
Cheeky Pint
·E20
Julia DeWahl of Antares on building nuclear reactors for the US military
Episode Transcript
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The US did have this
long-running anti-nuclear bent.
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I can't even tell you how much has changed
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in the last few years.
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They changed the mandate of the NRC
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and they said you are no
longer focused just on safety.
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Department of Energy pathways
have been also unopened
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and unblocked for test reactors.
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The last 10 years or so,
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it's been like 1% of
nuclear fuel used in the US
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was actually domestically mined.
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We're still buying like
almost 50% of our uranium
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from Russia and kind of ex-Soviet states.
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How capital intensive is it going to be
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to get your product to market?
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Oh, in the hundreds of millions.
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The biggest organization that showed up
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against Diablo Canyon was
called "Mothers for Peace."
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This organization was that old
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that it was related to the
Nuclear Cold War, right?
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I'm part of this "Mothers
for Nuclear" organization.
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Mothers against their mothers?
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Yeah.
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And then I brought some graphite.
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Do you want to take that out
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and I'll show it?
Sure, yeah.
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This is what we are
using for our moderator
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in our reactor.
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It has been designated a critical mineral.
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It's an important one.
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But this is just graphite.
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Like this is not, you know,
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uranium-235 or something.
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No, I wouldn't have brought you that.
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That would've been a little
bit dangerous to be holding.
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Julia DeWahl is the co-founder of Antares,
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which is designing nuclear micro-reactors
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for the military and
other off-grid use cases.
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Cheers.
Cheers.
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Thanks for coming by.
It's great to be here.
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So you started out first at
Opendoor and then SpaceX.
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What did you learn in each one of those
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that you took to Antares?
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Yeah, sure.
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I think one of the big things
is always about customers,
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right?
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I mean, at the end of the day,
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this is why you build a business.
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At Opendoor, a lot of us were pretty young
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starting the business.
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I was one of the early employees there
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and none of us had ever bought,
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let alone sold a house.
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So a lot of it was like learning
what that was all about.
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And I remember in the early days,
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we just were working on writing
the copy for the website
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and we're like—
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You have no idea what a homeowner—
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"We don't really know much
about this whole thing.
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So what can we do about that?"
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We just went and sat outside a bagel shop
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for a Saturday and a Sunday morning
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and just bought people bagels
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and just asked them about their processes
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buying and selling a
home and learned a ton.
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And just really
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thought about what
language they were using,
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what were the pain points,
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and that was really important
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to just like really get to know
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what we were trying to
deliver on as a business.
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And then, you know,
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fast forward to joining
SpaceX after Opendoor.
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I joined as Starlink was coming out of R&D
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and into go-to-market.
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That's why I was joining.
To lead that team
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and the business operations there.
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And we launch and we
get our first customers.
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And so I invited our first customers
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to come join us via Zoom for an all-hands.
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And it was honestly the first time
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that many of the engineers
had actually heard
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from the words of a customer themselves
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about the experience.
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And, of course, everyone
loved the internet, right?
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The fast internet, it was amazing.
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Rural Idaho, right? This is like a dream.
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But when we got to talking
about the setup process,
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everyone kind of was like,
"Oh, that sounds rough."
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They're talking about
multiple Home Depot trips.
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They didn't know if they
had to cut down trees
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on their property.
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Like they couldn't get a pole long enough.
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Ah, so a lot of it was
simplifying people's understanding
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of what would it mean?
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Well, people kind of didn't realize
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how much the setup was so painful.
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And it led to basically this
cross-functional SWAT team
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that was dedicated to mounting options
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to be sold alongside the dish.
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First-party or third-party?
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We did it ourselves actually.
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We said it's important that
we have a good experience
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for that because actually it is a big part
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of the experience.
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And so, spun up a whole team.
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A lot of attention was given to mounting,
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which is like, who ever would've thought?
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And I think, you know, customers again,
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they're just like,
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they are the reason you start a business.
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And just bringing this back to Antares,
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I mean, the reason we started Antares
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was to say like the government,
particularly the military,
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needs more energy resilience,
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especially for critical infrastructure.
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We just do so much more now
in the cloud with satellites.
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Our missile defense
sites are sitting there
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like being powered by
diesel generators still.
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Like, shouldn't we upgrade that?
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Okay, so I'll buy it.
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What is Antares?
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Sure, sure.
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We're building micro-reactors,
so small nuclear reactors,
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and we are building, in particular,
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for critical infrastructure,
largely for the military.
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Although we do think
that as costs come down,
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there will be an interesting
commercial market too.
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But basically anywhere where
you're off-grid for sure,
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or you just want
resilience behind the grid
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as it exists today.
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Cyber attacks or whatever,
the grid goes down,
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you want backup power.
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It's a really great option.
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Okay.
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And if one megawatt is
a small neighborhood,
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if one gigawatt is like
a big nuclear power plant
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like in The Simpsons, you know?
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What are your SMRs?
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Sure, yeah.
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There's basically three classes size-wise.
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You have the really small
ones are the micro-reactors,
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and we're actually one
of the smallest of those.
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So we're even sub-one-megawatt,
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we're kind of in the
hundreds of kilowatt scale.
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You could think of that
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as like hundreds of houses
worth of electricity.
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Then you have the SMRs,
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which is kind of this
middle-ground bucket,
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which is an interesting kind
of neither here nor there.
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But potentially interesting.
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I'm sure we'll get into,
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in the hundreds of megawatts
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or even 50 megawatts.
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And then you have the gigawatt scale.
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So a thousand megawatts,
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and that's what the current
power plants are today.
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Okay, so you're sub a megawatt.
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So we're super small.
I see. Okay.
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So you're kind of similar nuclear size
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to what will be on a submarine
or something like that.
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Smaller than that even.
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Those are like megawatt scale.
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So we're like,
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think about like we're
the size of a car reactor.
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Think about replacing a diesel generator
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that's used to power, again,
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something that would be on the order
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of 200 to 300 homes of electricity.
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So it's quite small.
Yes.
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And so a big part of your
focus is providing power
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in places where you really
need that reliability.
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Like you're talking about
replacing diesel generators.
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Is that kind of the design center for you?
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Yeah.
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Anywhere where you're going
to enable a capability,
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a mission capability,
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that wouldn't really
be possible otherwise.
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So there's actually
some really interesting
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space applications,
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potentially underwater
applications as you move to...
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So you move away from like few,
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what they call exquisite
to attritable systems.
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This is where a really small
reactor can come in very handy
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for, you know,
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the submarines are obviously
multi-megawatt-powered systems,
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but these could be kilowatts-powered,
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smaller systems underwater.
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But yes, anywhere where you're off-grid,
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where today you're
relying on what they call
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like the fuel supply chain
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of like bringing in fuel via helicopter
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or barge repeatedly.
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And that being a vulnerability,
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like this is a great option.
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So you're the Starlink of electricity.
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Kind of.
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We're actually like perfectly paired.
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And I wish we could
offer a consumer product.
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That's not on our roadmap right now,
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but maybe one day, like,
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backpack-sized nuclear reactor.
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I presume it can't be on your roadmap,
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but why not?
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Is it that selling to the
government is much easier
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than selling to something that—
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There's so many reasons.
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I think that you always want
to try to get your beachhead
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where it's the easiest to achieve, right?
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And so we believe, I believe that
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premium power is where you
need to go with nuclear.
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And there's sort of two places for that.
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One is what we're doing with Antares,
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which is go to the military,
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help them with mission-critical need
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where they're not cost-sensitive,
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where they already pay more for power.
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And go there and support them
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with this next-gen, better
version of resilient power.
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Or you go and you sell what
we're seeing now, I think,
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which is really interesting
with the hyperscalers,
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is they have carbon commitments.
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They want clean, firm,
they want 24/7 power.
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They're actually willing to
pay above market rates for that
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and they will pay above market rates.
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So this premium power thing
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is a really interesting dynamic
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like where nuclear is
kind of well-positioned.
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What are the underwater applications?
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Well, it's really just
think mini submarines.
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Oh, okay, yeah.
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Just really small systems like, you know,
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what drones are to maybe
like larger missiles.
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That's kind of the equivalent.
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It's not super far along just yet.
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Got it. Okay.
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What does the path look like between now
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and producing power for the military?
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I guess, first in a pilot environment
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and then at scale
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outside of a pilot environment.
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Yeah, well, you know,
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it's always what are the next
milestones that you can do
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to prove your technical ability and again,
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raise more capital to keep
going with your company?
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I think the biggest risk
often to hardware companies
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is you don't get far
enough along technically
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to merit additional investment.
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So we are thinking a
lot about our milestones
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for reactor development.
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And so next year our criticality test
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is kind of the first milestone.
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By end of 2027, we want to have
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our first demonstration unit demonstrated.
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And what's really exciting is
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there's just so much good
policy happening right now
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from the DOE and elsewhere
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that is supporting reactor
tests and pilot programs.
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And so there's just like so much happening
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where they're opening up federal land.
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They're removing—
261
00:08:39,352 --> 00:08:42,980
starting to remove some of
those like NEPA-type regulations
262
00:08:42,980 --> 00:08:44,899
that really just hold everything up.
263
00:08:44,899 --> 00:08:47,026
So there is a clearer path now
264
00:08:47,026 --> 00:08:49,737
than there really ever has
been for reactor builds.
265
00:08:49,737 --> 00:08:51,405
Oh, we'll get to the regulatory side.
266
00:08:51,405 --> 00:08:53,032
I have a lot of questions,
267
00:08:53,032 --> 00:08:54,909
but what is your criticality test in 2026?
268
00:08:54,909 --> 00:08:56,410
What does that mean?
269
00:08:56,410 --> 00:08:58,037
Yeah, it means that you're testing
270
00:08:58,037 --> 00:09:00,998
that you can actually start your reaction.
271
00:09:00,998 --> 00:09:02,625
So like you've figured out
272
00:09:02,625 --> 00:09:06,170
the right amount of moderator-to-fuel.
273
00:09:06,170 --> 00:09:07,797
And you start it going critical.
274
00:09:07,797 --> 00:09:10,424
You don't have it continue on for a while.
275
00:09:10,424 --> 00:09:12,927
You don't typically have
a power conversion system
276
00:09:12,927 --> 00:09:15,012
that's actually taking the raw energy
277
00:09:15,012 --> 00:09:17,014
and turning it into electricity.
278
00:09:17,014 --> 00:09:18,641
So it's just one of those initial tests,
279
00:09:18,641 --> 00:09:21,435
like can you start to put
all your pieces together?
280
00:09:21,435 --> 00:09:23,771
And when do you, you know,
281
00:09:23,771 --> 00:09:28,234
the fusion guys are all focused on this.
282
00:09:28,234 --> 00:09:30,736
Producing more power than you put in.
283
00:09:30,736 --> 00:09:31,696
I know that's different.
284
00:09:31,696 --> 00:09:33,197
That's a fusion thing,
285
00:09:33,197 --> 00:09:35,908
but when do you actually produce power?
286
00:09:35,908 --> 00:09:37,952
Producing power will be like
your first reactor test.
287
00:09:37,952 --> 00:09:39,912
It's like, can you do the whole shebang?
288
00:09:39,912 --> 00:09:41,455
Like you can get this
thing up and running.
289
00:09:41,455 --> 00:09:42,790
It's producing power.
290
00:09:42,790 --> 00:09:45,751
And that's what we're aiming
to do by the end of 2027.
291
00:09:45,751 --> 00:09:47,044
Oh wow, that's like pretty soon.
292
00:09:47,044 --> 00:09:47,878
Yeah.
293
00:09:47,878 --> 00:09:51,340
What does the market look
like for these small reactors?
294
00:09:51,340 --> 00:09:52,758
Who are you going to compete with?
295
00:09:52,758 --> 00:09:55,177
Well, the market for micro-reactors
296
00:09:55,177 --> 00:09:56,596
is one of these ones
where it's like, well,
297
00:09:56,596 --> 00:09:58,514
there are no micro-reactors
today on the market
298
00:09:58,514 --> 00:09:59,932
to just like buy and use.
299
00:09:59,932 --> 00:10:01,225
So what do you think
they're going to be, right?
300
00:10:01,225 --> 00:10:03,102
And so I think, first and foremost,
301
00:10:03,102 --> 00:10:05,146
it's going to be the most critical assets
302
00:10:05,146 --> 00:10:07,231
where you just cannot have them go down.
