
ยทS5 E213
Best Bets for Saturday | GM 7 + College Football week 10 Picks & Predictions + NHL (11/1)
Episode Transcript
Happy Saturday, guys.
Welcome to November.
It is time for a Saturday morning episode of the Daly Juced Podcast.
My name is Matt Parolt.
You guys can follow me across all of my socials at Sports Talk Matt and a reminder of what's happening today This morning eleven a m.
Eastern time, eight o'clock am on the West Coast, where I will be headed tonight.
You guys can jump on in.
We'll go over all the games here for Saturday.
I'm gonna admit I'm not heavily involved on this Saturday.
I don't love I do have four plays for the podcast, but I don't have a ton of college football bets for today.
Got a hockey play for you and a World Series Game seven.
What a play in the ninth inning last night by the Dodgers.
Horrible running error by the Blue Jays as a chance to tie that game up, Keicky Hernandez with a heck of a catch and throw, But my gosh, you can't.
You just can't get caught on second base like that.
That's that's bad.
So we head to a Game seven with all the momentum heading for the Dodgers and Max Scherzers in the mound, Yikes against show Hao tani Oh for the Toronto Blue Jays and the LA Dodgers.
So we'll do that coming up at in thea on this podcast, but also for college football, we'll get going with eleven o'clock for a breakdown a Eastern time on the Betting Pros Discord channel.
To get there, it's Bettingpros dot com slash chat.
It's Matt Stages is what.
It's right underneath the Daily Juice.
People ask all the time like where do I go on there?
That's where we go live right underneath the Daily Juice channel part of the Discord channel.
Section of the Discord channel.
It says Matt Stages.
We'll be there at eleven o'clock going down all the games coming up here for today.
So before I get to the picks for today, let's remind you about our friends at hard Rock Bet.
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Okay, let's start with college football here for today.
And look, there's a couple of big ones, a couple of really huge games today going on in college football.
But let's start with Texas and Vanderbilt.
So Texas is going to most likely and if this changes, then I think I could be on the wrong side if we do see a swap a quarterback for Texas.
But I looked at it this morning and I can't find anything that says that it's going to be anything except the backup quarterback and the Caldwell kid coming into play for Texas.
And with that the case for me, I'm going to come in.
I want the under in this game.
Look, I think Vanderbilt is going to run a little methodical offense, but I think the bigger problem is Texas defense.
I know, they gave up a ton of points last week.
Okay, they won the game in overtime, mostly because of what happened with Missoby State and Starkville, but they got the win, and by getting that win, I think it sets them up for what could be a potentially pretty interesting end of the season for Texas.
On top of the fact, if you look at the way that the Longhorns have played, I think they're going to ride their defense.
I don't think of the backup quarterback.
I don't think you're going to see Texas be really looking to push the ball down the field that much.
Run the football, play defense, try to win a low scoring game.
On the flip side, for Vanderbilt, I mean going on the road to take on a really difficult team, a good defense in Texas, I think that they're not going to be able to move the ball that much.
So I think we're looking at an under in this game.
I think forty seven and a half.
I think pace of play, I think quarterback play, diego Pavia very well to go down there and win the football game.
But it could be like a I don't know, a seventeen to three type of win, if Andy wins at winning seventeen to ten type of win, if and Andy comes in and wins.
So for me, I'm going to take the under in the game, and I'm gonna drop it down here.
I'm actually going to go at FanDuel it.
Let me go ahead and take it to forty seven and a half.
Last night at minus one twenty one, it's forty seven at most books right now.
DraftKings is at forty six and a half, so I want ahead and just bought a point to forty seven and a half with an alternative under and went under a minus one twenty one.
You know, you can go and shop around.
There are forty seven and a half's in the marketplace, but I like Vandy and Texas to go under today.
Low scoring game in the SEC.
Again, the quarterback play, even if you do see Arts Manning playing, he had a concussion last week and I don't think they're going to risk it with him, so he'll probably be handling the ball off a lot, not wanting to have that Vanderbilt defense get after him.
So I like the under under forty seven and a half Texas and Vanderbilts.
It's always a difficult thing to bet unders in college football, but I'm going to jump on it.
Second bet Florida in Georgia.
They used to call this the greatest outdoor cocktail party, dead cat Bounce.
This is the first game for Florida since they fired Billy Napier.
They've got their quarterback coach taking over.
He's going to take over the play calling duties as well.
Which could be significant in this game.
Georgie's defense has given a big yardage in big points away from home.
Look what happened in the game against Tennessee rivalry game, back and forth battle seven and a half.
You're giving me more than seven points in this rivalry game, with Billy Napier being fired, with these kids all rallying, with this being a neutral site game in Jacksonville, this is too heavy in my mind.
I think Georgia plays so many tight football games.
Look at the way George's played this year.
They haven't killed anybody.
They might win the game, but I like Florida's chances of keeping this close as long as they don't turn the football over.
I mean, look at the LSU game.
They had that game one on the road.
If they didn't turn the ball over.
That pick six at the end by Lagway was horrible.
I mean, I was on Florida that game.
I've liked Florida's defense all year.
I've liked what they've been able to do, and I think they keep this game close.
It's just that Georgia's defense is giving up so many points.
You can't bet the under this game just because you look at what Georgia's done.
I mean, they've won games, but they've scored a ton and they've given up a ton.
I don't think Georgia scores a ton today.
But to me, I think this is an undergame.
But I like the dog.
Here, give me the seven and a half points.
I'm taken Florida plus seven and a half with a chance to win the game outright, And you guys know, I like Georgia a lot.
I'm on Georgia to win the SEC.
I got a three and a half to one ticket on Georgia to win the SEC.
So I hope that Georgia wins this game.
But I'll take Florida at plus seven and a half.
I'll take Florida for sure on this Guys, have you gone and taking a look at what we're going to do and what we're offering For Betting Pros Premium, it is six months for free.
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Make that deposit and you guys will get six months of Betting Pros premium, which I think for a lot of you, you've been asking all the right questions about Matt Where are you getting all these baseball props?
And where are're getting all these basketball props?
And this is propbit cheat sheet's been highly profitable.
We've been kind of thumping our chest a little bit with a proppit cheat sheet about how things are going, and I think, frankly rightfully so at what we've done.
Let me talk one more time about hockey.
We missed it yesterday.
Okay, we miss We bet the Golden Knights over.
They scored a goal in the first forty five seconds of that game and did not score again for the rest of the period.
That was a bad break.
Okay, that game Vegas and Colorado, we should have gotten a first period over.
We didn't.
The gift hit, but the goal over in the first period did not.
Well.
Let's go to the Bruins and the Carolina Hurricanes today.
The Boston Bruins have gone over in a first period one and a half number five straight games.
That is tied with Saint Louis for the second best streak going right now in the NHL.
Do you know how who has the best streak?
That would be Carolina.
Six straight games for Carolina, first period over one and a half goals.
What are we doing today?
You know we're doing today first period over for the Bruins, who have scored twelve goals in the first period.
Carolina equally has been good offensively.
They've scored nine goals so far in the first period.
In terms of giving goals up and giving allowing goals, Bruins have allowed a bunch of goals here, they've allowed twelve goals themselves here with this, so, Carolina has been good offensively, and so has Carolin has given up.
They've scored fourteen goals and they've given up fourteen goals.
So like you go ahead and go back.
Actually, sorry, Carolina has given up.
Sorry, they've scored fourteen goals and given up seven goals.
Excuse me, Bruins have given up.
I've scored twelve and given up fourteen goals so far.
So give you an idea.
Bruins are scoring but also giving up a ton of goals.
Carolina is tied for the lead in the NHL for first period goals and they're giving up seven, so one to one after one is very likely.
You can bet both teams to score in the first period if you would like.
But we're gonna jump in here with the Bruins and the Carolina Hurricanes.
Bet the streak here first period over at minus one forty for one point four units.
And finally we go to the prop bit cheat sheet and we look at what's going on for Game seven of the World Series.
Obviously we have to be involved with this.
Otani going for the Dodgers against Max Sureser, big advantage.
Okay, his over his His earn run prop is one and a half.
Okay, over one and a half earn runs has hit in every start for Max Schuzer.
The only reason why this number is one and a half is because they may pull him fast.
Okay.
So the only worry about this, the only the only concern about this is Max Suser is not going out there to be allowed to pitch a ton of innings.
Okay, he you know, he got thirteen outs in his first start in Game four.
Okay, thirteen outs, that's not hanging around very long.
Okay, so he's going to go to three innings, Max, So the Dodgers need to jump on him early.
That's why the price is where it is.
That's why it's difficult.
But the propet cheet sheet is using the numbers, and Max Scherzer has given up, you know, over one and a half runs in every start dating back to the thirteenth of September.
We need a to run home run by somebody, either in the first inning or second inning.
We need someone to pop one here against Max Scherzer to get two runs, and I think it's possible.
I think the Dodgers came to life offensively.
Mookie Betts came to life offensively.
I can't believe we get to watch sho Hal Tawani pitch in a game seven and hit in a Game seven.
That's ridiculous.
He had a ball last night that had an exit ve low of one hundred miles per hour in which he just flicked his wrist.
It was reminiscent for me of the home run I saw him hit back in April of twenty four against the Dodgers, sorry against the Cubs, in which he literally hit the ball off of his shoe tops and he flicked it over the right field fence at Fenway with just a little bit of a twitch.
So the strength of that man is incredible, and now he gets to make more history by going this.
I like the prop bit cheat sheet.
I'm not going to come in here.
I don't think this is like an automatic burry in and're like, oh my god, this number is so low, we should hammer it.
But I do think Serger gets hit here in the first or second innings.
Dodgers get on him fast.
We're going to bet the over one and a half earn runs for Max Schurzer at minus one sixteen for one point six units.
So plays for today Vandy Texas under forty seven and a half at maus one twenty one, Florida in the outdoor cocktail party against Georgia at plus seven and a half.
Bruins in Carolina over one and a half goals in the first period minus won forty and Max Schurz are over one and a half earned runs at minus one sixteen for one point one six units.
I will talk to you guys coming up in a couple of hours here for our Discord channel chat breaking down Week number ten in college football, bettingpros dot Com, slash Chat to join the Discord Channel minus Matt Parolt.
You guys can callow me across all my socials at Sports Talk Matt every morning wherever you guys get your podcasts, it is the Daily Juice Za