According to the research there is about 10% of Trump voters who are likely untruthful with pollsters.

If this is true then Biden's lead is wiped out completely and in fact Trump is then leading by 1% nationally.

This corroborates the Democracy Institute polling that shows Trump leading nationally against Joe Biden by 1%

Democrats are relying on mass voter turnout but even here new Gallup data suggest this year will be completely typical in terms of turnout

Trump seems to be on track for victory assuming this holds true

Support the show (http://timcast.com/donate)

Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices