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Exxon thinks it can count carbon better
Episode Transcript
Welcome to zero.
I am Akshatrati Today Egxon at COP thirty.
It's been a year of bad news for climate policies.
The biggest force has been Donald Trump, who, in his second term as US president, has systematically dismantled climate action at home and made concerted efforts to attack climate initiatives abroad.
He has championed fossil fuels and single handedly slowed down the energy transition, at least in the US.
Trump's actions have also given license to many to ignore and deny climate change.
But the CEO of Exon Mobile, Darren Woods, isn't quite following suit.
Darren spears the CEOs of other international oil companies have stopped coming to COP climate summits, but Darren came to a side event here at COP thirty, his third COP in a row.
For context, Egxon is one of the world's largest oil and gas companies, and Darren is in charge of overseeing its operations and what areas of the energy transition the company pursues or ignores.
Last year, at COP twenty nine in Baku, I got a chance to ask him questions about how Egxon, which has a long history of sowing doubt about climate science can be trusted to now be acting in good faith to tackle climate change.
I quized him on Exon's lobbying efforts on the oil industry's favorite climate solution, carbon capture.
I also talked to him about the millions of dollars Exon spent advertising algaebio fuels without ever scaling up the technology for commercial use.
If you haven't listened to that conversation, I recommend that you do.
We link the episode in the show notes because this year I wanted to ask him different questions and follow up on some of the answers he gave me last year.
Why is EGXON backing a new carbon accounting idea which many climate advocates worry is yet another delay tactic.
What is his plan now that many of the tax credits under the Inflation Reduction Act for low carbon solutions have been gutted?
And how is he planning to deal with the tactics that Trump is using to go after businesses, the same tactics that could be weaponized against his industry by a future administration.
As you will hear, it was a good conversation with a healthy amount of disagreement.
These are the kinds of conversation I'd like to see happen more often where we aren't questioning the accepted science of climate change, but debating the ways in which we should act quickly.
Welcome back to zero, Darren.
Speaker 2It's good to be back.
Speaker 3So.
Speaker 1I know your schedule is always very tight.
Speaker 2Yeah, but you are in Brazil.
Speaker 1Have you been to the Amazon ever before?
Have you been to a rainforest before?
Speaker 2I've been to a rainforest before, but not the Amazon.
Maybe next time, maybe, next time.
Yeah, I like that.
Speaker 1So it's been a year since Donald Trump's election.
He's been in office for ten months and there's been a radical shift in policies, obviously in the US, away from climate action and in favor of fossil fields.
What changes have you liked?
Speaker 3Well, I think, to me, what I focus on is the dialogue that's occurring in the fact that there's a debate and I'd say a challenge to some of the paradigms that have been established as to how best to accomplish this objective.
If you think about the whole effort in this space, it's been defined, frankly by a set of solutions that have been proposed by a lot of ideologues primarily on the left, that this is the way we're going to solve the problem with this set of solutions.
And I think unfortunately the problem and the challenge of climate change has then been defined by this solution set, and either you're for these solutions or against.
And I think what we need to do is focus less on the proposed solutions.
Some of them are valid and have merit, and they're necessary, but they're not sufficient.
Speaker 2We need a broader aperture, and so less.
Speaker 3Focus on that set of solutions, more focused on the opportunity to address the real challenge here, which is emissions.
And so I actually like the fact there's a debate going on both sides of the argument.
And I think generally speaking, when you have people debating about how best to achieve an outcome or to balance one challenge or issue with the other challenges and issues, that's an important dialogue and debate to have.
Speaker 2And I feel more that's happening today in the US and in the past.
Speaker 1Well, there are ideologues on the left, but there are idea logues on the right too, because.
Speaker 2Are on both sides.
Absolutely many of.
Speaker 1The things that have happened under the Trump administration are things that the oil and gas industry as a whole doesn't like.
You know, the API came out in support of keeping the greenhouse gas reporting, which the EPA wants to get rid of, for example.
But you told me last year that you liked a lot of what was there in the Inflation Reduction Act, and obviously under the Trump administration that's been gutted, almost all of the incentives that were there are gone.
Does that change your thesis on the investments that you were looking forward to making and all sorts of low carbon solutions like carbon capture, like hydrogen.
Speaker 3So I think what we talked about last year is what we've been very focused on is how can we contribute to the challenge of emissions and reducing emissions based on our capabilities and our core competitive advantages.
And that's very much focused on the molecule side of the equation, so carbon capture and storage, low carbon or virtually carbon free hydrogen, biofuels.
We ended up moving into lithium based on our ability to process produced water, brine water, all those.
