Gaeten Dugas, a prominent prediction market trader, who shares his journey into the world of prediction markets, particularly focusing on Spotify and entertainment markets. Gaeten discusses with Henry and Chris about his strategies, recent trades, and the impact of new music releases on market dynamics.

Chapters

• (00:00:00) - Spotify's Gaten Douglas on Predictive Programming
• (00:00:26) - Caleb Davis: On Kalshee, Predicting Future
• (00:04:33) - Predicted: How to Make Money on Algorithmic Trading
• (00:06:56) - Trump's Motivation for Venezuela
• (00:14:56) - Spotify's 'Daily' Most Streamed Song
• (00:17:03) - Is It In Your Mind When an Album Debut
• (00:18:35) - Steve Miller on His Big Positions
• (00:21:28) - How Do Streaming Charts Compare on Spotify?
• (00:23:02) - Taylor Swift vs Olivia Dean: Should You Bet on Either?
• (00:27:06) - Spotify's Olivia Dean Pick, and More
• (00:34:36) - Outside Investors: Insider Trading Kills Markets
• (00:36:36) - Inventing Insider Trading
• (00:40:57) - Top Stock Trader: No Insider Trading
• (00:44:19) - Predicting Sports in 2026