is really uncertain.
No one knows if this is a prelude to a sale, or just an internal wallet shuffle, or maybe an institution repositioning for staking.
The market is just waiting for a real catalyst.
Speaker 1But on the ecosystem front, Cardano's founder Charles Hoskinson was celebrating a new token launch.
Speaker 2He was the taken is called Midnight or Night ht.
It's the native token for a new privacy focused chain in the Cardano ecosystem, and it's being featured on the Binance Alpha prelisting platform, which is a big vote of confidence.
Speaker 1And it's launching on a bunch of exchanges at once.
Speaker 2Yes by bit okx, htxgate dot io, a coordinated launch to ensure deep liquidity right from day one, right.
Speaker 1Next up B and B and z Cash.
B and B has been remarkably stable.
Speaker 2The stability in BnB is really tied to that regulatory win for Binance and Abudhabi.
It just reinforces the idea that Binance is a secure, well regulated player, which helps its native token.
Rice has been holding a nice uptrend near nine hundred ten dollars.
Speaker 1But the real comeback story here is z cash.
Speaker 2I mean, what a reversal z cash.
Zec hit a low of just sixteen dollars in July of twenty twenty four.
People had completely written it off and then what happened And then in a forty day window starting in late September, it went from fifty five dollars to seven hundred and twenty three dollars.
Speaker 1That is a thirteen x move in less than two months.
What on Earth caused that?
Speaker 2It was a perfect storm of a renewed narrative around privacy coins combined with a lot of whale accumulation.
The market suddenly remembered that z cash is a leader in zero knowledge tech, and with regulators cracking down, the theory is that privacy will become essential even for institutions.
It's pulled back since, but it's holding strong support above four hundred and ten dollars.
Speaker 1Okay, quickly, hyper Liquid's hype token.
They just launched as a public company and they're already.
Speaker 2Doing a buyback, Yeah, a thirty million dollar share repurchase program.
It's a very strong signal from management that they believe their stock is undervalued.
The native hype asset trading around twenty nine dollars, way below its peak of nearly sixty, so they see this as a chance to buy their own equity on the cheap.
Speaker 1All right, Finally, let's step into the deep end of speculation, the hunt for the one hundred x coin with this deep snitch AI presale.
Speaker 2This is where we have to put up the biggest warning signs.
You see projects like this deep Snitch ai getting hyped in pre sale articles with claims of one hundred x potential, comparing it to buying Solana in twenty.
Speaker 1Eighteen, which is the classic marketing line.
Speaker 2It's the classic fomo trigger.
The project is about some AI agents for crypto intelligence, and the presale has raised over seven hundred thousand dollars, but analysts universally warned that one hundred x is just marketing.
The vast majority of these presale tokens have no real utility and they crash as soon as they hit in exchange.
Speaker 1So how does a listener even begin to evaluate something like this?
Speaker 2You have to look for things that are often missing, a public, proven team, a real growing user base, and tokenomics that aren't designed to let insiders dump on you.
Most new projects today launch with these massive, fully deluded valuations that make a true one hundred x return mathematically almost impossible.
Chasing these is the highest risk game in crypto.
Speaker 1A healthy dose of skepticism is required, a massive dose.
Okay, we have covered a colossal amount of ground, from P and C bank getting to spot bitcoin to Hong Kong's new regulatory framework to the wild price action in ethan z cash.
Speaker 2It really feels like the whole week boiled down to two massive colliding forces.
Speaker 1On one side, you have this undeniable acceleration of institutional acceptance, the sec approvals, the bank adoption, the CFTC pilots, the global licenses.
It's all happening, and it's happening fast.
Speaker 2And on the other side you have the raw underlying volatility and fragility that still defines this market for the average person.
Speaker 1And that collision is really where the most interesting questions are.
Speaker 2It is and if you connect it all back to the biggest buyers of the week strategy with its billion dollar bitcoin purchase bitmin, with its half a billion in ethereum, a really provocative thought emerges for you, the listener, to chew on and what's that These huge corporate purchases are often funded by selling stock to the public.
So while the retail investor looks at a price dip and sees fear like those seven million btc underwater or the outflows from the ETFs, these corporate treasuries see the exact same moment as a strategic buying opportunity.
They are using traditional finance tools to systematically move vast quantities of these decentralized assets into highly centralized corporate balance sheets.
Speaker 1So the question isn't just about the price anymore.
Speaker 2The question is what is the long term consequence of this rapid centralized corporate accumulation on the whole decentralized ethos of crypto is the very nature of who buys and why they buy changing right before our eyes.
Speaker 1A profound question to end on as the regulated walls come down.
That is it for this week's Crypto News rundown.
Until next time, stay safe, stay skeptical, and keep learning.