Frankly, if you look at the changes the Trump administration is made to the IRA have not reduced the incentives for those but I will tell you that as you look at those different areas that were focused on, always said that our investment in the space was a function of good policy policy that incentivizes that in the short term, but very importantly for markets developing and for there to be a customer demand, because ultimately any of these policies to be successful are going to have to evolve into market driven forces.
Government can afford to subsidize these solutions in perpetuity, and so markets have to develop, and technology needs to evolve so that we can get the cost down, because today in some of these areas the cost are too high for the long term, and so those three things have to happen.
They have to improve, and we're going to pace the investments associated with what we see in the development there.
Frankly, with our largest project, the Baytown Blue Hydrogen project, one of the big challenges there is customers buying the product, and so we are potentially going to pace that based on our ability to sign customers up, much less a policy issued in that case.
Speaker 1But you started by saying, in terms of getting climate solutions or solutions that would reduce a missions being technology neutral, starting point having policies is helpful.
In the US, you get this swing to the left and to the right.
How much does that war do you well?
Speaker 3Your point about their ideologues on either side of the aisle is I definitely agree with that.
That's why we shouldn't be trying to solve this problem through ideology.
I mean, ideology only takes you so far and then you hit the reality of the real world and need to practical constraints and how you manage through those.
And I think from our perspective, we're trying to keep a very clear view on what is the problem statement, which is trying to find ways to productively reduce emissions that don't slow economic growth, they don't impact people's standards of living, find ways to do that based on what we're good at and achieve both.
We refer to it as the end equation, and we're absolutely convinced that we can do that.
And that dialogue that I have and the work that we're doing is consistent whether it's you know, a left administration or a right administration, or whether it's an ideologue or somebody who center.
The foundational fundamental of how we address this issue over time do not change with political cycles or who get selected.
Speaker 1You told me last year that given the scale of the energy transition, no single president in any country can do much to detail or to accelerate the energy transition.
Do you still feel the same given how effective Trump has been at stifling clean energy projects.
This is not just clean hydrogen projects, but also carbon capture projects.
Obviously lots and lots of offshore wind projects that were canceled.
Are you still of the same view that one president cannot shift the pace of the energy transition?
Speaker 3What I would say is the energy industry, the basis on which we make decisions, the time frame that those decisions play themselves out, and the duration of those investments exceed any political cycle.
So my point is that we have to look beyond the political cycle in terms of making these decisions.
I think one of the things the Trump administration is challenging is a parameter that frankly has not been given the intention it needs, which is the affordability of these things.
And you know, is it a productive use of money?
You know, the challenge today is there's not a policy banker around that can tell you what is the cost for the benefit of a ton of carbon removed?
And every government has its constraints and limits.
Every organization has its constraints.
We don't have unlimited budgets, and so I think every government around the world should be focused on how do you get the biggest bang for the buck.
How do I remove the most emissions for the least spend.
You can't do that today without because we have no carbon accounting mechanism, no mechanism to understand the benefits.
Speaker 2Of the policy.
Speaker 3So as a result, we get very expensive solution sets that frankly aren't sustainable.
And so I think stepping back and trying to understand what are the economics, the underlying cost and the affordability of some of these solutions is a critical part to laying the right foundation for the future, and I think challenging that today to try to get to better solutions is appropriate.
Speaker 1Specifically, though, how do you feel about Trump canceling offshore win permits projects that were fully permitted, some were under construction.
There's a risk another president comes in who's left leaning, whose for clean energy, and uses the kind of policy weaponizes it against ail and gas projects.
Speaker 3Well, we've certainly seen that with Biden came in and canceled the pipeline coming from Canada.
So you're absolutely right that challenge sets on both sides of the aisle.
And I think frankly, for businesses to be successful, particularly businesses like ours that invest very large sums of money over a very long horizon, you need stability, you need predictability, and so I think that's one of the challenges that we have today with permitting is the way it can be challenged, the way it can be changed, challenged, the legal system, and so I think a reform of that whole area is very appropriate.
Focused as you advance these things, you advanced projects, you get the permit that you have to have confidence that those permits are going to continue to exist and allow you to make those investments.
I think that's critical for every industry, every business, and for every government.
Speaker 1You had also told me last year that if the energy transition provides opportunities outside the US, you will pursue those.
In the US.
It's pretty clear the energy transition is going to slow down.
It's not going to stop.
We know that electric car sales are going to rise, just not as much as it was predicted.
Solar and wind projects will get deployed.
But if you look outside the US, even there the Trump administration is having an impact.
So one thing that Exon has long supported is carbon pricing.
Ideally, you would want a global carbon price that would be level playing field for everybody.
We were about to get that.
