This is the Late Podcast with your host JJ zacher Retha j J Zacher Reson.

What's up everyone, It's JJ Zacharyesen in this episode ten sixty one of the Late Round Fantasy Football Podcast.

Thanks for tuning in.

Last week's sleeper results were a mixed back.

Brock Perty made some really bad throws against the Panthers.

Ormandre Stevenson didn't get much of his workload back Rashid Shaheed didn't make that big play that I was hoping for.

Alec Pearce didn't do much, neither did be Shall Tooton and Kaishan Boody and Bryce Young they both disappointed too.

But on the plus side, Sam Darnold and Jacoby Brissett they were both usable.

Kareem Hunt, Emmanuel Wilson posted twenty or more PPR points, Wandel Robinson went off Michael Wilson at another big game.

Kenneth Gainwell scored eighteen, Darnell Mooney made a big play to save his day, and the defensive streamers they weren't too bad.

It was a pretty average week overall.

Now at today's show, I wasn't able to pick players out after Waivers ran just because I did this episode earlier in the week than usual, but I did my best to give you guys reasonable options within each tier.

Let's do it.

We'll kick things out by looking at players rostered in fifty to eighty percent of Yahoo leagues.

We'll start with Jordan Love.

Love only has one top twenty performance over his last four games, and those games are largely without Tucker Kraft.

That's definitely a problem.

With that being said, he failed to reach twenty five pass attempts in each of his last two.

That probably won't be the case on Thanksgiving against the Lions.

Detroit has a lot of top fifteen performance in each of their last four That may not sound like much, but listen to the quarterbacks that they faced during this stretch.

JJ McCarthy, Marcus Mariota, Jalen Hurts, and Jamis Winston.

They're the tenth best matchup for quarterbacks this year by justin Fantasy points allowed, and Green Bay has a solid twenty three and a half point total this week.

It's a nice bounce back spot for Jordan Love.

Jackson Dart is somehow under that eighty percent mark, and there's a reasonable chance that he plays this week against the Patriots.

The Giants only have a nineteen and a half implied team total, but New England's a top ten opponent for quarterbacks this year by justin fantasy points allowed, and they've allowed sixteen passing yards per game over expected.

Dart has finished as a top five quarterback option in four of his last five games.

He's averaging almost twenty three standard fantasy points per game this year, or at least in his starts.

I really don't understand why he's still out there in so many leagues.

And then we're gonna go back to Jacoby Brissett.

He's now given us a QB one performance in all six of his starts this year, and he gets a Tampa Bay secondary this week that's given up the ninth most ad justed fantasy points to quarterbacks.

I know it's weird that he's still a sleeper, but I'm just going by what the percent roster numbers are telling me.

He's a top twelve play this week.

Moving on to running back, I know that Woody Marks was kind of whatever this past week, but the usage has now been pretty for three straight games, and in fantasy football, we have to follow usage.

Houston gets Indianapolis this week.

It's a below average matchup for running backs on paper, but Marx has seen a seventy seven percent running back rush share per game rate over his last three and while his target shares have been sub seven percent during this time, he's been above a fifty percent route share and two of those three games.

My guess is that that target share will eventually regress a little bit.

Based on that route share and based on his skill set, He's not like a smash of a play, but he deserves to be called out on this show at this moment.

I don't know if a Marian Hampton's gonna be back this week.

If he's not, I'm gonna go with Kamani Videll once again.

He was banged up a little bit the last time we saw him, but he's given us multiple games of a ninety percent running back rush share with a Marian Hampton sideline this year.

And the Chargers get a Raiders defense that ranks as the eighth best matchup for running backs by justin points allowed.

So if Hampton is out, feel free to use Commani Videll.

Kenneth game is a pretty interesting play.

This week.

Steelers get the Bills and we know that Buffalo's bad against the run.

They rank is the fourth best matchup for running backs by justin fantasy points allowed, and they've basically been a run funnel for opposing offenses.

The Bills have allowed thirty six passing yards below expected per game to quarterbacks, but they've given up twenty six rushing yards to running backs above expected.

That's the third worst mark in football.

The thing with Gainwell is that he's not seeing a ton of work on the ground.

He's seen about a thirty six percent running back rush share over the Steelers last two games.

However, we know the receiving work has been there.

He's been added above a twenty percent target share in each of his last two and he's running a lot of routes That could be big because number one, the Steelers may trail in this game, and then number two, the Bills are top half in the league and adjusted target share allowed to running backs.

So I think gain Woll's a reasonable flex play in PPR formats.

