I predict what will happen in 2026 with AI, politics, and the economy, comparing my answers with ChatGPT. I answer Tony’s question on reconciling living off unemployment benefits while now facing high taxes as an entrepreneur. I explain why I’m not anti-taxes but believe the system needs to change, especially for small businesses. I share key predictions: AI growth slows but adoption surges, tech jobs shift, SaaS competition increases, open source grows, and distribution is crucial. I finish with rapid-fire yes/no predictions for the year ahead.

Timestamps by Podsqueeze

Introduction & Episode Overview (00:00:00)  

Listener Question: Unemployment Benefits & Taxes (00:01:20)  

Personal Background & German Unemployment System (00:02:37)  

Views on Taxes, State, and Public Services (00:03:49)  

Critique of Bureaucracy and Tax System (00:08:54)  

Fairness, Bureaucracy, and Indie Makers (00:10:04)  

2026 Predictions: AI Progress & Adoption (00:14:10)  

White Collar Job Displacement by AI (00:15:11)  

Tech Output & Indie Maker Opportunities (00:16:17)  

Build Costs Drop & SaaS Market Changes (00:17:41)  

SaaS Consolidation & Distribution Importance (00:19:11)  

Open Source Growth & Google/SEO Shifts (00:21:52)  

Discovery Shifts & AI Bubble Outlook (00:22:59)  

Human-Centric Products & AI Transition Support (00:25:51)  

Yes/No Prediction Questions with ChatGPT (00:27:09)  

Reflection on Prediction Alignment (00:33:30)  

Closing & Listener Engagement (00:34:42)