You know, the politics have been very difficult around carbon pricing.
But at the International Maritime Organization there was a vote to have a global carbon tax on shipping.
Were you supportive of the net zero framework there?
Speaker 3So just to the first point that you made around things have slowed down.
If you actually look at what the Trump administration did with the build and the legislation, incentives for carbon capturing storage remain.
In fact, they increased them for enhanced oil recovery, and so there is a scenario that says more carbon is captured in sequestered through enhanced oil recovery as well as seequestration under the Trump administration because the incentive for that has gone up, and for a low carbon hydrogen the incentive remains there.
It's just a shorter time horizon.
So I don't think you can jump immediately to there's going to be less investments made in low carbon.
It's not as I think, black and white, as you point out.
Speaker 1On carbon capture specifically, the Environmental Protection Agency wants to get rid of the greenhouse gas reporting at asset level, which is crucial to get your forty five Q tax credit that would enable carbon captured projects to go forward.
Yes, doesn't that change your investment thesis if you're not able to tap into the forty five Q tax credit even if it's available to you, because you can't do the carbon accounting.
Speaker 2Yeah, I think that's right.
Speaker 3But I think also the Trump administration is supportive of forty five Q and so I think the question is what mechanism gets put in place to allow that to happen.
And that story hasn't been written yet, but we're very actively involved in terms of how can we do this.
We were supportive of continuing to report emissions.
We think it's important if that happens, and so we've got to find an alternative if not that, to ensure that we can report on those emissions.
Speaker 2So, yeah, that is critical.
Speaker 1And on the energy transition slowing down, this is not my analysis.
This is analysis done by different groups, Rodium Group, Bloomberg Enif it's more to do with the speed at which low carbon stuff will get deployed, and so you know emissions reductions, which is what matters, which is what you know.
A lot of the low carbon work that you do is aimed at is going to slow down as a result of the policies that have been brought in.
So maybe carbon capture doesn't get affected because forty five Q will be sorted out, but so many solar and wind projects have been canceled, so the energy transition does slow down in the US.
Speaker 2I think it slows down in Europe as well.
Speaker 3I think actually what you see happening around the world is that the incentives that people have put in place, and frankly, some of the impractical aspects of the policy that put in place and it's been rolling out is starting to be manifest itself.
And so you see even in Europe that the cost of energy has gotten so high that they're stepping back and rethinking what needs to happen in order to achieve their missions reductions while continuing to provide affordable energy and reliably available energy.
So there's a broader recognition that's needed that these solution sets that are out there today have their limits, and to blindly follow those and to assume that that is the only solution and not step back and think more broadly about what else can be done to address the issue is going to slow it down everywhere in the world the practical aspects of the problems associated with some of the solutions being proposed.
The deeper you penetrate it, the more manifest those become going to slow things down.
Speaker 1But one of those was having a global carbon price, at least on shipping, which the International Maritime Organization in the countries in it were going to vote for.
Were you supportive of that?
Speaker 3Yeah, Actually as a concept having a price on carbon, we've always thought that at global price on carbon is an effective way to control the emissions to the extent that governments around the world want to control those emissions.
I think with climate change in particular, as you think back, the governments are put in place, are elected to represent their people, and so that's what you see happening around the world.
I don't have a perspective on what government shooter shouldn't be doing.
Their obligation is to their people.
What I focus on is not the what, but the how best to achieve it.
Speaker 1But it's part of the industry which is not just you exonmobile, but you support a lot of lobbying organizations that speak the voice of the industry as a whole.
Was the industry supportive of the carbon tax in shipping.
Speaker 2Because we were not advocating against it.
Speaker 1What we saw was an extraordinary attempt by the US administration.
This is again not my words, but we've spoken to lots of diplomats who were there in the room who said that those activities were extraordinary.
That there were not just threats made at the country level, which were public and were published on the White House website, but also personal threats, visa restrictions or individual sanctions, which caused many of them to then really rethink whether they would go forward with the vote.
If you get another chance to have a global carbon price, how would you speak to the Trump administration and how would you get them to change their mind on something that they currently aren't supportive of.
Speaker 3Yeah, I'm not familiar with all the things you talked about, so I don't know if that happened or not.
And I certainly wasn't involved in the Trump administration and their dialogue on this, so I can't pretend to know the complexity of the discussions that were happening.
What I would tell you is what we have consistently advocated for with the Miid administration, with the Trump administration is what thoughtful policies can be put in place to help reduce emissions that don't compromise economic growth, that don't penalize people's standards of living.
We've been very consistent with that, and there are opportunities to go do that.
In fact, you know today at this Action Agenda that there is a drive for carbon accounting.
