Welcome to the Favorites, presented by Draft Kings.

The Crown is yours.

Happy Thursday.

NFL Week eleven is here.

I'm Brandon Kravitz, joined by my two faves, the Prime Minister of Degenerate Nations, Stucky and the Queen of the Pod, Miss Kendra Middleton.

On today's episode, we're gonna submit our official plays of the week.

We've got our stat of the day, two Kings and a Queen Parlay.

National Pickle Day is tomorrow, so of course we've got Kendra's pickle prop action under distraction.

We've got fun, fun on top of fun, and hopefully some winning picks along the way.

The Thursday Night Football line continues to tilt the way of the New England Patriots.

We said on Tuesday it was Pat's minus eleven and a half or pass, so if you wanted New England, hopefully you got in on that early.

Let's kick things off with Evan Abrams Shrimp.

Unbelievable stat of the week, straight from the primer.

Both teams, in terms of the Seahawks and the Rams seven and two entering this game in Week eleven, both teams covering at a rate of seventy seven percent as well.

First time since nineteen ninety that we've had two teams with a cover rate that high play against each other.

After Week ten, Sean mcvayh eleven and two ats against Seattle in their last thirteen matchups.

But this Seattle team feels different.

They are so good Seahawks now with three point dog though, So it looks like money's coming in on the Rams.

Stucky.

How did we get here with this number?

This feels like such an even matchup.

The Rams don't have this historically great home field advantage, and yet the number continues to tilt in their direction.

Yeah, just a lot, just sharper.

Money came in on the Rams.

That's pretty much what's gonna move the line other than injury news.

During the week of the NFL S I I would at over three.

I would look at Seattle.

I'm just really looking forward to this game.

There's not been many like just amazing games the NFL this season.

There's just so many bad teams.

This week, we have a couple of games where you're like, all right, I need to tune in for this, and I think that they'll live up to the hype.

I could I could make a case that the You know, I talked about this last week that the Rams defense might be a little overrated statistically.

I mean over the last month and a half.

Right, they should have given up thirty to the Colts at home, They had the drop at the one, they had the tailor touchdown called back.

They are carved up by Matt Jones twice.

And then if you look at their other games, you know, they played Cooper Rush when they played the Ravens, they played Tyler Schuck in the Saints, so they've benefited from some of their opponents.

I think that that secondary is attackable.

We'll see if Sam Darnold can have more success against the Rams than he did last year in Minnesota.

A completely different offense, but that's how his season ended last year, and we also saw him struggle during the regular season.

But I.

Could also make the case that Seattle's defense is a bit underrated because they played a good chunk of the season with a lot of secondary injuries, and they've had some guys step up.

They've gotten a bit healthier on the back end.

It's a ferocious defensive line.

They can get pressure without blitzing.

Coach by Mike McDonald, I mean just the x's and o's matchup between McVeigh and McDonald.

I'm really looking forward to there.

But yeah, I don't have these teams too far.

Apart as far as power ratings are concerned, the Rams offense is a machine right now, so I could only look at Seattle.

But as of right now, I haven't gotten to the window yet.

I bet Seattle early because I thought the same thing last week when we were having the argument about the Packers and the Eagles.

I thought, no way that number touches three on Philadelphia.

I thought the same thing going into this one, and it looks like it might end up closing it three and a half.

So I'm sitting on a pretty bad number here at two and a half on Seattle.

But I still like Seattle in this game, just looking at it opinion wise, but not ahead of it in terms of the market.

Read Kendra, this is easily the game of the week for me.

Are you an agreement there?

Yeah?

I think it has to be.

I also lean Seahawks in this game haven't gotten to the window I did here.

This morning, I was listening to a podcast that there's expected to be a massive Seattle crowd show up for this I mean, the Seahawks fans travel well in general, the team is good, LA doesn't really have a ton of their own fans.

I think that there could be a heavy Seahawks crowd here, so I think that that's something to pay attention to as well.

These are my two favorite teams in the entire NFL together, so I think that there's no way anyone.

But me could say that this is my game of the week.

The public percentages heavily on the side of the dog.

No surprise.

When you have two teams that are this good and you've got one that's catching points, obviously people are going to gravitate towards that side.

Seventy four percent of the bets seventy nine percent of the money on Seattle right now, But the number continues to tilt the way of the Rams.

So if you're just looking at this sharp analysis, wise it looks like the Rams are the smarter side, but as we know in the NFL, doesn't necessarily mean that they're going to win and cover all Right, stuck, you what do you got?

Let's dive into the weird, random, bizarre world of the thoughts that live inside of your brain.

Hey, this is a dumb question.

Let me ask you a personal question kind.