Now, moving on to wide receiver, I'm gonna call out Quinton Johnston here.

Johnson's been consistently seeing high route shares in the charge, even during his slump since Week four, his target shars have definitely been kind of all over the place, but he's been a an eighteen percent thirty thirteen percent target share over his last three Now the Chargers get the Raiders.

They're not only the eleventh best wide receiver matchup by justin Fantasy points allowed, but they've given up top five fantasy points to perimeter wide receivers as well, and they're a below average team at stopping the deep ball.

QJ has seen a dots of fourteen, thirteen and twenty three and three of his last four games with a target, So if you need a big play, if you need some volatility, Quinton Johnston could be your guy this week.

One player I think you have to like is Troy Franklin.

Denver has an imply team total of twenty five points.

This week, they get a Washington team that ranks as the eighth best matchup for wide receivers by justin Fantasy points allowed.

Franklin has seen at least eight targets in each of his last five games against this defense.

That should definitely make him fantasy relevant on a tight end.

Ronde Gaston is currently well below that eighty percent rostered mark for whatever reason, but I don't totally mind him this week.

I know he's been outside the top twenty five in each of his last two games, but he also saw target shares of eighteen percent and twenty one percent in those two contests.

In Week eleven, the last time we saw the Chargers, he had a ninety one percent route share.

Now, the Raiders are not a fantastic matchup for tight ends on paper.

Teams are looking at their wide receivers more when they face the Raiders, but Gaston's usage still makes him a worthwhile play on a team with a twenty five and a half point imply team total.

Juwan Johnson has seen sixteen percent target shares in every game with Tyler Shucks.

Starting this year.

He's now hit ten plus PPR points in each of his last five.

The Saints get the Dolphins this week, and Miami's the third best matcher for tight ends by justin Fantasy points allowed.

They've given up the fourth highest suggested target shair to the position.

It's a great spot for Juwan Johnson and then another Johnson you could go to in this tier, my guy, Theo Johnson.

He's averaging a nineteen percent target chair per game rate since my lage neighbors went down and Jackson Dart, like I just talked about, he could be back this week.

Dart was consistently getting Johnson to that like eighteen percent target chair mark.

The Giants get the Patriots, New England's seventh best matchup for tight ends on paper by justin fantasy points allowed.

They also are somewhat of a pass funnel.

Teams see their pass rates jump by three percentage points when they face the Patriots, and New England's been far better against the run than the pass this year compared to the league average, So overall, more volume could just be funneled to the Giants pass catchers this week.

That includes THEO Johnson.

This next group of players consistent guys roster and in twenty to fifty percent of Yahoo leagues.

It's a little bit shallower this week than usual.

I actually don't even have a quarterback streamer for you, so let's move on to the sole running back in this tier, and that's Bashall Tuton.

Tuton was a pretty big disappointment last week after a pretty nice workload in Week eleven, But I'd see a thirty percent running back rush here in Week twelve, which isn't nothing.

He just couldn't get going on his seven carries.

The Jags are six and a half point favorites against the Titans this week, though in Tennessee they're the third best matchup for running backs by justin points allowed.

You of course need to start Traves etn but if gamescript goes as predicted, then Touton has double digit carry upside and against this defense, that could yield some fantasy production.

Now, wide receiver Christian Watson has seen his target share rise every single week since returning from his ACL injury.

He's been an okay fantasy asset, but nothing overly special.

It's just hard to get away from his thirty three percent target share from last week, and that was on an eighty eight percent rawl participation rate.

Now the Packers get the Lions and Detroit ranks first and twenty plus air yard rate allowed, meaning teams are throwing it down the field against them.

That's big for Christian Watson.

They also have given up the fifth most adjusted fantasy points to wide receivers, so I think Watson's a pretty good play from a fantasy football perspective.

Kaishan Booty, he didn't get it done.

Last week.

He caught both of his targets for just fifteen yards.

But the good part about that game was that coming off an injury, he had a routchare of eighty five percent.

He was clearly healthy.

We know that he can be boom or bust, but there's a chance for a boom week this week against the Giants.

New York's a below average team at stopping deep balls, and they've allowed the ninth most adjusted fantasy points to wide receivers.

We know that Booty can be volatile, but sometimes we need that kind of play in our lineups.

Jayden Higgins has been great recently, and he had his highest route share of the season with a healthy Nico Collins in Week twelve.

That resulted in a season high thirty two percent target share.

The Texans will face an improved Colt secondary this week, so there is some fear there, but they have been a top five matchup for wide receivers this year by justin fantasy points allowed.