That is a critical first step in establishing a more uniform approach to how we address emissions and getting from carbon accounting to carbon intensity standards, so you can start specifying that on products and letting every government around the world establish what those specs should be.
Is a very flexible approach that allows every government to tailor that to the needs of their constituency and to their specific economic conditions.
That's an approach that I think has very broad application and can be very effective.
Speaker 1I'm definitely coming to coboniccounting because that's an interesting change since we last talked about it.
But before we get there, you to only last year that you want the Trump and administration to stay in the Paris Agreement.
I understand that you've even delivered that message directly to the president.
Why did they not listen to you?
Speaker 3You'll have to ask President Trump that there are a lot of people that don't listen to me.
Speaker 1So, now that the US is officially going to be out of the Paris Agreement by January, what kind of harm does that do to the US is the only country that is leaving.
Speaker 3You know, I look at the challenge here over a very long horizon, and again, our action here, the work that we do, the engagements that we have with governments all around, remain consistent.
We're going to continue trying to do that because our view is there is something that needs to be done in this space, and that we have a role to play and can contribute, and we will work with whatever administration comes in and continue to drive in an agenda that we think makes sense, that doesn't compromise economic growth or people standards of living.
We think there's an option to do that and open the aperture to the solution set.
You're framing all of this as a US Trump, I think you should frame it more as an opportunity to open the aperture for a broader set of solutions to achieve the real objective, which is lowering emissions, versus the objective that people have been working to, which is getting rid of oil and gas.
And I think that's one of the big challenges is that we've gotten the objective statement wrong, or the problem of statement wrong, and we've got to go back to how do we best reduce emissions?
And the approach being taken today is centrally controlled government's dictating what the solutions need to be and then trying to force companies to implement their solutions.
We've seen how controlled economies work, the Soviet Union, North Korea, Cuba, East Germany plan.
Centralized government control does not work.
You need the markets to be engaged.
There hasn't been a solution set out there that engages the markets.
That's absolutely needed.
Ideology only takes you so far, and then you need practical systems that deal with the real market constraints and the challenges of making things happen.
Speaker 2That's what we got to get to.
Speaker 1You didn't raise the exception China, where things are working.
Speaker 2I would tell you that that's a mix of things.
You do need.
Speaker 3Some government has a role.
Don't get me wrong, not suggesting government doesn't have a role, but picking the solutions as a function of ideology versus a function of i'd say strategy, are two very different set of circumstances.
I think the Chinese government operates a little differently than some of the democratically elected governments around the world, so it's a different decision making process.
Speaker 1So one way in which you think you can address that is through carbon accounting.
Last year you talked about the idea, but today you have the initiative in front of you.
It's called Carbon Measures, right.
It's based on a concept that's been developed academics at Harvard University and Oxford University.
The goal is to make carbon emissions work almost like financial liabilities, that once you sell the goods, you pass on the liabilities emissions liabilities that come with it.
And you wanted that system so that you could get coben accounting at a product level.
The trouble is that the only way it's going to work is if you have all parts of the supply chain of that product also reporting under that framework.
Speaker 3Yeah, this is but be clear, this is not a reporting framework.
This is not an accounting in the pure sense of a financial accounting.
This is an accounting analog.
So there's a financial model that we think makes a lot of sense in terms of how to think about accounting, but it's also anchored in chemistry, and frankly, a molecul of emissions or CO two is created once, and so accounting for where in that value chain that emission is generated is critically important.
So I don't think of it as a financial you know, an asset register in terms of liabilities or assets.
I think of it as understanding where in a value chain for a product or a service is the emissions generated, and that's critically import and if you want to eliminate all emissions, you damn will better be able to account for.
Speaker 2All of them.
Speaker 1Conceptually, what you're saying is right, and the way the academics have put it is that once you have the concept in place, the way it will work is through reporting emissions at a product level through the supply chain and having these liabilities be passed on from company to company as the product moves through the supply chain before it's delivered to the brand customer.
Speaker 3But I would keep I mean you refer to as a liability being passed on, and then it's almost talk about it from a reporting standpoint the opportunity here is to be able to understand what is the carbon intensity of a service or a product.
And when you have a standard that uniformly calculates that, there is an opportunity to begin to regulate carbon intensity of products that in my mind takes you that will bring in market forces.
That's the element that's of interest to me that I view would make carbon and carbon emission and just like every other parameter that we control in the products that we sell, sulfur and lead and other things that we control in our products.
Speaker 1Liabilities is the word that the academics use.
Speaker 2They call it an academic Sure, I'm a realist.
Speaker 3I mean, I'm the guy who's making this stuff, and so I think that's how we think about it.
