Feared or Loved (USA from the Outside)

April 2
1h 35m

Episode Description

S2 E3 Feared or Loved by Brian Smyers. Interviewed by Julius Knapp.

National and World events have been moving at a very fast clip, seemingly accelerating every day.  As a result, Stories that 10 years ago would have garnered large print headlines have become buried by war and threats of war. This essay is an attempt to take a step outside of my experience and my view as a citizen the United States and look at how the world might see us from the outside. Ironically though, if you want to be outside, you have to be inside first. So I will start with some background of how my world view formed.

I have never been one for nostalgia.  I have never been a “back in my day” guy.  However, at the risk of being Bart Simpson’s grandfather shaking his fist at a cloud, I have to go back to a time when the world was more stable.  That time was after World War II.

The Past is Prologue: Cold War World Order

“I was born into this world. It was a world where unaligned countries would be used as pawns.  The West looked to the United States for leadership.”

World War II had been so devastating to Europe, Asia, and parts of Africa that it was decided that institutions should be put in place to prevent massive war at all costs.  Depleted economic and military power had caused Europe to give up its colonies.  As a result, African colonies and protectorates would become nations in their own right with borders left over from the European empires.  All the world powers and economic powerhouses were in shambles in 1945 and a new world order was born.  America was the sole standing undamaged economic and military superpower in the world.

The United Nations was created, with the permanent members of the Security Council would be the winners of World War II.  United States, Soviet Union, Britain, France, and China.  Other nations would take their term on the Security Council as a means of giving smaller nations a voice in world affairs.  The United States would help the United Nations craft the Universal Declaration of Human Rights, which is considered a foundational document of the United Nations.

As the Soviet Union was recovering from their 27 million casualties, their troops remained deployed in the nations they had occupied fighting Nazi Germany.  These nations would form the Eastern Bloc as they feared the West– with good reason too.  During World War I, Russia had dropped out because of the Russian Revolution.  Only 25 years earlier, The United States and Britain had sent troops, invading Russia on the side of the White Russian Movement.  The Bolsheviks won, and Soviet Russia was set up.  The Soviets never forgot, although most Americans were never taught this.

This distrust between the West and the USSR would lead to a stable, albeit very tense, world order.  NATO would protect the West.  The Warsaw Pact would protect the USSR’s interests.  

I was born into this world. It was a world where unaligned countries would be used as pawns.  The West looked to the United States for leadership.  Boomers and Xer’s grew up knowing that any international incident on the Korean Border, or on the Berlin Wall could very easily spiral into nuclear war.  Both the USSR and the United States of America had policies of Mutually Assured Destruction which meant that it was in nobody’s interest to fight each other.  It remains an underlying thread of the conflicts of today.  As a result, these alliances were sacred, even when they were flawed.

Foreign Policy Missteps During the Cold War

During the Cold War, The United States foreign policy was not without its flaws. The Cold War influenced every decision, sometimes at the expense of ideology. The CIA overthrew regimes. After Iran nationalized the oil industry, the CIA overthrew its democracy and installed the Shaw as its head of state. This Iranian government had an oppressive secret police and ruled with an Iron Hand. When the Iranian Revolution occurred in 1979, the new government remembered this oppression (even instituting their own oppressive system) and never trusted the West.

The CIA also overthrew socialist democracies in Guatemala in 1954, and Chile in 1973. Whether or not a nation was a democratic republic or not was second to whether or not they bought arms and were influenced by the United States or the Soviet Union. In all these actions by the CIA the United States acted alone and fostered distrust that would last generations. The writer read a report this morning (3/4/26) that the CIA is currently arming Kurds to take over Iran.

In the case of Apartheid in South Africa, Ronald Regan backed the white minority government while calling Nelson Mandela a terrorist and a communist. Reagan also labeled the African National Congress a terrorist organization. Although Reagan would eventually call for Mandela’s release, South Africa is positioned in a strategically important spot on the globe, and as a result the United States wanted its government on its side.