Higgins is seeing enough volume to potentially pay off here.

Andre Josibash he ran the most ro for Cincinnati last week, so I expect him to step up for an injured T Higgins here.

In Week thirteen.

The Ravens defense has played better, but they're a pretty average opponent for wide receivers overall by justin points allowed.

Yosibosh also gets Joe burrowback, which could go either way, but he's probably an upgrade in this first game back versus what they'd get out of Joe Flacco.

With a twenty one percent target share last week, we should have some confidence that Yosibash can give us a floor in Week thirteen at tight end this tier.

Dalton Schultz prior to last week, had three straight top eight performances a tight end.

Even last week he had a respectable fourteen percent target share.

It wasn't like he wasn't used at all.

His route share was a solid eighty percent.

The Texans, like I said earlier, they get the Colts this week.

Indy's the sixth best matchup for tight ends this year by justin points allowed, so he's a reasonable high floor streamer.

Harold Fannin's production it hasn't been out of control, but the dude has seen at least a twenty percent target share and each of us his last five games, he had a thirty three percent share last week with Shador Sanders, and he hit that on an eighty one percent route share that was the second highest mark of his season.

Now, the Browns getting above average matchup for tight ends this week against the forty nine ers, so again there's a high floor with Harold fannin that's not easy to find a tight end.

And then lastly, don't forget about Darren Waller if he plays.

The Dolphins get the Saints this week and New Orleans is another average matchup against the position by justin points allowed, but they rank third and adjusted target share allowed to tight ends and Waller, as we know, he can serve as a big red zone threat for this passing game, so if he goes, he's not a bad tight end play.

This final group of players consist of guys rostered and zero to twenty percent of Yahoo League, so we're digging deeper.

Quarterback is just really really hard this week, So I'll start in this tier with tuatungue Vaialoa, even though I don't feel amazing about it.

Tuas had three straight performance is a pretty bad production nine to eleven and seven and fantasy points in New Orleans.

They're actually a bottom half matchup when it comes to justin fantasy points allowed to quarterbacks.

But there are two good things for two of this week.

Number One, this game has a pretty high paced score, there could be more plays run than usual.

Number two, and more importantly, the Dolphins have a twenty four point implied team total.

So I think Tua is kind of in that QB two range this week.

Now, if you want to get weirder with it, you could look at Tyler Shuck in that same game.

He's at two hundred and eighty two and two hundred and forty three passing yards over his last two and he had seven rushing attempts last week and a pair of scrambles for twenty two yards.

Miamis the eleventh best matchup for quarterbacks this year by justin points allowed.

But like I said, this is a really tough week for quarterbacks.

Most weeks, I wouldn't be calling out a quarterback like Tyler Shuck, So let's just move on to running backs.

I know I call out Blake Koram quite a bit in this section of the show, but the Rams are just dominating.

That creates more opportunity for Blake Koram in this offense gets Carolina this week, and the Panthers.

They've been below average at stopping running backs by justed rushing yards allowed per game.

Korum has now seen a forty two percent running back rush here per game rate over his last five If the Rams get ahead in this game, which they're projected to do, they're ten and a half point favorites, we could see a healthy dose of Blake Koram.

Chris Rodriguez is a tougher matchup this week against the Broncos, but don't forget he saw his best peripherals of the season the last time that we saw Washington.

He ran the ball fifteen times for seventy nine yards against Miami, coming through with a fifty four percent running back rush are Now.

Receiving volume is always going to be a problem for Rodriguez, but double digit touches is a median outcome for him this week.

That could mean at least some production now in that same game as Jalil McLoughlin.

Now, the last time we saw Denver, McLoughlin wasn't used a whole lot.

He did get a goal line touchdown, but his snapshare was only thirteen percent.

He did, however, see thirty five percent of the team's running back rushes in Denver this week against the six and a half point favorites.

If they take a lead, and if McLoughlin sticks with that rush share, then he'll probably see double digit touches.

And that's all it takes to be a deep sleeper.

And then the last running back in this tier, it's the most obvious one.

It's Devin Neil because Alvin Kamara likely not gonna play.

Neil saw all the running back rushes after Kamara went down last week.

He also played the majority of the team's backfield snaps.

Now, the downside is that Taysom Hill is going to be used.

He's going to be used at the goal line too.

But Miami's a good matchup.

They've given up the twelfth most adjusted Fantasy points the running backs this year and they've allowed the fifth highest adjusted target share to the position.

So Neil among these Tier three running backs, he has to be the favorite.