Speaker 1Yeah, I mean they called it eliabilities.
It went nowhere, and then it got rebranded as carbon Measure, and I think it's now getting momentum.
So you know, I totally from a conceptual perspective, I'm on your side here.
What I wanted to get to though, was that to get it to work, you need the entire supply chain to be able to agree on this framework, and that means it's going to take years, decades, right, the Greenhose Gas protocol that you don't like, which has Cope one, two and three emissions.
It's been in place for twenty five years now.
So there are climate advocates who are worried that carbon measures is just another delay tactic.
How do you address their consults?
Speaker 3Well, first, i'd say you don't have to get rid of the GHG protocol.
You can do this in addition to that.
So I'm not sure, you know.
I think there's always view that it's an either or option that are keep coming back to.
Speaker 2This is an and option.
Speaker 3But I would also tell the JSP protocol first of all, it's not an accounting system.
Speaker 2It's a reporting system.
Speaker 3And the other issue is is if you're going to use it account it doubles triple counts, which means it doesn't add up to the total planet's emissions.
That's a problem.
It also attempts to assign accountability where it doesn't belong.
And I make a point with Scope three all the time to ask me, as a company that produces products that are in demand and that are desperately needed by communities all around the world, that I can't sell that to them because I need to reduce their emissions.
Speaker 2I think is unreasonable.
Speaker 3It's an unreasonable request, and it ends up with an outcome that nobody wants.
We've got four billion people on the planet that living in energy poverty, that desperately need reliable, affordable sources of energy.
Today, those sources have emissions associated with them.
Okay, we need to address that, but we can't do that by robbing them of the tools and the leverage and enabling them to grow economically and to improve their lifestyle.
And so we've got to figure out how we do both.
I don't know how how long it takes.
You know, you can start.
This doesn't have to be a big bang from my perspective.
I mean, I'm a big believer in the pareto that there are twenty percent of the products or services are causing eighty percent of the emissions.
Speaker 2Let's start by focusing on those and by.
Speaker 3The way, you don't get it perfect, get eighty percent of the twenty percent and start there and then eve all that and get better as you go.
There are lots of ways to address this in a thoughtful, objective way, but we've got to do it in that way, thoughtfully and objectively, based on the science of CO two emissions and generation of CO two, and then accounting philosophy for how best you do that get started.
Speaker 1I think on the people who are worried about the delay tactic, they would welcome the view that you can have both green as Grass protocol and the combon measures accounting system, because that would allow you to in a market of ideas competitions.
Speaker 2Anybody is suggesting you get one, Yeah, that's exactly right.
Market.
It's a competition of ideas.
Speaker 3And if you've got a good if you've got a good idea, you shouldn't be afraid of competition.
Speaker 1Join me after the break for more of my conversation with Darren Woods, CEO of Exon Mobile, And if you'd like more from Bloombergreen at cop thirty, sign up for our daily newsletter at Bloomberg dot com Forward Slash Newsletters.
So let's come to the low carbon side of the ideas that you are funding.
You have been clear in multiple forums that EGXON strength is in the molecules business, and that's why you haven't really made a play in solar or wind deployment.
But what we've seen over the past few decades is that the demand for electricity has been typically at double the pace of energy from molecules.
With AI that's a more recent phenomena.
We are seeing the gap grow between the demand for electricity and rest of energy.
Are you reconsidering getting into the electricity business as it is?
Speaker 3I would start by reminding you that the electricity is generated from molecules, not always majority of them, a majority of them, and if you go well into the future to twenty fifty, you're still going to see the majority of power being generated by molecules.
So no, I'm not reconsidering that.
I think there is a capability that we bring there.
And I would also strongly make the point that hydrogen and carbon molecules go into a lot more products that society needs that enable modern living than just combustion products.
And so I'm perfectly comfortable with the idea that over time there will be elements of the products that I make which are no longer needed by society because we've found better alternatives with less emissions maybe other benefits.
I'm okay with that.
We have historically evolved as a company on that basis.
That doesn't change, though the fundamental need for our ability to transform these molecules into products as society needs.
I just very quickly give you two examples.
One of them is we recognize that one carbon molecules are in low demand, high supply, and so you know, my business drives the low cost what can we make with low cost carbon molecules?
Our organizations invented a unique carbon molecule that has properties that lend themselves to anodes and batteries, and we're seeing through third party testing that are carbon this used in nanodes gives thirty percent faster charging times, thirty percent further range, and over four times the battery life.
So there's a huge improvement in lithium ion battery with a product that I'm making out of a molecule.
