ROLLUP: Prediction Market War | Base Leaves Optimism | Tomasz Exits EF | Clarity Act Lives | Harvard Buys ETH
Episode Description
A legal war over prediction markets just went public. Ryan and David break down the CFTC’s claim of exclusive authority, the backlash from state officials and lawmakers, and why this fight is really about whether markets or politics get to define truth. They explore why AI-powered prediction markets may be crypto’s strongest product-market fit yet, and why that scares regulators. Plus: Harvard rotates from Bitcoin into Ethereum, Base breaks from Optimism, Zora expands to Solana, the Ethereum Foundation leadership reshuffles, signs of life for the Clarity Act, institutions buying DeFi tokens, Europe’s unrealized-gains wealth tax, autonomous “life” on Ethereum, OpenAI’s EVMbench, and what ETHDenver says about where crypto goes next.
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📣ROCKET POOL | PERMISSIONLESS STAKING
https://bankless.cc/Rocketpool
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BANKLESS SPONSOR TOOLS:
🔮POLYMARKET | #1 PREDICTION MARKET
https://bankless.cc/polymarket-podcast
🪐GALAXY | INSTITUTIONAL DIGITAL FINANCE
https://bankless.cc/galaxy-podcast
⚡EUPHORIA | REAL-TIME ONE-TAP TRADING
🏅BITGET TRADFI | TRADE GOLD WITH USDT
🌐BRIX | EMERGING MARKET YIELD
🎯THE DEFI REPORT | ONCHAIN INSIGHTS
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TIMESTAMPS & RESOURCES
0:00 Intro
2:27 MARKETS
https://x.com/hiwhaledegen/status/2023372409303450065
4:33 PREDICTION MARKETS REGULATORY FIGHT
https://x.com/ChairmanSelig/status/2023744651216240966
https://x.com/GovChristie/status/2023821634344550892
https://x.com/SenWarren/status/2023877196323188764
https://x.com/govcox/status/2023795059980988874
https://x.com/RepCasten/status/2024212119491588303
https://x.com/brian_armstrong/status/2023794107274194944
https://x.com/SenatorHagerty/status/2023802779899252901
https://x.com/SenMcCormickPA/status/2023831838461194501
https://x.com/tyler/status/2023761976481259585
https://x.com/kylascan/status/2023786873605476719
https://x.com/ADoricko/status/2023834015699173398
https://x.com/abcampbell/status/2024281289700802568
https://x.com/NTmoney/status/2024505537514394104
25:18 BASE LEAVES OPTIMISM
https://blog.base.dev/next-chapter-for-base-chain-1
https://x.com/lex_node/status/2024181767813427402
https://x.com/intangiblecoins/status/2024184295493886317
https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/optimism
https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/arbitrum
https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/polygon
https://x.com/web3_data/status/2023716576126755249
https://polymarket.com/event/will-base-launch-a-token-in-2025-341/?via=bankles
35:24 ZORA EXPANDS TO SOLANA
https://x.com/zora/status/2023797263651533053
https://x.com/js_horne/status/2023809356739838390
https://x.com/brian_armstrong/status/2023872648032272642
https://x.com/haydenzadams/status/2023990750082445561
40:04 ETHEREUM FOUNDATION SHAKEUP
https://x.com/tkstanczak/status/2022315368430067847
https://x.com/VitalikButerin/status/2022318344288792618
https://x.com/aerugoettinea/status/2022318885047779576
https://x.com/dannyryan/status/2022318587281572257
44:56 CLARITY ACT SIGNS OF LIFE
https://x.com/brian_armstrong/status/2024238762021036201
https://polymarket.com/event/clarity-act-signed-into-law-in-2026/?via=bankles
https://x.com/altcoindaily/status/2024174959707541638
49:16 APOLLO x MORPHO (INSTITUTIONS BUYING DEFI TOKENS)
https://x.com/AggrNews/status/2022482933974544669
https://x.com/RyanWatkins_/status/2022680420270379400
https://x.com/DefiIgnas/status/2023054776762876157
52:14 AAVE TOKEN ALIGNMENT PROPOSAL
https://x.com/TheiaResearch/status/2022037595568603406
https://x.com/Marczeller/status/2022073505341219033
https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/aave
56:09 NETHERLANDS UNREALIZED GAINS WEALTH TAX
https://x.com/BitcoinNewsCom/status/2021978390870347923
https://x.com/balajis/status/2022360046122995851
58:55 AUTONOMOUS LIFE ON ETHEREUM (CONWAY)
https://x.com/0xSigil/status/2023877649475731671
https://x.com/sterlingcrispin/status/2024254432498639322
1:04:56 OPENAI EVMbench
https://openai.com/index/introducing-evmbench/
1:06:24 ETHDENVER REFLECTIONS
https://x.com/EthereumDenver/status/2024234929840935318
https://x.com/TrustlessState/status/2024215091856527753
1:08:05 CLOSING & DISCLAIMERS
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