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Justified Posteriors

Seth Benzell and Andrey Fradkin

empiricrafting.substack.com/podcast

Fortnightly podcast. Next episode any day now.

Explorations into the economics of AI and innovation. Seth Benzell and Andrey Fradkin discuss academic papers and essays at the intersection of economics and technology.

empiricrafting.substack.com

31 episodes • 0 archived •

Basil Halperin: Leading Indicators for TAI, Conditions for the Singularity, and Tax Policy at the End of History

February 9

1h 29m

Can an AI Interview You Better Than a Human?

January 26

1 hr

Anecdotes from AI Supercharged Science

January 13

1h 7m

Ben Golub: AI Referees, Social Learning, and Virtual Currencies

Dec 29, 2025

1h 16m

Are We There Yet? Evaluating METR’s Eval of AI’s Ability to Complete Tasks of Different Lengths

Dec 15, 2025

1h 6m

Epistemic Apocalypse and Prediction Markets (Bo Cowgill Pt. 2)

Dec 2, 2025

1h 2m

Does AI Cheapen Talk? (Bo Cowgill Pt. 1)

Nov 18, 2025

53 mins

Evaluating GDPVal, OpenAI's Eval for Economic Value

Nov 4, 2025

1h 4m

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