303
00:10:07,231 --> 00:10:10,151
Which is why defense is the
perfect first market for it.
304
00:10:10,151 --> 00:10:12,570
And so it's going to be all of
your critical infrastructure
305
00:10:12,570 --> 00:10:14,572
on every single base that there is.
306
00:10:14,572 --> 00:10:16,532
Obviously, you'll start
with the most critical
307
00:10:16,532 --> 00:10:18,993
of critical missile defense
sites and off-grid locations,
308
00:10:18,993 --> 00:10:19,827
things like that.
309
00:10:19,827 --> 00:10:21,370
And that's kind of defense.
310
00:10:21,370 --> 00:10:23,414
Then you think about commercial,
311
00:10:23,414 --> 00:10:26,626
basically you have to see where
the cost curves gets you to.
312
00:10:26,626 --> 00:10:28,085
Like how cheap can it get?
313
00:10:28,085 --> 00:10:29,211
This is just like space, right?
314
00:10:29,211 --> 00:10:32,757
It's like those first
expensive launches into space
315
00:10:32,757 --> 00:10:34,383
like that better have been
a really important thing
316
00:10:34,383 --> 00:10:35,259
you're putting up there, right?
317
00:10:35,259 --> 00:10:37,511
But now that launch cost has come down,
318
00:10:37,511 --> 00:10:38,888
you can start to be like, "Oh, what else?
319
00:10:38,888 --> 00:10:40,514
What else could we do that
we can do some more stuff
320
00:10:40,514 --> 00:10:42,850
that's like maybe not
so mission-critical?"
321
00:10:42,850 --> 00:10:44,560
I think we'll see the same thing
322
00:10:44,560 --> 00:10:46,312
in the commercial industries.
323
00:10:46,312 --> 00:10:49,398
Oil and gas has a lot of areas
324
00:10:49,398 --> 00:10:52,652
where they, again, use diesel generators
325
00:10:52,652 --> 00:10:55,488
to do things like compressed natural gas
326
00:10:55,488 --> 00:10:56,947
along their pipelines
327
00:10:56,947 --> 00:10:58,366
and they actually have carbon commitments,
328
00:10:58,366 --> 00:10:59,200
which are really interesting
329
00:10:59,200 --> 00:11:00,993
that they're sort of thinking about.
330
00:11:00,993 --> 00:11:02,203
Ironically, right?
331
00:11:02,203 --> 00:11:04,622
Can they move towards some more renewable
332
00:11:04,622 --> 00:11:05,831
or nuclear type resources?
333
00:11:05,831 --> 00:11:06,874
So I think there's going to be
334
00:11:06,874 --> 00:11:08,167
some commercial applications there too.
335
00:11:08,167 --> 00:11:09,585
Mining, for example, too.
336
00:11:09,585 --> 00:11:11,837
Like anything that's just like off-grid,
337
00:11:11,837 --> 00:11:13,506
hard to power today,
338
00:11:13,506 --> 00:11:14,840
really hard to get fuel into.
339
00:11:14,840 --> 00:11:16,342
It's perfect market.
Yes.
340
00:11:16,342 --> 00:11:17,802
You're probably following the US military,
341
00:11:17,802 --> 00:11:19,095
there's all these controversies right now
342
00:11:19,095 --> 00:11:20,680
with people talking about fuel quality
343
00:11:20,680 --> 00:11:23,683
and fuel contamination issues in Asia,
344
00:11:23,683 --> 00:11:25,184
I think it is. But yeah.
345
00:11:25,184 --> 00:11:26,894
Presumably places where you're worried
346
00:11:26,894 --> 00:11:29,855
about fuel availability at all times
347
00:11:29,855 --> 00:11:32,566
and ensuring that you
constantly have access to fuel.
348
00:11:32,566 --> 00:11:35,027
That is the place where
there will be the most pull
349
00:11:35,027 --> 00:11:36,237
for these solutions.
350
00:11:36,237 --> 00:11:37,947
Like that's where generators work worst.
351
00:11:37,947 --> 00:11:41,951
Yes, and you know, there's
a famous defense quote,
352
00:11:41,951 --> 00:11:44,578
I think it's "unleash us
from the tether of fuel,"
353
00:11:44,578 --> 00:11:45,746
which means just like,
354
00:11:45,746 --> 00:11:49,709
gosh, the logistics supply
chain has been such a challenge.
355
00:11:49,709 --> 00:11:51,544
I mean it was 50% of the—
356
00:11:51,544 --> 00:11:55,798
I think the Afghanistan casualties
were from just logistics.
357
00:11:55,798 --> 00:11:57,800
And so, you know, having situations
358
00:11:57,800 --> 00:11:59,885
where you can kind of reduce that risk
359
00:11:59,885 --> 00:12:02,847
helps and it's a great market fit.
360
00:12:02,847 --> 00:12:03,681
Yes.
361
00:12:03,681 --> 00:12:04,640
You were saying there's no market
362
00:12:04,640 --> 00:12:07,184
for these small reactors today.
363
00:12:07,184 --> 00:12:08,352
Why not?
364
00:12:08,352 --> 00:12:09,186
Like—
365
00:12:09,186 --> 00:12:10,855
We've had nuclear fission technology
366
00:12:10,855 --> 00:12:12,273
for a long time.
367
00:12:12,273 --> 00:12:13,107
Yeah.
368
00:12:13,107 --> 00:12:14,483
Why hasn't it been done?
369
00:12:14,483 --> 00:12:15,526
Gosh, there's so many reasons.
370
00:12:15,526 --> 00:12:16,610
I think we ended up...
371
00:12:16,610 --> 00:12:19,530
I think there was just a
macro really negative climate
372
00:12:19,530 --> 00:12:20,656
around nuclear in general.
373
00:12:20,656 --> 00:12:22,575
So it impacted anything small as well,
374
00:12:22,575 --> 00:12:24,201
coming out of the seventies,
375
00:12:24,201 --> 00:12:29,123
and so you had macro forces
related to just like inflation,
376
00:12:29,123 --> 00:12:30,624
kind of just cost of capital.
377
00:12:30,624 --> 00:12:31,876
People stopped building,
378
00:12:31,876 --> 00:12:34,003
which coincided with the
environmental movement,
379
00:12:34,003 --> 00:12:35,963
which was extremely anti-nuclear.
380
00:12:35,963 --> 00:12:39,675
They actually sort of conflated
nuclear weapons testing
381
00:12:39,675 --> 00:12:42,678
even with—it was just like
"no nukes" with energy.
382
00:12:42,678 --> 00:12:44,722
It's like, "Oh that's
actually pretty different."
383
00:12:44,722 --> 00:12:46,474
So a lot of things
converged in the seventies
384
00:12:46,474 --> 00:12:48,684
and then by the eighties we
stopped building in nuclear.
385
00:12:48,684 --> 00:12:49,518
Okay.
386
00:12:49,518 --> 00:12:51,270
So you just view it as
a part of the general
387
00:12:51,270 --> 00:12:55,399
anti-nuclear swing and thus also led to
388
00:12:55,399 --> 00:12:57,943
the cessation of construction
389
00:12:57,943 --> 00:13:00,529
of new nuclear plants in the
US and everything like this.
390
00:13:00,529 --> 00:13:03,491
Your corner of the market
also got caught up in that.
391
00:13:03,491 --> 00:13:06,035
And that's why we haven't
ended up with them.
392
00:13:06,035 --> 00:13:09,580
Were there ever products
available at this size range?
393
00:13:09,580 --> 00:13:12,041
There were but they were
pretty few and far between.
394
00:13:12,041 --> 00:13:15,336
Mostly test reactors, small things built.
395
00:13:15,336 --> 00:13:18,297
We actually put one reactor
into space in the 1960s
396
00:13:18,297 --> 00:13:19,131
to test that out.
397
00:13:19,131 --> 00:13:20,758
Did it work?
398
00:13:20,758 --> 00:13:21,592
Yeah, for a bit.
399
00:13:21,592 --> 00:13:23,260
I mean, a few months and was like,
400
00:13:23,260 --> 00:13:24,178
let's try to do some
401
00:13:24,178 --> 00:13:25,971
systems in space with power.
402
00:13:25,971 --> 00:13:27,431
It's important to have power in space
403
00:13:27,431 --> 00:13:30,059
and I think that's a whole other frontier.
404
00:13:30,059 --> 00:13:33,813
Obviously the US did
have this long-running,
405
00:13:33,813 --> 00:13:38,400
anti-nuclear bent where I
grew up in Ireland similarly.
406
00:13:38,400 --> 00:13:39,485
Yeah, there was the exact same thing
407
00:13:39,485 --> 00:13:40,694
and Ireland was very paranoid
408
00:13:40,694 --> 00:13:44,198
about a particular British
nuclear power plant, Sellafield,
409
00:13:44,198 --> 00:13:47,076
that was just across the
channel from Ireland.
410
00:13:47,076 --> 00:13:49,036
Does Ireland have nuclear?
411
00:13:49,036 --> 00:13:50,913
Ireland has no nuclear power.
412
00:13:50,913 --> 00:13:51,831
The UK does. France does.
413
00:13:51,831 --> 00:13:52,790
Ireland does not.
414
00:13:52,790 --> 00:13:55,125
And I believe it's banned
415
00:13:55,125 --> 00:13:57,795
and so you can't, per the current rules.
416
00:13:57,795 --> 00:13:59,588
There's actually many states in the US
417
00:13:59,588 --> 00:14:00,422
that have bans as well,
418
00:14:00,422 --> 00:14:02,049
but they've just been
falling left and right.
419
00:14:02,049 --> 00:14:03,008
It's so cool to see.
420
00:14:03,008 --> 00:14:04,635
Well I was going to ask this.
421
00:14:04,635 --> 00:14:09,223
The vibe has really shifted
over the past 10 to 15 years.
422
00:14:09,223 --> 00:14:10,558
Yep.
423
00:14:10,558 --> 00:14:11,600
Why?
424
00:14:11,600 --> 00:14:13,185
Honestly, it reminds me of gay marriage.
425
00:14:13,185 --> 00:14:15,604
I mean, and if you look at the polling.
426
00:14:15,604 --> 00:14:17,356
It came from the youth, right?
427
00:14:17,356 --> 00:14:18,858
It definitely comes from youth for sure.
428
00:14:18,858 --> 00:14:21,694
But it's like, it just...
Enough things add up
429
00:14:21,694 --> 00:14:24,154
and it just swings and no one
ever looks back type of thing.
430
00:14:24,154 --> 00:14:25,489
That's how it feels.
431
00:14:25,489 --> 00:14:27,741
The percentage point change we've seen
432
00:14:27,741 --> 00:14:29,743
in the last five to 10
years is almost 20 points.
433
00:14:29,743 --> 00:14:31,453
It's like 17 points or something.
434
00:14:31,453 --> 00:14:34,623
So it's 60-plus percent
of people support nuclear.
435
00:14:34,623 --> 00:14:36,584
It's actually almost surprising
it's that low in some ways.
436
00:14:36,584 --> 00:14:40,212
But yeah, it's just huge
public sentiment shift.
437
00:14:40,212 --> 00:14:44,174
And I think the old hippie nuclear testing
438
00:14:44,174 --> 00:14:47,261
or nuclear weapons testing
folks are kind of dying out.
439
00:14:47,261 --> 00:14:51,098
What is wild though is I did
a little kind of activism
440
00:14:51,098 --> 00:14:53,726
related to Diablo Canyon Power
Plant here in California,
441
00:14:53,726 --> 00:14:55,728
which was slated to be
shut down this year.
442
00:14:55,728 --> 00:14:56,729
Sure, yeah.
443
00:14:56,729 --> 00:14:58,355
And just a few years ago,
444
00:14:58,355 --> 00:15:00,357
Newsom had to kind of
begrudgingly say like,
445
00:15:00,357 --> 00:15:01,150
"Oh, you know what,
446
00:15:01,150 --> 00:15:02,318
we probably should keep this thing on.
447
00:15:02,318 --> 00:15:04,737
We can't afford to have
the power going out."
448
00:15:04,737 --> 00:15:06,614
But I listened in on some hearings
449
00:15:06,614 --> 00:15:08,032
and actually gave some testimony there.
