What's up, guys?

How are you welcome into a Wednesday morning episode of the Daily Juice podcast.

My name is Matt Perolt.

You guys can follow me across all of my socials at Sports Talk Matt, and sometimes you just have to laugh.

Sometimes you're just ice cold.

That would be six consecutive losing days.

But the way we got there was the brutal part of all of this.

We bet I bet over eighty one and a half for UNLV.

It landed eighty one.

We're zero and three to start college basketball.

That's got to change.

The losing has to stop.

That's got to change.

We get the prop bet cheat sheet play right.

The Vegas and Red Wings game woefully under those one in the third period at last, look at games not going over.

So that was the bad bet of the day.

The Apollo bet was the good bet of the day.

And then the whole day Row was writing on whether or not UNLV could hit one more free throw to go over eighty one and a half.

They lost the game outright, I should have just taken plus seventeen and a half.

That would have been the better bet, and I was very close to doing so.

I just didn't know enough about ut Martin to take it because you U and LV only had eight scholarship players and they got tired late in the game, and then there were fouls and free throws and a lot of nonsense that went on that drove that number all the way to eighty one, where un LV ultimately lost the game.

But I mean good number.

Books made a good number right there.

One free throw, one shot, one layup, and it goes over instead, it goes under.

We go one and two down, one point five units on the day.

So we just keep on loading and keep on firing and hoping we're going to get ourselves out of this.

Not a good start to the month of November, but long month ago, a lot of time to go.

This is not unusual.

If you are new, Okay, I understand you guys are probably bent and mad, and I get it, and I appreciate you coming in and watching and listening to the podcast if you're new.

But for those guys who've been here for a long time, this is not unusual.

You have seen this before.

These things happen.

It's never fun, but you know, if we're gonna enjoy the ups and we're gonna enjoy the wins, when we go, you know, six wins out of seven days.

You know, we wind up with some weeks where we're like twenty and four.

We're gonna enjoy those runs.

You have to understand that we're gonna have runs like this where for six straight games, strict six straight days, I can't pick a winner or save my life.

Fade away.

Okay, go right ahead and fade away before I give you the bets for today, including my first Super Bowl future that I'm gonna jump in with.

Let's give it away.

It is the Ricky Piersall Jersey Seattle Sharks Dash.

Please seven oh, if that's you, if that's your handle, you have just won the autographed Ricky Piarsall jersey.

Congratulations, you have won this Ricky Pearson Jerseys Seattle Sharks.

Please get in touch with our customer service agents at mailbag at Fantasypros dot com with your mailing address and a screenshot of your YouTube account while logged in.

Once we confirm, we'll get your prize shipped out.

And again, congrats to Seattle Shark.

You are the winner of the autographed Ricky Piarsol jersey.

If Seattle Shark is a Seahawks fan, it fits in perfectly for today.

If he is a forty nine er fan living in Seattle, that is in enemy territory.

But let's make the announcement as to what the next giveaway will be Thursday Night Football with the Broncos hosting the Raiders.

It is a autographed mini helmet signed by the one and only bo Nix.

If you would like your chance to win this mini helmet, we will give this away to one lucky Daily Juice viewer or listener courtesy of our friends at Pristine auction dot com.

All you have to do is subscribe Jube channel right now, drop a comment below in any of our Daily Juice videos and you are entered.

That's all you gotta do.

We'll make the announcement of the winner right here on the podcast in December, so make sure you have those notifications turned on so you know when new videos are up and you could claim your prize.

Bo Nix autographed mini helmet up for grabs.

Subscribe and comment and you are entered into winning.

That said, very cool, very neat signed mini helmet from the quarterback for the Denver Broncos one mister bo Nix.

Okay, it is a hard rock bet day.

So we have a hard rock bet to give you guys for today.

But before we do that, let me give you the other place speaking of Seattle is time.

So while my other show on the Bostonian Versus of the Book, every Tuesday, I do my own personal power ratings and I go one to five top five teams in the NFL.

And it struck me that I haven't really been listening to myself for at least not betting our building a portfolio by doing that.

Because for the last three weeks, I've had the Colts, that's the number one team in football, but I wasn't sold that they were going to be able to win the Super Bowl because of the fact that the Casey Chiefs and the Buffalo Bills will be standing in their way.

So I wasn't comfortable saying, Okay, there's value in the Colts to win the Super Bowl simply because of the path.

Well, that's not the case for the Seattle Seahawks.

They are my number one team this week, and I think we need to jump in at fourteen to one for them to win the Super Bowl.

Why, well, let's look at some of these numbers for the Seahawks.

It's pretty darn impressive.

They are top five in points scored and they are top five in points given up.

They are top five in plays per game yards per play offensively, and they are top five in plays per yards per play defensively.

This is a team that is scoring over three touchdowns per game that is top five, and giving up less than two touchdowns per game that is also top five.

This team turns you over, but they don't turn the football over.

They are taking the ball away one point three times per game, that's top ten, and they're just giving the ball away one point six times per game.

That is twenty ninth in the NFL.

Their turnover margin is decent.

It's negative.

Actually it's zero point four negative point four, which isn't really bad.

