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We'll discuss geopolitical events with concrete predictions.

Each episode an expert will tell us their view of their subject with predictions about what will happen.","category","News\n News Commentary","audio",true,"show_type","episodic","uuid","fundings",[],"guid","","is_private",false,"transcript_eligible","episodes",[60,76,83,91,99,111,120,129,138,147,156,164,172,180],{"_50":61,"_34":62,"_36":63,"_32":64,"_65":66,"_67":68,"_69":70,"_71":72,"_73":74,"_75":56,"_15":16},"780a3fd1-fa3b-4c32-999d-fb954c737106","Iran, AI, and Why Starmer is Probably Done - Andrew Sabisky, Superforecaster & Bismarck 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Today we chat to Peter Wildeford about placing first in the Astral Codex Ten 2025 Prediction Contest. In the last 4 years, he has placed 20th, 12th, 12th, and 1st out of hundreds of entrants. Hard to overstate how impressive that is.

We discuss how last year went and how he would forecast geopolitics and AI this year.

X: @PeterWildeford

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Becoming the #1 Forecaster in the Astral Codex Ten 2025 Prediction Contest - Peter Wildeford

Episode Description

Never lose your place, on any device