Episode Description
https://x.com/GaetenDTop 30 politics traderKalshi at time of recording // Gaeten’s thoughtsThis is not financial advice. Senate races:Maine: Dem 71%, GOP: 29% // Republican should be higherhttps://kalshi.com/markets/senateme/m...Ohio: Dem 52%, GOP 48% // Democrat should be higherhttps://kalshi.com/markets/senateme/m...Texas: Dem 46%, GOP 54% // About righthttps://kalshi.com/markets/senateme/m...Control of the House: Dems 84.4% // Dems 95% +https://kalshi.com/markets/senateme/m...Control of the Senate: GOP 52$ // Dems should be higherhttps://kalshi.com/markets/controls/s...If Democrats win the house, Gaeten would be interested in a “How many times will President Trump be impeached?” market2028 Republican nominee: Vance 37.4%, Rubio 27.5% // Rubio should be favouritehttps://kalshi.com/markets/controls/s...2028 Democratic nominee: Newsom 27.4%AOC 8.4%Ossof 6.5%Shapiro 6.2%Kamala 4.3%Beshear 3.6%//Thinks that Ossof, Beshear, [[Nathan forgets]] should be favouritesThinks that removing partisan environement electability is as follows in tiers:RubioOssof, Beshear, [[Nathan forgets]]Vance, Newsom, HarrisArticle I mention https://nathanpmyoung.substack.com/p/...