
ยทS1 E550
Justin Wolfers & Gov. Tim Walz
Episode Transcript
Hi, I'm Molly John Fast and this is Fast Politics, where we discussed the top political headlines with some of today's best minds.
And Donald Trump has now overseen over a million corporate job losses, the worst since two thousand and three.
We have such a great show for you today.
The think like an economist Justin Wolfers joins us to talk about Trump's economy and why it's so bad at giving numbers.
Then we'll talk to former vice presidential candidate Governor Tim Walls about how the government shutdown is affecting his citizens.
But first the news.
Speaker 2Smy the Trump administration, they just love starving poor people.
You know, we all know the cruelty is the point.
We've gotten the memo.
But my god, they're ordered to pay snap payments.
They could just say, all right, we can see, will give the poor some things that they're like now, got to make sure they suffer.
Got to make sure that there's as much harm inflicted on these people as possible.
Speaker 1So this is the first time ever that a government has just decided not to pay snap benefits.
The money is there, like the Trump administration is is old hat at like having money refusing to use it.
It's not their money.
I mean, the thing I love about Donald Trump is like he's like, you know, he's like the rich dad being like, no, it's not for you, but it's not yours, daddy.
It's not your money, it's the taxpayer's money.
His administration is now fighting with the courts about whether or not he has to pay SNAP benefit.
Forty percent of SNAP recipients are children, twenty percent are the elderly, ten percent are disabled.
They will go to the grocery store and their Snap cards will have no money on them.
That is because of Donald J.
Speaker 3Trump.
Speaker 1If you have a clearer explanation of how Donald Trump is just fucking people overloved right by the way, Ice still having their student loan debt paid, Okay, riddle me this, like who is this for besides Elon Musk who will soon be a trillionaire.
Speaker 2Yeah, and let's remember all the air traffic controllers not getting paid right now, all the congressional employees not getting paid right now but still have to work.
Speaker 1And members of Congress getting paid.
Mike Johnson, my man, he's making his full paycheck.
Speaker 2My wife is out literally helping people in the streets for free.
That as mandated by her job, but not getting a paycheck as we speak.
Yes, So by I don't normally recommend House Democrats imitating a guy who's on videotape abusing his wife, who then became a meme because he'd say change my mind and set college campuses where a grown man would fight with college students.
But I have to say what Arizona repens Sorry did here by trolling Mike Johnson and making it realize Mike Johnson's choosing to keep the government shut down.
I say more trolling like this.
Speaker 1So she's a member of Congress.
She sat down in front of Mike Johnson's office in a table with a placard on the front that had written on it Mike Johnson is starving families and gutting health care to cover up the Epstein files.
Change my mind.
It's a sort of a homage to evil Stephen Crowder, who used to do that in college campuses.
But the point of it is that it actually really got people talking, and then it got Mike Johnson playing c span in front of his office as a way to try to dispel it, which ended up having more people coming to talk to her, which ended up creating more attention.
And again, like you know, we talk so much about like how politicians can break through, how democrats can connect with voters, and like we see lots of different ways that politicians can do it, even like from Jared Moskowed's to Chris Murphy to Bernie Sanders, Like this is another way in which like if you think, if you're thinking in a creative way, then you can actually connect.
And there are a lot of members of Congress and well, you know, Mike Johnson sent a lot of people home.
There are still some people that are there.
A lot of the Democrats are still there, and like this was an effective way I think to break through.
So good for her.
Speaker 2Yeah.
So another thing, you know, there's been a lot of talk about socialist rule in this country and how you know the socialists are getting in charge.
And by that I mean Donald Trump saying that he wants a piece of neurodisc.
Speaker 1So Donald Trump is amazing because whatever is happening in his brain, he has no filter and he just says whatever he thinks.
So there was a pressor Donald Trump and his administration got them to cut the cost of these weight laws drugs, which is good.
And then one of the people on the wave loss drugs, passed out and then RFK Junior ran out of the room.
He chap aquidict died out of there, slid But it's so good.
Speaker 2It's a really good joke.
Speaker 1Damn yeah, we see saw someone those Kennedy's when there's a medical emergency, those are not your people.
And then Donald Trump fell asleep at his desk.
But between all of those things, that was one of the great meetings.
Speaker 2Truly, many people are saying the greatest.
Speaker 1One of the greatest.
My favorite was when doctor Oz was like, obesity can lead to dementia and pan to Donald Trump.
Speaker 2Literally slumped down in his seat like me during history class at eighth grade, just straight.
Speaker 1There, very very tired.
So anyway, he did make this is he made a threat.
One of his favorite.
He's very into socialism.
He said to the CEO, maybe you should give us a PE's of the company, like I've been asking for, give the United States a nice big chunk of the company.
By the way, in case you're wondering, he doesn't want it for the United States.
He wants it for Donnie and Eric Somali.
Speaker 2We have two big, big Democratic congressional retirements in two different ways.
Nancy Pelosi.
Speaker 1Yeah, Nancy Pelosi will not seek re election to Congress after forty years in Washington.
She's eighty five.
She'd stepped down from leadership.
She is now leaving the party.
Probably the most effective speaker of the House we've ever had.
Love her, hate her, feel very betrayed by her husband stock Trading.