At wide receiver.

I honestly don't adore Chim ray DK's matchup, but there's not a lot going on in Tennessee, so let's talk about him.

The Titans get the Jags, Jacksonville has been a lot better at defending slot receivers than perimeter ones, and DK often lines up in the slot.

He has on over half of his routes in all but one game this year.

That one game was last week without elic Iamanner, and his slot rate was forty nine percent.

Maybe I Amanner's out again this week that would help DK, but it's hard to deny the fact that DK has now scored fifteen plus PPR points in three of his last five, and he's coming off a game with a ninety percent route chair and an eighteen percent target chair.

He's a pretty good player who can see a decent amount of looks and what's almost always a negative game script for Tennessee.

I almost talked about Adanai Mitchell in the fifteen Transactions episode, but I went against it because it's the Jets and it's ad Nai Mitchell.

But if you need someone this week, I don't totally mind him.

The Jets get the Falcons, and Atlanta has been pretty average against wide receivers this year, but they've been worse of late.

They've allowed four top twenty performances to wide receivers over their last three games.

Mitchell has seen about a twenty five percent target chair in New York's offense over the last two weeks.

It's two games with New York that's resulted in thirteen targets.

He's got the ability to separate and make big plays.

Maybe it happens in this one.

Atlanta's top ten in the league and deep ball rate allowed.

And then my sneaky start at wide receiver this week is Pat Bryant.

I like Troy Franklin a lot, don't get me wrong, but Brian's been running in like the sixteen to seventy percent route share range over his last three games.

He's also been around a seventy two percent slot rate, and that could be big against Washington because they've given up the second most fantasy points per game this year to slot wide receivers.

Brian's a rookie coming off of bye, so maybe Denver wants to feature him a little bit more.

He's been decent this year.

It's a good spot for him.

We've got a handful of tight ends in this tier too.

I talked about Brenton Strange on the fifteen Transaction Show.

I think he's an okay option against Tennessee.

It's not some like brilliant matchup, but strangers hit double DIGITPPR points in three of his last four, including an eighteen percent, twenty three percent, and seventeen percent target share in those contests.

I do think there's some worry here though, that there are just too many miles defeat in this Jacksonville offense for a lower tiered player like this, because it sounds like Brian Thomas could be back this week.

Now.

If you don't feel comfortable with Strange, maybe you could risk it with Isaiah Likely.

I mean, look, full disclosure, he's been rough over his last three.

He hasn't top four PPR points in a single game, but he's seen target chairs of seventeen percent, eighteen percent, twelve percent, and fifteen percent in his last four.

Those are all four games with Lamar Jackson and Cincinnati is just brutal against tight ends.

They've given up by far the most adjusted points of the position this year.

It wouldn't surprise me if Likely and Mark Andrews have a decent Thanksgiving.

Now, if you want to take a shot with Taysom Hill getting a ground game touchdown, he's another choice.

There's not that much to say, aside from the fact that he carried the ball ten times last week with Alvin Kamara's injury.

But the one tight end that I'm really interested in within this tier is MIKEASICKI.

He plays the Ravens on Thanksgiving and that's a game without t Higgins.

The Ravens are fine against tight ends, but they're not very good against slot receivers.

In fact, they rank in the top five and adjusted slot fantasy points allowed this year, and no tight end in the NFL runs out of the slot more frequently according to PFF than Mike Asiki, So I could see Gasiki stepping up and having a decent day.

Now.

His floor is obviously zero, but that's the case with anyone in this tier of players.

Now, as for the defensive streamers this week, I'm looking at the Chargers that they're still out there.

I don't mind San Francisco against Cleveland.

There's Tampa Bay against Arizona, and then honestly, there's Arizona against Tampa Bay too, especially if Baker Mayfield can't go.

And then finally, I like Miami against New Orleans.

That's it for today's show, though thanks to all of you for listening.

If yet subscribed to the Late Round Fantasy Football podcast, make sure you are by searching for it pretty much anywhere podcasts can be found, and don't forget to follow me on Twitter and on Blue Sky at Late Round QB.

With Thanksgiving being tomorrow, that's it for the podcast this week.

And with it being Thanksgiving, I just want to say thanks to all of you.

I say it all the time, but quite literally, Without you, this show would not exist.

Thanks for listening and thanks for being so supportive.

It means the world to me.

Everyone stays safe, enjoy your family and friends, enjoy football, and have a great Thanksgiving.

I'll be back next week to really start the home stretch.

The playoffs are just a couple of weeks away.

Let's finish strong.