450
00:15:08,032 --> 00:15:09,491
And it was so funny to me
451
00:15:09,491 --> 00:15:11,744
that the biggest
organization that showed up
452
00:15:11,744 --> 00:15:14,830
against Diablo Canyon was
called "Mothers for Peace."
453
00:15:14,830 --> 00:15:17,750
And it's like, do you understand
the irony of your name?
454
00:15:17,750 --> 00:15:18,834
This organization was that old
455
00:15:18,834 --> 00:15:21,754
that it was related to
like the nuclear Cold War.
456
00:15:21,754 --> 00:15:22,588
Right?
Totally.
457
00:15:22,588 --> 00:15:24,089
And it's like, gosh, we've moved on.
458
00:15:24,089 --> 00:15:25,799
We were joking because I, sort of, am part
459
00:15:25,799 --> 00:15:28,427
of this "Mothers for Nuclear" organization
460
00:15:28,427 --> 00:15:30,304
that's like tongue in cheek a bit on that.
461
00:15:30,304 --> 00:15:31,347
Our mothers against their mothers.
462
00:15:31,347 --> 00:15:34,016
Yeah, our mothers against their mothers.
463
00:15:34,016 --> 00:15:36,018
And it's just funny how old school
464
00:15:36,018 --> 00:15:37,728
a lot of that opposition is.
465
00:15:37,728 --> 00:15:40,648
So I guess as a "science
advances one death at a time"
466
00:15:40,648 --> 00:15:45,653
dynamic going on here, whereas
the memory of the 1960s
467
00:15:45,945 --> 00:15:49,990
and peak nuclear confrontation
468
00:15:49,990 --> 00:15:52,576
and, you know, Three Mile
Island and all these things.
469
00:15:52,576 --> 00:15:54,286
As all that fades,
470
00:15:54,286 --> 00:15:56,121
maybe it creates an environment
471
00:15:56,121 --> 00:15:57,623
where people could be more
supportive of nuclear.
472
00:15:57,623 --> 00:15:58,874
Yeah, absolutely.
Yeah.
473
00:15:58,874 --> 00:16:00,542
What was your activism
around Diablo Canyon?
474
00:16:00,542 --> 00:16:01,460
It was just exactly that.
475
00:16:01,460 --> 00:16:03,462
It was like, let's make sure
that this actually passes
476
00:16:03,462 --> 00:16:05,005
and we don't shut it down.
477
00:16:05,005 --> 00:16:05,839
But it's safe.
478
00:16:05,839 --> 00:16:06,840
But there was a lot of people
just calling and saying,
479
00:16:06,840 --> 00:16:09,927
"Hey listen, nuclear's super
safe, it's carbon-free.
480
00:16:09,927 --> 00:16:12,388
Ostensibly, in California,
we care about these things.
481
00:16:12,388 --> 00:16:13,681
Let's support this.
482
00:16:13,681 --> 00:16:16,517
Let's overturn whatever
legislation was done
483
00:16:16,517 --> 00:16:18,560
10 years ago that said we
should shut this thing down."
484
00:16:18,560 --> 00:16:19,395
And it did pass.
485
00:16:19,395 --> 00:16:21,313
So now we do still have it open.
486
00:16:21,313 --> 00:16:24,274
Everyone on "Progress
Twitter" likes to complain
487
00:16:24,274 --> 00:16:25,901
about the NRC,
488
00:16:25,901 --> 00:16:28,779
but for the NRC we would be living in
489
00:16:28,779 --> 00:16:31,615
that Jetsons vision of the future
490
00:16:31,615 --> 00:16:33,200
and everyone would have their
491
00:16:33,200 --> 00:16:34,952
nuclear-powered car
that they used to drive
492
00:16:34,952 --> 00:16:36,829
to their nuclear-powered
office and everything.
493
00:16:36,829 --> 00:16:39,164
Is that true?
494
00:16:39,164 --> 00:16:41,291
How good or bad is the current
regulatory environment?
495
00:16:41,291 --> 00:16:42,793
How much is that changing?
496
00:16:42,793 --> 00:16:43,877
Yeah, yeah.
497
00:16:43,877 --> 00:16:47,381
I think it's an overestimated
headwind. Certainly today.
498
00:16:47,381 --> 00:16:49,174
I think if you go back five years ago,
499
00:16:49,174 --> 00:16:50,300
10 years ago for sure,
500
00:16:50,300 --> 00:16:53,387
I mean they hadn't licensed
anything in decades.
501
00:16:53,387 --> 00:16:54,722
There had been nothing new.
502
00:16:55,764 --> 00:16:58,642
But I can't even tell
you how much has changed
503
00:16:58,642 --> 00:16:59,518
in the last few years.
504
00:16:59,518 --> 00:17:00,811
It's kind of remarkable.
505
00:17:00,811 --> 00:17:02,771
And it's been across both the Biden
506
00:17:02,771 --> 00:17:03,981
and the Trump administration,
507
00:17:03,981 --> 00:17:04,898
which is amazing to see.
508
00:17:04,898 --> 00:17:07,693
The legislation around nuclear passes like
509
00:17:07,693 --> 00:17:10,738
95 to 5 type of thing, right?
510
00:17:10,738 --> 00:17:13,657
It's like really, really
strong bipartisan...
511
00:17:13,657 --> 00:17:16,452
What was interesting to see
is it started with Biden,
512
00:17:16,452 --> 00:17:19,204
a bunch of legislation
related to modernizing
513
00:17:19,204 --> 00:17:20,706
and reforming the NRC.
514
00:17:20,706 --> 00:17:23,250
The biggest thing they did
was they changed the mandate
515
00:17:23,250 --> 00:17:24,710
of the NRC and they said,
516
00:17:24,710 --> 00:17:27,463
"You are no longer
focused just on safety,"
517
00:17:27,463 --> 00:17:28,672
because what's the safest number
518
00:17:28,672 --> 00:17:30,257
of nuclear reactors to license?
519
00:17:30,257 --> 00:17:32,634
Zero, so they expanded that,
520
00:17:32,634 --> 00:17:34,470
"You must consider the full environment,
521
00:17:34,470 --> 00:17:36,055
the full civilization."
522
00:17:36,055 --> 00:17:36,972
That's great.
523
00:17:36,972 --> 00:17:38,557
And then just change things around
524
00:17:38,557 --> 00:17:41,268
like the advanced reactor pathway,
525
00:17:41,268 --> 00:17:42,478
removing some of the barriers.
526
00:17:42,478 --> 00:17:44,104
And then it's continued on with Trump
527
00:17:44,104 --> 00:17:45,272
and in fact he's sort of added
528
00:17:45,272 --> 00:17:48,317
even some more teeth and specificity.
529
00:17:48,317 --> 00:17:50,444
So right now, they've changed it to,
530
00:17:50,444 --> 00:17:53,864
"You have 18 months to get
your answer from the NRC.
531
00:17:53,864 --> 00:17:54,948
License or no license."
532
00:17:54,948 --> 00:17:57,159
Like do you pass or not?
533
00:17:57,159 --> 00:17:59,828
And what happens if they
exceed the 18-month window?
534
00:17:59,828 --> 00:18:02,122
You know, probably it's
in the details somewhere.
535
00:18:02,122 --> 00:18:05,000
But the point is that
these have been declared
536
00:18:05,000 --> 00:18:07,294
that timeliness is important.
537
00:18:07,294 --> 00:18:08,545
There's also been some leadership change,
538
00:18:08,545 --> 00:18:11,173
which is just more
reform-oriented, which is great,
539
00:18:11,173 --> 00:18:12,883
and there's just a huge microscope on it.
540
00:18:12,883 --> 00:18:13,842
Everyone's watching.
541
00:18:13,842 --> 00:18:17,638
Everyone knows who's
submitting their paperwork
542
00:18:17,638 --> 00:18:20,015
and what's going to
come out the other side.
543
00:18:20,015 --> 00:18:21,934
Another thing that happened
with some of these Trump
544
00:18:21,934 --> 00:18:24,603
executive orders is the DOE pathways,
545
00:18:24,603 --> 00:18:25,729
Department of Energy pathways,
546
00:18:25,729 --> 00:18:29,108
have been also unopened and
unblocked for test reactors.
547
00:18:29,108 --> 00:18:30,609
And so actually Antares is part
548
00:18:30,609 --> 00:18:33,904
of this new test reactor
program which allows the DOE
549
00:18:34,947 --> 00:18:37,116
alongside usually like Idaho National Lab
550
00:18:37,116 --> 00:18:39,451
to be sort of your regulator
551
00:18:39,451 --> 00:18:41,662
as you're testing your first reactors
552
00:18:41,662 --> 00:18:43,664
so that you don't have to
spend all this time upfront
553
00:18:43,664 --> 00:18:45,249
with the NRC for something
554
00:18:45,249 --> 00:18:48,377
that you're just still
innovating on and iterating on.
555
00:18:48,377 --> 00:18:50,879
And so that's a really nice, I think,
556
00:18:50,879 --> 00:18:53,215
first step before you go through the NRC.
557
00:18:53,215 --> 00:18:55,050
Wait, so let me make sure
I'm giving this right.
558
00:18:55,050 --> 00:18:56,927
There is now a Trump-era change
559
00:18:56,927 --> 00:18:58,679
where we essentially
for the first time ever
560
00:18:58,679 --> 00:19:00,764
have a second nuclear regulator
561
00:19:00,764 --> 00:19:02,724
where you can go the NRC path
562
00:19:02,724 --> 00:19:06,019
but also there's a regulatory
sandbox where you can start
563
00:19:06,019 --> 00:19:09,648
by working with the DOE and
get up and running there.
564
00:19:09,648 --> 00:19:11,233
Yeah, that's essentially right.
565
00:19:11,233 --> 00:19:12,609
How big is the sandbox?
566
00:19:12,609 --> 00:19:15,028
I mean, the DOE has always been a path.
567
00:19:15,028 --> 00:19:16,572
There actually technically
has always been a path
568
00:19:16,572 --> 00:19:17,614
within the military
569
00:19:17,614 --> 00:19:19,491
because they license their
own reactors with submarines.
570
00:19:19,491 --> 00:19:21,535
So it's always kind of been there but
571
00:19:21,535 --> 00:19:24,913
hard to navigate, not
well-staffed, not well-known about.
572
00:19:24,913 --> 00:19:27,040
And now it's like everyone's watching.
573
00:19:27,040 --> 00:19:30,919
Let's go DOE, let's go INL,
574
00:19:30,919 --> 00:19:33,589
Idaho National Lab, and let's
make these things happen.
575
00:19:33,589 --> 00:19:35,632
So there's just been a lot of stated like,
576
00:19:35,632 --> 00:19:37,551
"You must enable this thing."
577
00:19:37,551 --> 00:19:39,261
And like, now here's some...
578
00:19:39,261 --> 00:19:41,513
It's actually a $0 program,
579
00:19:41,513 --> 00:19:43,932
but it gives you unlimited access to staff
580
00:19:43,932 --> 00:19:45,475
and all these other things.
581
00:19:45,475 --> 00:19:47,144
And the point is like everyone's watching
582
00:19:47,144 --> 00:19:48,312
to see how fast you can get
583
00:19:48,312 --> 00:19:50,022
one of these reactors through safely.
584
00:19:50,022 --> 00:19:51,690
So are you guys going
the DOE routes first?
585
00:19:51,690 --> 00:19:52,816
Yep, we are.
586
00:19:52,816 --> 00:19:55,903
And the DOD route, I mean to say like,
587
00:19:55,903 --> 00:20:00,490
the Army is now also able
to license its own reactors,
588
00:20:00,490 --> 00:20:03,410
alongside the Navy which already does.
589
00:20:03,410 --> 00:20:05,204
So that will absolutely be our first stop.
590
00:20:05,204 --> 00:20:10,083
The NRC really only regulates
civilian electricity.
591
00:20:10,083 --> 00:20:11,501
So civilian power.
592
00:20:11,501 --> 00:20:13,003
So we actually don't need
to even go there yet.
593
00:20:13,003 --> 00:20:13,837
I see.
594
00:20:13,837 --> 00:20:15,214
So you could be selling a lot of reactors
595
00:20:15,214 --> 00:20:16,798
and never go through the NRC.
596
00:20:16,798 --> 00:20:20,719
We'll basically do our
test reactors with the DOE.