NATO and Soft Power

The NATO Alliance has a requirement that all nations use 2% of their GDP for national defense.  This 2% is not a “fee” as Trump would call it, but rather a target for their own military production.  The reason was so the United States would eventually not be the sole defender of their territory.   Rather as these nations recovered from the devastation of World War II, they would become stronger and the collective defense of NATO nations would be strong enough to repel and counter any Soviet attack.  For a while they did meet these targets, but especially once the Cold War ended in 1989, the nations of Europe would consistently not meet the NATO requirement.  This in combination of NATO expanding after the fall of the Berlin Wall to the point of open talk of Ukraine joining the treaty organization led to multiple presidents speaking to NATO nations about their commitments to mutual defense in the form of defense spending as a percent of GDP.

Despite defense spending goals not being fully met, NATO became a very effective fighting force. The first offensive operations by NATO was during the Bosnian war, first by enforcing a no fly zone, and then by airstrikes. NATO would bomb Serbia during the Kosovo War. When America was attacked on 9/11, NATO answered their article V obligations. NATO nations sent troops to Afghanistan and fought the Taliban. Europe and the United States had benefited from NATO.

When the nation of Iraq invaded Kuwait in 1990, the United States went to the United Nations. It leveraged diplomatic power and passed Resolutions that authorized the Persian Gulf War. Forty-Three countries participated in Operation Desert Shield and Desert Storm to liberate Kuwait from Saddam’s Republican Guard.

The United States leadership in the world wasn’t just in the form of NATO or United Nations Resolutions. It projected leadership in the form of soft power. John F Kennedy formed the Peace Corp to help develop nations and promote good will. The Agency for International Development was created by the State Department. It would be rebranded as USAID and spun off as an independent agency by the time of Bill Clinton. It is estimated that between 2001 and 2021 somewhere between 4.1 million and 4.7 million lives were saved by USAID programs per year.

Ronald Reagan in his farewell address spoke of “A City on a Hill”. It was his vision of how he saw America. Here is a paragraph from that speech:

I’ve spoken of the shining city all my political life, but I don’t know if I ever quite communicated what I saw when I said it. But in my mind it was a tall, proud city built on rocks stronger than oceans, wind-swept, God-blessed, and teeming with people of all kinds living in harmony and peace; a city with free ports that hummed with commerce and creativity. And if there had to be city walls, the walls had doors and the doors were open to anyone with the will and the heart to get here. That’s how I saw it, and see it still.

Reagan’s vision was one of peace, one of welcoming borders and welcoming people. The metaphor has roots in the Sermon on the Mount (Matt 5:14-16). In Jesus’s teachings it was about living what you believe and influencing the world with your life. A cynic may call Reagan’s “City on a Hill” propaganda. A skeptic might call it hypocrisy. An optimist may call it a vision to aspire to. A realist may say it is all of the above.

Donald Trump era

Trump campaigned in 2016, 2020, and 2024 on the premise that America was screwed over this whole time by the NATO alliance and almost every other international agreement and organization.  He campaigned against the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA).  His administrations pulled out of the Paris Climate Agreement, and the Iranian Nuclear Deal that Obama negotiated.  The Trump administration also pulled out of the UN Framework Convention on Climate change, the World Health Organization, the 1951 Refugee Convention, Global Counterterrorism Forum, and the UN Human Rights Council.

The Trump Administration has widespread vacancies in its diplomatic corp. Over 80 countries do not have a US ambassador, including Germany, Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Egypt, Ecuador, Iraq, and Kuwait. Many of these nations are being attacked today by Iran.

Trump is actively working to replace the United Nations with a Board of Peace. Donald Trump has been named chairman for life. The United Nations has tasked the Board of Peace with rebuilding Gaza and instituting the Gaza Peace Plan. Currently 22 Nations have joined it, 6 nations have expressed an intent to join. The European Union and 10 other nations are observing. 14 Nations have declined, and Trump rescinded the invitation to Canada. All these actions represent a withdrawl by the United States from world diplomacy and influence.

Three days into Trump’s second term, he cut 83% of USAID’s contracts. A little over two months later he dissolved USAID and its remaining work was absorbed by the State Department. America’s soft power had evaporated. Trump would replace it with hard kinetic power.