Speaker 2Can we pour one out for four h four Media's headlight, one of the greatest headlines of all time, one of the greatest Wall Street investors of all time, announces retirement.
Speaker 1I mean, yes, that was bad, but she also did some good stuff.
Speaker 2I agree, I agree, but also we could laugh at that.
Speaker 1We can like love our politicians and also know that they are often less than perfect.
Speaker 2So as well, though, somebody you love to bring up on this podcast as a Congressman from main secred district, which is an R plus four district.
Representative Jared Golden is retiring and many people are worried that this is a seat that Dems cannot win without him.
Speaker 1Yeah, who knows he's retiring.
I don't know how happy he was.
Ever, the times that I met him, he seems super unhappy.
There's a lot of blaming going on of whether people pushed him to drop out or I don't know.
Speaker 2Are you telling me people are unhappy being a congressperson.
That's such a great job.
Speaker 1Everybody wants it like such a good job.
But we'll see.
I mean again, he's dropping out.
That's too bad.
There is going to be an open govenmentorial.
There's going to be you know, there's a lot of stuff to run for in Maine right now.
Justin Wolfers is the host to be Thinking Like an Economist podcast and a professor at the University of Michigan.
Welcome back to Fast Polity.
It's Justin Wlfer's So the great news for the Trump administration is when the government is shut down, you don't get the numbers right.
Speaker 4Just like how we solved COVID so exactly numbers, no problems.
Speaker 1But it was he had already before shutting down.
In Trump's defense, before shutting down the government, he had fired the head of the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
Speaker 4He made his position on data very clear.
He's against it.
Speaker 1Yeah.
Speaker 4He also has very strong position on truth.
Speaker 1That's right optional.
He likes truthiness.
Speaker 4Yep, in small doses and only occasionally yes.
Speaker 1At this point, does the government give us public data.
Still not really or yes or talk us through it.
Speaker 4It's a very sad day.
So I'm going to make this personal if I may.
Molly is I've been a nerd for a very long time.
When I left college, my first deviate job was at the Reserve Bank of Australia.
And when you have a like the FED, and when you get a job as a baby economist, they give you one tiny sliver of the economy to look after.
And my job was the job's report.
And so even as a little baby economist, I would wake up.
Speaker 1In a text say country in a very.
Speaker 4In a magnificent and beautiful country with a functional democracy and a well functioning economy, you don't love it anymore, which I have family and think about during an anna able winter.
The job was like it would be jobs Day, and I would wake up excited for jobs Day, even as a twenty two year old.
And then I moved to America and I did my PhD, and you know, you forget about the real world for a little while.
And then my better half, Betsy Stevenson, became the chief economist at the Department of Labor, and so it became this thing Friday, The first Friday of every month was Job's Day, and she had to get in early and brief the labor secretary and talk to the media and crunch the numbers for what was then the first a Bama administration, and so jobs.
There was such a big day in our household.
And then I was writing for New York Times, and I used to write about the jobs numbers, and it was all very exciting, and it stays.
It's just a regular part of our monthly life ever since, to the point that I literally our nanny would walk in and say, Oh, it's a job's day today, how are you feeling about the economy?
And today I woke up and it's the first Friday of the month, and there was an enormous void in my life, the sense of checking in on the workers and seeing how they're doing, of hoping that the economy is moving forward and producing more for more of us, of wondering what's next, of thinking about policies that could make a difference.
I did none of that.
I sat in the dark room, staring at the corner, rocking backward and forward, crying, just one solitary tear down my cheek, talk us through this.
Speaker 1We don't have the government data, but we do have some private data.
Does that fill the void or does not?
Speaker 4It's sort of like, you know, when mum and dad get divorced and then mum starts dating a new guy, but she's not really sure that he's going to be around for very long, and maybe they've been dating two months and he takes you out to the zoo.
That is the ADP Job Report.
The ADGP job report is not something well loved, has no particular track record, is not particularly reliable, and when you need it, you don't know if it'll always be there for you.
Speaker 2So no, we don't.
Speaker 4There's going to be a lot of press attention around the ADP Job Report, and it came in yesterday, it was or the day before.
It was not as bad as the past few have been, but still the important thing is not the comparison with are you as bad as last month?
But are you good or bad?
It was unequickly pointing to a weak economy, but I don't want anyone to place much stock in it.
It is a very unreliable indicator.
So the truth is we're all alone in the dock right now.
I hope this doesn't sound like I'm talking about my childhood.
Speaker 1So I want you to I need you to sort of pull back from the job support into what you think the economy.
So we have a federal government that's pretty hostile, that's a the longest shutdown ever, be pretty hostile to facts, reason truth.
So how do you figure out where the economy is?
Knowing those two sayings?
Speaker 4Okay, so the good news, then the bad news.
The good news is the government data is not the only data that we have.
I did warn you a moment ago that private sick the data about the state of the labor market is not as good as government data, and that's absolutely stunningly true.
So we have lost some very important things.
There do exist many other data sets.
For instance, the Federal Reserve, which is not affected by the shutdown, collects industrial production, and so we know how much stuff is coming out of factories.
We're not going to be getting GDP data, but we are going to continue to see surveys of companies telling us how they're doing.