597
00:20:20,719 --> 00:20:23,305
Alongside the DOD who can now—
598
00:20:23,305 --> 00:20:25,515
who has the jurisdiction to regulate.
599
00:20:25,515 --> 00:20:27,976
Which is great.
I didn't know that.
600
00:20:27,976 --> 00:20:29,895
So this is the rare bipartisan issue.
601
00:20:29,895 --> 00:20:32,231
It's a true... Kind of a gem.
602
00:20:32,231 --> 00:20:37,236
I can paint three clean energy futures.
603
00:20:37,277 --> 00:20:42,241
One is the solar and
regular renewables view.
604
00:20:42,241 --> 00:20:44,493
You know, Casey Handmer
was just on this podcast.
605
00:20:44,493 --> 00:20:46,578
And solar will get very cheap.
606
00:20:46,578 --> 00:20:48,580
Batteries will get cheap enough
607
00:20:48,580 --> 00:20:52,084
such that you can go all
in on solar and batteries.
608
00:20:52,084 --> 00:20:53,627
Maybe some other renewables in the mix.
609
00:20:53,627 --> 00:20:54,711
But there you go. That's it.
610
00:20:54,711 --> 00:20:56,171
Nothing will be able to
cost-compete with that.
611
00:20:56,171 --> 00:20:57,256
That's one vision.
612
00:20:57,256 --> 00:21:00,550
Another is that we will
rediscover nuclear fission
613
00:21:00,550 --> 00:21:03,011
and we'll figure out the spent fuel
614
00:21:03,011 --> 00:21:04,137
and everything like that.
615
00:21:04,137 --> 00:21:07,182
And we'll just do what we used to do,
616
00:21:07,182 --> 00:21:10,310
which is build nuclear power
plants at larger scale.
617
00:21:10,310 --> 00:21:12,396
And that delivers us enough clean energy.
618
00:21:12,396 --> 00:21:15,816
A third view is that fusion will work
619
00:21:15,816 --> 00:21:19,361
and we'll actually have nuclear fusion at
620
00:21:19,361 --> 00:21:21,488
useful, meaningful scale of the grid.
621
00:21:21,488 --> 00:21:23,073
Between those scenarios,
622
00:21:23,073 --> 00:21:24,366
how would you handicap them?
623
00:21:24,366 --> 00:21:26,660
I think it's... You know,
I'm going to leave fusion out
624
00:21:26,660 --> 00:21:27,828
because I'm not enough of an expert
625
00:21:27,828 --> 00:21:30,372
to know when and how that will happen.
626
00:21:30,372 --> 00:21:31,331
I would love for that to happen.
627
00:21:31,331 --> 00:21:32,541
How exciting, right?
628
00:21:32,541 --> 00:21:34,293
Between the first two,
629
00:21:34,293 --> 00:21:38,338
we do a lot of market
manipulation of our energy markets
630
00:21:38,338 --> 00:21:40,007
and there's a little bit of like,
631
00:21:40,007 --> 00:21:42,551
flavor of the administration
that does happen,
632
00:21:42,551 --> 00:21:45,345
especially between renewables
and oil and gas, right?
633
00:21:45,345 --> 00:21:48,181
Nuclear's been a little bit actually
634
00:21:48,181 --> 00:21:49,558
immune to that.
635
00:21:49,558 --> 00:21:52,060
But there hasn't really
been almost a true market
636
00:21:52,060 --> 00:21:52,894
for this stuff.
637
00:21:52,894 --> 00:21:54,938
Like the renewables have
been heavily subsidized
638
00:21:54,938 --> 00:21:57,482
for a while and nuclear has not been.
639
00:21:57,482 --> 00:21:59,526
That did change in 2022 with the IRA.
640
00:21:59,526 --> 00:22:01,403
There's now production
tax credits for nuclear,
641
00:22:01,403 --> 00:22:03,572
which has a lot of ripple effects.
642
00:22:03,572 --> 00:22:06,033
But I think we're going
to see a lot more progress
643
00:22:06,033 --> 00:22:07,868
with solar and batteries in particular.
644
00:22:07,868 --> 00:22:10,912
There is a reason, however,
that the hyperscalers
645
00:22:10,912 --> 00:22:13,040
who are committed to their climate targets
646
00:22:13,040 --> 00:22:15,709
are not just going for,
you know, solar farms.
647
00:22:15,709 --> 00:22:17,544
Like why are even thinking about nuclear
648
00:22:17,544 --> 00:22:18,837
if solar is so cheap?
649
00:22:18,837 --> 00:22:20,005
And it's because actually
650
00:22:20,005 --> 00:22:23,425
to get true hundred
percent, 24/7 coverage,
651
00:22:23,425 --> 00:22:26,094
the battery or the excess
build-out is massive.
652
00:22:26,094 --> 00:22:27,596
It is really expensive.
653
00:22:27,596 --> 00:22:30,307
It's basically on par with nuclear costs.
654
00:22:30,307 --> 00:22:31,933
So we're not there yet.
655
00:22:31,933 --> 00:22:33,226
It's one thing to say.
656
00:22:33,226 --> 00:22:36,855
The other is that the cost of solar
657
00:22:36,855 --> 00:22:39,775
at the panel level is dirt cheap, right?
658
00:22:39,775 --> 00:22:41,526
And installing it dirt cheap,
659
00:22:41,526 --> 00:22:44,237
but to actually integrate
it, build the transmission,
660
00:22:44,237 --> 00:22:47,115
and then the added grid complexity
661
00:22:47,115 --> 00:22:49,993
where you need now these
peaker gas plants to run
662
00:22:49,993 --> 00:22:51,953
when the the clouds come
663
00:22:51,953 --> 00:22:52,788
and that kind of thing.
664
00:22:52,788 --> 00:22:54,373
That actually has a ton of costs
665
00:22:54,373 --> 00:22:55,499
and it's sort of hidden costs.
666
00:22:55,499 --> 00:22:57,793
I think it's underappreciated certainly
667
00:22:57,793 --> 00:22:59,711
by the solar maxis out there.
668
00:22:59,711 --> 00:23:01,421
It's real, you know,
669
00:23:01,421 --> 00:23:03,799
and so I think we're always
going to want to have
670
00:23:03,799 --> 00:23:06,134
multiple sources of energy, right?
671
00:23:06,134 --> 00:23:08,053
It's like diversity is good.
672
00:23:08,053 --> 00:23:09,012
It's like if one thing—
673
00:23:09,012 --> 00:23:11,181
if natural gas prices are
through the roof, hey,
674
00:23:11,181 --> 00:23:12,140
we have these other things.
675
00:23:12,140 --> 00:23:14,017
We have this base load nuclear,
676
00:23:14,017 --> 00:23:17,104
which has been just like so stable for us.
677
00:23:17,104 --> 00:23:18,814
And I think we're going to
want to have everything.
678
00:23:18,814 --> 00:23:20,273
I actually don't think
there's going to be a world
679
00:23:20,273 --> 00:23:23,026
that's going to be like a
hundred percent nuclear.
680
00:23:23,026 --> 00:23:27,030
But is diversity of energy
sources valuable because
681
00:23:27,030 --> 00:23:29,574
the solar maximalist
would say, "No, it's fine.
682
00:23:29,574 --> 00:23:31,243
Solar will just take everything."
683
00:23:31,243 --> 00:23:33,912
And wouldn't the nuclear maximalist say
684
00:23:33,912 --> 00:23:35,205
just we can have a lot of, you know,
685
00:23:35,205 --> 00:23:37,541
we figure out how to at scale
produce nuclear power plants
686
00:23:37,541 --> 00:23:38,875
and why do you need nat gas?
687
00:23:38,875 --> 00:23:40,377
Why do you need anything else?
688
00:23:40,377 --> 00:23:43,171
It's a good push if you are able to own,
689
00:23:43,171 --> 00:23:45,715
through and through,
your whole supply chain.
690
00:23:45,715 --> 00:23:46,800
You make the panels.
691
00:23:46,800 --> 00:23:49,094
You mine and process the minerals,
692
00:23:49,094 --> 00:23:51,471
which we have like zero
interest in doing as Americans.
693
00:23:51,471 --> 00:23:54,224
All that dirty work is done
in China and elsewhere.
694
00:23:54,224 --> 00:23:55,517
If you really did all that yourself,
695
00:23:55,517 --> 00:23:58,061
then I could say, okay,
you own it. You can do it.
696
00:23:58,061 --> 00:23:59,396
Right now at least you have,
697
00:23:59,396 --> 00:24:01,648
"Hey, if your natural gas
pipelines get shut down,
698
00:24:01,648 --> 00:24:02,774
actually it's not a problem for us.
699
00:24:02,774 --> 00:24:05,819
We're not even an importer anymore.
700
00:24:05,819 --> 00:24:07,571
We're actually good."
701
00:24:07,571 --> 00:24:08,864
This is actually the reason that...
702
00:24:08,864 --> 00:24:11,658
Do you know what percentage
of France's electricity
703
00:24:11,658 --> 00:24:12,784
is from nuclear?
704
00:24:13,702 --> 00:24:14,995
It's declining, right?
705
00:24:14,995 --> 00:24:17,414
But historically it's been around 70%.
706
00:24:17,414 --> 00:24:18,248
Yep.
Yeah.
707
00:24:18,248 --> 00:24:19,791
Do you know the US?
708
00:24:19,791 --> 00:24:20,667
The US for nuclear?
709
00:24:20,667 --> 00:24:23,587
Oh, it's small. It's 5-10%.
710
00:24:23,587 --> 00:24:24,754
It's actually more.
711
00:24:24,754 --> 00:24:25,881
Really?
18.
712
00:24:25,881 --> 00:24:26,673
Oh, okay.
713
00:24:26,673 --> 00:24:28,300
And everyone thinks it's below 5-10%.
714
00:24:28,300 --> 00:24:29,759
It's like, when I got into this,
715
00:24:29,759 --> 00:24:30,927
I thought it was like 2%.
716
00:24:30,927 --> 00:24:33,263
But anyway, my point is
that France made a very,
717
00:24:33,263 --> 00:24:35,724
very deliberate decision
to actually go to 70%,
718
00:24:35,724 --> 00:24:37,934
if not more at the time in the seventies
719
00:24:37,934 --> 00:24:39,853
because they had no carbon resources.
720
00:24:39,853 --> 00:24:41,188
So they didn't have the ability to say,
721
00:24:41,188 --> 00:24:43,899
"Oh, we'll just dig in our
backyard and we'll be fine."
722
00:24:43,899 --> 00:24:47,235
And actually uranium,
while it does require
723
00:24:47,235 --> 00:24:48,195
digging out of ground or whatever,
724
00:24:48,195 --> 00:24:49,905
is so much easier to store.
725
00:24:49,905 --> 00:24:52,657
It's a million times as dense as coal.
726
00:24:52,657 --> 00:24:55,076
So it's a lot easier to work with than...
727
00:24:55,076 --> 00:24:58,246
The reason people get uptight
about oil and gas supply
728
00:24:58,246 --> 00:25:00,207
is that it's like not easy to store.
729
00:25:00,207 --> 00:25:01,917
And if it's not easier for you to come by,
730
00:25:01,917 --> 00:25:04,669
you better well have good
geopolitical relationships.
731
00:25:04,669 --> 00:25:05,962
Yes, yes.
So anyway,
732
00:25:05,962 --> 00:25:07,339
this world and where it's headed,
733
00:25:07,339 --> 00:25:10,842
I think it's still going to
involve multiple sources.
734
00:25:17,807 --> 00:25:20,227
Julia's work involves
managing a lot of risk:
735
00:25:20,227 --> 00:25:21,895
unsolved physics, complex engineering,
736
00:25:21,895 --> 00:25:23,772
and a lot of regulatory scrutiny.
737
00:25:23,772 --> 00:25:25,565
Managing risk for an internet retailer
738
00:25:25,565 --> 00:25:26,775
shouldn't be that complex,
739
00:25:26,775 --> 00:25:28,485
but sometimes it can feel like it.
740
00:25:28,485 --> 00:25:31,279
Internet fraudsters now
operate on industrial scales.
741
00:25:31,279 --> 00:25:32,989
They attack strategically
when you're sleeping
742
00:25:32,989 --> 00:25:35,450
and they use AI to
sharpen their attacks now.
