The surprising truth behind collapsing birthrates | Tyler Cowen on 2050

March 4
48 mins

Episode Description

Tyler Cowen believes we are woefully unprepared for the next 25 years.


In the first episode of Forecast 2050 with Nebular General Partner, Finn Murphy, we discuss the real reason behind falling birthrates, what the last human job might be in an AI-dominated economy, how conflict and war could evolve in the next 25 years, whether we will have a "viagra for the mind," why we are experiencing the fastest technological revolution in human history, why humans love stasis and hate change, and why we need faith in long-term thinking.


Extended Show Notes: https://finnmurphyirl.substack.com/p/humans-love-stasis-and-hate-change


Transcript (with helpful links!): https://substack.com/home/post/p-189726563


Chapters:

00:00 Intro

01:03 The real reason behind low birthrates

04:50 Transitioning to a majority-old society

07:49 The future of worldwide immigration

14:55 The 2050 economy will be healthcare dominated

19:23 Corporations have never been so powerful

26:25 There is life on the moons of Saturn

27:07 Elon is wrong: We won't settle other planets

30:00 AIs Will Take Over Society By Trick

30:58 We need faith for long term thinking

32:47 There will be many, many fake jobs

36:29 The future of the UN and global conflicts

40:56 The AIs will build their own superintelligent institutions

45:18 Tyler's greatest concern

47:50 The last profession standing in the AI era



Tyler Cowen is an economist, author, and professor known for his work on growth, innovation, and the future of technology.


Tyler on X: https://x.com/tylercowen

Tyler's Blog: https://marginalrevolution.com/


Forecast 2050 is a series about the next 25 years—and the builders, thinkers, and leaders shaping what comes next.


Finn on X: https://x.com/FinnMurphy12

Finn on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/finn-murphy-16160465/


Nebular is an early stage venture capital firm based in New York City.


Head to nebular.vc for more info.

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