Of question is that is question?

I saw we we minted the last penny and at the two hundred and thirty years production is ended.

Some people collect coins, So my question for you is what do you collect anything?

And if so, what I know that Kendra probably will answer random animals or shrimp.

But Kendra, I'll start with you.

Do you collect Do you have any weird collections?

Coins?

Actually?

Uh so, yeah, yeah, I like to what I don't get.

Change very often, but every coin has like like obviously like a marking to differentiate when it was made in that type of thing and the year on it.

So when you look at a coin, there's like a D marking or a C marking or whatever, and that can also mean.

It's more valuable.

So I just like to like look at coins when I get them and see what they're currently worth, if they're super old or like a manu like they had like a manufacturing issue or something like that that makes them more valuable.

And then I also have I guess animals would be one.

And then I collect trinkets from like a little like a country I go to.

I get like a little really weird random like animal trinket.

Yeah.

I had a Funko Pop collection going for a while, but I had to cut that off.

He was getting a little expensive.

And now I just have a drawer in my garage.

I can't get rid of them.

There's just a ton of Funko pops.

And we were talking about everything from like Ninja Turtles, pro wrestling, entertainment, characters from the Office and things like that.

But the one for me that you don't know what.

It's like a bobble head that does.

You can't pull up a picture for him.

You've got to see this.

You definitely know what they are.

Tiny bodies, big head, little figure you put on the shelf in my house.

I would grab one right now, but I'm I'm at the office doing the show.

They do have.

I have Evan Andrew Luck Funko Pop.

I've got an Aaron Rodgers.

Yeah, there you go.

You see these?

Yeah, I think I've seen them.

Okay, But every state that I go to I get a magnet.

It has to be purchased.

My rule is that it has to be purchased inside of the state.

I can't buy it online after the fact, just because I find a better one, and it has to be something that is identifiable to the state itself.

It can't just be one of those from like a Flying J gas station.

It's got to be something super unique to that state.

So you like in Kentucky, I've got one that's a it's a horse stuff like that your neck of the woods Stucky.

Yeah, I.

Guess.

I collect bourbon for our basement bar.

But my favorite thing to collect is books, like I have.

I actually just.

Got How did I never notice until right now that you have a million books behind it?

You're a fucking library.

I have a thousand and fifty I think I.

Have you read all of those?

Yeah?

Not right now, but in the spring, as soon as college basketball is over.

In summer, I try to read like thirty forty books in the offseason.

I am not I think all, but maybe ten or nonfiction.

So yeah, I have.

I think I have like eight full book shelves and bookcases in my house all filled up.

I cannot read on my phone.

I cannot read it.

On a tablet, I can't nothing electronics.

Having the actual yeah, the sacond book.

I love collecting.

I love showing people.

I love giving people books when they come over and I'm like and they're like, what do you like to read?

And I'll just lend it to them and then never get it back.

But what's your favorite category of book?

Is it history?

History, non fiction, sports, anything nonfiction, anything about like any random topic.

Like these books right here we have.

This is a Vietnam marine memoir, River of Doubt.

This is UH about Roosevelt's trip down the Amazon Destiny disrupted.

This is history of the world through Islamic guy.

Some people need killing.

It's about the Philippines and them killing uh like just na naming everyone, saying, calling everyone a drug dealer and killing everyone with their.

This is so endearing, you guys, so cute.

We need an entire episode on this in the off season.

This is killing.

Giant steps is cool.

This is the guy who went from walked all around the world and like just about all stops.

This is the same energy as when some reporter asked Bill Belichick if he liked Christmas and he like smiled and he was like he liked Christmas music and he just smiled and he's like, I love all the songs.

They're my favorite.

Like this is like how I feel watching Stucky with his books right now.

This is got King Leopold, Colonial Africa.

Same with this another Colonial Africa, American Revolutions.

Carthage must be Destroyed.

I've heard that's really good one on the history of slavery.

Another anti communist book.

So yeah, that's that's what I collect and I have.

So anyone's like, oh, I like I like this topic, I'm like, oh, I got a book about that.

So that's my favorite thing to collect.

It's literally built Belichick right now.

It's not losing losing betting tickets that collect this.

That was, of course all we all do.

You know, That's that's how we got here.

But of those great stuff, time for action or distraction, this is distracted static.

I'm not stacking.

I want it on the action.

Brian Day ball fired.

The Giants have an interim head coach, Mike Kafka be stepping up Jameis Winston at quarterback, just like Kendra was asking for.

I'm on fans of No Dad.

I'm gonna do my best, you know, off Sally.

I'm gonna have fun, but I'm going to execute, uh, have a surgical execution.

