“Houthi PM and cabinet killed, RFK Jr. fires CDC director, Trump fires Federal Reserve Governor, $200M pro-AI lobbying group launched || Global Risks Weekly Roundup #35/2025.” by Nuño Sempere

September 1

23 mins

Episode Description

43% probability that the Houthis will sink at least one ship between now and the end of September.

Executive summary

Top items:

Geopolitics: Israeli strike on Yemen kills Houthi prime minister and several cabinet members.
Biorisk: New World screwworm spreading northward through the Americas. RFK Jr. fired the CDC director, replacing her with a Thiel protégé.
Artificial Intelligence: Anthropic identifies AI-driven cyberattacks. $200M pro-AI lobbying group started by OpenAI President and a16z.
Economy: Trump attempted to fire Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook over irregularities in her real estate filings, raising the prospect of reduced Fed independence in the future.

Forecaster estimates:

42% probability that the Supreme Court upholds at least three quarters of Trump's tariffs by [...]

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Outline:

(00:28) Executive summary

(01:53) Geopolitics

(01:56) Middle East

(04:47) Europe

(05:43) United States

(07:51) The Rest of the Americas

(08:50) Asia

(09:42) Africa

(10:31) Economy

(15:16) Artificial Intelligence

(19:02) Biorisks

(23:17) Other

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First published:
September 1st, 2025

Source:
https://blog.sentinel-team.org/p/houthi-pm-and-cabinet-killed-rfk

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