We have all sorts of things about our daily lives and measured in all sorts of ways.
We know restaurant reservations through open table, and we've got a lot of practice of this during the pandemic, when a lot of our normal ways of thinking about the economy were broken.
What are some creative ways.
So the good news is we're not purely in the dark.
The bad news is it's pretty damn foggy, which is it's going to be very hard to have any great sense of what's going on that really really matters right now.
Why right now?
Because it's possible, but by no means certain that we're at a turning point.
It's possible that.
Remember we've been talking about tariffs for eight months, and I know I've brought everyone on this, but actually Trump has only really truly imposed them a couple of months ago, and so if they're going to have an effect, it would be any day now.
We are seeing some hints that the economy is slowed right off, not just because of tariff's by the way, but also we've had a huge to immigration and new people create new stuff, and so that's something that's really going to be missing as well.
Those are two enormous shocks that are hitting the economy right now.
And we do know enough to know that the economy was slowing, and the question is are we slowing into comfortable or are we slowing into a recession and we actually have no way of knowing that right now, which is a very very uncomfortable place to be in.
Speaker 1Yeah, that does not sound good.
And then the other question, which you know, people will be listening to this podcast on Saturday morning and we will be in the middle of what Sean Duffy lovingly refers to as airplane armageddon, where they basically just slow down air traffic because vibes.
So that seems like it could have larger consequences to the economy.
Speaker 4Well, you usually bring me in for the stuff that you feel less confident on, and that's usually macroeconomics.
You feel terrific on finance, and when it comes to fashion, wow, and politics for sure, and peace on gender.
I thought the other in the New York Times.
I love that l Thank you.
So you want to talk about macroeconomics.
And the truth is that the government shutdown is going to be a small impact in terms of its overall macro stuff, right, So the headlines aren't going to change a lot.
That's position one.
Position two that's also true is every single holiday that's destroyed, every snap beneficiary who went to bed, hungry and fearful last night.
Speaker 1Right, and that's started now.
SNAP.
The Trump administration is not funding SNAP, even though federal judges have told them they have to.
Speaker 4So then they should be.
And I don't you know, none of us will believe it until the money's on the card, which means the most vulnerable people in our society who have no stockpile of cash, no.
Speaker 1Waves, forty percent of which are children, elderly, and ten percent are disabled.
Speaker 2Let's just pause on that for a moment.
Speaker 1Mine, yeah, and FYI are white like even.
Speaker 4That, we know that is and should be irrelevant.
Let's pull on the very human thing you said.
It's profoundly important.
Many of our listeners, just like you and I Moly, are fortunate enough.
We're doing okay economically, and so we don't think about how will I go to the grocery store next week?
What can I afford to buy?
Speaker 3What is in the covert?
Speaker 1But we do notice, I mean, I certainly noticed that my grocery bells are humongous, like crazy high compared to what I mean, there are much more, and if we're noticing it, it means it's real.
Everywhere.
Speaker 4Food prices are up about three percent over the past year.
I am profoundly disgusted by anyone who can take the most vulnerable and make them pawns in the political game.
Speaker 3Why don't we just have a.
Speaker 4Different kind of shutdown where tax cuts for millionaires get put off for a few weeks.
I mean, it's only a weird accident, and well it's not even a weed accident.
It's also the illegality and then the approach to the administration.
But it's one of the most awful things I've seen the American government do to its own people.
And it doesn't need to do it.
There's money there, we know how to spend it.
I also want to pan back because Molly, you're also you know, you're like, oh, what's the fifth of the chapter, and you think about next quarter's GDP When we go back to the things that you were talking about, things like we no longer have statistical agencies that are being told it's important to tell the truth.
Now so far they are telling the truth, and they want to remind our listeners of that.
But when you fire the head of the BLS for no reason, you're sending them a message.
You can stop with that truth stuff.
When you have CEOs of major corporations walk into the White House and walk out ten minutes later with ten percent less of their company.
When you have the present.
Speaker 1Telling them that it's called socialism.
Speaker 4It's called something asm and you have the administration ignoring the courts when you have real questions, when you have ice on the streets.
All of this stuff.
None of it shows up in this quarter's GDP.
But it's more important than anything that shows up in next quarter's GDP.
That is not a political statement.
That is an economic statement.
That is a statement that, on average, the average populist leader over the last hundred years, when you elect them a decade later, has led GDP to be about fifteen percent lower.
Let me say that more human terms.
GDP's a fancy word for you elect Trump like characters, and history shows that a decade later, average income is fifteen percent lower, and he could be worse.
When you look at these big questions, what makes the United States rich and the country of my birth, which was Papulnian Guinea poor, It's really about state capacity.
It's about how we run our economy.
It's our political and economic institutions, and they're all being burned down right now.
None of that is going to be next quarter's GDP.
But everything we know about how economies work tell us this is overwhelmingly the most important thing going on.
You can't see it, but what we will know is that our kids are going to wake up in ten or twenty years time and the opportunities in front of them are going to simply not be there.
And it's these unborn opportunities.
It's the new ideas, the new industries that just simply never happened, and that's the real cost and.
Speaker 1The problems in China.
Speaker 4I am trying to figure out how you tell this story, so I need your help because it's not a story.