Uh and just and just play ball, man, Like this is something I've been doing since I've been four years old and I just get to do it in the greatest city in the world.

I'm gonna be saying with my son, it's the greatest city in the world.

Yeah, that's a Hamlets in reference, if y'ah.

I don't know.

And the line has been bet down from Packers to minus they're minus eight at the beginning of the week.

Their minus six and a half right now, Kendra, action or distraction on betting the g Men.

I think it's a distraction.

I can't this game feels.

I think the Packers might actually be okay in the stratch of it, but this current, like right now version of the Packers kind of hot garbage, Booty Cheeks bad, not in a good way.

Booty Cheeks, they're not good.

And the Giants they're frisky and they're fun.

And I think they like each other, which is so lame and stupid to say, but I think they like each other.

They play for each other every week.

I also am still not completely out on the idea of backing a team after their coach gets fired.

I can't.

I want to be there, but both of these teams, just neither side of it really intrigues me enough yeah.

Uh hard to fall in love with the Giants in their current state.

Are you are you gonna throw any money to this is?

This is the kind of dog that usually bet stuck here.

Are you in on the Giants?

No, I'm not quite there.

There are there are I do know of some sharp groups and people that did bet the Giants, especially at over a touchdown.

I mean the Packers are beat up on offense, and the Avengers, I mean, like the Craft injury, the Jenkins injury, They're not healthy a wide receiver.

Their offense right now is just trying to find an identity and it's not and it's not an overly reliable unit right now that you want to be laying a touchdown plus with on the road.

With that said, I you know, even if they just go hand it off the Jacobs too much, which they can do at times, that should work.

The Giants have the worst run defense in the league.

But I just don't know what I'm I'm going to get from Jamis Winston.

He is he is super high variants.

It's better than Russell Wilson.

We were saying, you gotta start Jamis here, and like he's going to make some explosive throws.

He's going to try to make things happen with his arm, but he also could throw three pick sixes.

He's also going to give the ball on the other team, and this Packers defense is playing at a high level.

Plus you have to like change your entire offense.

So maybe that can work in their favor, because that's one of the things that happens with the new coach.

Right that first game.

You have new wrinkles, you showcase new things that the other team doesn't have on film.

But this has to be a complete one eight.

Like Dark's legs were essentially an enormous part of the offense since he took over, that's not really going to be a thing with Jamis.

So I'm curious to see what the offense looks like this So I can't get there.

I didn't lay with the job, I didn't lay with the Packers, but I can't quite get there on the Giants.

There's just too much uncertainty with what this offense looks like and the fact that Green Bay should just be able to run the ball, and there's probably gonna be some Jamis turnovers that might end up being the difference in the game.

Evan I know you wrote about this and the primer Jordan Love as a favorite north of a field goal has not been profitable.

What's the exact number on that?

And Jamis is a dog of overfield goal.

I think it's been like really good.

Yeah, I mean just looking at it right now, six points or more.

He's two and seven against the spread.

But that's like career, You've had some decent losses in that spot.

But even if you look, Packers zero to five against the spread this season in favored by four points or more, which honestly doesn't happen a lot because once you start losing once or twice, is that big of a favorite, you tend not to get that respect again.

So twenty twenty one Ravens which stuck.

You might remember Ohn five ats is four plus point favorites to ten weeks as well, but just kind of id that you have that type of respect.

And again this week.

On the road, so also kind of the spot with the Giants, but I agree with stucky Jamis gives them a better chance to win and lose the game, so it should be fun.

A nice little nugget from Nick Giffin's luck rankings.

Philadelphia's offense has generated just nineteen and a half points per game in four games against top ten defenses by DVOA just eighteen points by expected score action or distractions.

Stucky on Philly team total under twenty four and a half as a smart play this week.

I don't mind it that.

I mean just that the Eagles offense is they are who they are at this point and they come out of the buy and it's more of the same.

The offensive line they're not fully healthy.

They've taken a step back from last year, so Barkley can't really going and there's just no creativity with the offensive play calling.

I don't think it's going to ultimately work out with Patola, and I think it's eventually going to cost them in the playoffs.

There's no motion, there's no play action.

I mean there's it's just all shotgun and I mean, look at there's they're not there's no screen game.

There's nothing to like really challenge opposing defenses.

Who when you watch them like you watch the Packers lose this.

If the Packers knew every play that was coming, and I mean throughout that entire game, they basically had two good plays on offense.

They had to dump off the Barkley in a long pass to Devonte Smith.

There's there's just not much to like about this offense right now.

So yeah, I mean the Eagles are just until further notice, they're an under team, and and they think every week it's almost every week unless they're playing like the Giants who can't stop the run.