Speaker 1Let's come to that battery breakthrough, because that's recent the announcement at least, and you know, batteries are something that the world wants a lot of right now, and so having new materials is good.
There's lots of innovation that's happening in that space.
But with any technology breakthrough, and this is not just a battery problem, but any technology breakthrough, there tends to be a certain amount of hype that comes with it before we can see it in action.
Speaker 2With this company.
Speaker 1Well, we can take the example of algae fuels that you know, Eggson was supportive of thought there was a breakthrough, but now that doesn't become a practical solution.
Speaker 3So how we should You should make the distinction between pursuing a technology breakthrough and announcing one.
And what we talked about with biofuels was the need to produce the productivity of algae, to generate the amount of oil to make it economically viable.
That's what we were working on and we saw the potential there.
We never announced the breakthrough that said we were there.
I would contrast that with what we're saying with carbon material, which is to say we had a view and an idea, we've developed the molecule, we've graphatized it, we've put it into application, and we've had third parties testing it, and those results are what we're reporting on.
Speaker 2That's a very different construct.
Speaker 1So when might we see that carbon molecule in an actual battery, in a commerce product.
Speaker 2When will we see that.
Speaker 3We're working really hard to get that commercialized by the end of this decade.
But I think you know, again, in my mind, we don't over promise and hun to deliver, and what we try to do is report on what we're trying to do and accomplish.
We've got to commercialize that.
We have gone from the lab to a demo unit and we have to commercialize that.
Speaker 2So that will take time.
Speaker 3These are large scales, and by the way, we're only going to pursue the things that are large and make material difference.
Stacks on mobile I can't have a bunch of nickel and dime businesses.
So it doesn't bother me, and it should not suggest that because it's going to take time, that it's not real.
I think you know, the difference may be in your mindset versus ours.
We think in terms of decades because we understand what it takes to make these very large scale investments in the time that it will take to bring them online and then penetrate to markets.
And that's true with all all products.
Speaker 1Let's talk about some of the other low carbon solutions that you've worked on.
You have a lithium extraction idea that you are working on now.
Lithium prices, as you well know, are even more volatile than fossil fuel prices.
Does that make the investment thesis less attractive?
Speaker 3No, because we look at lithium no different than we look at any other products that we make, which is where does our production sit on the cost of supply curve.
So you know, if I independent upon a commodity, if I'm in a commodity business where prices are set by supply and demand, I do not control the supply and I do not control the demand.
Speaker 2So I'm a price taker.
Speaker 3Across majority of my businesses, I'm a price taker, and so I will never know where prices are going to be, and I know that they will fluctuate based on where demand goes and how much supply comes on.
Our strategy for being successful in a volatile market is to bring production on that's the low cost of supply.
Because I know in these markets that the least efficient supplier required to meet the demand is going to set the price.
I've got to be better than that producer to get a margin.
And that's what we're working on and in lithium exactly the approach that we're taking.
And I would tell you with respect to that, we're still working to convince ourselves that we can get on the low end of the cost of supply curve.
So we're building small units to test that to drive the technology.
Whether that will be successful, we don't know yet.
But what I'll tell you is we know we have a concept.
We're demonstrating the ability to do that.
We've made lithium.
Now the question is can we commercialize it at scale at a cost that's competitive with Chinese cash costs.
Speaker 2That's a question that's yet to be answered.
Speaker 1And would that be the same answer for direct air capture technology?
Speaker 3Direct air capture the same thing everything that we're doing.
It's a little different in that it's a cost of abatement, but it's the same principle.
We have to be on the low end of the cost of abatement curve because if it can't compete economically, then we're not interested in And I would tell you that's true even for the businesses today that are being.
Speaker 2Subsidized by policy.
Speaker 3What I tell the organization is we can begin the business based on that, but we're not going to end up there.
And so anything that we're doing, we have to convince ourselves that over time we'll find a way to get on the far left hand side of the cost of supply curve so that when market forces take over and by the way they have to if we're going to be successful as society, that I better be advantaged with respect to that production.
And if I can't clear that hurdle and convince myself of it, we won't go in that business or make those investments.
Speaker 1Another low carbon commitment you have is to reduce the methane intensity of natural gas, so the amount of methane that you leak as a result of the processes that are involved in extracting and delivering natural gas to customers.
You have a goal for twenty thirty to try and be near zero methane leaks, and that's crucial here at COP thirty, where there's going to be a big discussion around methane and maybe even a methane deal of some sort.
You know there's already a target, but how do you actually get to that target.
Lots of countries are talking about that now.
The Inflation Reduction Act would have benefited companies like yours who are starting to work on reducing methane intensity because it was going to put a methane fee on those who leak.