It's economic research.
This is findings from serious people studying hundreds of years of economic history among every country around the world.
And it's not so obvious, but this is Folks like Emily do a great job telling it as a political story, but this is an economic story as well.
And the American poor will be poorer as a result of our pie being smaller as a result of everything that's going on.
Speaker 1Yeah, thank you, Elon mush.
So let's talk about where we are right now.
When it comes to we don't have the data, we have have these tariffs.
We have the Supreme Court fight, this insane Supreme Court fight whether Donald Trump has the power to do everything he's ever wanted to do period paragraph.
The questions with the Supreme Court, this case, this tariff case, are so big because the courts could side that Trump doesn't have the economic power to do these things and it could not necessarily matter, right Like they could say he has time to pay back, or he has this, or is that.
So I would love it if you could explain to us, don't predict the future, but just lay out what the possible lanes are.
Speaker 4I think what you just says.
Can you be an economics professor for about five.
Speaker 1Minutes, but I'm the Supreme Court case.
Speaker 4Yeah, okay.
So here's the critical things for people to understand.
The Constitution.
So the Constitution gives the power to tax to Congress.
Congress has delegated some of those authorities to the White House because Congress understands that Congress is not very nimble, and so for things like national security and so on, you can live in new tariffs through the White House without Congress.
Speaker 3There's a process.
But that's it.
Speaker 4Trump decided he granted himself a new set of powers that had never been used before.
All of the tariffs that are on individual countries, on China, on Canada, and actually on every country around the world.
Eighty percent of what he's done has been country by country tariffs.
There's no legal authority for that.
Trump claims he gets one through what's called the Emergency Powers Act.
The Emergency Powers Act is two things are really important about it.
One, no where does it mention the word tariff or tax.
Speaker 1You're suit a stickler for these words.
And wait.
Speaker 4Second, well, good that you're thinking about that, because the second thing is stickler for words.
It's called the Emergency Powers Act.
Yeah, so I know he wants the powers.
I think that means you got to have the emergency.
Speaker 1As just as Amy brought up, what is the national security reason for now?
You could say Tokyo, you know, you could say Japan, but then you can't also.
Speaker 4Say tariff's'm bananas, right, you know?
Speaker 1And me and Italy like it has it out?
Speaker 4What about the aggression coming from north of the border as Canadians far out won the World lost the World Series even thank you, Yes, that's good.
So those are the central issues I listened to the Supreme Court argument.
They actually focused almost exclusively on the first days, which was does the Emergency Powers Act give the President the right over tariffs.
The government's view was, Oh, if tariffs work properly, no one will ever buy anything from abroad, which means we'll collect no revenue.
So therefore the revenue is merely incidental.
This is about regulating other countries.
The justices fought back and they said, if you want people to not buy from other countries, here's a simple thing, have an embargo.
So it was the Boston tea Party, not the Boston embargo Party, was sort of the claim.
So, in fact, the government made up a new word.
It took me a long time to realize they made up a new word.
They talked about revenue tariffs versus regulatory tariffs.
One of these there's actually only tariffs a book behind me.
On the bookshelf I might have written.
It defines a tariff as attacks on imports.
It is a tax.
So the government wants to claim there's something called a regulation tariff.
It's literally a word.
They just invent it.
Yeah, doesn't exist.
So that's where most of the argument was.
The justices were pretty hostile because when Congress wants to get rid of its taxing powers.
It tends to be very very very clear, and it didn't even use the word here.
But then you still get to the second problem, which is, even if it had the power, does Trump have a national emergency?
This is where as an economist, the administration says, we have a national emergency because we have a trade unbalanced trade with specific countries.
That's what it's called a bilateral trade deficit.
No economist alive thinks they matter.
Not even do we not think they're an emergency.
We don't even think they're interesting.
Speaker 1So even like a Kevin Hasset.
Speaker 4Even Kevin Hasset, if you tied him down and injected him with honesty juice, yeah, Asset, it would take a lot of honesty Jews.
Speaker 1What about Stephen Moore?
Speaker 4So stupid that it hurts?
Speaker 1I mean, I just want to know who is the dumbest MAGA economist.
Speaker 3I am going to be really nice.
Speaker 4I'm just gonna say I'm glad that there are people now I can't even say nice things.
I'm just going to stay out of that.
But like serious point for the audience, what happens when a new administration comes to town is usually they recruit the best and the brightest every administration, not only in my lifetime, in the previous fifty years.
You can look at who was the chair of the Council of Economic Advisors, Who were the nerds and the wonks around the president, and they were the best and brightest of their generation.
Many a former Nobel Prize winners, for ins a Nobel Prize winners, for instance.
What we have in the current White House is you can take any ranking of the horsepower of economists, and many exist.
By the way, there is no one in the White House who is in America's ten thousand best economists.
That's not a hint of exactly, that's a quantitative statement.
They've gone dragging through the gutter.
Stupid is jupid does?
I don't want to be that guy.
I hate being that guy.
But it's not a well advised White House.
Maybe in competence is part of the strategy.
Speaker 1We're at a time.
What are you going to watch for over the next couple of weeks, economic indicators, what's coming down the pike.