743
00:25:35,450 --> 00:25:38,537
Stripe's defense against
fraud comes from its scale.
744
00:25:38,537 --> 00:25:40,038
When a payment happens on your site,
745
00:25:40,038 --> 00:25:42,832
there's a 92% chance we've
seen that exact card before.
746
00:25:42,832 --> 00:25:45,043
So it's easier for us to spot misuse.
747
00:25:45,043 --> 00:25:46,294
And we recently expanded Radar
748
00:25:46,294 --> 00:25:47,796
to block other kinds of fraud,
749
00:25:47,796 --> 00:25:51,132
like free trial abuse, promotion
abuse and refund abuse.
750
00:25:51,132 --> 00:25:53,510
Stripe now processes trillions
of dollars of payments
751
00:25:53,510 --> 00:25:56,054
each year and every transaction
in the Stripe network
752
00:25:56,054 --> 00:25:58,098
makes the next one safer for everyone.
753
00:25:58,098 --> 00:25:59,808
So you can focus on your product
754
00:25:59,808 --> 00:26:02,894
and not on developing a
world-class counter-fraud division.
755
00:26:02,894 --> 00:26:04,271
To let Radar handle the fraud
756
00:26:04,271 --> 00:26:06,189
so you can get back to
building your product,
757
00:26:06,189 --> 00:26:07,983
go to stripe.com/radar.
758
00:26:11,319 --> 00:26:13,905
Tell me about the supply
chain for nuclear fuels.
759
00:26:13,905 --> 00:26:15,115
Yeah, I mean,
760
00:26:15,115 --> 00:26:16,491
you dig uranium out of the ground
761
00:26:16,491 --> 00:26:19,369
and then you need to convert
it to a gaseous state
762
00:26:19,369 --> 00:26:21,037
so that you can enrich it and have the...
763
00:26:21,037 --> 00:26:22,789
you kind of put in a centrifuge.
764
00:26:22,789 --> 00:26:25,667
It goes like this and the
heavier isotopes go out
765
00:26:25,667 --> 00:26:27,502
and the lighter ones stay in
766
00:26:27,502 --> 00:26:29,754
and you can pick those out
and make those into your fuel.
767
00:26:29,754 --> 00:26:31,881
The mining part has been something
768
00:26:31,881 --> 00:26:33,091
that we've hardly kept alive.
769
00:26:33,091 --> 00:26:33,925
I mean there was, at one point,
770
00:26:33,925 --> 00:26:37,512
a couple of mining
operations going in the US.
771
00:26:37,512 --> 00:26:38,930
The last 10 years or so,
772
00:26:38,930 --> 00:26:42,017
it's been like 1% of
nuclear fuel used in the US
773
00:26:42,017 --> 00:26:44,561
was actually domestically mined.
774
00:26:44,561 --> 00:26:46,396
Where are the last
uranium mines in the US?
775
00:26:46,396 --> 00:26:48,231
They're places where you would think:
776
00:26:48,231 --> 00:26:50,483
Texas, Wyoming, those sorts of places.
777
00:26:51,359 --> 00:26:53,361
In the western states.
778
00:26:53,361 --> 00:26:55,780
But we now again, like
everything else have said,
779
00:26:55,780 --> 00:26:57,824
"Okay, wake up, let's actually
reshore some of this stuff."
780
00:26:57,824 --> 00:27:00,619
So we're starting to
see more uranium mining.
781
00:27:00,619 --> 00:27:03,455
Conversion and enrichment is
still largely done overseas.
782
00:27:03,455 --> 00:27:07,292
And yeah, we're still buying
like almost 50% of our uranium
783
00:27:07,292 --> 00:27:10,420
from Russia and kind of ex-Soviet states.
784
00:27:10,420 --> 00:27:13,798
So I think it is important
that we're thinking about like,
785
00:27:13,798 --> 00:27:16,343
how do we have far more of
a domestic supply chain?
786
00:27:16,343 --> 00:27:17,552
We have the ability to do it.
787
00:27:17,552 --> 00:27:19,220
We have the uranium and actually
788
00:27:19,220 --> 00:27:21,598
there's a little bit of Silicon Valley DNA
789
00:27:21,598 --> 00:27:23,892
entering the space with General Matter,
790
00:27:23,892 --> 00:27:26,144
which is Scott Nolan's
company out of Founders Fund.
791
00:27:26,144 --> 00:27:28,438
So he's getting into the enrichment space.
792
00:27:28,438 --> 00:27:30,315
They're a uranium enrichment company.
793
00:27:30,315 --> 00:27:32,233
They're a uranium enrichment company,
794
00:27:32,233 --> 00:27:36,488
which is like real picks
and shovels for a real hard
795
00:27:36,488 --> 00:27:38,948
atoms business to do that.
796
00:27:38,948 --> 00:27:41,159
But I think it's really meaningful work.
797
00:27:41,159 --> 00:27:42,452
I think it's really important.
798
00:27:42,452 --> 00:27:44,621
Do you care more about the mining,
799
00:27:44,621 --> 00:27:45,914
the enrichment happening in the US,
800
00:27:45,914 --> 00:27:47,916
or just there has to be
801
00:27:47,916 --> 00:27:48,958
an independent supply
chain for the whole thing?
802
00:27:48,958 --> 00:27:51,086
I think you just want diversity.
803
00:27:51,086 --> 00:27:53,588
You know, you don't want
everything from one place.
804
00:27:53,588 --> 00:27:55,215
And I think we do want to have capability.
805
00:27:55,215 --> 00:27:58,259
So I think all of it should be
at least partially done here
806
00:27:58,259 --> 00:27:59,260
and with our allies.
807
00:27:59,260 --> 00:28:00,595
How did you end up starting Antares?
808
00:28:00,595 --> 00:28:01,429
Gosh, I mean...
809
00:28:01,429 --> 00:28:02,722
Like most people do not
happen on this kind of idea.
810
00:28:02,722 --> 00:28:04,849
No, you kind of don't
really happen upon it.
811
00:28:04,849 --> 00:28:06,893
I was working at SpaceX at the time
812
00:28:06,893 --> 00:28:09,771
when I first started
reading about nuclear.
813
00:28:09,771 --> 00:28:11,272
And it was when I was actually working
814
00:28:11,272 --> 00:28:13,233
on getting Starlinks into Ukraine.
815
00:28:13,233 --> 00:28:15,694
So after Russia invaded Ukraine.
816
00:28:15,694 --> 00:28:17,862
And I just started like reading more
817
00:28:17,862 --> 00:28:18,947
about the conflict there,
818
00:28:18,947 --> 00:28:20,448
probably more than I normally would have,
819
00:28:20,448 --> 00:28:22,575
because I was actually
speaking with Ukrainians
820
00:28:22,575 --> 00:28:24,911
and like thinking about
what was going on there.
821
00:28:24,911 --> 00:28:25,745
I was a history major.
822
00:28:25,745 --> 00:28:27,497
So I think there was just
a little bit of like,
823
00:28:27,497 --> 00:28:29,958
"Oh, geopolitics.
Resources are important."
824
00:28:29,958 --> 00:28:31,960
Russia has a lot of resources.
825
00:28:31,960 --> 00:28:35,672
You know, randomly, my cousin
is the CEO of a glass factory,
826
00:28:35,672 --> 00:28:37,507
making literally glasses like this.
827
00:28:37,507 --> 00:28:38,341
And he is like,
828
00:28:38,341 --> 00:28:40,301
"We're going bankrupt
because of energy prices."
829
00:28:40,301 --> 00:28:42,387
And you're like, "Golly,
what is going on?"
830
00:28:42,387 --> 00:28:44,180
And then I read about Germany
831
00:28:44,180 --> 00:28:45,932
and the nuclear power plants
they were shutting off
832
00:28:45,932 --> 00:28:47,892
to turn on coal in a place that is like—
833
00:28:47,892 --> 00:28:49,102
It was so insane.
Green Party.
834
00:28:49,102 --> 00:28:50,270
Crazy, right?
Lost their minds.
835
00:28:50,270 --> 00:28:53,148
So I was like, "What
could be so compelling
836
00:28:53,148 --> 00:28:55,108
that someone would do something
837
00:28:55,108 --> 00:28:57,318
so counter to their own good," right?
838
00:28:57,318 --> 00:28:59,320
As a country, as a nation.
839
00:28:59,320 --> 00:29:03,074
And I, at the time, again, I
knew nothing about nuclear.
840
00:29:03,074 --> 00:29:04,659
I didn't know the difference
between fission and fusion,
841
00:29:04,659 --> 00:29:05,535
honestly, at the time.
842
00:29:05,535 --> 00:29:06,619
I certainly didn't know
843
00:29:06,619 --> 00:29:09,706
that it was a pretty big part
of our grid and other things.
844
00:29:09,706 --> 00:29:10,665
But it just was one of those
845
00:29:10,665 --> 00:29:12,250
like completely under-celebrated,
846
00:29:12,250 --> 00:29:14,836
under-championed by anyone.
847
00:29:14,836 --> 00:29:16,004
The climate tech...
848
00:29:16,004 --> 00:29:18,047
Climate people really
weren't into it either.
849
00:29:18,047 --> 00:29:20,258
And so it just kind of
got me curious about it
850
00:29:20,258 --> 00:29:21,843
and then just started reading more.
851
00:29:21,843 --> 00:29:24,220
Wrote a piece that I posted on Twitter
852
00:29:24,220 --> 00:29:28,016
and it's actually how I met
Jordan, who's my co-founder,
853
00:29:28,016 --> 00:29:29,476
and he's the one who
actually had the vision
854
00:29:29,476 --> 00:29:32,395
for micro-reactors for the military.
855
00:29:32,395 --> 00:29:34,522
And I just said, "What a
great beachhead". Like again,
856
00:29:34,522 --> 00:29:37,901
premium power, great thesis
to go to market with,
857
00:29:37,901 --> 00:29:40,278
and just really got into the topic.
858
00:29:40,278 --> 00:29:42,405
How did you arrive at that as a beachhead?
859
00:29:42,405 --> 00:29:43,740
I think, you know, you just say like,
860
00:29:43,740 --> 00:29:46,534
where can you go that
you don't have to compete
861
00:29:46,534 --> 00:29:49,954
on that LCOE level against
the cheap solar panels.
862
00:29:49,954 --> 00:29:52,540
Where do you go where there's a real need?
863
00:29:52,540 --> 00:29:55,043
And mission assurance
864
00:29:55,043 --> 00:29:57,003
for something critical to the military.
865
00:29:57,003 --> 00:29:58,713
Like, they will pay for that.
866
00:29:58,713 --> 00:30:00,673
This is also an area where like they
867
00:30:00,673 --> 00:30:02,675
were obviously behind
the Manhattan Project.
868
00:30:02,675 --> 00:30:05,929
They're here to help
develop new technologies.
869
00:30:05,929 --> 00:30:07,639
And so what a great partner to have
870
00:30:07,639 --> 00:30:09,557
when trying to do something like this.
871
00:30:09,557 --> 00:30:11,267
Has DARPA played with this stuff at all?
872
00:30:11,267 --> 00:30:13,102
Or has it come from... It
sounds like you're working
873
00:30:13,102 --> 00:30:14,813
with the main branches of the military.
874
00:30:14,813 --> 00:30:17,190
Yeah, you know, we are
not working with DARPA
875
00:30:17,190 --> 00:30:19,943
mostly because it's actually
not as technically risky
876
00:30:19,943 --> 00:30:21,820
as you might even think.
877
00:30:21,820 --> 00:30:23,696
They prefer things
further at the risk curve.
878
00:30:23,696 --> 00:30:24,572
Exactly.
879
00:30:24,572 --> 00:30:26,366
We actually... In a funny way,
880
00:30:26,366 --> 00:30:29,077
it's not even really a tech problem.
881
00:30:29,077 --> 00:30:31,371
You know, I mean it's hard
to build these things,
882
00:30:31,371 --> 00:30:32,497
but it's not brand new.
883
00:30:32,497 --> 00:30:33,331
But someone just needs to know how to—
884
00:30:33,331 --> 00:30:35,124
It's not novel in that way.
885
00:30:35,124 --> 00:30:36,668
That's interesting.