They're pretty much flat.

They have the number one pass offense in football.

They have the number six pass defense in football.

They are right now throwing.

Sam Donald is throwing for two hundred and fifty five yards per game.

That's top five.

They just traded for another wide out with the Saints in Shaheed, so they got another weapon to go along with a Obviously, you know Jackson Smith and Jigg has been amazing for them.

Cooper Cups out.

We'll see what he looks like when he comes back.

They can run the football.

They're not outstanding at it, but they're good enough.

Okay, they're good enough.

Three point seven yards per play is not good.

But they do run the ball twenty eight times a game, So even though the numbers aren't great your yards per rush, they do run the ball a ton.

And they are top ten and rushing touchdowns per game, averaging over one rushing touchdown per game, and they're only giving up point five rushing touchdowns per game.

It's hard to get after them.

They are sacking the quarterback at a really good clip top five and sack percentage.

They are getting Sam Donald hit a little bit more than I would like, but not horrible.

It's not awful for them to do that red zone scoring percentage.

From a touchdown perspective, they're scoring a touchdown seventy percent of the time when they go into the red zone.

That's tremendous.

That's top five in the NFL.

And they're only giving up a touchdown in the red zone fifty four percent of the time.

That's ninth in the NFL.

The numbers are tremendous.

And here's the one I like even more because I'm not sure Seattle's going to win the division.

Okay, they've got real competition at six and two, they've got real competition.

They may not be able to get home field throughout the playoffs.

They may not be able to They may be on the road.

They may have to go on the road.

Here's what I love.

They're actually really bad at home.

It's weird.

Under Mike McDonald.

They're actually a much better road team, like a much better road team.

The last home game the Seahawks on October of the twentieth, they won and covered against the Texans.

You have to go back to October of twenty three to find the last time that Seattle one in covered for consecutive home games.

Since that streak, they have gone eight and ten straight up at home in five twelve and one against the number at home since October of twenty twenty three.

I have no idea why.

It just doesn't make any sense.

But when Seattle plays out East, like say they have to go play the Eagles in the NFC Championship game.

Okay, get this.

Since twenty eighteen, the Seahawks are eighteen eight and two against the spread in the Eastern time Zone and under Mike McDonald, Seattle is six and one, six and one straight up in the Eastern time Zone and they're five to one and one against the spread.

So far, Seattle has been phenomenal.

They just went to Washington on Monday on Sunday Night Football and they beat up on the Commanders on the Eastern time Zone.

I think we got to take it.

I think it's I think this number is going to start to come down dramatically.

Let's take it.

Seattle to win the Super Bowl at fourteen to one, one unit down.

Seahawks plus fourteen hundred at one for one unit here.

Shop around and find the best price.

Books are either at twelve to one or fourteen to one.

I'm taking Seattle to win the Super Bowl.

First play of the year from a future perspective, Seahawks fourteen to one to win the Super Bowl at number two.

Let's go and talk some NBA basketball with the prop bet cheat sheet in Louri Marketing from the Utah Jazz.

They're on the road against the Detroit Pistons coming up here for tonight.

Prop bet cheat Sheet has Marketing projected to just have twenty two points and assists in this game, but his prop is twenty seven and a half.

The cover probability, according to the prop bet cheat sheet is seventy three percent.

It is an expected value of plus thirty nine percent.

Forty percent is the best.

It is a five star play as you would expect.

What's crazy is that this prop has hit five straight games before the last game against the Celtics.

Okay, this prop is five and one over the last six games, a different way of saying that, but looking at defense, looking at numbers, looking at the way this team may be able to play, this is interesting to look at.

I'm gonna trust the prop at cheat sheet.

Here a cash last night with an over for US points and assists for Lori Marketing, we're going under twenty seven and a half.

He got a little hot over that five game stretch, but mostly this has been an under nine of the last fifteen games for market and he's gone under twenty seven and a half for points and assists.

He only gets about two or three assists a game, so his season high is five and that was in the season opener, so mostly it's like two.

So he has two assists, we just don't need to as long as he doesn't go off offensively and scores a ton of points.

We're okay.

Now he scored thirty, you've scored fifty one against Phoenix.

He scored thirty two against Portland, thirty three against Phoenix on the road in twenty nine against Charlotte.

We don't want that to happen here tonight.

We want to have a game like he had against the Clippers where he had twenty, or the Celtics when he had twenty.

Here going up against the Pistons, we don't want him to go off and go crazy.

But prop bet cheat sheet likes it.

I'm going to follow it.

Louri marketen under twenty seven and a half points and assists for one point one units.

Before I give you the hard rock bet of the day Play of the day, let's talk one more play in the game between ball State and Kent State.

So ball State laying one and a half.

Some books have moved to two and a half already here, so there's some discrepancy in the market on this game.

Maction in November is beautiful.

We love betting maction.

It's been a staple of the Daily Juice podcast.

So Ball State is seven and three straight up over the ten meetings between these two teams, and over the last three meetings it's been thirty seven to thirty five, thirty four to three, and twenty seven to twenty the wins for ball State.

They've been able to move the football and score against Kent pretty consistently.