Speaker 4I think the most interesting thing is going to be the Supreme Court tariff case.
It's probably going to happen quickly, according to the legal nerds I talked to, not tomorrow quickly, but maybe you know even before Thanksgiving.
That'd be amazing, wouldn't it.
Have you Thanksgiving talk about tariffs around the Turkey.
If, as I expect, the Trump tarift's areroyalt illegal, we're going to move from eight months of unconstitutional, illegal tariff turmoil that have created all sorts of headaches to a whole new set of tariff turmoil, some of which in the future may even be constitutional.
But it'll be this crazy, crazy soap opera in which the president tries to run an economy by pretending he and he alone can move the pieces around the global economy chessboard.
So if you think you've seen myhem strapping this plenty more ahead.
Speaker 1I was told trade wars are good and easy to win.
Thank you, justin.
Speaker 3Thank you, Molly.
Speaker 1Governor Tim Walls is a former vice presidential candidate and the governor of the great state of Minnesota.
Welcome back too fast Politics, Governor Walls.
Speaker 3It's good to be with you, Molly.
It's been too long, but you had a whole row of great guests you've had on so glad to be back.
Speaker 1I just wanted to talk to you.
I just felt like we needed to catch up about how and there's something about this particular moment in American life after this, you know, we're talking in the week of the twenty twenty five cycle, which was a tiny, tiny cycle, but a huge repudiation of trump Ism.
Speaker 3Absolutely, And look it helps me process too, because I keep thinking, you know, year ago, we needed to see these numbers, but these candidates and the American people showed up in huge numbers.
We were just talking.
You know, we now have the most female governors we've ever had in American history, with Governor Alex Banberger and Cheryl and then of course, you know winning in New York City governor's race.
The party is broad and we're proud of that.
But I just think for me, it was just good to see what we all knew, that the American people at heart are kinder people, They care more, that this cruelty and this stuff isn't what they're looking for.
So I agree this is it was therapeutic.
We know that it was one moment in time, but it's encouraging and I'm just grateful to the folks that went out and voted and some of the massive swings we saw of young people coming back and Hispanic voters, and so good to be with you at this point.
Speaker 1It's interesting because it's like, you know, the twenty twenty four cycle for me, and I know for you too, was just there was something about it that was just devastating that I felt that, you know, it was in all different ways, you know, a referendum on sort of goodness and sandy and the American people said yet again for the second time, and so I just would love you know, we haven't talked since that election.
You want to talk about like what it was like for you, because I know what it was like for me, and it wasn't my name on that ticket.
Speaker 3Well, first of all, you know, and I think Vice President Harris articulated so well that night when we found out we weren't going to win, my first thought went to what we knew would happened the most vulnerable.
And here we sat with Donald Trump building a ballroom and going to court to deny food to children, not just trying to do it.
He did it, tried it, lost court.
Did you know, provide the food and that's not good enough.
So my thought, you know, the sense of ownership I had, and that I knew there was going to be the most vulnerable We're going to feel this.
Speaker 1This is the first shutdown ever, the longest shutdown ever, and the first one where the government has decided the Trump administration has decided not to fund snap.
Speaker 3Yeah, it's it's beyond the payout.
Speaker 2It is.
Speaker 3It is a cruelty.
But look if at this point in time, we don't understand that cruelty is not a bug, it's a feature revenge and pettiness.
If if selfishness is it.
It's all grounded in that.
And and look, I Molly, you talked about this.
I don't think this surprises you.
It doesn't.
It doesn't surprise me.
But as a teacher and as an elected official, I you know, I needed to articulate that stronger.
I think about that election and elections are always about change.
And you know, and I think we got we were seen as status quo.
I would I would say what you said, Molly, is I think we were status quo of decency and goodness and order and not chaos.
But the public wanted to see something else.
And you know, Trump promised these farmers they were going to be rich.
Well, now they're going bankrupt, he crisis were going to come down.
He didn't.
So I think what happened is the American people And look, I think we saw what seven percent of Trump voters in some of these states switched back.
He lied to them, and they're tired of it.
And now we have an opportunity, which I think our candidates did tell them what we stand for.
Yeah, you can scream all you want of them trying to make you know, Mayor elect Mondania face of the Democratic Party.
He's talking about bringing housing costs deck, he's talking about making a city more liveable, if at all possible, you know, I think.
And then you see that in Virginia, you see it in uh, you know, state house races across the country.
So I think the Democrats now have a chance to say, look, you obviously are sick of Trump.
Here's what we can offer you.
And that's what.
Speaker 1Yeah, but what was it?
I just am curious, like for my own just because we're friends, Like, what was it?
Like, I mean, I just basically wrote, you know, I wrote a bunch of pieces about the stuff I got wrong.
I tried to sort of take stock I think of you as I don't know I feel like you you are sturdy midwestern governor who really did show the country that you're that you had a real national profile.
You got a lot of the kind of criticism that you get when you have a national profile.
But was it I mean, first of all, what was it like to go from sturdy midwestern governor to like, you know, to everyone's did he you know, was was he the right pick?
And then also just like was it like I mean, and has it changed you?
Speaker 3Yeah?
Well, first of all was an honor and it was And I view all these jobs just like I viewed my teaching job, and you know, in Congress and thing it was public service.