At the time of this writing (3/3/26), the United States has attacked Iran killing its head of state, kidnapped the Venezuelan President, and threatened to invade Greenland just within in the last 3 months.  Greenland is a self ruled territory of Denmark, a NATO country.  This resulted in the NATO nations of France, Germany, Norway, Sweden, Finland and the Netherlands sending troops to Greenland to defend the world’s largest island from a potential United States invasion.

Although NATO still exists, the trust and leadership provided to it by the United States is gone. Ironically enough, it has motivated NATO nations to meet their 2% obligations with some nations setting goals of 5% of GDP on defense spending as Europe feels caught in a vice between multiple world powers looking to expand their respective spheres of influence by military might.


“Remember the Government argued in court – and won – that the President could order the assassination of a political rival and could not be charged unless impeached by the House and convicted by the Senate.”

This strained relationship can be seen in the current US-Israeli-Iran War with Britain and Spain refusing to let the United States use their bases to land fighters. Britain also refused to provide intelligence on Venezuela leading up to and during Operation Absolute Resolve.

But the World doesn’t just see the United States actions through the world stage.  It pays attention to our domestic politics as well.  It sees how the Trump Administration has handled the immigration issue.  The killings of Renee Goode and Alex Pretti by ICE are interpreted by the world as actions of an increasingly authoritarian government.  Remember the Government argued in court – and won – that the President could order the assassination of a political rival and could not be charged unless impeached by the House and convicted by the Senate.

In contrast to Reagan’s “City on a Hill”, our borders are closed and the US Government no longer welcomes people. ICE now arrests people who have been in this country decades, even deporting some American citizens. Our moral leadership in the world no longer exists.

Finally, it also needs noted how the Epstein files are figuring into how the world sees us.  There has been accountability for a Prince in Britain but not for people in the Trump administration including the President himself despite evidence that warrants further investigation.  

Conclusion

I am reminded of a scene in the movie “A Bronx Tale” where a mob boss tells his protege that it is better to be feared than loved.   The breaking of treaties, alliances, withdrawing from organizations, diving approval ratings and his recent penchant for military action tells this writer that Trump wants America to be feared, not loved.  His Homeland Security Advisor Steven Miller’s theory of the Unitary Executive leaves little doubt for this conclusion. Our impulsive military actions and the questions of justice domestically very well could lead an outsider to fear America instead of aspire to emulate it. It is a question this superpower has wrestled with since dropping atomic bombs on Hiroshima and Nagasaki. Sometimes it seems like America forgets the responsibility of knowing that today’s present is tomorrow’s history and that world never forgets.

Brian Smyers

Owner and Editor of the Ascendant Project

Biography
Corrections, clarifications, and addendums

Article:

4:52

I could have talked about Vietnam in this section. The United States miscalculated what the Vietnam war was really about and as a result committed troops when it could have left Vietnam alone. Vietnam was a French colony fighting for their independence. However in Washington, the conflict was seen through a Cold War lens and France was a NATO ally. The United States believed in a Domino Theory where if one South East Asian Country would turn red, then the rest of South East Asia would follow. After the US faked the Tonkin Gulf Incident, United States involvement would become inevitable.

5:07

It should be noted that Iran had 2 important heads of state: 1) the King (The Shah) 2) the democratically elected Prime Minister. The 1953 Coup removed the Prime Minister and The Shah would be the sole governor.

9:18

Ronald Reagan’s Farewell Speech

Interview:

24:30

I had thought that the Reagan Campaign negotiating with the Ayatollah not to release hostages until he came into power was accepted fact. However, it is not. It is still just a theory level of truth despite several officials in both the US and Iran standing by it. It is known as the “October Surprise

25:09

Here is an article about the make up of the Iranian Airforce.

26:46

The appearance of the law must be upheld, especially while it is being broken. Gangs of New York

27:55

The meltdown of the Chernobyl nuclear power plant in then USSR, present day Ukraine, happened in 1986

28:53

What I was thinking of was Reagan’s Address to the Nation Regarding the Tower Commision Report on March 4th 1987. The specific part that I refer to starts at 3:20.

“A few months ago I told the American people I did not trade arms for hostages. My heart and my best intentions still tell me that’s true, but the facts and the evidence tell me it is not.”

29:03

Buck Stops Here was actually Eisenhower. I don’t know how it came to be in my head that it was Reagan.