It seems like almost every week there's like a quarter or two or like almost an entire half where they just don't score.

So it's hard to score more than twenty four points in the NFL when you don't score for an entire half every other week.

And would I would imagine that the Eagles.

And the other thing is that if they're up on Detroit, when they get up on anybody, they're a team that can just go on these long clock bleeding drives, you know, and just eat up eight to ten minutes in the second half when they get a lead.

So I don't mind that.

Look, there's there's still major problems with this Philadelphia offense for sure.

Kendrillya to AJ Brown saying that you can go ahead and drop me in fantasy.

I don't know that I'm willing to go that far, But what do you make of that.

And I actually almost sent someone I know an offer for him, just as a joke in my personal fantasy football league, just to see if they would actually believe him and give him to me for cheap.

But I just a offer, I know something, did you try and trade a kicker something.

I was just gonna offer him something stupid like facial touton.

But I didn't wind up doing it because I didn't think that the person who had him kind of would get the joke.

They don't follow sports as closely as the rest of.

Us in the league, so I didn't think that it would be as funny.

But yeah, that's I think that that's maybe he will actually catch touchdown this week.

Maybe it's smok a mirror's maybe that's his way of being like, don't drop me, actually bet on me.

That would be how I would look at it, because I'm insane.

But yeah, I kind of agree with everything Stuckie said.

I just this team on offense goes at maybe you know what, maybe it's the Madden curse.

That's where we're at.

It is not just cursing the player this year, it's cursing their entire offense.

That's where I'm at that's my final answer.

Is the end done.

One of the bets that I made this week was a sprinkle on a tray McBride anytime touchdown Marvin Harrison Junior is out.

We love the tight.

End touchdown props, Kendra action or distraction on that?

Are you in or out on my McBride prop action?

You guys know that I love the tight end props.

I'm actually gonna maybe give one out in a minute here with my pickle prop.

But I love, love, love a tight end.

I was actually looking at this earlier this morning because of the Marvin Harrison Junior situation and the price just was not where I wanted it to be.

But I'm totally behind this.

He's the only other answer that they have.

This offense looks a lot better, looked a lot better last week in comparison to weeks prior.

You could argue that I guess, but I am all in on the train McBride.

You guys know I love a tight end.

I love a kicker, and I love a left tackle.

So you can get into the window on pretty much Eddie tight end prop if you present it to me.

Interesting question coming in from production here has anyone on the show had their appendix removed.

I have not.

I don't have a gall bladder, stucky.

Have you had any organs removed?

Ah?

Not that I know, So I don't know.

Maybe during a bad vendor someone took something, but not that I know of.

No, but that does say it sounds painful.

It does.

I like the McBride look.

Also, on the Action Eric podcast, we talked about Raybon and I like Dortch as well.

He's going to get increased.

Looks like the Cardinals are decimated at wide receiver still even at plus three, I would I could only look their way, just because the forty nine Ers defense right now is it's a sieve.

It can't It's not gonna stop anyone.

I don't care who, who, what type of offense you're playing.

But we'll see how healthy Arizona's defense is.

That's important too.

Oh and by the way, I should mention that McBride has scored five touchdowns in four games with Versette and five touchdowns in thirty nine games with Murray.

That's insane.

The same amount of touchdowns in thirty five fewer games with Persett, who clearly looks his way and he's clearly going to get a increased target share this week, especially in the red zone.

I would imagine what about Lamar Jackson.

I am growing concerned with him because he missed all this time.

I know it's just a Wednesday practice and a lot of stars sit that one out, but he didn't practice.

It was undisclosed reasons.

There's a chance for bad weather thirty five mile per hour wind gusts off of Lake Erie in Cleveland.

Are you buying brownstock?

I think stuck here.

I think I saw you put them in the app if I'm not mistaken.

Are you on the Browns this week?

I am?

Is that one you're going to tee up to us for the parlay?

Yeah?

I mean I could see it up now and just mention it later.

I mean, essentially, the Browns at home I almost bet as a dog.

I almost bet, and I bet him as a favorite.

I've bet them at home every game this year.

They only played three home games.

They haven't been at home in a month, which is pretty crazy.

They went overseas, then they went to Pittsburgh, and then they crushed Miami.

But they've only had three home games, and by the way, they went three and oo against spreading those games over.

This is a crazy stat.

I don't know.

I haven't read Evans primer yet this week.

But the Browns this their defense.

I talk about this all the time.

Their defense at home is historically good and it's been one of the best units in the NFL offense or defense over the past three seasons.

They just play up and it doesn't matter who they play.

I mean, this year they should have beat Burrow.