And I got asked by the Vice President of the United States to try and help her win.
That was my job.
I did it to the best of my ability.
Certainly not flawless.
We all have, you know, our things we can do better at.
But I was very proud that we were articulating at decency.
We are articulating a vision around whether it was healthcare, expansion, home ownership, we were going to tackle problems like climate change.
So I was really proud.
It was very short the times that we were there.
Again, I think back and I think you have to do this reassessed.
Could I have been more you know, effective doing this?
And I don't think it's necessarily you know, rehashing something.
But I think we as ingercress have to learn why didn't we win?
Why did we win?
What could we do better?
Now?
Obviously I said, it's really frustrating to me.
Is we not only did we not win, we lost to that guy?
Yeah, and the it is the worst part.
And I feel, you know, personally, but like people said, you know, are you doing okay?
Are you going to be okay?
Look, older white guys who are governors, they tend to land pretty song you're okay.
But I said where I wasn't okay was is knowing what I needed to do so for me.
And this is where I think, you know, I've talked some but I haven't talked in depth of Vice President Harris.
I think it was very both therapeutic and good.
I just came right back home and got to work.
And we had a horrific summer.
My best friend was murdered, we had children shot in a church, you know, so it was a horrific summer.
But I was.
Speaker 1Talking about this the minute speaker Melissa Wortman murdered, political murder in her bed with her dog and her husband by a conservative right.
Speaker 3And a president who used that as an opportunity to and senators from Utah to slander Minnesota.
Speaker 4Me.
Speaker 3So, look, I had something to do, and.
Speaker 1Your name was on that list too.
Speaker 3Yeah, well yeah, all of us, all the Democrats were, you know.
And then he would have killed more people had he and he had the chance.
So all that's going on.
Then we have children murdered on the first day of school.
I'm trying to fight for gun violence.
I'm trying to get rid of assault weapons and high capacity magazines.
So I had a place to go back to and to do the work.
And I think for me, what was so encouraging about this is is that, look, this was a catastrophic loss last fall, catastrophic for the country, catastrophic for democracy.
We have innocent people being swept up off the streets.
We have moms being yanked out of their car and their babies driven away, you know, and things.
I mean, this is so horrific.
But I have the capacity to do something about it, at least in Minnesota, so I'm back at it.
I do think there were lessons learned the affordability piece on this.
Speaker 1Can I just ask one question?
This is like a hobby horse of mine, as someone who's written so much about that CSYCHO, I felt that the consultant class would constantly get in there and be like, you know, like I think of you as a politician with very good instincts, and that every time something would take off, the consultant class would go in there and like smush it is that just my own fantasy?
Did you see that happening?
I mean, there was so much.
There was such a group of very no i know, making a ton of you know, just you know.
Speaker 3Yeah, well, look, first, it is so big.
You know, I've run statewide campaigns, but they pale in comparison.
It was so big.
There's so many moving pieces in plans that have to go.
And look, I signed on very clearly.
My job was to get Kamala Harris elected president and then to serve her in the role of her vice president whatever she needed, whatever that looked like.
So I'm a team player, I have agency.
You know.
There were things like I can speak up and there were things that I did.
But when I signed up and said I'm on board, I said I'll follow the plan, and I think retrospectively, you know, I've said this not critique.
I think it's just reality.
I think we were too cautious and played to not lose, play to win.
Speaker 1That is the consultant class that did.
Speaker 3That's their job.
That's their job, and I have to trust them.
So I mean, in retrospect on everything, you go back and say, maybe we should have done this differently.
Speaker 1But certainly do you wish she hadn't trusted them a little bit?
Though, Like because I see.
Speaker 3So many I don't know if it's an option though.
You know, when in this year on the ticket, my job was to not cause any grief.
And you know I could give my put in and that there's great folks in there and lots of thousands of people working.
They would take a look.
I'll just give you one example.
I had a few minutes one afternoon I know, some hotel somewhere and it's when I'm watching a football game on a Sunday afternoon before we get ready to go again, and the transgender at popped up.
I very you know, instinctively felt this.
I said, this ad is dangerous.
It's dangerous if we don't respond because I think we have to to defend people who shouldn't be you know where my position is on transgender Yes, I'm only.
Speaker 1There's no reason to throw the throw one under the bus in anyone, but there's no reason to respond.
Speaker 3Yeah, and there's no reason after Tuesday to change that either, because we can do two things at once.
Make affordability a prisent but support human rights.
That's one where I think you get kind of paralyzed and decided that that one would just slide by.
And it wasn't the old because it was a double killer because to not respond to it, I felt like allies felt like they being a band and that wasn't the case.
Kamala Harris has stood with them.
You always would.
So you've got smart people making decisions and looking at polling and all that.
And I think my biggest thing is is that I would loyal and I'm loyaled and will continue till the day I died to Kamala Harris and the team made decisions.
Did we get them all right?
Well, if we had, we probably would have won.
Speaker 1And so I mean, I just I just think about it so much because I think about like the sort of successful Democrats who break through, right, the kind of Chris Murphy's yes, or the Bernie Sanders, so it's not ideological, or the even the governor Pritzker's right, the people.