886
00:30:36,668 --> 00:30:38,086
What lessons have you brought
887
00:30:38,086 --> 00:30:40,922
from your prior experience
at SpaceX, at Opendoor
888
00:30:40,922 --> 00:30:42,674
to building Antares?
889
00:30:42,674 --> 00:30:46,427
You know, one of the things I
really took away from SpaceX
890
00:30:46,427 --> 00:30:48,847
was just like really getting into it.
891
00:30:48,847 --> 00:30:51,683
It's a very confrontational culture
892
00:30:51,683 --> 00:30:55,520
and it's not afraid to say
like, "Screw your next meeting.
893
00:30:55,520 --> 00:30:57,814
We need to keep talking about this."
894
00:30:57,814 --> 00:30:58,857
And I love that.
895
00:30:58,857 --> 00:31:00,650
Like, I want to bring that
energy everywhere I go.
896
00:31:00,650 --> 00:31:04,320
It's like, if you are
unsure about something,
897
00:31:04,320 --> 00:31:06,239
if you're questioning something,
898
00:31:06,239 --> 00:31:09,325
you should probably stop and dig into it.
899
00:31:09,325 --> 00:31:11,327
We had this thing called the "Five Whys,"
900
00:31:11,327 --> 00:31:12,704
I don't know if you ever use—
901
00:31:12,704 --> 00:31:14,539
In general, yeah.
It's like a...
902
00:31:14,539 --> 00:31:17,375
one of these Silicon Valley little quips.
903
00:31:17,375 --> 00:31:19,127
But it's like that on steroids.
904
00:31:19,127 --> 00:31:24,132
And I think the pausing
to probe super deeply,
905
00:31:24,966 --> 00:31:28,344
question things, like
really hash things out
906
00:31:28,344 --> 00:31:30,346
was a big takeaway I learned.
907
00:31:30,346 --> 00:31:32,974
Like, wow, that's really effective
908
00:31:32,974 --> 00:31:34,392
at getting to the right answer,
909
00:31:34,392 --> 00:31:35,602
at making a decision,
910
00:31:35,602 --> 00:31:37,478
at changing course when you need to.
911
00:31:37,478 --> 00:31:40,231
And so I've tried to bring
some of that to Antares.
912
00:31:40,231 --> 00:31:43,276
You know, investors are
hot and cold on hard tech
913
00:31:43,276 --> 00:31:44,736
depending on when you're raising money
914
00:31:44,736 --> 00:31:46,321
and everything like this.
915
00:31:46,321 --> 00:31:50,658
Presumably there's a J-curve
916
00:31:50,658 --> 00:31:52,577
in investing in Antares
917
00:31:52,577 --> 00:31:55,079
where there's definitely some R&D
918
00:31:55,079 --> 00:31:57,790
before you eventually start
paying it back with revenues.
919
00:31:57,790 --> 00:32:00,043
How is the experience of
raising money for this?
920
00:32:00,043 --> 00:32:01,753
It's going to get harder.
921
00:32:01,753 --> 00:32:03,254
I think it hasn't been hard to date
922
00:32:03,254 --> 00:32:05,256
only because there is interest
923
00:32:05,256 --> 00:32:06,799
and excitement around nuclear.
924
00:32:08,509 --> 00:32:11,346
It's also just fewer
dollars in the beginning.
925
00:32:11,346 --> 00:32:14,265
You're kind of like honeymoon
phase of all of that.
926
00:32:14,265 --> 00:32:15,141
I think it will get harder.
927
00:32:15,141 --> 00:32:19,604
I think now the time
is ticking. It's like,
928
00:32:19,604 --> 00:32:21,648
"Okay, let's see your next
technical milestones."
929
00:32:21,648 --> 00:32:23,316
This criticality test,
930
00:32:23,316 --> 00:32:25,777
obviously the full reactor end of 2027.
931
00:32:26,611 --> 00:32:28,363
I think it will be challenging.
932
00:32:28,363 --> 00:32:30,823
And there are several
reactor companies out there,
933
00:32:30,823 --> 00:32:32,659
so it's a bit of a race.
934
00:32:32,659 --> 00:32:33,493
I think it's going to be fun.
935
00:32:33,493 --> 00:32:35,912
I mean, I wonder what
Polymarket would have to say.
936
00:32:35,912 --> 00:32:37,705
Several reactor companies out there,
937
00:32:37,705 --> 00:32:39,999
even at the end of the market
that you guys are going after?
938
00:32:39,999 --> 00:32:42,418
Yeah, everyone has their
different niche, right?
939
00:32:42,418 --> 00:32:44,754
I think our niche is again, the smallest,
940
00:32:44,754 --> 00:32:46,506
the most DOD-oriented.
941
00:32:46,506 --> 00:32:50,385
There's a lot of micro-reactor
companies or SMR.
942
00:32:50,385 --> 00:32:51,594
And I'm doing this because it's like,
943
00:32:51,594 --> 00:32:52,804
"Are they SMR, micro-reactors?"
944
00:32:52,804 --> 00:32:55,098
Anyway, that are going after data centers
945
00:32:55,098 --> 00:32:57,642
and the data center build-out,
which is an amazing market.
946
00:32:57,642 --> 00:32:58,518
I mean, amazing.
947
00:32:58,518 --> 00:33:00,895
I think people will pay a lot more, again,
948
00:33:00,895 --> 00:33:02,480
going back to the premium power point,
949
00:33:02,480 --> 00:33:04,857
they will pay more for power for this.
950
00:33:04,857 --> 00:33:07,110
Not exactly our target market.
951
00:33:07,110 --> 00:33:10,071
Right, so your niche in the market,
952
00:33:10,071 --> 00:33:13,700
it seems like you guys have
selected a part of the market
953
00:33:13,700 --> 00:33:15,618
where maybe there's less competition.
954
00:33:15,618 --> 00:33:16,869
There's still some people going after
955
00:33:16,869 --> 00:33:18,204
the military applications.
956
00:33:18,204 --> 00:33:19,038
There always are.
957
00:33:19,038 --> 00:33:19,872
I mean, if you have a good idea,
958
00:33:19,872 --> 00:33:21,582
there's going to be a
few people working on it.
959
00:33:21,582 --> 00:33:23,418
How capital-intensive is it going to be
960
00:33:23,418 --> 00:33:24,919
to get your product to market?
961
00:33:25,878 --> 00:33:27,213
In the hundreds of millions.
962
00:33:27,213 --> 00:33:28,631
Okay.
Yep.
963
00:33:28,631 --> 00:33:30,508
I think what we...
964
00:33:30,508 --> 00:33:32,176
And it depends on what you
mean by "to market," right?
965
00:33:32,176 --> 00:33:33,469
So I think our big milestones,
966
00:33:33,469 --> 00:33:34,846
like can you build a reactor, prove it,
967
00:33:34,846 --> 00:33:36,764
turn it on, it's producing power.
968
00:33:36,764 --> 00:33:39,809
Then I think you can think
about interesting layers
969
00:33:39,809 --> 00:33:43,271
of capital in terms of
pre-orders for your reactor.
970
00:33:43,271 --> 00:33:44,731
That's going to be my next question.
971
00:33:44,731 --> 00:33:46,024
When does the money arrive?
972
00:33:46,024 --> 00:33:48,484
Yeah, exactly. Bigger government grants.
973
00:33:48,484 --> 00:33:51,279
So we're kind of still in
the hundreds of thousands,
974
00:33:51,279 --> 00:33:53,781
single-digit millions of dollars of grants
975
00:33:53,781 --> 00:33:55,408
that we are getting right now.
976
00:33:55,408 --> 00:33:57,827
But you're moving into
the tens of millions
977
00:33:57,827 --> 00:33:58,953
of dollars R&D grants.
978
00:33:58,953 --> 00:34:00,913
And then you want to
eventually move into that
979
00:34:00,913 --> 00:34:03,041
program-of-record, real dollars.
980
00:34:03,041 --> 00:34:05,668
There's a really interesting
program right now
981
00:34:05,668 --> 00:34:08,671
that the Army has put out
called the Janus program.
982
00:34:08,671 --> 00:34:11,382
Are you familiar with the
COTS program that SpaceX used
983
00:34:11,382 --> 00:34:13,468
to bring, to develop their first reactor?
984
00:34:13,468 --> 00:34:14,302
Not by name, but I'm familiar with—
985
00:34:14,302 --> 00:34:15,136
Commercial Orbital Transport System.
986
00:34:16,721 --> 00:34:17,805
Yeah, yeah, yeah. I'm
familiar with the broad—
987
00:34:17,805 --> 00:34:19,515
So it was the innovation basically
988
00:34:19,515 --> 00:34:21,726
to say like, let's try
something that's not cost-plus
989
00:34:21,726 --> 00:34:25,605
and let's actually do something
that's milestone-based
990
00:34:25,605 --> 00:34:28,191
and you know, "Well,
basically we'll cut you
991
00:34:28,191 --> 00:34:30,943
if you don't hit the milestone
and it's fixed contract.
992
00:34:30,943 --> 00:34:32,612
We're not going to pay you for whatever."
993
00:34:32,612 --> 00:34:35,490
So anyway, the Army has
taken that model a bit
994
00:34:35,490 --> 00:34:38,117
and I think used that as
inspiration for this Janus program
995
00:34:38,117 --> 00:34:40,286
where they're saying,
"We're going to fund up to
996
00:34:40,286 --> 00:34:42,914
three to five companies to
build their first prototype
997
00:34:42,914 --> 00:34:45,333
alongside us, kind of at a base.
998
00:34:45,333 --> 00:34:48,169
And then we will choose a winner
999
00:34:48,169 --> 00:34:50,421
and we want to build 5 to 10 reactors,
1000
00:34:50,421 --> 00:34:52,006
if not more on bases."
1001
00:34:52,006 --> 00:34:54,801
And so the demand signal now is hot.
1002
00:34:54,801 --> 00:34:57,762
And so this is going to be great
for our future fundraising,
1003
00:34:57,762 --> 00:34:59,097
for the industry in general.
1004
00:34:59,097 --> 00:35:00,807
It's like very, very good demand.
1005
00:35:00,807 --> 00:35:03,017
A lot of incumbents build on military,
1006
00:35:03,017 --> 00:35:04,852
US defense contracting.
1007
00:35:04,852 --> 00:35:08,314
What is your experience as someone who's
1008
00:35:08,314 --> 00:35:10,858
attempting to sell to the military?
1009
00:35:10,858 --> 00:35:14,028
I mean, people are
actually kind of well aware
1010
00:35:14,028 --> 00:35:16,239
that this cost-plus model is not great.
1011
00:35:16,239 --> 00:35:18,491
The question is like, well,
what are the alternatives?
1012
00:35:18,491 --> 00:35:19,325
Who's going to go do it?
1013
00:35:19,325 --> 00:35:21,494
Anduril has been an
amazing example of that.
1014
00:35:21,494 --> 00:35:24,372
So I think a lot of us in hard
tech really look to them as
1015
00:35:24,372 --> 00:35:26,499
what we try to emulate.
1016
00:35:26,499 --> 00:35:28,334
Every branch of the military
1017
00:35:28,334 --> 00:35:32,547
has these innovative
arms that tell you like,
1018
00:35:32,547 --> 00:35:34,006
"Hey, we want to hear about your ideas."
1019
00:35:34,006 --> 00:35:36,134
And they do actually,
you can go talk to them.
1020
00:35:36,134 --> 00:35:37,969
They're giving out
grants for things like...
1021
00:35:37,969 --> 00:35:40,888
I do think everyone wants the innovation.
1022
00:35:40,888 --> 00:35:42,014
They are, you know,
1023
00:35:42,014 --> 00:35:44,267
and in this day and age
of information everywhere,
1024
00:35:44,267 --> 00:35:45,810
you can learn a lot quickly.
1025
00:35:45,810 --> 00:35:47,603
They do want to work with startups.
1026
00:35:47,603 --> 00:35:49,063
I think we'll only see more of it,
1027
00:35:49,063 --> 00:35:51,315
but you have things like
the government shutdown
1028
00:35:51,315 --> 00:35:53,568
and the pace of government is slow.
1029
00:35:53,568 --> 00:35:57,238
So you've got to just be able
1030
00:35:57,238 --> 00:35:59,448
to keep pushing those timelines, again,
1031
00:35:59,448 --> 00:36:01,492
while not running out of money, to be able
1032
00:36:01,492 --> 00:36:03,494
to make it through that valley of death.