They held the Bengals offense to seventeen.

They beat love In, the Packers, they held them to ten, they beat the Dolphins, held them the three and over the past three seasons at home, the Browns are thirteen and eight against the spread sixty two percent on the road five and seventeen twenty two point seven percent.

It's the worst in the league.

It's worse than the Titans, who never cover five and seventeen against the spread.

On the road, They've been a They've been a touchdown plus underdog at home three times over the past three years.

They not only cover them all, they won them all out right.

They beat the.

Packers are this year, they beat the Ravens last year, and they beat the forty nine ers last year.

So this this is gonna be a super low scoring game.

It's gonna be weather wins, and that's not great for Lamar's hamstring.

Did I just think he didn't practice could precautionate reasons, but he didn't.

He didn't have the same He took a lot of the hams knee.

It was, but it matters.

I just think it was a little bit about injury.

Yeah, He's just he just doesn't have the same burst right now, the same explosiveness that I was expecting after the extended rest following the Miami game.

So and his legs are such a huge part of everything that he can do.

And if the weather here is going to neutralize some of the downfield passing attack, and you know that the Browns can stop the run.

I mean, Derek Henry couldn't even get a yard in the first matchup, and they'll get after the quarterback.

And without Lamar's capability, and with the weather impacting the downfield passing attack, that's a huge advantage for the Browns who don't have a downfield passing attack.

Everything they want to do is run, which you can do on this Ravens team.

You know they're without with their defensive line injuries, you can run on them, short passes and throws to the tight end, which again some of the things that the Ravens struggle with.

So I think this is a decent matchup for the Browns.

You'll get their best effort, and just in a game where with a total that you know there might not be thirty one total points in this game, taking over a touchdown with the home dog is always going to be intriguing.

So yeah, I think the conditions and a lot of the matchup things favor the raid favor of the Browns here.

So I took the Browns at home or you know their defense is going to come to play.

Some of that home field advantage stuff, I think that that's mitigated by the fact that this is a division games.

When I think about the Browns, the home field advantage they've had over the last couple of years, a lot of these upset wins and great performances they've had, off the top of my head, have been against teams like the Packers, like the forty nine ers.

Does that lessen the home field advantage because it's Baltimore, because they're used to that environment.

Now, I mean a couple of the upsets they've have been over the Ravens at home.

I've been to a couple of those games.

I mean last last year they beat the Ravens is ten point dogs, I believe.

And part of the reason is not only is their defense.

I can't explain why their defense plays so well at home.

It's got to be but to get conditions to help.

And the Browns offense is not an explosive offense.

It hasn't been for years.

It's not a good offense, especially this year.

So in that stadium when you get the heavy wins and just miserable weather and then the field all of that slow.

Usually when they're when they're a big underdog, well that means the other team usually has a good offense that's going to help stunt the opposing offense and boost their defense.

So that's probably part of it.

And that's certainly the case with the Ravens.

The Ravens have a very explosive offense, and you know, with the dealing with the hamstring and the cold win rain, like, I'm sure Lamar is going to be extra cautious here against that defense, so you're not going to get his full I don't think you think he's at one hundred percent, But I don't think you're going to get even him trying to.

You probably get him throwing it away.

More Ravens maybe being a little bit more conservative, knowing they don't have to put up a huge number here to beat the Browns.

So but now I think I think it still has the same effect on the Ravens due to the conditions.

Now the familiarity, like in general home field advantage in divisional games is less, Like when I sign home field, it'll be less for divisional games because you have familiarity with just a small home field, and advantage in the NFL's diminishing each and every year.

But just having familiarity with like going to that stadium, knowing the nuances of the kicking, especially in Shanahan, didn't know, like the forty nine ers didn't know this last year some of the kicking nuances in Cleveland and it cost them.

There's like the Phil Dawson flag and you can look to see what the wins are doing in the corner of the stadium, So some of those things, and just like we've been to this stadium before, we know that home field's always gonna be a little less for divisional games, but I still think it has a major impact on this particular matchup.

Still the comar two Kings and a Queen parlay.

We nominate our picks in just a moment, but first a word.

From our first lady as she chants about Draft Kings.

The Favorites podcast is sponsored by DraftKings sports book and in partnership with DraftKings.

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And get three hundred dollars back in bonus bett if your bet wins, and three months of.

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Tomorrow is National Pickle Day, So no better time than right now to ask you what is your week eleven pickle prop?

What prop?

As he in a pickle?

Okay, we're in a pickle.

Now, I'm really in a pickle?

Now?

All right?

Look we're gonna pickle again.

Hot Friarmouth plus two forty.

The Bengals are the worst team in the NFL against the tight end this year.

But he hasn't been finding the end zone the way that I personally expected him to and probably a lot of other people.

But he had two.

Touchdowns in this matchup prior in this season.

I am curious that they're gonna find a way to.

Shut him down because obviously it could be a John Newsmith game.

He gave them a hard time last time these two teams played each other.

The other thing I will.

Note, though I was doing some research about this earlier, Aaron Rodgers is throwing way more touchdowns than it feels like he's a top ten quarterback as far as passing touchdowns go, probably even top seven I think I want to say he was six or seven on that list.

So he's throwing more than we think he would do.

We take the cheese.

He's currently plus two forty.

I already put it in the app.

Do I feel great about it?

No?

But I did it because I'm not a coward and I really want to be behind my Massachusetts king, pav Fryarmuth.

This week, well, I think that that's the thing.

You're not going to make this bet and feel good about it because Pat Fryarmouth can be an absolute non factor any given week.

He's got three catches, forget about touchdowns.

He's got three catches in his last three games, but he roasts the Bengals routinely.

Not only the game that you're talking about from a couple of weeks ago that was on primetime.

We all remember there was a touchdown fest and tight ends were scoring left and right, but he scored both times he played against them last year.

So there's just something something about those that gets some going stucky.

Yeah, I don't mind him.

My only fear would be like, any way that Pittsburgh chooses to attack Cincinnati is going to work.

So like it's just like, is he in the game plan?

That's the thing.

They rotate three guys, that's the unpredictable part.

If it was just Pat Fryermuth, well you probably wouldn't be getting a plus two forty on it, But then it would I would just feel so much better about it.

But if he's just not part of the game plan, then we're just gonna get screwed in that direction.

Yeah, No, but I don't mind.

I mean Cincinnati's line, they have the worst linebacker room in the NFL.

They have the worst defense.

They cannot cover tight ends, as you mentioned, they really struggle in that department.

And you could get some wind.

This is where at the time of the year, where do you have to worry about the weather.

That would impact the downfield passing attack much more and the Bengals much more.

And the Steelers love throwing at their tight ends Aaron Rodgers quick short passes.

That's not going to have an impact on the tight end product and it could actually increase it for the Steelers.

So yeah, like regardless, I think the tight end room for the Steelers.

The Steelers utilize their tight tight ends as much as anyone, although the Rams.

When you're watching that Rams seayoffs game, the Rams have used like thirteen personnel forty percent of the time over the past month.

They're going with like multiple tight ends.

They're going heavy and throwing.

That's like the new trend in the NFL if you can throw out of heavy packages, and the Rams are doing it as well as anyone, and the Steelers do a good job of doing that as well.

You're going to see a lot of many two and three tight end packages.

And then regardless of the weather of the wind, that's not going to impact Rogers getting rid of the ball quick to those tight ends.

So I don't mind it.

Look two tight end touchdown props on today's episode, Kendra, this must rank top three for you all time on the favorites.

Hikels and tight ends.

We're really getting after it for me today.

I appreciate it.

You guys.

I have pickle nails for tomorrow.

And people don't understand the uh we got a you guys reference on the podcast just now.

That is a regular occurrence prior to us going live.

Is the the you guys shout out something random on the back end from Kendra Middleton, always a classic.

It's time for the reason that you came here today.

Our two Kings and a queen parlay.

We'll each nominate at least two plays.

We'll see if we can find some general consensus.

We'll slam them together and hopefully well cash in like we did two weeks ago.

Kendra, get us started all.

Right, So this number has moved to four, but do we want the chiefs to cover the now four?

It was three and a half when I put it in here earlier, or do we want Jacoby Meyers anytime plus two fifty because I I think that they're really trying to get Jacobe Myers into the offense.

I know that Stucky has a potential nomination from this game as well.

But last week threw a touchdown to him.

It was recalled for a penalty, which makes sense.

Jacksonville Jaguars penalizes to hell most us undisciplined team that I've ever seen in my life.

So I think that they're going to try and get him involved early and often.

They have no choice now that Travis Hunter is out for the season as well, but to get him acclimated and get him acclimated quickly.

But I do people there's so much money on the Chiefs as I was looking into it this morning, But Chiefs after a by Patrick Mahomes, after a buy and you read after a bye, all of those statistics that people love, probably a little square of super square on my part, but that's okay.

These are my two options for the week.

I like the Chiefs.

I like the Chiefs.

Why don't we throw in because we're gonna have two other ones, why don't we throw in just money on like I go a little too high, but I really do.

I can't see the Chiefs losing this game after the bye week.

That Broncos aren't even fully healthy.

They're bad and they're bad.

BIS looks bad.