Pritzker obviously it's a little bit different because he's got ice attacking his city twenty seven.
But like Tho, you know, those three they're not ideological, but they all have managed to sort of permeate the news bubble.
Speaker 3Where they're authentic.
They're authentic, and they're in the moment.
You can feel them in the moment.
Speaker 1Whereas you have, like democratic leadership, it's hard to think of a moment that Chuck Schumer has really nailed or Hakeem And so that's my question.
Speaker 3The job is hard.
No, you're right, and look, I think it's a healthy exercise to talk about it.
But I also think we have seen this, that authenticity.
You've got to be disciplined enough.
You talked about this, Molly, and I told the Vice president this.
I said, Look, I think, you know, I think you'll get good stuff out of me most of the time, and about ten percent of the time I think it'll be really good.
And then there's going to be about ten percent that'll be problematic.
I think, you know, you talk, and I think it's about managing risk.
And I think there's a risk averseness in these campaigns that I don't even say that as a pejorative, but the route to take less risky, and I think in an extrasential race like we saw because I was convinced, I keep telling this story, Molly.
I didn't know this, but we did an off the record stop in southern Georgia and I was on the bus with the Vice President.
We're driving down small rural roads and there's little girls, little black girls out there with signs, unpaigned signs that said Kamala and it you know, I'm like, oh.
And we stopped at a school.
We're in a band room and it's a Friday afternoon in the fall.
The band is playing the fight song, the cheerleaders are in there, the football team is in there.
We're going to go in there and do a little off the record for the cameras type of thing whenever.
And we walk in there and the first thing Kamala Harris says is, oh, I love this room.
I was a band kid, and I'm like, you were a band kid.
American needs to know you're a band.
You know what I'm saying.
There's something quintessentially about being in band in a school, just like there is about being a football coach, a science teacher, whatever it might be.
It was such a humanizing moment, It was so good, and I just thought, Man, we should run with this stuff.
We should do more of this.
I don't think America knew that, because you know, that's their goal, to make us unlikable.
We can't possible this guy can't possibly be a football coach and a soldier who grew up on a farm and knows about agg economy.
So we got to do whatever we can to make him just so alien to us.
And I don't think the consultant class responds to that.
Speaker 1I didn't know that, and I covered the campaign and interviewed her a bunch.
I think that kind of carefulness is sort of is ultimately the undoing of some of these of some of some democratic politicians.
Speaker 3No, I think you're right, and I look, say what you will, and my wife Gwyn gets this ride or whatever, the horrificness of the character of Donald Trump, But that whole thing of there's something in that when people say I know it drives us all nuts if you're progressive, well, at least Donald Trump, you know, speaks how he's feeling or whatever.
There is some truth in that he doesn't get penalized for the horrific things he says, like you know, you name it.
There's countless ones that's viewed more as well.
At least he's authentic, and I don't feel like I'm being sold to Bill of goods.
You know.
It's not an excuse to be sloppy, but it should be an excuse to if you get asked a question, try your best to answer it.
Yeah, your best to answer it.
Try and be there, you know.
And I think we watched this and the Republicans obviously trying to make Mayor Elec Mandani the face of the party.
But if you're a Democrat, why are you running from other Democrats?
You know, you can disagree and say, look, I don't agree with all of his policies, this is not something I would do, but the people of New York should be able to vote.
And look, if you're living in Albuquerque, New Mexico, I don't think you should be probably overly concerned who the mayor of New York City is.
And I think there's a cautiousness.
You see people like go out of their way to like deny that these things happen.
Speaker 1My favorite things that you did in the campaign were the stuff about fixing your car like this sort of no, but seriously, like the car talk.
I don't know, did you ever listen to car talk?
Speaker 3What did click and clack?
Yeah?
Yeah, I loved it.
Speaker 1When I was a kid, my dad would drive me to stuff and we listened to car talk and it was like, you know, it was just an American thing.
And that kind of stuff I felt like was some of the stuff and I don't, you know, I barely drive, but the kind of stuff that I felt was very relatable and just who you are.
Speaker 3Yeah.
And I think the same thing would be true of Kamala when she talked about like cooking and things.
And I think there's lessons in this, and we saw it with these candidates.
You know, to be real who you are, don't try and be something you're not, and then proudly stand on the things that we believe in and and then do it for people.
Speaker 1And also more I mean like Donald Trump, you know he did fall asleep at his desk yesterday or the day before, or maybe both, but he did do like he does do five pool sprays.
He he does do a ton of.
Speaker 3I couldn't agree more.
No, I couldn't agree more.
And that's a lesson we learned.
And I think, you know, not seeing podcasters and you know, and influencers or wherever you're gonna go with it, not seeing them as like you know, this novelty thing on the side, but seeing part of your bigger plan.
And you do this and then understand the simplicity of I gotta tell you, Molly again.
I think it was either North care Liner Georgia.
Final weeks of the campaign, I started seeing these little signs all over the place pop up Trump good, Kamala bad, Trump saved, Kamala crime, and it was They're good and they were just random that had been printed and they were all over and my first instinct would be, and this is where you can get kind of trapped in.
This is like, h it's ridiculous.
And then I started to realize, holy crap, those things are super effective.
They are super one small piece.
I don't know how much money they spent on them, combination of things and was there enough of us?
And then you know, in no disrespect to the large legacy media, but preparing and prepping for an interview on CNN that probably had less viewers than I would get on this podcast.
Yeah, no, for sure true and.
Speaker 1So yeah no, I mean and also like I do think there should be more of like, especially people like you, going on stuff like Rogan, because Joe Rogan did not leave the Democratic Party, right, it's just that Donald Trump made his bat you know, try desperately to get on.
I mean, it's going on there.
I mean they you know.
Speaker 3I agree, And look, it's not about being arrogant.
I mean, it's just know this stuff whatever I find this happened time and time again.
When you're in a position like this and when you can't meet everybody, they will caricature.
They make a caricature.
Of course, their go to is if we're in the military, they swift boat us.
It doesn't matter if it's true or not.
They have this pattern and it sinks in enough to erode faith.
And what I said is I feel very confident in this.
If people like Rogan and other people, if I meet them and sit down and talk to them, I guarantee you they leave saying well, I didn't expect that.
Yeah, we expect that because they've been fed a line that's not true.
Michaels is in public service and servant leadership is to find solutions going forward.
And I have worked with Republicans and right now I know that there's some Democrats that, oh, that guy's willing to compromise.
You know, I'm not with him.
That's our problem inside our party.
We'll figure that.
But the vast majority of Americans just want effectiveness.
And I think if you don't go on those shows, you don't show them, it's easy to demonize you.
I watched, just not that long ago, Joe Rogan going off on an AI video of me.
It's some guy wearing a you know, f Donald Trump shirt dancing down an escalator.
Speaker 1Right, it's not true.
Speaker 3Why the hell would I ever do anything like that, And it's pretty out of character.
Speaker 1You're running for reelection, I am.
This will be your third term.
Speaker 3Yes, tell me, well, I think the moment is it again.
I don't think that I'm the only one.
I don't can do this.
I don't think that you have a lock on these These are not your jobs.
I think here in Minnesota we're a truly purple state that I think people don't recognize.
Of all the swing states, thank goodness, Minnesota we won, and you know that was my job to help win the other ones.
But I think right now we've moved Minnesota in a progressive way where we're consistently seeing now we ranked near the top of whether it's raising a child, starting a business.
We're going to start and have the most aggressive paid family medical leave kicks in on the first.
We are protecting reproductive rights, We're protecting our transgender children, we are innovating around healthcare, and lots of things are in absolute opposition to Trump.
And right now, every single day, I spend my time thinking about how we can improve the lives of Minnesota and fighting a rearguard action about the nonsense that Trump is bringing.
And I think I have twelve years of congressional experience, eight years as governor.
I've been through everything from the pandemic to George Floyd to seeing the national stage.
I think I'm best prepared and probably better qualified than anybody who's ever run for governor.
And I think I can provide a bit of that firewall.
But I don't take it for granted.
The people of Minnesota will speak.
I feel like right now I'm working harder than on any campaign I've ever worked, and I feel like last fall showed me this.
If a Republican wins in Minnesota, we will get rid of reproductive rights and we are the beacon for the Midwest Usin Illinois, we will turn our backs on climate change, we will demonize the most vulnerable amongst US, and we will weaken what is America's most progressive taxation system.
And so I really feel like protecting those things we did that I'm best positioned to do that.
We've got an open Senate seat here, and I think you know how these things work in a state the size of Minnesota, having an open Senate and an open governor massively expensive.
Speaker 1Yes, thank you, Governor Wall.
Speaker 3We'll get back again.
You're the best.
Speaker 1You're the best.
Thank you, Thank you, No no moment second.
Speaker 2Jesse Cannon, my Trumpism often has talked about us saying the quiet part out loud constantly.
Steve Betta just going for new heights, like, you know, like the guy's not in the best shape, but he's jumping Olympic levels high of telling on themselves.
Speaker 1Yeah, you know, so when I saw this video.
It was like, you know how it is now You're like, this is probably AI and then you're like, oh, no, no, it's not.
This is a quote.
I tell you right as God as my witness.
If we lose the midterms and we lose twenty twenty, some in this room are going to prison, Bannon told the crowd at the awards event hosted by the Conservative Partnership Academy.
I think he then added, didn't he add I am two or no?
I guess he didn't.
Speaker 2I think that that was implied by some in this room because if we remember, he did the build the wall thing, and he narrowly.
Speaker 1Evaded he went to prison.
Speaker 2He did go to prison.
Actually that was for the contempt around the other thing as well.
You know, there's still hell to pay with many of his deeds.
Speaker 1Yes, no question.
Speaker 2You know, for people like you and me, this is a real get out the vote operation.
Bring Ben into jail.
Speaker 1Yeah, correct, that is true.
It is a get out of the vote.
I also think, like the fact that they're saying this now shows there's just a lot of anxiety.
I think they're going to do a lot of crazy stuff to try and make it hard for people to vote.
I think that seems like it's clearly on the horizon, so certainly worrying, certainly something to keep watching out for, and certainly the Steve Bannon we know, delivering the hits as only he can.
Speaker 2Oh, when you talk that many hours on air all day, you're gonna say some real dumb things.
Speaker 1Thad for yourself.
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