China: Weaker at Home, Stronger Abroad?

August 14
1h 47m

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Episode Description

China's population is shrinking. Its property sector has collapsed, and taken local government finances down with it. Prices at the factory gate have been falling for years. By most conventional measures, the Chinese economy is in real trouble. And yet, last October, China made a change to its rare-earth export licensing, which sent countries scampering to think about economic statecraft. How does a weakening economy end up with more leverage than ever?


In this episode of Turbulence, Anupam Manur is joined by Manoj Kewalramani, who chairs the Indo-Pacific Studies Programme at the Takshashila Institution, writes a daily newsletter tracking the Communist Party's own People's Daily, and is the editor of Taming the Dragon: A Manifesto for a New Modus Vivendi with China. The conversation traces China's domestic slowdown, how Beijing exports its overcapacity through outward investment and green tech, what its rare-earth and critical-mineral controls are actually built to do, and how China has quietly de-risked its own economy from the US since 2018.


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