Really, if you have an hour or two, I highly recommend watching Reagan’s speeches regarding Iran-Contra. He did such a good job of “taking responsibility” and selling integrity while admitting to scandal in his administration. No President has been able to sell things in quite the same way since.

29:29

Nixon’s Checkers Speech. Not quite how it was told to me (which I retold). But the section you want is at 18:18. Nixon was a Senator at the time, not VP.

31:35

Central Intelligence (2016).

35:03

U2 Silver and Gold. Rattle and Hum. Island Records 1988. Am I bugging you? I don’t mean to bug ya. Okay Edge. Play the Blues.

38:45

Green Day American Idiot. Reprise 2004

44:22

A wiki article about Labor Day

44:34

Julius is referencing the Baltimore Railroad Strike of 1877

47:04

Brian is referencing Kelly Anne Conway’s “Alternative Facts

51:02

Vermont’s maple syrup industry faces multiple threats. Low Carb diet trends and stiff competition from imported and cheaper Table Syrup is causing untapped Maple Trees to explode. Obviously a NPR April Fools Day story form 2005

54:24

“In regards to immigration, you can only be as welcoming to somebody who is not like you as you can be flexible in your own soul.”

57:07

A wiki article on the Melting Pot theory of Immigration.

What was taught to me as a Mixing Bowl is actually known as the Salad Bowl theory

58:49

Sorry Julius, Bass is only found in a few British pubs. So Sad.

1:02:13

What Brian is referring to is the territorial dispute over the Kuril Islands. Japan and the USSR officially ceased aggression in 1956 with the Soviet-Japanese Joint Declaration. However, the issue of who has sovereignty over the islands is in dispute, with Russia occupying the islands and dug in militarily to this day.

Hirohito died in 1989. He was the Emperor of Japan during WWII until the day he died. Naruhito is the current Emperor. He assumed office in 2019

The Last Emperor (film 1987)

1:03:48

Here is an Axios article about Artificial Intelligence preferring using tactical nuclear weapons while war gaming.

1:05:44

Sorry Julius, you were not alive in 1964 when China detonated their first atomic bomb. The did keep testing bombs until 1996. Here is a wiki on all of China’s nuke tests.

India became a nuclear power in 1974. However, they did not have another test until May of 1998.

Pakistan detonated their first nuke test in 1998

1:06:35

Little Boy was an atomic bomb that had a blast of 13-16 Kilotons

Tsar Bomba was detonated by the USSR and had a blast of 50-58 Megatons.

1:09:52

The Vela Incident. Israel and South Africa detonated a Nuclear Bomb in the Indian Ocean, trying to get have a nuke test that nobody would see.

1:12:31

The India-Chinese border is unmarked in many places in the Himalayas. Because these two nations have fought 3 wars in the 20th century, they agreed in 1996 neither side would use firearms in border skirmishes. As a result fist fights and stick fights break out. This is a news report of footage from one of these melees.

1:16:00

Universal Declaration of Human Rights

1:22:10

An NPR article on the Churchill quote that Julius references.

1:25:06

“I don’t know about you, coach. I hope that either all of us, or none of us are judged by the actions of our weakest moments. But rather by the strength we show when and if we are given a second chance.” Ted Lasso is such a great show about personal growth. The quote is found 55 seconds into this clip.

1:26:40

Democrats in Congress want a probe into religious rhetoric given by DefSec Hegseth and others to troops stating that Trump is divinely appointed and the Iran War is justified by religious prophecy. Snopes gives the story a “mostly true” grade.

1:28:47

“You can not play god and then wash your hands of the things that you have created. Sooner or later the day comes when you can not hide from the things that you have done anymore.” This quote comes at 2:22 of Adama’s Decomissioning Speech in the Battlestar Galactica Miniseries.

1:29:28

NPR: How much money President Trump and his family have made

1:30:32

The Yellow Wind by David Grossman

You are the future. History is not just a topic that you learn in school or in college. History is their logic, its their feelings, its what they carry with them into the present. And so you really need to be aware of history in order to deal with somebody honestly and where they are at. And when you don’t do that, you can sow seeds of distrust. Be educated. Be sincere. Be humble.

1:32:13

Michael Scott gives his opinion of being feared vs being loved.

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