Episode Description
For years, the Missing Middle team has advocated for reducing the tax burden on new construction. With pre-construction sales down 95% in some GTA markets, the industry has hit a wall where it simply makes no financial sense to build.
In this week’s episode, we answer some of the questions and misconceptions we’ve read online about the new HST rebate on new homes.
Beyond the rebate, they explore bigger structural challenges like land costs, zoning, and competition in development. The key question remains whether this policy can meaningfully increase supply in a market that is still not functioning normally.
If the goal is to improve affordability, the HST rebate may help, but it is only one part of a much larger housing problem.
Chapters:
00:00 - Gov Announces HST Rebate and Reduced Development Charges
01:22 - Overview of HST Changes
01:52 - History of Previous Rental and Ownership Rebates
02:58 - Expanding Eligibility Beyond First-Time Buyers
05:32 - Addressing the "Demand Subsidy" Misconception
07:25 - Will Developers Pass Savings to the Buyer?
09:04 - The Impact on Land Values and the Need for Reform
10:05 - Historical Comparison of Government Taxes and Fees
11:26 - How Accurate are the Government Numbers?
12:42 - Projected Impact and the One-Year Program Limit
14:09 - Retroactive Eligibility and Final Thoughts
Research/links:
Doug Ford and Mark Carney to expand HST rebate to all new home buyers
Doug Ford and Mark Carney to expand HST rebate to all new home buyers : r/canadahousing
Hosted by Mike Moffatt & Cara Stern & Sabrina Maddeaux
Produced by Meredith Martin
This podcast is funded by the Neptis Foundation and brought to you by the Smart Prosperity Institute.