Episode Description
A week ago, the market “knew” the Iran war would escalate.
Days later, it “knew” a ceasefire was coming.
In between, investors were told to be “nimble,” “agile,” and ready for anything—none of which translates into an actual investment decision.
In this 9-minute video, I walk through that sequence using Barron’s, Bloomberg, and The Wall Street Journal. The conclusion is straightforward:
Nobody knew what was going to happen.
We didn’t either. But we didn’t need to.
Our plans had a scheduled action on April 6. Prices were down. The rules said buy. We executed.
That’s the difference between a process and a guess.
If you rely on headlines, you’re always reacting after the fact. If you rely on rules, you’re already positioned when the turn comes.
See our performance at jasonkelly.com
This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit jasonkelly.substack.com/subscribe