Three and five record for both these two teams.

Both teams are five and three against the spread.

At home.

Ball State is three and oh against the number, while Kent is zero to four on the road against the number.

That's a pretty big discrepancy in my opinion.

That's a pretty big difference in this game.

In my opinion.

Ball State has been the money line favorite just one other time this year, and they did win the game outrights at home.

That was against you and h against New Hampshire.

At home against New Hampshire laying three one by five, at home against Ohio catching fourteen one by six, and at home against Akron catching one and a half they won by fourteen points.

This ball State team plays well at home.

They win games at home.

On the flip side for Kent State, they lost to Toledo as twenty five point dogs.

They lost by thirty five.

In that game, they were at Oklahoma.

They were catching forty six and a half, they lost by forty four.

They're at Florida State catching forty five, they lost by fifty six.

They were at Texas Tech catching forty six and a half, they lost by forty eight.

So clearly, when you're playing Texas Tech, Florida State, and Oklahoma, you're going to get your doors blown off.

You play Bowling Green catching seven and a half points, you'll only lose by three.

But you were at home Kent State in that game.

This is now you going back on the road to take on a ball State team that's been very good at home and recent history has been in favor of ball State.

Let's take the Munchie Boys in Indiana ball State minus one and a half for one point one units, so Seahawks to win the Super Bowl Lori market in under twenty seven and a half points and assists and ball State minus one and a half.

Let's get to the hard rock bet bet of the day.

It's Creighton basketball time, boys and girls.

If you are new to the podcast, if you, well, you can't kind of see it behind me, but there's a Creighton symbol behind me on the wall.

I am the former pregame in postgame show host of the Creighton Blue Jays, I am the former owner of the first ever rival site covering Creighton basketball.

I bet the Jays a ton Okay, So let's talk about the Creighton Blue Jays.

Their home opener season opener tonight up against a team in South Dakota where a lot of these kids dream of playing basketball in Omaha for Greg McDermott at Creighton.

Here's the thing about South Dakota.

They're bringing back a couple of decent players.

Six of thirteen come back.

They were picked fifth in the Summit League.

But style of play here.

The Coyotes last year finished first in turnover percentage.

They finished second in adjusted tempo seventy five possessions per forty minutes, and third in points per game at eighty five point two.

They're gonna run.

South Dakota is gonna go up tempo.

That's great news because the Jays are gonna go up tempo.

The Jays have a lot of talent returning, including Jackson mcsanrew, who had a big East All freshman season last year.

He is back.

He hit sixty nine to three pointers, setting a Blue Jay freshman record, and that's a record that was broken.

I mean he had.

It's Kyle Korver, that's Doug McDermott, Jason mcxandrews.

That's up of talent.

He's really really damn good.

There's a bunch of new players.

There's nine new players on the roster, a couple of transfers who have come in who have have wowed.

There's a couple of freshmen here coming in that are expected to do some big things for the Creighton Blue Jays.

They're gonna go up tempo.

First half overs and first half team totals.

Overs have been very profitable betting on the Cryton Blue Jays.

Again, this is game one for these teams.

We don't know what these teams are going to look like.

Okay, so we're flying blind, we're flying off last year's stats.

There's tons of recruits, there's tons of transfers.

Like, you know, I'm not really all that mad that I opened up zero to three here.

However, I do think this is a good opportunity to take a first half over for the Creighton Blue Jays where they're at home, gonna have you a sellout.

They're ranked top twenty five and South Dakota's going to come in and push them.

I think South Dicot is going to run.

I don't want to lay sixteen points in the first half.

I don't want to lay twenty eight and a half points for the game.

I just want to come in here and just cake Creighton.

First half over seventy nine and a half for both Creighton and South Dakota.

Let's go over in the first half at seventy nine and a half at minus one twenty.

Let's get a fifty to thirty score here in the first half.

And I think the Jays can put up fifty points in the first half.

I really do if their threes are falling.

I do think they have a massive advantage inside, massive size advantage, massive athletic advantage against South Dakota.

But again, Celticota doesn't turn the ball over they want to, and they're going to look to score in bunches.

Let's go over seventy nine and a half and minus one twenty for one point two units.

That was the hard rock bet of the day here for us on a Wednesday.

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So good stuff there.

There's the hard Rock Bet of the day.

So what are we doing today, Well, we're trying to have a winning day first time in a week.

See if we can do it.

Here but plays for today Seahawks to win the Super Bowl at fourteen hundred plus fourteen hundred for one unit.

Lori marketing of the Jazz under twenty seven and a half points and assists at minus won ten.

Ball State action at home against Kent State at minus one, minus one and a half for one point one units, and the play of the day for the hard Rock bet is the creating basketball.

Creating basketball against South Dakota.

We're going over in the first half over seventy nine and a half at minus one twenty for one point two units.

So three bets in action for tonight in one future to give you guys here on a Wednesday.

Hopefully that snaps us out of this cold streak and we can get going here with Thursday Night football with the Raiders and the Broncos and more to come.

Minus Matt Parol to you guys and follow Micross all my socials at Sports Talk Matt every morning wherever you guys get your podcast.

It is the Daily Juice