1033
00:36:03,494 --> 00:36:07,498
What's been harder than you
expected building Antares?
1034
00:36:07,498 --> 00:36:09,250
Because presumably you
expected it broadly to be hard.
1035
00:36:09,250 --> 00:36:11,502
You expected there to be
a lot of technical risk.
1036
00:36:11,502 --> 00:36:14,547
Capital intensity.
Yeah, harder than expected.
1037
00:36:14,547 --> 00:36:16,090
Oh.
1038
00:36:16,090 --> 00:36:17,466
There's a couple things.
1039
00:36:17,466 --> 00:36:20,761
I mean, I think, gosh...
1040
00:36:20,761 --> 00:36:22,430
Recruiting is always hard.
1041
00:36:22,430 --> 00:36:25,224
You're up against the SpaceXs of the world
1042
00:36:25,224 --> 00:36:27,351
that have just a lot
more credibility, right?
1043
00:36:27,351 --> 00:36:29,645
When you're the no-name
person at the very beginning,
1044
00:36:29,645 --> 00:36:30,563
it can be hard.
1045
00:36:31,856 --> 00:36:35,067
I think there's a lot of complexity,
1046
00:36:35,067 --> 00:36:36,444
and even though I said
1047
00:36:36,444 --> 00:36:37,904
we're making so much
progress in regulation,
1048
00:36:37,904 --> 00:36:39,906
there's still red tape everywhere.
1049
00:36:39,906 --> 00:36:42,325
Things cost more than
they probably should.
1050
00:36:42,325 --> 00:36:45,494
You know, we spend a lot of
money paying the national labs
1051
00:36:45,494 --> 00:36:47,788
to do things like clear out a pit
1052
00:36:47,788 --> 00:36:49,248
so that we can test our reactor.
1053
00:36:49,248 --> 00:36:50,541
And it's like, we're paying for that.
1054
00:36:50,541 --> 00:36:51,334
And they're like, "You know,
1055
00:36:51,334 --> 00:36:53,836
here's hundreds of thousand
dollars. Here's the bill."
1056
00:36:53,836 --> 00:36:55,963
So there's stuff that you're like, "Gosh,
1057
00:36:55,963 --> 00:36:58,966
there's really a lot of expense everywhere
1058
00:36:58,966 --> 00:37:00,343
and it just slows things down."
1059
00:37:00,343 --> 00:37:03,304
And so I guess we were
somewhat ready for that.
1060
00:37:03,304 --> 00:37:06,015
But some of this stuff just seems silly
1061
00:37:06,015 --> 00:37:08,059
and when you're building in software,
1062
00:37:08,059 --> 00:37:09,477
you just don't have to worry about it.
1063
00:37:09,477 --> 00:37:11,020
You just sit there,
code, and do your thing
1064
00:37:11,020 --> 00:37:12,855
and go right to market.
1065
00:37:12,855 --> 00:37:15,483
When you have to work with
the real world, you have to,
1066
00:37:15,483 --> 00:37:17,735
you know, you have to play
their games a little bit
1067
00:37:17,735 --> 00:37:21,030
and you have to follow
the process in some ways.
1068
00:37:21,030 --> 00:37:23,324
And there's not always a way around it.
1069
00:37:23,324 --> 00:37:24,784
Sometimes it's just through.
1070
00:37:24,784 --> 00:37:26,327
You said there's still a lot of red tape
1071
00:37:26,327 --> 00:37:28,037
despite the fact that
1072
00:37:28,037 --> 00:37:29,705
there's been the first Biden-era
1073
00:37:29,705 --> 00:37:31,374
and then Trump-era improvements.
1074
00:37:31,374 --> 00:37:35,503
If you were in charge,
I know energies are...
1075
00:37:35,503 --> 00:37:36,754
Or you know, we'll give you a role
1076
00:37:36,754 --> 00:37:40,800
with no powers across
all these departments.
1077
00:37:40,800 --> 00:37:41,759
What would you change?
1078
00:37:41,759 --> 00:37:43,135
What do you think the
specific improvements
1079
00:37:43,135 --> 00:37:44,011
we could make are?
1080
00:37:44,011 --> 00:37:47,139
If I were fully in charge of energy,
1081
00:37:47,139 --> 00:37:50,601
I would love to see the
US government be a buyer.
1082
00:37:50,601 --> 00:37:53,896
I think that is... Just like
actually the NASA was a buyer
1083
00:37:53,896 --> 00:37:58,192
for SpaceX's eventual launch product.
1084
00:37:58,192 --> 00:38:01,279
I think having the US
government be a customer
1085
00:38:01,279 --> 00:38:02,780
for nuclear would be great.
1086
00:38:02,780 --> 00:38:04,532
And so we have this a
little bit with the DOD.
1087
00:38:04,532 --> 00:38:05,992
It was a very interesting announcement
1088
00:38:05,992 --> 00:38:07,910
that just came out a week or two ago
1089
00:38:07,910 --> 00:38:09,829
that doesn't have a ton of detail,
1090
00:38:09,829 --> 00:38:11,747
but it's starting in this direction.
1091
00:38:11,747 --> 00:38:13,833
I think it's very positive.
1092
00:38:13,833 --> 00:38:16,377
I'm a small government person,
so I don't say this lightly,
1093
00:38:16,377 --> 00:38:17,837
but I do think there are certain things
1094
00:38:17,837 --> 00:38:19,755
when it's national security related
1095
00:38:19,755 --> 00:38:20,923
and things like energy resilience.
1096
00:38:20,923 --> 00:38:23,384
There should be
public-private partnership.
1097
00:38:23,384 --> 00:38:25,428
But anyway, the announcement
is that the US government
1098
00:38:25,428 --> 00:38:27,221
now wants to spend $80 billion
1099
00:38:28,180 --> 00:38:31,183
on nuclear development
alongside Westinghouse.
1100
00:38:31,183 --> 00:38:33,644
So they've basically
chosen the technology.
1101
00:38:33,644 --> 00:38:35,646
And I think that's actually a good thing
1102
00:38:35,646 --> 00:38:37,315
because you don't want to...
1103
00:38:37,315 --> 00:38:39,317
You want to be able to build one thing
1104
00:38:39,317 --> 00:38:40,401
and then repeatedly build it
1105
00:38:40,401 --> 00:38:43,487
so that you're not reinventing
the wheel every time.
1106
00:38:43,487 --> 00:38:46,198
You actually have economies of scale,
1107
00:38:46,198 --> 00:38:49,243
like the learning curve that
you go down from doing that.
1108
00:38:49,243 --> 00:38:50,661
So I'm excited about that news.
1109
00:38:50,661 --> 00:38:53,831
I think that's the type of
policy I'd want to see more of.
1110
00:38:53,831 --> 00:38:56,083
And, you know, we'll see how it goes.
1111
00:38:56,083 --> 00:39:00,463
I mean, this is the biggest
ever commercial nuclear
1112
00:39:00,463 --> 00:39:02,506
public-private partnership we've seen.
1113
00:39:02,506 --> 00:39:05,134
And sorry, specifically they're
buying from Westinghouse.
1114
00:39:05,134 --> 00:39:06,969
Just a large amount of nuclear power?
1115
00:39:06,969 --> 00:39:08,721
Well, it's a combination.
1116
00:39:08,721 --> 00:39:09,555
So this is where,
1117
00:39:09,555 --> 00:39:10,681
I mean, the details are a little fuzzy
1118
00:39:10,681 --> 00:39:12,767
but they've announced 80 billion.
1119
00:39:12,767 --> 00:39:15,436
They've announced Westinghouse
as the partner of choice.
1120
00:39:15,436 --> 00:39:16,479
Not all those dollars are going
1121
00:39:16,479 --> 00:39:17,355
right to Westinghouse.
1122
00:39:17,355 --> 00:39:19,815
And that's a company that
makes just the reactor itself.
1123
00:39:19,815 --> 00:39:22,818
So there's money that you
would spend on a plant
1124
00:39:22,818 --> 00:39:26,822
or licensing fees or whatever
else that surrounds that.
1125
00:39:26,822 --> 00:39:28,240
But I think it's really positive.
1126
00:39:28,240 --> 00:39:30,284
I think what it does is it's a catalyst
1127
00:39:30,284 --> 00:39:31,285
for the whole industry, right?
1128
00:39:31,285 --> 00:39:33,204
Like supply chain, workforce.
1129
00:39:33,204 --> 00:39:34,997
People are now paying attention like,
1130
00:39:34,997 --> 00:39:37,750
"Oh, there's real
dollars to be made here."
1131
00:39:37,750 --> 00:39:42,046
There's a huge trillion-dollar
asset under management
1132
00:39:42,046 --> 00:39:44,465
company called Brookfield
Asset Management.
1133
00:39:44,465 --> 00:39:47,843
And they've actually just
gotten in the game as well
1134
00:39:47,843 --> 00:39:48,886
in the last couple weeks.
1135
00:39:48,886 --> 00:39:51,555
I'm sure there was talk, right?
1136
00:39:51,555 --> 00:39:53,391
To take the V.C. Summer plant
1137
00:39:53,391 --> 00:39:55,142
that never got completed in South Carolina
1138
00:39:55,142 --> 00:39:56,644
and actually finish it.
1139
00:39:56,644 --> 00:39:58,771
And so again, they now
have some nice tailwinds
1140
00:39:58,771 --> 00:40:01,774
with those new production subsidies.
1141
00:40:01,774 --> 00:40:04,610
They are partnering with
the local utility to...
1142
00:40:04,610 --> 00:40:08,239
And again, a local utility
doesn't have the risk appetite
1143
00:40:08,239 --> 00:40:09,907
to do this themselves, right?
1144
00:40:09,907 --> 00:40:11,617
Or the balance sheet
to do this themselves.
1145
00:40:11,617 --> 00:40:13,285
And so there's some really nice
1146
00:40:13,285 --> 00:40:14,995
market signal you get
1147
00:40:14,995 --> 00:40:15,830
when the government's saying,
1148
00:40:15,830 --> 00:40:19,250
"We're going to spend
$80 billion on this."
1149
00:40:19,250 --> 00:40:20,584
But I think
1150
00:40:20,584 --> 00:40:22,837
it gets the rest of the industry moving.
1151
00:40:22,837 --> 00:40:27,675
As you guys were exploring and
developing the early stages
1152
00:40:27,675 --> 00:40:29,552
of your business plan,
1153
00:40:29,552 --> 00:40:34,557
did you consider for a product
that is as tightly regulated
1154
00:40:34,557 --> 00:40:37,184
as this, did you consider
doing any jurisdiction shopping
1155
00:40:37,184 --> 00:40:40,187
where you develop a product
that you sell in Singapore
1156
00:40:40,187 --> 00:40:42,648
or the UAE or Prospera or
1157
00:40:42,648 --> 00:40:44,942
some more favorable jurisdiction?
1158
00:40:44,942 --> 00:40:46,360
You know, we really didn't.
1159
00:40:46,360 --> 00:40:49,864
It felt like there was enough signal
1160
00:40:49,864 --> 00:40:52,116
that we would be able to
1161
00:40:52,116 --> 00:40:54,910
get through regulatory and
see some positive change.
1162
00:40:54,910 --> 00:40:57,705
There was enough basically
demand signal within the US,
1163
00:40:57,705 --> 00:40:59,331
and it's... I don't know,
1164
00:40:59,331 --> 00:41:01,709
we take pride in also building
for our country, right?
1165
00:41:01,709 --> 00:41:04,336
And it feels good to
be developing something
1166
00:41:04,336 --> 00:41:06,755
for our military and our allies.
1167
00:41:06,755 --> 00:41:08,340
So we didn't really
shop it around too much.
1168
00:41:08,340 --> 00:41:09,508
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
1169
00:41:09,508 --> 00:41:11,510
And I guess the US military is
a large buyer, in this case.
1170
00:41:11,510 --> 00:41:12,553
Very large buyer.
1171
00:41:12,553 --> 00:41:14,555
The largest buyer of non-commodity energy,
1172
00:41:14,555 --> 00:41:15,764
if not all energy.