A lot that's gone now to use stop investing in methane reductions.
As a result of the incentive going away.
Speaker 3We were driving methanetense reductions before the IRA came along, and we'll continue to it long after the IRA has expired.
So we don't our commitment to reduce emissions CO two emissions, methane emissions isn't a function of policy being put in place or being incentivized by penalties.
Speaker 2Our objective there.
Speaker 3Is to be a responsible operator, and from my perspective from the dagout in this job, it was if we're producing something, it's our responsibility and obligation to keep it in the pipe, and we need work to do that.
And we've made huge progress in that, irrespective of the commitments that we've made publicly.
That was if you go back in time, before methane was had the profile that it has today, we began reducing our methane emissions intensity before even this became a very public issue or a high profile issue, and we're going to continue to do that.
Speaker 2We make great progress with it.
Speaker 1One of the things that has happened over the last few years, which has been exceptional relative to other oil and gas companies, is that EGXON has signed lots and lots of permitting deals around the world, so recently grease, but also you're re entering Iraq, Trinidad, Libya.
Given where we are in oil and gas markets, generally there's lots of oversupply right now, prices have been falling.
Why are you expanding your permitting regimes aggressively?
Speaker 2This is a depletion business.
Speaker 3The bigger you are, the more production you have, the bigger the whole you dig through depletion.
So every barrel who produces a peril that's not available to us.
So you can think of it, it's like having a bottle of water.
Every sip you take is less water in the bottle.
Eventually the bottle runs out of water and you need to find a new bottle.
So that's the job that we have is as we continue to produce as a large producer, we have to find ways to replace the barrels that we've put on the market.
Speaker 2That's a huge challenge.
Speaker 3And given that if you go out to twenty fifty and beyond that oil and gas will continue to play an important role and the energy mix and providing products that the world needs.
We know those barrels are going to be needed, and so finding opportunities to bring more production on to fill the depletion curve is a critical part of the job.
There's only really three levers that we have to pull there.
One is for the resources that we already have today, how do we recover more.
Speaker 2That's a technology challenge that we're working very hard on.
Speaker 3The other is you can go out and bring a technology advantage or a production advantage or operating advantage to buy somebody else's assets and produce those more effectively, get better recovery, and do it at a lower cost.
And then the third is you've got to find new things and explorations are a critical part of that.
Speaker 1In getting those permits.
How much has the Trump administration been helpful?
Speaker 2We don't work through the US government on those.
Speaker 1Would you be interested in on gas assets in Azuela if they were to open up?
Speaker 3So you know, we've been expropriated for Minnesota at two different times, and so I think we have our history there, we have an experience set, and so certainly looking at what follows and what's in place, and how comfortable and confident are we that if we made investments, that we'd see the return on those investments.
It would be a critical part to evaluating that.
And then we'd have to see what the economics look like.
So I wouldn't put it on.
Speaker 2The list or take it off the list.
Speaker 3We'd have to see what the circumstances are at the time, which today I don't know what they're going to be, if they're even different.
Speaker 1You said previously that you don't work with the Trump administration on permitting deals abroad, but there is a clear indication from the Trump administration that they would like more oil and gas production globally.
Has there been any support to help you figure out where that might be?
Speaker 2We don't need any help in that area.
Speaker 1Now.
Key to your efforts to turn around performance at Exomobil one hundred and fifty year old company has been what you've classed as your focus on winning.
Some of that, though, has included layoffs and cost cutting internally, it's also doing active as shareholders and even taking a rival to arbitration court.
Can you define what winning means to you?
Speaker 3Yeah, you've mixed a lot of things up in that question that frankly don't are.
You've got apples, oranges, bananas and pairs in there.
I think, first of all, what I would tell you is what we've been very focused on the winning is bringing a unique set of capabilities and competitive advantages to the marketplace and realizing those advantages on the bottom line.
And so if you look at the transformation the company's been making, the changes that we've made in our organization, it has been restructuring to more effectively bring the advantages of scale, bring the advantages of the integrated businesses that we have and the synergies that exist between those businesses to the bottom line, taking advantage of and driving technology and technology benefits to the bottom line.
It's a focus on execution excellence, to drive capital efficiency, to drive reliability, to drive a lower maintenance, higher safety, better environmental performance.
And then it's been about unlocking the potential of our people.
That's what the changes that we've been driving to unlock this advantage we've been very focused on.
We've made great progress, and the layoffs that came from that is a function of the restructuring and better organizing our people in a way that they can work more productively and take advantage of everything Excellent Mobile has to offer.