Bonus looks bad.

But uh, I could see this being just like a Chiefs peep go win.

But I think the Chiefs are going to get it done.

It's a partlay.

I do you okay?

Throwing Chiefs money line down?

Chiefs money line?

Yeah?

What is it?

Probably?

To back that up?

This is from Evans Primer this week, Andy Reid, Patrick Mahomes off the by thirty four and ten straight up or that's on extended prep but still thirty four and ten.

Mahomes and Reid against the AFC West eighty six.

Percent of the time they win.

So a lot of these and we've seen the Broncos have trailed in seven straight games.

This team is due for a loss, so I've got no problem with it.

I think the win is the way to look.

And then minus two five is not a bad price.

That's better than I thought it would.

Be, all right, So that one is in stucky.

Wow, you guys, that was too easy.

I didn't like that.

Now I'm on comfy.

The Chiefs.

It's cozy.

I My first one is gonna be Cleveland.

I already talked about that game.

My second one is going to be the Jags.

This is a Jags podcast.

They're back at home.

When's the last time they played at home?

Over a month?

Here's the thing, it's kind of a Chargers podcast too.

It's the low key Chargers podcast, yet we brand ourselves Jags podcasts.

And now that you get.

These two, it was a month ago.

It was before the London game.

That was their last home game for Yeah, and.

It's the team they went one in three over the past four But I mean they collapse urus the Texans, one of the best defense, but they played that we just talked about.

They played the Seahawks and the Rams.

So I think getting back at home where they've been good this year, getting back at home, catching three against the Charters team that cannot block anybody, and the Jags can get pressure.

The Charters don't have an offensive line, which means they're not going to travel well and play well on the road.

And you look at what they've done on the road this year since they've had offensive line Injers.

I mean they lost to the Giants, they barely beat the Dolphins by two, and then they beat the Titans.

That's not a very are encouraging road data set.

My only concern with the Jags, and also the jack should be able to run the ball.

Here, you're missing the biggest part of all of this.

Justin Herbert cannot play.

Listen, I'm gonna say this now.

The Chargers are gonna beat the shit out of the Jags, But Justin Herbert cannot play in Jacksonville.

That comeback game in the playoffs, that was in Jacksonville.

He grabs his pants against this team consistently.

However, this team is so dead, so done for the locker room after the Travis Hunter news absolutely disgusting.

Liam Cohen is absolutely disgusted by this.

This team's falling apart.

They need you, Cobey.

I can't do it.

I can't get there.

Well, we sell a Jags plus three.

It is on you.

Once you sell all of your stock on a team, that's probably the time to buy in plus.

But the only thing I'm worried about I will say, I mean, I think Breton strangely back.

I've been talking about paying his loss for a while again, and he returned to practice yesterday.

I think he's gonna play.

He's big in the red zoneses next week, tom bet.

I mean, I think anyone who can play will play this week.

This game is an enormous swing in postseason odds.

Like if the Jags win, I think they go to like sixty percent to make it.

If they lose, their down to like twenty percent.

Same with the Chargers.

If they win, they go up to like ninety.

If they lose, they're basically a coin flip.

So Brian Thomas Junior returned to practice.

You have Jacoby Myers.

If you can get strange back, you can run on this Chargers defense.

And that's basically when the jat if the Jags can run the ball.

But they choose not to because they're idiots.

Yeah, I mean, I don't think Owen's an idiot.

He's and they went against I mean the Rams, Seahawks, Texans.

You can't really run on those teams.

You can run on the charters.

My only concern is that everyone is always on the injury report yesterday.

I'll see what it looks like today.

But they're like basically their entire offensive line, Jordan Lewis Parker Washington is playing really well.

There's a lot of limited guys.

Why any time too, So that those.

Are my two options, Jags plus three at home plus I'm I just make the line one and a half one one and a half.

So I think it's too high.

So Jags plus three at DraftKings or what are at DraftKings?

What are the Browns seven and a half?

Seven and a half?

I'm half yeah, we're gonna need Evan to break the tie.

I like both.

I just really don't want to fade this Ravens team right now.

They're just they're just rolling downhill with their momentum starting one in five.

They have to treat every week like it's a playoff game.

This is not a sleepy spot, even though Cleveland is a really tough place to play right now.

But I like the Jags bed a little bit more.

Evan break the tie for us.

This is a house of content, and we have the ability to take the Jaguars plus three at home.

I don't know how we don't pass that up.

Jaguars, because no matter what happens, this is the best thing for the show.

I can't believe we recou even though Stuck he sold the entire thing and it probably does cash.

It's Jaguars, ladies and gentlemen enjoy Well, yeah, I hate.