1173
00:41:15,764 --> 00:41:19,018
How soon afterwards will you go to, like,
1174
00:41:19,018 --> 00:41:24,023
I presume you want to do
civilian premium power use cases,
1175
00:41:25,024 --> 00:41:27,318
like you're saying an oil rig
1176
00:41:27,318 --> 00:41:29,695
seems like the one that,
1177
00:41:29,695 --> 00:41:32,072
ironically that... It
would be hard to get gas,
1178
00:41:32,072 --> 00:41:35,034
it would be hard to get refined
1179
00:41:35,034 --> 00:41:37,203
diesel or gasoline to an oil rig.
1180
00:41:37,203 --> 00:41:38,746
Does that come right afterwards
1181
00:41:38,746 --> 00:41:40,748
or is that such a different ball of wax
1182
00:41:40,748 --> 00:41:41,624
from a regulatory point of view
1183
00:41:41,624 --> 00:41:43,667
that maybe it's like 10 years later?
1184
00:41:43,667 --> 00:41:46,003
I think it's, you know, you're
developing concurrently.
1185
00:41:46,003 --> 00:41:48,297
We are talking with oil and gas already.
1186
00:41:48,297 --> 00:41:49,381
Just understanding them, right?
1187
00:41:49,381 --> 00:41:50,591
"What do you need?
1188
00:41:50,591 --> 00:41:53,385
What do you think you'd
pay?" That sort of thing.
1189
00:41:53,385 --> 00:41:56,013
So I would say it fast follows, right?
1190
00:41:56,013 --> 00:41:57,223
A few years later.
1191
00:41:57,223 --> 00:41:59,808
I think it's going to be
such a nice proving ground
1192
00:41:59,808 --> 00:42:03,103
if we can make it through
and test on a military base,
1193
00:42:03,103 --> 00:42:04,980
for example, and get a first reactor live
1194
00:42:04,980 --> 00:42:06,690
and get some revenue from that,
1195
00:42:06,690 --> 00:42:09,568
then I think it's like open
the aperture pretty broadly
1196
00:42:09,568 --> 00:42:10,986
for what else is out there.
1197
00:42:10,986 --> 00:42:15,991
Does this movement towards
re-onshoring manufacturing
1198
00:42:16,116 --> 00:42:20,955
in the US and various blockers
people talk about to that
1199
00:42:20,955 --> 00:42:24,041
between supply chain
is difficult in your...
1200
00:42:24,041 --> 00:42:25,668
You've talked about in the fuel context,
1201
00:42:25,668 --> 00:42:27,670
but also supply chain for manufacturing,
1202
00:42:27,670 --> 00:42:30,172
talent and the roles that people go into
1203
00:42:30,172 --> 00:42:32,007
and finding talent in specific areas.
1204
00:42:32,007 --> 00:42:34,593
I'm just curious. What
has your experience been
1205
00:42:34,593 --> 00:42:37,888
of building a hard tech company in the US?
1206
00:42:37,888 --> 00:42:40,266
Supply chain is... Yeah,
1207
00:42:40,266 --> 00:42:42,977
the bottlenecks. Supply
chain is challenging
1208
00:42:42,977 --> 00:42:45,312
when you need to work with
nuclear-grade material
1209
00:42:45,312 --> 00:42:48,107
and no nuclear plants
have really been built.
1210
00:42:48,107 --> 00:42:51,735
It makes for a very limited
number of suppliers.
1211
00:42:51,735 --> 00:42:53,821
Which means costs are higher.
1212
00:42:53,821 --> 00:42:55,114
You know, options are just fewer.
1213
00:42:55,114 --> 00:42:56,657
So like, if they're not
responding to your email,
1214
00:42:56,657 --> 00:42:57,616
well what are you going to do?
1215
00:42:57,616 --> 00:42:58,826
You know, there's only one other option.
1216
00:42:58,826 --> 00:43:00,452
And like, I don't know,
they're busy or whatever.
1217
00:43:00,452 --> 00:43:03,163
So those dynamics are really challenging.
1218
00:43:03,163 --> 00:43:04,873
The graphite that I
brought here is actually
1219
00:43:04,873 --> 00:43:06,375
from a Japanese company, right?
1220
00:43:06,375 --> 00:43:08,961
No one's even processing
that stuff in the US.
1221
00:43:08,961 --> 00:43:10,129
And so you're kind of,
1222
00:43:10,129 --> 00:43:11,505
you're literally going all over the world
1223
00:43:11,505 --> 00:43:12,339
for these supplies.
1224
00:43:12,339 --> 00:43:13,382
So that's challenging.
1225
00:43:13,382 --> 00:43:15,009
You know, talent is
challenging in the sense
1226
00:43:15,009 --> 00:43:17,177
that there are so many options
1227
00:43:17,177 --> 00:43:20,139
for hard tech in the LA region, right?
1228
00:43:20,139 --> 00:43:23,183
So you need to have a compelling mission,
1229
00:43:23,183 --> 00:43:24,727
but nuclear is compelling.
1230
00:43:24,727 --> 00:43:28,480
So it's been challenging,
but not in some ways.
1231
00:43:28,480 --> 00:43:30,858
If you want to work at SpaceX
and you love space stuff
1232
00:43:30,858 --> 00:43:33,277
and you want to be at
that name brand place,
1233
00:43:33,277 --> 00:43:34,612
we've lost you.
1234
00:43:34,612 --> 00:43:36,280
But if you're interested in nuclear
1235
00:43:36,280 --> 00:43:38,240
and being able to build
from the very beginning,
1236
00:43:38,240 --> 00:43:40,284
that is a compelling piece.
1237
00:43:40,284 --> 00:43:42,161
Yes. It's the Shackleton
pitch, you know of—
1238
00:43:42,161 --> 00:43:43,662
Yeah, totally.
1239
00:43:43,662 --> 00:43:45,164
High risk of failure.
Totally.
1240
00:43:45,164 --> 00:43:46,957
And that's the pitch that you're making.
1241
00:43:46,957 --> 00:43:49,335
Yep.
Yeah, I like that.
1242
00:43:49,335 --> 00:43:52,212
What trends in nuclear should
we be excited about right now?
1243
00:43:52,212 --> 00:43:55,090
So the trend I'm excited
about is bringing back online
1244
00:43:55,090 --> 00:43:57,509
these recently shuttered plants
1245
00:43:57,509 --> 00:44:01,013
because they don't take too
much money to bring back online.
1246
00:44:01,013 --> 00:44:04,475
And we've seen a couple big
power purchase agreements
1247
00:44:04,475 --> 00:44:08,062
where you have Google
partnered with NextEra
1248
00:44:08,062 --> 00:44:11,148
or the Iowa-based utility
to bring on Dwayne Arnold,
1249
00:44:11,148 --> 00:44:13,067
which was shut down about five years ago.
1250
00:44:13,067 --> 00:44:15,194
And then you have actually
Three Mile Island,
1251
00:44:15,194 --> 00:44:18,530
the site of the infamous accident is also—
1252
00:44:18,530 --> 00:44:20,407
Almost accident.
Well, it was an accident
1253
00:44:20,407 --> 00:44:22,618
but it was not really a big deal.
1254
00:44:22,618 --> 00:44:24,036
Like this much radiation came out.
1255
00:44:24,036 --> 00:44:26,455
It was like this amount of a chest x-ray.
1256
00:44:26,455 --> 00:44:29,750
Yes, completely overblown "accident".
1257
00:44:29,750 --> 00:44:31,835
That's being brought back online.
1258
00:44:31,835 --> 00:44:36,256
Partnership between Microsoft
and Constellation, I believe.
1259
00:44:36,256 --> 00:44:37,299
So that's kind of fun.
1260
00:44:37,299 --> 00:44:38,342
I mean, you're seeing like,
1261
00:44:38,342 --> 00:44:40,302
let's go take these assets
that are just sitting there
1262
00:44:40,302 --> 00:44:42,638
that shouldn't have been turned off.
1263
00:44:42,638 --> 00:44:44,098
Bring them back online,
bring them back to life.
1264
00:44:44,098 --> 00:44:45,349
Tons of power coming out of them.
1265
00:44:45,349 --> 00:44:47,101
And we need it yesterday, right?
1266
00:44:47,101 --> 00:44:48,560
Yeah, I mean it's so striking
1267
00:44:48,560 --> 00:44:50,270
the big trend in the US right now,
1268
00:44:50,270 --> 00:44:55,234
being that grid demand was
flat for the longest time.
1269
00:44:55,317 --> 00:44:57,653
Like we were completely not—
Exactly.
1270
00:44:57,653 --> 00:45:01,407
Not adding power generation
nor adding power transmission.
1271
00:45:01,407 --> 00:45:04,201
And now because of data centers,
1272
00:45:04,201 --> 00:45:06,995
essentially, we have this enormous boom
1273
00:45:06,995 --> 00:45:09,581
that is just leading to things
1274
00:45:09,581 --> 00:45:11,542
that maybe previously
would've been competitive.
1275
00:45:11,542 --> 00:45:13,460
People can't get enough
of anything, right?
1276
00:45:13,460 --> 00:45:15,045
You know, people can't
get enough of nuclear,
1277
00:45:15,045 --> 00:45:16,130
they can't get enough of solar,
1278
00:45:16,130 --> 00:45:18,090
they can't get enough of natural gas.
1279
00:45:18,090 --> 00:45:20,134
And just everything is backlogged.
1280
00:45:20,134 --> 00:45:21,051
It's really interesting.
1281
00:45:21,051 --> 00:45:22,845
Even the natural gas
turbines are backlogged.
1282
00:45:22,845 --> 00:45:25,180
Totally, yeah.
I mean, multiple years.
1283
00:45:25,180 --> 00:45:26,265
Across all the manufacturers.
1284
00:45:26,265 --> 00:45:27,641
You know, it is hard when
1285
00:45:27,641 --> 00:45:28,600
something like this
1286
00:45:28,600 --> 00:45:30,352
goes into one of these inflection points,
1287
00:45:30,352 --> 00:45:31,186
and to your point,
1288
00:45:31,186 --> 00:45:33,063
it was less than 1% year-over-year growth
1289
00:45:33,063 --> 00:45:34,732
for 20-plus years.
1290
00:45:34,732 --> 00:45:36,734
And now it's like people are estimating
1291
00:45:36,734 --> 00:45:38,193
5% annual growth next year.
1292
00:45:38,193 --> 00:45:39,319
Like, oh my gosh.
1293
00:45:39,319 --> 00:45:40,154
Last question.
1294
00:45:40,154 --> 00:45:42,322
What kind of culture do you
want to build at Antares?
1295
00:45:42,322 --> 00:45:43,157
Hmm.
1296
00:45:44,491 --> 00:45:46,910
Well, I think it's
certainly one of excellence,
1297
00:45:46,910 --> 00:45:49,329
and I think that means
1298
00:45:49,329 --> 00:45:50,956
delivering quality product.
1299
00:45:52,166 --> 00:45:53,041
How you get there...
1300
00:45:53,041 --> 00:45:54,209
I mean, there's a lot
of ways to get there.
1301
00:45:54,209 --> 00:45:56,086
You can have the combative SpaceX culture.
1302
00:45:56,086 --> 00:45:58,380
You can have a less combative, maybe more,
1303
00:45:58,380 --> 00:45:59,381
I don't know, writing culture.
1304
00:45:59,381 --> 00:46:01,842
They don't write that
much stuff down in SpaceX.
1305
00:46:02,801 --> 00:46:04,344
To me that matters less.
1306
00:46:04,344 --> 00:46:07,431
Although I tend to be one
for a working environment
1307
00:46:07,431 --> 00:46:12,144
that is energized, positive preferably.
1308
00:46:13,228 --> 00:46:15,981
But I think, ultimately, I would be proud
1309
00:46:15,981 --> 00:46:18,942
to be delivering on an excellent product
1310
00:46:18,942 --> 00:46:20,944
that can be delivered
to market soon, right?
1311
00:46:20,944 --> 00:46:22,154
And we can all go use.
1312
00:46:22,154 --> 00:46:22,988
But, okay.
1313
00:46:22,988 --> 00:46:25,783
So you want the kinda
results-oriented culture.
1314
00:46:25,783 --> 00:46:28,619
Results speak for themselves
in a lot of ways, yeah.
1315
00:46:28,619 --> 00:46:29,787
Julia, thank you.
1316
00:46:29,787 --> 00:46:30,788
Thanks. Thanks for having me.