It was more about effectiveness less about efficiency, But like everything, when you focus on being more effective, you find efficiencies, and so that's what's driving that With respect to the lawsuits, this is really around protecting the value that we're creating for our shareholders and importantly defending ourselves against activist attacks which are generated by an agenda that's not aligned with the value of the company or the value that we create for our shareholders.
And unfortunately, we've gotten to a place in society where the courts are being used frequently to bring challenges to some of these activities.
We're going to use the same tools that our antagonists use to defend the value that we're creating for our shareholders.
Speaker 1But sticking to layoffs, Egxon currently has fourteen thousand fewer employees than in twenty nineteen, and there are plans to lose another two thousand jobs.
And Eggxon isn't the only company doing this.
We've seen jobs in Kinneco Phillips being cut twenty percent to twenty five percent.
Chevron has said it would cut about twenty percent of its workforce.
Do you think it's a sign of the industry shrinking, that its social license is eroding.
Speaker 3I can't speak for Kindaco and Savon, I can speak for ourselves, and it's not.
If you look at the layoffs that you're talking about for us like three percent.
Speaker 2Of the workforce global workforce.
Speaker 3So again this is we've been very focused on changing the how we work, as I mentioned the transformation that we're trying to make to unlock our competitive advantages.
What we've shifted to as we've changed the how is to focus on the where.
And if you look at our global footprint and where we were located, it is based on an operating model, a construct that was developed decades ago, and so we're bringing our operational footprint, our facility footprint in line with how we work today.
That is my mind, an optimization step and it is not a deep cut to drive.
And again it wasn't driven, wasn't focused on a cost cutting.
It was focused on taking advantage of our people and the teamwork and the collaboration and the innovation that comes from that that we have unlocked with these changes, and we can only do that when people are in the same location.
I'm a big believer in working together, not working remotely.
Speaker 1Well, the two thousand ars yes, three percent, but since twenty nineteen it's more than twenty five percent because you have sixty three thousand employees now, so which comes.
Speaker 3From the transformation in the organizational.
We had I think eleven independent unique companies siloed in our organization.
We've gotten rid of the silos today and reorganized.
We have a one team, one goal mentality.
People are working collaboratively together and so you need less people when you take away the artificial construct that exists.
That's a function of improving your effectiveness, getting better at what we do, and you see that in the results that we have.
If this was a pure cost cutting exercise, you wouldn't see the improvement that we're getting in safety, personnel safety, and process safety.
You wouldn't see the improvement that we're getting in our reliability and we now have record reliability with our operations.
You wouldn't see that in the projects that we're delivering, which today are industry leading both in cost and schedule.
And so there's a lot of benefits that you can see that's happening in the company because of this effectiveness thing.
Speaker 1If we dig that five year period, the stock price has certainly done wonders for eggs on.
But if we just take the last twelve months since Donald Trump's selection, but since all these regulatory rollbacks, since the push to try and get more fossil fuels.
The stock price hasn't done all that well.
It's a little bit lower than it was exactly one year ago.
Now very much.
Speaker 3You have to I think anytime you look at the stock price of the company, you have to look at the commodity price market that we're in.
Our stock price is highly correlated with commodity prices, and so it will move up and down.
So the absolute number is less important than the relative number over time and the things that you're doing to improve that.
So I don't have any concerns in that space.
Speaker 1You've been in the role for nine years.
How long do you plan to stay on?
Speaker 2Well, the board gets to decide that, not me.
Speaker 1And what would you like to get done before you step away.
Speaker 3You know, we've made a lot of changes, as you've talked about.
Many of those have been recent.
In fact, we just announced this week the formation of a global operations organization, and we've got to bed those in and I think we're only beginning to see the benefits of that change, and I would like to have time to really focus the organization on improving the effectiveness of the changes that we've made we are rolling out.
I think the largest instance of SAP were today under our corporation, the first time in our history, we will have a system that spans the entire corporation and a data structure that's consistent for every business we do everywhere around the world.
So it unlocks huge opportunities if you think about that in conjunction with AI, where data and data consistency and integrity is so critical to the benefits of AI, we will have an unmatched platform with more data than anybody else in our industry.
And so I think i'd like to see that through GOT We've got a program that we're developing that through the next several years.
Speaker 2So there's still a lot to be.
Speaker 3Done in the company that's going to keep me busy, and I'd like to see some of that land and begin to produce the results that we're counting on.
Speaker 2Thank you, Dear, Thank you good talking with you.
Speaker 1Thank you for listening to zero.
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This episode was produced by Oscar Boyd with additional help from annam Azarakis.
Our team music is composed by Wonderly Special.
Thanks to Sommersaudi, Moses Adam, Laura Milan and Sharan chen i'm Akshadrati Baksu