You guys literally every week.

There's so many knives in my back at this point.

You guys will never pull out.

It's unblavle.

You just keep twisting them further in.

Front thee though, so Jack enjoy the rest.

Well, technically Stuck he handed the knife, but uh, you know that is fair.

Can actually record my reaction if this goes down to the wire, I'm literally gonna have to like put my phone up in my house and just run.

I'm literally, oh my god.

When Cam Little hit that seventy yarder in the preseason, I was running around my kitchen island and I ate shit in a pair of socks.

So I hope that we get one of those again.

If we hit this parlay.

I needed all caps, you guys from the Kindred Middleton.

Twin Chargers by one or two.

That's probably what you and.

The Chargers are gonna beat the crap out of them.

And I'm so for real.

Little versus great kick kicking matchup.

Little dicker, you love it.

I mean, that was just what a lay up that was right there.

Panther's plus three and a half against the Atlanta Falcons or the.

Eagles money line.

So since we're talking juicy money lines, the Eagles they have.

I was going through every team that's five and four better, seeing if I could rank their top three wins of the year.

The Eagles blow out the competition.

As far as if you were just saying resume builder, like if we were treating this as if it were college football, Chiefs, Packers, Rams, no team touches that list of three as far as wins.

Adding Detroit to that resume nah Chef's kiss Siriani two to zero against Dan Campbell, averaging forty one points per game against them.

And another great stat from the primer, a good week after the bye week team five and oho straight up four and one against the spread coming off of the game that's off the buy so Philadelphia money line.

The number continues to tilt in that direction.

If we talk about stacked injury reports, go look at the Lions.

And then the other one is the Panthers Falcons coming back from overseas no bye week.

The Panthers already showed the match up well with this team.

They blasted them thirty to zero earlier in the year.

Carolina lost to the Saints last week.

They are not to be trusted as a favorite.

They are to be trusted as a dog.

I like the sad Cats, Kendra, which do you like better?

Habits?

I fucking hate both of these same.

I hate these.

I love the Falcons this week and I love the Lions.

What are we doing?

I don't stuck eat, I can't.

You're gonna have you and Evan, this is in God's hands because it can't be in mind talk amongst yourselves.

I have to play.

And I think the Eagles win.

I think their defense will be the difference, like you're getting the they're I think their defense is going to continue trending up.

And the Lions offensive line might still be an issue.

And we can't stand either of these.

I know, I don't.

I get the spot like after an overtime game coming over back overseas.

It's not great without a bye week, and Atlanta is not a great They don't have a great home field advantage and this is an a visual game, but they were embarrassed the last time on their home field against the Dolphins.

They were embarrassed by this team earlier this season, so I think they're gonna get the Falcon's best effort.

And the Falcons at home with Penix, they're a different team.

But I mean, the Panthers could run the ball, and that's the Falcon's biggest weakness right now, especially with that Diablo.

They can't stop the run.

I'm gonna say the Eagles money line is my choice, just because somehow they find ways to win.

But I fucking hate both of these.

I'll say the Panthers, Oh my god, Evan, just so Evan can break the tie, because I don't really have a strong.

Yeah, it's Panthers.

I'll go three and a half.

But I got I hate it if you could pick a spot where you're going off a team who won thirty nothing and then you've got San Francisco on Monday Night football on deck, like it's just a I know it's a division, I know it's a big deal, just a shitty spot.

I don't want everyone.

I'll take Carolina though.

No, I'm so serious.

If my leg of this hits and the two of you lose, I will be so insufferable for so long, worse than usual.

I will be so beyond worse than usual.

You guys, I'm you better.

You better cross your fingers and tell pray to Evan Abrams because he's our Jesus Christ.

It's I'm no Jack and I'm.

Getting ship on in the chat over here, Eagles money line worst suggestion of the year.

I have easily had worse suggestions than taking the Eagles in primetime to win a football game.

Jags plus three Panthers plus three and a half cheaps money on plus four twenty at DraftKings.

One King and two sad Cats.

It's gonna be a good weekend.

That right there, Bad cat parlay.

Holy crap, do we.

Switch to Jacobe Myers just so it can truly be the sad Cat Parlay?

No, no, no.

Exsion.

That right there are two Kings and a queen parlay presented by Draft Kings.

The crown is yours.

That'll do it for today's episode special Thanks to our producers Gifford Gold and David Payne.

Are statf guy, Evan Abrams the favorite.

We'll return on Sunday night a week eleven recap.

Catch it right here on the Action Network YouTube page.

Thanks so much for tuning in.

We'll see you next time here on the Favorites podcast presented by Draft Gas.

The Crown is Yours.

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